Harmonic Patterns
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
.
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
SHORT ETH🔷 Setup Summary: SFP + Key Volume Combo
1. Context:
Pattern: Double Top + SFP (Swing Failure Pattern)
Timeframe: Likely M15–H1 (possibly during Asian/European session)
Background: Price breaks previous high slightly (liquidity grab), then sharply reverses — a clear trap.
2. Confirmation:
A clear Key Volume candle appears at the top — signaling market maker action.
A strong rejection candle (pinbar or engulfing) confirms the SFP.
Price fails to hold above the new high — trap confirmed.
3. Entry Strategy:
Entry: After the SFP confirmation candle closes.
Stop Loss: Above the SFP high or Key Volume wick (a “valid” SL, not necessarily tight).
Take Profit:
Short-term: 3R (if trading intra-session).
Long-term: Target demand zone or Daily support if trend supports it.
4. Risk Management (per system guidelines):
Max risk per trade: 1–2% of account.
If setup invalidates: cut the loss immediately, don’t widen SL or overtrade.
BTCUSDT-– Symmetrical Triangle Breakout LoadingBitcoin is currently consolidating inside a Symmetrical Triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs – a classic sign of volatility compression.
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
🔹 Support Holding Strong – bulls defending the zone
🔹 Breakout Expected Soon
🔹 Major Resistance: $110,200
🔹 Breakout Target: $112,000+
Price is coiling up. Break above the triangle = strong bullish continuation likely.
BTC SHORT TP:102,200 18-06-2025Let’s keep it simple: this pump looks fake.
I’m entering SHORT between 104,550 and 105,500, aiming for a target between 101,300 and 102,300. Average RR: 3.4 — solid and clean.
⏱️ Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Estimated duration: 12 to 24 hours
⚠️ Context: Bearish continuation — let’s ride the wave, not the noise.
Use your stop-loss based on your risk strategy. If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Can Crude Oil Spike to 150 USD / bbl ? Scenario Analysis.With Mid East tensions rising and overall unpredictable
situation around Strait of Hormuz, let's review potential
scenarios for the Crude Oil Prices. I've outlined three
scenarios with projected oil prices for each scenario below.
🚨 Market Alert: Israel-Iran Conflict Impact Forecast 📈
🔴 Worst-Case Scenario: Regional War + U.S. Military Involvement
🚢 Oil (Brent): Soars to $150–$200+ if Strait of Hormuz closes
🥇 Gold: Skyrockets to $4,500–$5,000 (safe-haven rush)
₿ Bitcoin: Initial volatility; settles at $80k–$100k
📉 SPX: Crashes to 4,000–4,500
💻 NDX: Drops sharply to 15,000–16,000
🟠 Base-Case Scenario: Protracted Tension, No Major Disruption
🛢 Oil: Stabilizes at elevated $75–$95, occasional spikes
🥇 Gold: Moves higher, trading $3,500–$3,800
₿ Bitcoin: Trades steady, $90k–$110k range
📊 SPX: Pullback moderate, around 5,200–5,500
💻 NDX: Moderately lower, 18,000–19,000 range
🟢 Best-Case Scenario: Diplomatic De-Escalation
🌊 Oil: Eases down to $65–$75
🥇 Gold: Mild decline, holds at $3,300–$3,500
₿ Bitcoin: Positive sentiment, lifts to $100k–$120k
📈 SPX: Slight dip; stays strong near 5,800–6,200
💻 NDX: Minor correction, remains high at 20,000–22,000
BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AUDNZD FORMING CONTINUING DOWNTREND STRUCTUREAUDNZD FORMING CONTINUING DOWNTREND STRUCTURE.
Market is currently trading near the important resistance level and latest High.
Market is showing rejection on breaking the key resistance level.
market may remain bearish bearish trend in upcoming trading sessions.
On lower side market may achieve the targets of 1.07500.
On higher side market may test the resistance level of 1.08400.
AUDCHF - Wait For it!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the flat falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
Moreover, the green zone is a supply.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price.
On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside.
Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target.
I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.
HATUSDT 1-Hour Heikin Ashi Chart Analysis BYBIT:HATUSDT
Analysis:
Recent Trend: The chart shows a sharp price drop recently, with red candles indicating strong selling pressure. 📉
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has fallen below 30, entering oversold territory. This suggests that selling may have been excessive, and a rebound could be possible. 📊
Support: A potential support level can be identified near the current price drop, around 0.00087 USD (based on chart figures). 🔽
Resistance: A possible resistance level could be near the previous trend’s low, around 0.0010-0.0012 USD. 🔼
Possible Targets:
Target 1 (short-term): 0.00095 USD - A small rebound after oversold conditions. 🎯
Target 2 (medium-term): 0.0011 USD - A test of the first resistance level. 🎯
Target 3 (long-term): 0.0015 USD - If a strong bullish recovery occurs after confirmation. 🎯
Set a stop-loss below the support level (e.g., 0.00065 USD) to manage risk. ⚠️
#Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the #Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, with strong support near 103,800 and resistance around 105,100. Price is consolidating tightly, indicating a breakout is near. A bullish breakout above 105,500 could target 110,000, while a breakdown below 103,500 may lead to a drop toward 102,000. Key invalidation lies at 103,500. Wait for volume confirmation before entering —
$COIN 30% Pullback Confirms if we Fakeout Recent 15%+ Rally 🧨 COIN SHORT TRADE IDEA — FAKEOUT TRAP IN PLAY
Ticker: NASDAQ:COIN
Date: June 20, 2025
Thesis: Breakout trap setup — expecting a rug pull / red reversal tomorrow to confirm.
🔍 Context
Price broke above range today with a big +18.8% candle to $295 — but...
Volume spike may signal exhaustion, not strength.
RSI = 68 → near overbought
MACD curling into a bearish cross — same signal preceded the last -30% and -40% drawdowns.
History: Same range-break setups in Dec and Feb collapsed hard (-30 to -40%) over 16–25 days.
💣 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
Entry Trigger:
🔻 Enter short if price closes below $277 tomorrow — confirms breakout trap.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $253 (top of old range)
🎯 Target 2: $235 (mid-range support)
🎯 Target 3: $208 (full breakdown move, matches last 2 cycles)
Stop Loss:
🛑 Above $297 (breakout highs)
Timeframe:
1–3 weeks (16–26 bars historically)
🧠 Bias
Bearish unless bulls hold $280+. If we get a big red daily candle tomorrow, fakeout confirmed — high-probability follow-through expected.
Could the Gold bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,337.35
1st Support: 3,294.91
1st Resistance: 3,413.32
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 73.41
1st Support: 70.19
1st Resistance: 77.67
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6036
1st Support: 0.5965
1st Resistance: 0.6080
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3651
1st Support: 1.3581
1st Resistance: 1.3735
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.