Is there a chance that gold will fall?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold. Currently, the support of gold is around 3380. If the correction of gold is weak, it may continue to rise after testing 3380.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then gold has a probability to continue to test the low support position near 3370.
Finally, there is the 4-hour support position of 3360-3350.
Therefore, try to pay attention to the support situation here at 3380 first. If there is a chance to reach this point and stabilize, gold will have the opportunity to continue to look at 3420 and 3435.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then you need to continue to wait for the low point of 3370, or even the high point of Friday at 3360-3350 to buy.
Harmonic Patterns
Wait for the correction before going long on gold!This is what I've said last week in my outlook: next week we could see a correction and more upside for this pair.
And I drew an arrow for the target. Now check the chart.
This is the power of wave analysis in combination with liquidity sweeps and FVG's!
For next week we could see a little more upside (finish grey wave 3) and after that a bigger correction for (grey) wave 4.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish. After an impulse wave and a small correction down on a lower time frame you could trade (short term) longs.
Are you ready for a price drop?Hello, traders
There are two groups of people in the market right now. Those who believe that Bitcoin will go straight from its current price to $125,000, and those who believe that the price must first touch 65-72 to go up. I am in the second group, and I think we have a higher chance of winning if we are a member of the second group. There are a lot of buy orders hidden in the 65-72 areas, it seems that we cannot go up without attracting them.
#BTCUSDT: From $74,000 to $88,000 Moving Well! More Growth CominIt’s been on a steady climb from $74,000 to $88,000. We’re expecting even more growth in the coming weeks. The price has finally broken free from its consolidation phase and is now on the rise. We think it’ll reach $94,000, then $100,000, and maybe even go up to $120,000 by the end of the year.
What do you think? Let me know in the comments below!
Thanks!
Team Setupsfx_
Analysis on S50 Futures: Most likely to go down tmrHI All
With the today's red candle, the trend is down, momentum is down as well.
The Index now will go back to test 694, if brown down 650.
The way to make money from this market is to not over trade, simple as that.
It does not matter what method you use, once overtrade, it is bound to lose
Best of luck
GBPNZD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Gold is in a strong bullish trend. Don't be afraid of correctionThe continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the breakdown of the truce agreement have further enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold.
On Monday, the price of gold surged to around $3,427.
Under such a market rhythm, there is no room for hesitation; it is advisable to follow the trend.
Never entertain the idea of reversing your position.
After the sharp rise and breaking of the previous high in the early morning, it was necessary to go long on gold once again during the afternoon or the European trading session. We planned to enter a long position around $3,384 - $3,383 in the intraday trading, and currently, the price has reached the target level as expected.
In the subsequent period, the key focus can be on the secondary inflection point of the day, which is around $3,370 - $3,368. This is the last inflection point of the upward movement, and the double bottom of the uptrend is a position where going long is a must.
After a strong upward movement, it is not excluded that the price of gold may face technical pullback pressure, especially considering that the current indicators are all in an overbought state. Therefore, while following the trend, we also need to be vigilant against risks. Avoid chasing the price at high levels and refrain from placing reckless orders.
If you are currently not satisfied with your gold trading performance and hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Ethereum (ETH): Waiting For 1 of 3 Entries At Least / Buy & SellEthereum is still in-between our dotted line area, which is acting as a supportive zone there. Despite seeing some sort of buying volume building up, we are not rushing into any trade but rather showing once again multiple entry zones we are looking for before entering the trade on ETH.
As always, we need to see a proper break of line and a retest in order to consider it a valid entry.
Swallow Academy
Gold 100% Trading StrategyGold prices continued to fluctuate this week. Last Thursday, gold prices stabilized and rebounded near $3,284, and remained strong after breaking through $3,300. During today's Asian session, gold prices repeatedly hit the 3,385 pressure level but failed. After retreating to around 3,369 and gaining support, they rebounded again to around 3,396. The current price faces technical repair needs, but the overall upward trend has not changed, and the probability of breaking through the $3,400 mark is still high. The support level of the retracement is focused on the Asian session low of 3369 US dollars and the 4-hour MA5 moving average of 3360 US dollars. You can arrange long orders on dips; the upper pressure focuses on the 3396-3400 line. After breaking through, you need to be alert to the pressure of the daily error band indicator of 3425-3430 US dollars. At present, you can go short at the rebound of 3395 in the short term. The general trend is still dominated by low and long.
Gold recommendation: Go short near the rebound of 3395-3400, stop loss 3405, target 3370, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold operation: Go long near the retracement of 3370-3375, stop loss 3362, target 3400, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Establish Support, Waiting ConfirmationBuyers seem to have established a supportive zone where buyers are showing some kind of dominance on Ethereum.
Although it is early to say that this would be the bounce zone for us, we need to see some sideways movement or a retest of that support zone, after which we are going to look once again for dominance to fall into buyers hands.
Once we see that we are going to look for MSB to form, and then we will be looking for a long position here.
Swallow Academy
Gold prices hit resistance as they push higherGold prices continued to fluctuate this week. Last Thursday, gold prices stabilized and rebounded near $3,284, and remained strong after breaking through $3,300. During today's Asian session, gold prices repeatedly hit the 3,385 pressure level but failed. After retreating to around 3,369 and gaining support, they rebounded again to around 3,396. The current price faces technical repair needs, but the overall upward trend has not changed, and the probability of breaking through the $3,400 mark is still high. The support level of the retracement is focused on the Asian session low of 3369 US dollars and the 4-hour MA5 moving average of 3360 US dollars. You can arrange long orders on dips; the upper pressure focuses on the 3396-3400 line. After breaking through, you need to be alert to the pressure of the daily error band indicator of 3425-3430 US dollars. At present, you can go short at the rebound of 3395 in the short term. The general trend is still dominated by low and long.
Gold recommendation: Go short near the rebound of 3395-3400, stop loss 3405, target 3370, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold operation: Go long near the retracement of 3370-3375, stop loss 3362, target 3400, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
XAU/USD 1H CHART PATTERNGold (XAUUSD) continues to display a strong bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe. The recent price action shows a clean breakout from previous consolidation, followed by a series of bullish candles confirming sustained upward momentum.
Price Structure & Momentum
The current trend is defined by:
A sequence of higher highs and higher lows, a classic hallmark of bullish market conditions.
A breakout above previous congestion zones, signaling that buyers have taken firm control.
Volume and price action both support the breakout, indicating this is not a false move but a momentum-driven trend continuation.
Each pullback has been shallow and short-lived, further confirming buyer dominance. There's no sign of exhaustion yet, and the price is steadily climbing with bullish conviction.
Target 1: 3350
This level represents the next natural price objective. It aligns with the upper boundary of the current short-term channel and is within reach given the recent pace of movement.
Reaching 3350 would:
Confirm the strength of this breakout.
Potentially act as a short-term pause or reaction zone, where traders might partially lock in gains.
Expect some consolidation or minor retracement near this level, but unless bearish pressure steps in sharply, momentum favours continuation.
Target 2: 3400
The second target at 3400 stands as a psychological round number and a key technical extension based on Fibonacci projections and recent impulse wave measurements.
A move toward 3400 would:
Gold weekly update with both buy and sell levels🔍 Short-Term Forecast for XAU/USD
Current Market Context:
Price: $3,227.375 (currently)
Recent High: Around $3,328
Structure: Strong bullish rally with minor retracement. Currently consolidating under a key resistance zone.
Fib Levels: Price has respected Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, particularly 0.618 and 0.786.
Volume Delta: High macro delta volume at 19.67%, indicating aggressive buying.
Forecast:
Bullish Bias short-term with room for a minor pullback to retest lower support zones around $3,200–$3,180 before continuation higher.
If $3,328 is broken convincingly, we could see a rally toward $3,345, $3,360, and beyond.
📈 Potential Trading Signals
Buy Signals:
Break and Retest of $3,328 Resistance – Watch for a clean break above $3,328 and retest as support to initiate a long position.
Pullback to $3,200–$3,180 Zone – This is a high confluence area of previous support + Fib level (near 0.382–0.5). Bullish reversal candlestick patterns here could be a buy trigger.
EMA Bounce – The 21 and 50 EMA are acting as dynamic support. A bounce from these EMAs could be a signal for continuation upward.
Sell Signals:
Failure to Break $3,328 With Strong Bearish Rejection – Look for long wicks and engulfing candles near resistance.
Break Below $3,180 – Could trigger a sharper correction to $3,150 and possibly $3,100.
📊 Upcoming Economic Data & Impact on XAU/USD
Key Events to Watch:
U.S. Fed Commentary & Rate Decision Expectations
U.S. CPI / PPI / Core Inflation Reports
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Geopolitical Risks (Middle East, Ukraine, etc.)
Influence:
Hawkish Fed Data (higher inflation, strong jobs) → Stronger USD → Bearish for XAU/USD.
Dovish Signals (cooling inflation, rate cut hints) → Weaker USD → Bullish for XAU/USD.
Geo-Risk Escalation → Gold rallies as a safe haven.
📋 Day Trading Plan for XAU/USD
Trading Style: Scalping to Intraday Swing
Timeframe Focus: 15min, 1hr, 4hr
Indicators Used:
21 EMA, 50 EMA
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
Price Action (Engulfing, Doji, Pin Bars)
Volume & Delta Volumes
Key S/R Zones
🔹 Bullish Setup (Buy the Dip Strategy):
Entry: $3,200–$3,180
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or pin bar + bounce from EMA
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: $3,172 (below structure)
🔹 Breakout Strategy (Momentum Trade):
Entry: Break of $3,328 and close above
Confirmation: 15m or 1h candle close above with increased volume
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
SL: $3,312
🔻 Bearish Setup (Fade the Resistance):
Entry: Rejection of $3,328 zone
Confirmation: Long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: $3,335
📌 Risk Management Tips
Risk max 1–2% per trade.
Adjust position size according to volatility (ATR).
Use alerts around key levels: $3,200, $3,328, $3,345.
Avoid trading major news releases without clarity.
🗺️ XAU/USD Day Trading Roadmap (Short-Term)
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Breakout Play)
📍 Key Level to Watch:
→ Resistance at $3,328
🟢 If price breaks and closes above $3,328:
Enter LONG on retest of $3,328 as support.
TP1: $3,345
TP2: $3,360
TP3: $3,382
SL: Below $3,312
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish 15m/1h close above resistance
Increasing volume
🔄 Scenario 2: Range Play / Rejection from Resistance
📍 Key Range:
Top: $3,328
Bottom: $3,200–$3,180
🔴 If price rejects $3,328:
Consider SHORT entries from resistance
TP1: $3,280
TP2: $3,250
SL: Above $3,335
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish engulfing or pin bar near $3,328
Divergence or decreasing volume
🟢 Scenario 3: Buy-the-Dip (Support Bounce)
📍 Buy Zone:
→ $3,200–$3,180 support zone (confluence of Fib & EMA)
🟢 If price pulls back and holds above $3,180:
Go LONG on bullish candle
TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,280
SL: Below $3,172
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Pin bar, hammer, or bullish engulfing
Volume bounce or EMA support hold
🔻 Scenario 4: Bearish Breakdown
📍 Critical Support:
→ $3,180
🔴 If price breaks & closes below $3,180:
Go SHORT on retest of $3,180 as resistance
TP1: $3,150
TP2: $3,100
SL: Above $3,190
📊 Confirmation Needed:
Clean break + bearish volume spike
EMAs cross bearish
🧠 Bonus Tips:
🕓 Best sessions: London and New York overlap
📅 Check calendar: U.S. CPI, PPI, and NFP are gold movers
🧯 Avoid overtrading. Let price come to your key zones.
🎯 Use alerts at $3,180, $3,200, $3,328
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBPUSD has reached a resistance zone, where a correction is expected.
We anticipate a pullback toward the specified support level, which could act as a launchpad for the next bullish move.
After completing the correction, the pair is expected to resume its upward movement toward the specified targets.
Will GBPUSD use the pullback as a springboard for further gains? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Critical point at 1.68 Fib level Market Is on bullish streak without testing the previous BOS and liquidity volume gap it's hit the weekly target of 3400 Mark.
Now market is forming bearish diversion with rising wedge channel although we have Fib retracement level of 1.68 level at 3404-05.
If market gives closing above 3405 then 3430 on mark for TODAY.
On the other hand, without retesting the previous high is question for bulls.
If we got rejection at 3405 , market can drop to 3380 then 3365.
Overall im on bulls side
I wait for the Dips to buy again.
XAUUSD It's most important week in 5 years.Gold (XAUUSD) hit last week the multi-year Higher Highs trend-line that has been in effect since the July 04 2016 High. Last time it had a rejection on it was on August 03 2020 when the market started the last 2-year Bear Cycle.
The current 1W candle has opened above this Higher Highs trend-line, so the week is of utmost importance as a closing below it maintains the pattern and the bearish Cycle Top bias, while above it jeopardizes invalidating it.
If as a result, the market closes the week below it and remains within the Fibonacci Channel Up, we may indeed be on Leg (4) peak and our Target will be near the 0.382 horizontal Fibonacci level at 2700 towards the end of the year. If not, we will see what new pattern is created and adapt accordingly (updates will follow).
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4.21 Gold Market4.21 Gold Market
Gold bulls have been strong recently. There are no peak signals on the daily and weekly charts. The sharp fluctuations in gold have made short-term operations more difficult, and operations are mainly long.
As of press time, gold has not broken through the 3400 resistance point. It is predicted that there is a high probability of a correction and sideways fluctuation today. The larger market is estimated to take about 4 hours.
Long support points refer to 3350 and 3370
Short reference resistance point 3400 (caution)
The overall trend is still bullish!!!
EURUSD 3 TARGETS for selling 3 TOPS. The 5 year cheat-sheet!The EURUSD pair opened the week with a strong rally already due to the fundamentals surrounding the recent Tariff news. The 1W RSI is overbought at 74.00 and it hasn't been that high since January 22 2018. That was a long-term Top for EURUSD that initiated a 2-year downtrend until the March 2020 COVID crash and the start of massive rate hiking.
Even the last two times that the RSI came close to such overbought levels, the pair started a 6-month peak formation pattern with 3 Highs that offered solid short entries before the eventual larger downtrend. Those periods were January 30 2023 - July 17 2023 and August 31 2020 - May 24 2021.
Given that EURUSD is now trading within a long-term Channel Up (blue) and just formed a 1D MA50/ 1W MA50 Bullish Cross, we are closer to High (1) than not, since every time that is formed close to the standard +16.19% rise from the bottom.
For those successive Highs, our long-term sell targets will be 1.12500, 1.13250 and 1.12000 on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level respectively.
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