BABYUSDT UPDATE
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: \$0.05396
Target Price: \$0.11277
Target % Gain: 110.04%
Technical Analysis: BABY has broken out of a falling wedge on the 1D chart, signaling a bullish reversal. Price is holding above the breakout trendline with increasing momentum, confirming the setup.
Time Frame: 1D
Harmonic Patterns
#DOGS/USDT#DOGS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.0001370, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.0001330.
Entry price: 0.0001380.
First target: 0.0001422.
Second target: 0.0001490.
Third target: 0.0001562.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
BTC Massive SetupConsolidation for months between 91k and 106k
- Classic Wyckoff setup as an accumulation/distribution
- Price targets of: 121.878 (122k is the popular target) to the upside with 75,827 on the down
- Saylor today put out news to be raising another $2 billion to buy BTC. Either he is going to be able to hold the floor or get washed out
- Trade can be taken with confirmation of breakout on either side pretty easily as momentum will be so strong that being on the wrong side will most likely be an immediate stop out
Gold begins bullish recoveryGold posted a slight gain during Monday's Asian session, driven by renewed safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions between the United States and several key economies, as well as rising geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Russia and Ukraine.
The initial uptick in gold was supported by the announcement of 30% tariffs by Donald Trump on Mexico and the European Union, in addition to harsher levies on Japan, South Korea, and Brazil. The prospect of a renewed wave of protectionism has raised concerns over global economic stability, boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Added to this is geopolitical tension following reports that Trump is planning to send offensive weapons to Ukraine, potentially escalating the conflict with Russia. These factors have reinforced risk-off sentiment in the markets.
However, the strength of the US dollar (DXY +0.1%) and anticipation ahead of the US CPI data, due Tuesday, are capping gold’s upside. Higher-than-expected inflation could reinforce expectations of a tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, which would weigh on precious metals.
After reaching an intraday high of $3,361.42 per ounce, the Asian market closed lower, leaving gold at $3,356.66 per ounce, a level at which it has since consolidated ahead of the European open. This behavior reflects a technical pause in the initial bullish momentum, with the current point of control aligning with that same price zone, suggesting a temporary neutralization of buying pressure. The RSI at 54% confirms a lack of strength, while the MACD indicates a potential upward directional shift with a signal line crossover and a modestly green histogram to start the week. Moving average crossovers show the 50 and 100 SMAs supporting the bullish push that began last Wednesday. Gold’s next decisive move may depend on upcoming US inflation data and developments in geopolitical tensions.
Silver, meanwhile, stood out with a sharp 1.4% surge to $39.493 per ounce, its highest level since 2011, while platinum and copper delivered mixed performances.
This week, gold prices could be driven by the confirmation of elevated US inflation data, which would strengthen the metal's role as a hedge against purchasing power loss, especially if doubts persist regarding the Fed’s policy stance. Added to this are rising geopolitical tensions due to Trump’s potential delivery of offensive weapons to Ukraine, further protectionist measures that could worsen the global trade war, and increased risk aversion should equity markets react negatively. In this context, gold is positioned as one of the main beneficiaries amid growing economic and political uncertainty.
BITCOIN High after High going for the Cycle Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a new All Time High (ATH) today, just north of $123000 and shows absolutely no signs of stopping there!
The brilliantly structured 2.5-year Channel Up (blue) that has been dominating the entirety of the current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 market bottom, has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1W MA50 has been the Cycle's natural Support level since the March 13 2023 bullish break-out, never broken after, just like it has been for the 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle (excluding of course the Black Swan event of the March 2020 COVID crash).
In fact the similarities of the whole 2022 - 2025 Cycle are strong with the 2018 - 2021 Cycle. Similar Bear Cycles of -80% on average, followed by strong Lower Highs break-outs and subsequent consolidations within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, takes us to today with the April 2025 1W MA50 bounce resembling the July 2021 one.
Eventually, that Bullish Leg led to the Cycle's Top a little above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The market seems to be only one step away of completing that past pattern and if it does, BTC may hit $170000 before the Cycle peaks.
Do you think that is a likely scenario after today's new fresh ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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XAUUSD (Gold) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)In continuation :-
The future outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) is a complex interplay of various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment. As of mid-July 2025, several key themes are likely to shape its trajectory:
Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Expectations (Central Bank Actions):
Impact: Gold is a non-yielding asset. Therefore, its attractiveness is highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Higher interest rates (or expectations of them) tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, as investors can earn more from interest-bearing assets like bonds. Conversely, lower rates or a more dovish stance from central banks (like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ) reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing.
Current Context: As of mid-2025, markets are closely watching central bank rhetoric regarding potential rate cuts. If inflation continues to moderate, leading to clearer signals or actual rate cuts, this would likely be a positive catalyst for gold prices. However, if inflation proves stickier or central banks maintain a "higher for longer" policy, gold could face headwinds.
Inflation Outlook:
Impact: Gold has historically been considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value during periods of rising prices.
Current Context: If inflation remains elevated or shows signs of re-accelerating, demand for gold as an inflation hedge could increase, providing support to prices. If inflation falls back significantly to central bank targets, this traditional appeal might lessen somewhat, unless other safe-haven drivers emerge.
U.S. Dollar Strength:
Impact: Gold is primarily priced in U.S. dollars. A stronger U.S. dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers holding other currencies, potentially dampening demand. A weaker dollar has the opposite effect, making gold cheaper and generally supportive of higher gold prices.
Current Context: The dollar's strength is heavily influenced by U.S. interest rate differentials and the relative economic performance of the U.S. versus other major economies. A "risk-off" environment can also lead to dollar strength (as a safe-haven itself), which can create a counteracting force for gold.
Geopolitical Risks and Economic Uncertainty:
Impact: Gold is a classic "safe-haven" asset. In times of increased geopolitical tension, economic instability, financial market turmoil, or escalating conflicts, investor demand for gold typically surges as a store of value.
Current Context: Global geopolitical landscape remains complex, with ongoing regional conflicts, trade disputes, and political uncertainties. Any escalation in these areas would likely contribute to increased safe-haven demand for gold. Similarly, if there are growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession, gold's appeal as a safe haven could strengthen.
Central Bank Gold Demand:
Impact: Central banks globally have been significant buyers of gold in recent years, diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar. Their sustained buying provides a structural floor to gold demand.
Current Context: Continued strong buying by central banks, particularly from emerging economies, is expected to remain a supportive factor for gold prices in the medium to long term.
Overall Future Outlook (Mid-July 2025 Perspective):
The outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) appears cautiously bullish in the medium term, with potential for continued appreciation.
Positive Drivers: The primary drivers are the increasing likelihood of future interest rate cuts (even if gradual), potentially persistent underlying inflation concerns, and the ongoing elevated geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties. Continued strong central bank demand further underpins this outlook.
Potential Headwinds: A significantly stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar (e.g., due to a major global "risk-off" event that drives dollar demand, or robust U.S. economic outperformance leading to delayed rate cuts) could provide a counteracting force. Rapid disinflation could also temper some of gold's appeal.
In summary, Gold is likely to remain an important asset in investor portfolios, acting as both an inflation hedge and a safe haven. Its price action will be particularly sensitive to central bank policy shifts and global stability.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
US100 (Nasdaq 100) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)The US100, which is heavily concentrated in technology and growth companies, has been a significant driver of overall market performance in recent times. Its future trajectory is intricately linked to a combination of macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and evolving technological narratives.
Key Factors Shaping the Outlook:
Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics:
Cooling Inflation: If inflation continues to moderate (as indicated by CPI, PCE, and other economic data), central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, will have more flexibility to consider easing monetary policy.
Interest Rate Expectations: Lower interest rates are generally a boon for growth stocks. They reduce the cost of borrowing for companies and increase the present value of their future earnings, which makes their (often higher) valuations more palatable. Conversely, any resurgence in inflation that forces a "higher for longer" interest rate stance could put significant downward pressure on the US100. As of mid-2025, the market has largely priced in the expectation of potential rate cuts later in 2025 or early 2026, but this remains highly data-dependent and subject to change with each new economic report.
C orporate Earnings and AI Enthusiasm:
Tech Earnings Season: The performance of the major tech titans within the Nasdaq 100 (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) during their quarterly earnings reports will be critical. Continued strong earnings beats, particularly from companies that are leading the charge in Artificial Intelligence (AI), will reinforce investor confidence and support higher valuations.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Narrative: The intense excitement and significant investment surrounding AI remain a powerful tailwind for the US100. Companies demonstrating clear pathways to monetize AI, or those establishing dominant positions in AI infrastructure and applications, are likely to continue seeing robust performance. However, any signs of the AI narrative losing steam, or a perception of an AI "bubble," could trigger profit-taking or a broader market correction.
Economic Growth and Consumer Behavior:
U.S. Economic Health: A resilient U.S. economy, characterized by healthy GDP growth and a strong labor market, provides a conducive environment for corporate revenues. A "soft landing" scenario (where inflation is tamed without triggering a recession) is the most favorable outcome for the US100.
Consumer Spending: Strong consumer confidence and sustained spending directly benefit sectors like e-commerce, software services, and consumer electronics, which are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100.
Valuation Considerations:
While many Nasdaq 100 companies have delivered impressive earnings growth, their valuations (e.g., P/E ratios) are, for some, elevated compared to historical averages. This implies that there might be less margin for error in future earnings reports or unexpected shifts in the economic landscape. A "valuation reset" could occur if growth projections fail to materialize or if interest rates remain higher than currently anticipated.
Geopolitical and Global Factors:
Global Trade & Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade dynamics, geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China relations, regional conflicts), and potential supply chain disruptions can introduce unforeseen volatility and impact global economic growth, which, in turn, affects the predominantly international-facing tech sector.
Overall Future Outlook (from a mid-July 2025 perspective):
The US100's future outlook appears cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by the enduring strength of underlying technology trends and the transformative potential of AI. The index has demonstrated remarkable resilience and continues to be favored by growth-oriented investors.
Upside Potential: Could be fueled by sustained strong earnings from its tech giants, especially those leading in AI, coupled with clear indications of forthcoming interest rate cuts.
Downside Risks: The index remains highly susceptible to shifts in interest rate expectations (e.g., if inflation proves stickier than anticipated), any disappointments in high-profile tech earnings, or a broader economic downturn. Given its concentration in high-growth, high-beta stocks, the US100 is prone to more significant fluctuations in both upward and downward market moves compared to broader, more diversified indices.
Investors and traders will be closely monitoring key economic data (inflation, employment), central bank communications, and the performance of bellwether tech companies for crucial clues about the index's direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work
Gold prices are under pressure at $3,380 todayGold prices are under pressure at $3,380 today
Safe-haven demand rises
Trump announced that he will impose a 30% tariff on EU and Mexican goods from August 1, and a 20% to 50% tariff on Canada, Japan, Brazil and other countries. The market is worried about the escalation of the trade war, pushing up gold prices.
Gold prices soared to $3,374 in the Asian session today (the highest since June 23).
Fed policy expectations
The minutes of the June FOMC meeting showed that there were differences within the Fed on the issue of interest rate cuts, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 93.3%. Market expectations for interest rate cuts have cooled, limiting the rise in gold prices.
US dollar trend
Last Friday, the US dollar index closed up 0.3% at 97.85, approaching the 98 mark, which puts pressure on gold in the short term.
3. Technical analysis
Short-term trend
Support: $3,340-3,350 (21-day moving average), $3,326 (50-day moving average).
Resistance level: $3377 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level), $3400 (psychological barrier).
MACD golden cross formed, indicating that there is still room for growth.
Key observation points
If the gold price stands above $3377, it may challenge $3400;
If it falls below $3340, it may test the support level of $3320-3300.
Comprehensive analysis from the current sentiment:
Day trading ideas: Try to go long at a low price, and treat it with a volatile long-term idea. Today's gold price is likely to break through 3380, and today's target is likely to be 3400+
Fourth, pay attention to the market outlook
Trump issued a policy statement on Russia today (may involve new sanctions).
US June CPI data (released on Tuesday, affecting the Fed's policy expectations).
Subsequent development of the trade war (the EU and Mexico may take countermeasures).
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Livermore’s Speculative Blueprint: Are We Near the Final Act?Livermore’s Speculative Blueprint: Are We Near the Final Act?
Bitcoin’s price action since 2022 eerily mirrors Jesse Livermore’s legendary “Speculative Chart,” a timeless model of market psychology and price behavior. The attached overlay illustrates how BTC has respected nearly every phase—accumulation, markup, reaction, and reaccumulation—leading us to what might be the most explosive stage yet: the vertical move from Point 8 to 10.
📈 The Setup So Far:
• Points 1 to 7: Clear accumulation and steady breakout patterns within a widening mouth structure—exactly as Livermore described.
• Point 8 (Now?): BTC breaks out of the upper resistance line, aligning with Livermore’s “all-important action” area.
• What’s Next? Point 9 and 10—typically a euphoric, parabolic blow-off top before distribution sets in.
🧠 Psychology Meets Price
Each leg of this journey isn’t just about price—it’s about crowd behavior:
• From fear to disbelief (Points 1–3),
• Hope to confidence (Points 4–6),
• And now possibly greed turning into euphoria (Points 8–10).
🕰️ Historical Echoes?
If BTC truly follows Livermore’s script, we may be entering the final markup before the inevitable distribution and reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
• 200K+ may represent the speculative climax.
• A rejection from that zone could initiate Points 11–14, characterized by distribution and eventual breakdown.
• Long-term holders: brace for volatility.
• Traders: this is where legends are made—or unmade.
⸻
📌 Final Thought:
This isn’t just TA. It’s a battle between emotion and logic, euphoria and fear, and it’s playing out on the grandest digital stage of our time. Will Bitcoin complete the Livermore pattern? Bookmark this chart, follow the story, and let’s find out.
127KMorning folks,
So, BTC shows even better performance that we thought, although it obviously something stands behind, this is not market-natural motion. Anyway, we consider 127K level as all-time nearest target that stands on monthly chart.
If any pullback starts (BTC now is at daily overbought and near Yearly Resistance Pivot), we keep an eye on 117.2K and 113.5K levels to decide on long entry
EURUSD possible long from 1.1610 area for 1.1730#eurusd market rallied 1.1450 - 1.1640. then consolidation between 1.1580-1640 area. Institutions put more buy orders and price rallied again after bases out and reached upto 1.1830 area. Now market sell off / retracement to test demand area to fill the remaining unfilled order for another leg higher. Demand zone: 1.1610-1.1590. stop loss: 1.1565, target: 1.1730. in weekly and daily chart market forming distribution shape for big sell opportunity.
EURNZD Short Swing TradeOANDA:EURNZD Short trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
This is good trade, don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader, this is good trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Volatile Times for GBPJPY: What’s Going On Behind the Moves?Good morning, Guys,
I’m anticipating a new short opportunity on GBPJPY once the pair reaches my sell zone level. From there, my target is set at 197.934.
Every like from you is what truly motivates me to keep sharing these insights.
Massive thanks to everyone who shows love and support!