Bitcoin Market Auction Theory – Volume Levels & Market RotationHello Traders,
Bitcoin’s price action is currently respecting key volume levels, aligning with market auction theory. This concept suggests that price tends to rotate between value area high (VAH) and value area low (VAL), using the point of control (POC) as a midpoint. With price recently rejecting the VAH, the probability of a move lower has increased.
Key Technical Points:
• Market Auction Theory: Price typically rotates between VAH and VAL, with the POC acting as a key pivot.
• Current Price Structure: The VAH at $88,200 has seen rejection, increasing the likelihood of a move toward the POC at $67,200.
• Volume Profile Insight: Declining volume suggests consolidation is nearing its end, with an expected volume spike driving the next major move.
If Bitcoin loses the POC at $67,200, it significantly increases the probability of a full rotation down to the VAL at $49,500, completing the auction cycle. However, a bounce from POC could provide short-term support before the next major move develops.
For now, Bitcoin is consolidating, but the volume profile suggests a breakout is imminent. Traders should monitor key levels closely, as an influx in volume will likely dictate the next major directional move.
Harmonic Patterns
BTCUSDT: Signs of discounts are still noticeableBINANCE:BTCUSDT breaking below the support of the local rising wedge on the basis of a downtrend (falling wedge) has been formed. And now there is no reason for Bitcoin to move higher or to be honest:
"Just focus on selling because the risk of buying at this moment is high due to the newly announced reciprocal tariffs by President Trump, highlighting the increasing risk of Bitcoin in relation to macroeconomic uncertainties. I think we will drop much lower than 76,000 USD, as you may know from my previous analysis."
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3100 callback to go long3100 is a key support level, which always maintains strong support. From the hourly level, gold has risen strongly, with a big positive line rising from the ground, and a clear lower shadow at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are strong below and the moving average has begun to turn upward. There is a big non-agricultural data. The recent economic data has performed poorly, and this big non-agricultural data is likely to be bullish for gold. The sharp drop in gold is to better impact the high level. I hope everyone can understand this truth. The 3100 level is still valid at present. Today, the bullish thinking continues, and the decline is more!
Gold: more above 3100.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3953
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3743
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4169
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD/CAD H4 | Overhead pressures remainUSD/CAD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.4159 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.4243 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.4024 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0946
1st Support: 1.0836
1st Resistance: 1.1144
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish breakoutWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a potential breakout level and it could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 66.44 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 67.40 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 65.20 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CHECK EURUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(EURUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (EURUSD) ready for(BUY)trade ( EURUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (1.0250) to (1.0150) 📊
FIRST TP (1.10500)📊
2ND TARGET (1.0800) 📊
LAST TARGET (1.0250) 📊
STOP LOOS (1.08700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Gold returns to a sharp decline?Dear friends!
Gold has a downward trend today, with the current price fluctuating around 3,097 dollars. The main reason is due to the tax measures of U.S. President Donald Trump, which help clarify the market trend but raise concerns about economic recession, thereby boosting the demand for USD, leading to an increase in its value, which affects gold.
From a technical perspective, it is not advisable to buy at this moment, as the risk is high, and for selling, we should wait for the price to establish a clear trend.
At present, it is most worth waiting for consolidation on the basis of a downward trend, as the market will sharply hit important milestones that you can build your trading strategy upon.
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The golden large-scale "roller coaster" has near misses and no dFrom the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression at the 3130-35 line on the top, and the short-term support at the bottom is around 3100-3106, with a focus on the support at 3083-3087. Continue to maintain the rhythm of low-long positions above this position, and stick to the idea of buying more on pullbacks. Go long with the trend to hold the long space, and try not to go against the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold retreats to the 3100-3106 line for more, and retreats to the 3083-3087 line to cover more positions, stop loss 3077, target the 3130-3135 line, and continue to hold if the position is broken;
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment
Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions.
The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend.
As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist.
Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices.
If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies.
The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds.
The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral.
For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset.
As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
Tron (TRX): Possible Double Top Pattern FormingTron coin is approaching approachingthe neckline zone where recently we formed a second top, which gave us a sign of a potential upcoming "double top" pattern. We are waiting for a breakdown to happen.
As soon as we get the breakdown, we will be looking for a short position where we might catch a good R:R position.
Swallow Team
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone.
We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel.
For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level.
After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity.
💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4274
1st Support: 1.4156
1st Resistance: 1.4325
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY• Key Support: 191.70 – A bounce from this level could push prices higher.
• Upside Targets: 194.00, 195.50, and 195.70 if the bullish trend continues.
• Bearish Scenario: A break below 191.70 could lead to further declines toward 190.90, 190.00, and 189.00.
Conclusion: The trend remains bullish unless GBP/JPY drops below 191.70, which would signal further downside risk.
ADA - Bearish Reversal Setup from Fair Value Gap🚀 ADAUSDT - 1H Chart Analysis 🚀
📊 Current Market Structure:
ADA is moving within a rising channel 📈, approaching a key resistance zone where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is present. This area aligns with a significant Fibonacci retracement zone, making it a strong potential reversal point.
📌 Technical Insights:
🔹 Price is trading inside a well-defined bullish channel.
🔹 Approaching a major supply zone with previous reaction points.
🔹 Bearish rejection is expected in this area, leading to a potential drop.
📉 Trade Expectation:
A reaction from the FVG could lead to a downward move, as highlighted by the red arrows. If price confirms a rejection, a bearish shift in structure could occur, offering short opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Always wait for confirmation before acting on a setup. Managing risk effectively is key to long-term success!
📢 What do you think? Will ADA respect the FVG or push higher? Share your thoughts! 💬📉🚀
EURUSD D1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1007, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement and the 127.2% Fibo extension. indicating a strong area of resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.0792, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1214, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;