Harmonic Patterns
Gold Trade Plan 25/04/2025Dear Traders,
There is no strong bullish momentum observed in gold, and it seems to be moving within a descending channel. Meanwhile, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. I expect the price to drop into the 3220–3230 zone to gather momentum, A new update will be shared soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
US100 - Corrective Pullback into FVG + Golden Pocket setup?This 1H Nasdaq chart paints a classic structure of retracement within a bullish leg, offering potential for continuation after a clean corrective move into inefficiency. It's all about balance restoration before the next impulse.
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1. Resistance Reaction & Local Distribution
Price faced strong rejection at a clearly defined Resistance Zone , marking a point of supply where sellers stepped in with aggression.
- The sharp rejection indicates profit-taking from earlier longs or a short-term distribution zone.
- Structure is transitioning from impulsive to corrective, suggesting a pullback is unfolding rather than a trend reversal (at least for now).
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2. Short-Term Demand Zone Holding Price (Gray Box)
Before reaching deeper liquidity, price is hovering above a local demand block —a previously unmitigated consolidation that supported the last push up.
- This gray zone may provide temporary support, but lacks depth of imbalance.
- It's a weak floor, and smart money typically seeks deeper fills for proper re-accumulation.
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3. Fair Value Gap Below (Primary Draw on Liquidity)
The key area of interest lies just below, where a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) is formed. This imbalance represents a void in price action where buy-side inefficiency remains.
- Aligned with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement range (confluence entry).
- Price is likely to seek this inefficiency for proper rebalancing.
- It’s not just a “fill the gap” play—it’s a liquidity grab where smart money is most likely waiting.
This zone is ideal for reaccumulation before resuming the move higher.
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4. Internal Structure Suggests Bullish Intent After Fill
Price is forecasted to:
- Step 1: Break beneath the short-term demand to draw in liquidity
- Step 2: Tag the FVG zone, tapping into fresh demand
- Step 3: Shift structure via higher low formation and breakout
This is the behavior of an engineered retracement—not panic selling.
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5. Macro Bias Still Bullish – Controlled Pullback
While the short-term price action looks bearish, the context remains supportive of upward continuation:
- No signs of aggressive selling below structure
- Current flow is corrective, not distributive
- FVG zone is strategically placed in alignment with optimal trade entry levels (OTE)
If this zone holds, expect a return to bullish expansion targeting inefficiencies left behind on the push down.
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Conclusion:
This setup is textbook:
- Efficient rejection at resistance
- Controlled retracement into FVG with Fibonacci confluence
- Potential structural shift post-rebalance
Watch for bullish intent to return once the imbalance is filled. Until then, this is not a breakdown—it's a setup.
Head and Shoulder pattern XAUUSD GOLD Update | H4 Timeframe 🙌
We have been observed that in H4 Timeframe market is creating a proper Head and Shoulder pattern ❗️
We have been set our trendline which is indicated that previous h4 rejected that area and try to push himself from that point
We also set our observation area at point
If market break our trendline area then expected 3280 further 3260.00 would be last trigger point
On the otherhand if market can not break the trendline we are expecting near our Resistance area at 3348.00 ❗️
#XAUUSD
The Fed's dilemma keeps gold prices dormantAt the daily level, this decline pierced the 10-day moving average and rebounded. Yesterday, the U.S. market fell to a low of 3306, which happened to be close to the 10-day moving average. It can be seen that the effectiveness of the 10-day moving average support has become the key to today's market. In the short term, we can rely on the 10-day moving average to continue to see a shock rebound. If today's rise breaks through and stabilizes the 5-day moving average, then this wave of adjustment will be over, and the market will return to a strong position again. If the 10-day line is lost, the market will be at risk of accelerating its retreat to 3228.
In the short term, at the 4-hour level, the market showed signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing at 3260. The K-line is currently above the moving average, but it has not stood firmly above the middle Bollinger rail, which is not an extremely strong state. Below the middle rail, we can still see adjustments at high altitudes. If it falls downward, pay attention to 3315 and 3306, near last night's lows, and look for a rebound. In the short term, operate in the 3306-3356 range, focus on the strength of the European session and then arrange the US session.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and is ready to goIn the 4-hour chart, the mid-term bottom continuous positive pattern reflects the bullish strength, but the current price has not effectively stood above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, so it is not in a very strong state. Based on this, there are still trading opportunities for falling back and going long today, and the support points below the small cycle level are at two key points of 3320 and 3310. If the gold price falls back to the above key support levels during the Asian and European trading sessions, you can follow the trend to arrange long orders, and the key to the market rhythm is still in the US trading session. If there is a unilateral surge in the US trading session on Friday, you can look at the extreme rising target; if there is a shock sweeping market during the US trading session, you don’t have to be obsessed with the gold price will definitely go out of the big rise space, and you need to flexibly adjust the trading target according to the actual market changes.
Overall, in terms of today's short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to use the rebound high-altitude as an auxiliary strategy and the retracement low-long as the main strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3327-3454 line resistance area, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3286-3360 line support area.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to rebound to high altitudes as the main, and to fall back to low altitudes as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3327-3454 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3286-3360 line support.
Are We Witnessing A WHALE Diving Expedition?Get ready to buckle up and prepare for an exhilarating ride, because the Bitcoin seas are getting choppy!
Whispers are circulating,
theories are bubbling, and everyone's glued to their screens as we potentially witness something HUGE:
Bitcoin whales might be prepping for a deep-sea dive, potentially pulling the price down from a hypothetical high of 96,000 to the depths of 66,000 and even $55,000...
and Whales might be taking their sweet, strategic time about it!
Basic Attention Token, An Old FriendLet's take the market bottom as the low that was set in June 2023, what do you see?
One single signal can reveal the bottom is that true?
One single signal can tell you everything that is going on with a chart, or not.
It is more about your experience, what you know about the market and the market cycle.
The main bottom for the 2022 bear market for Basic Attention Token (BATUSDT) happened in December 2022, after it goes sideways but, let's take June 2023 as the market bottom for the purpose of this chart.
#1 on the chart is a stop-loss hunt event. It leads to a bullish wave.
#2 on the chart is the same; a reversal comes next.
The bullish signal is in because #2 is already gone. The action went below long-term support (June 2023 low) is now trading back above it. Three weeks green, bull confirmed; yes we win! Yes, I win!
So this is easy don't you agree?
What's the potential for growth?
An easy target will give us some 350%. A strong target will give us 795%. Strong is not the best. We can end up with better target specially if we consider how the market in the past behaved.
Are you with me?
What do you see?
Do you agree?
The comments are the feedback, interact with me; what do you see?
Do you agree that this chart is green and set to grow?
If you agree boost, if you disagree boost and follow.
Thanks a lot for your support.
A strong rise can take more than a year to develop. With a low in August 2024, a high can happen in August 2025. Sounds early, looks early, feels early but can happen.
Taking the lowest point since the March 2020 bottom, April 2025, an entire year of bullish action would put an All-Time High in April 2026. This sounds good but, can it be true?
Too good to be true or too hard to believe?
If the bull market can be late to start, it can also end late.
Let's hope the bullish action goes beyond 2025 into mid-2026, that would be the best. The longer it takes, more time to adapt, plan and to secure wins and profits.
Thanks you for reading.
Namaste.
GOLD TO 3,260 SELL NOW!!!!!!!Gold made a strong rejections off the two important zone and once that happens new lows is expected from the point of decisions gold made a rejections off the fvg and also on the previous lower high am in now on sell holding till new low is created from this point
3,260 is my goal target
Gold was suddenly sold off violently. Gold price plummeted?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce at the end of the session, a plunge of more than $40 on the day.
Gold prices turned lower during the day as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data this week supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
However, geopolitical uncertainty and bets on the Fed's rate cuts should help gold's decline.
Quaid analysis:
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold's latest round of gains from this month's lows.
On the downside: Once gold falls below the $3,300/oz mark, the next support for gold is the weekly low near the $3,260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold prices may accelerate their decline and fall to the 50% retracement level and eventually fall to the $3,200/oz mark. Some subsequent selling will indicate that gold has peaked and shift the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
On the upside: Gold resistance is near the $3,368-3,370/oz area, which should now be a key level. If it breaks through the above area, gold prices may return to the $3,400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold prices further up to the $3,425-3,427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to overcome the psychological $3,500/oz mark.
Sterling Keeps Flat Amid Trade WatchThe British pound held steady near 1.3290 on Friday morning, maintaining levels seen in the previous session. The currency remained flat in recent days, supported by optimistic comments from Donald Trump and largely neutral PMI data. Upcoming economic releases and developments in the US-China trade dispute are expected to play a key role in shaping the pair’s direction next week.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
BTC? 2.4M Cathie said by 2030
CATHIE WOOD SAID:
www.tradingview.com
Wow..
I like the idea 24X
Below 100k will look like peanuts from moon.
300 to 17000 took 830days
3800 to 55000 took 800 days
IF now is day 5 of this bullish move >> It will end somewhr in August 2027 :)
Say you are on for this ride.
Don't look at charts daily.
A 5000$-10000$ swing/ move is jiffy
What's your plan?
Definitely for this investment is should be your... not in use $
or DCA (I heard)
IDK
All the best guys
Hope you be safe & enjoying your weekend.
Obviously not a guru