Harmonic Patterns
RUSSELL 2000 One last Resistance remains before mega rally.Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last analysis (October 22 2024, see chart below) exactly on the 1D MA50 and within 5 weeks it hit our 2465 Target:
The price almost immediately pulled back, showing the efficiency of our Target placement and the pattern that has now prevailed is the Channel Up that started more than a year ago (October 27 2023).
The recent Higher Low of this pattern was exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern's bottom. The 1D RSI showcased a Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows) against the price's Lower Lows as an early buy signal, which was confirmed on the January 14 2024 1D MACD Bullish Cross. As you can see, all Bullish Crosses below a 0.0 MACD, have been technical buy signals.
What remains is for the price to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the level that is causing a rejection today. Once recovered, we expect the index to complete at least a +21% rally from the recent bottom, the minimum of the previous 3 rallies, and target 2600.
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The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!As I mentioned, Bitcoin reached its target and then the price corrected. Now until the end of the week, the market is very risky, and I think the price can rise to $107K.
Previous analysis
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Give me some energy !!
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#ASPI Egyptian stock#ASPI time frame 1 DAY
Created a Bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level at 0.25
Stop loss 0.24
First target at 0.27
Second target 0.284
Third target 0.295
If prices close up 0.31 then there anther target at 03.328
MACD created a positive diversion that may support our idea.
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
Gold Buy Signal: Bullish Momentum Alert! The gold market is on 🔥 with strong bullish momentum dominating the charts! 📈 We’ve identified a powerful upward channel that’s guiding prices higher, supported by impeccable price action setups.
Key Highlights:
✨ Price is breaking key levels with confidence, signaling continued strength.
✨ Uptrend intact, with no signs of slowing down.
✨ Perfect entry opportunity to ride the wave as the market pushes toward new highs.
📌 Don’t miss out on this golden opportunity—secure your position now and capitalize on the ongoing rally! 💰
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EURAUD The 1D MA50 is the sell signalThe EURAUD pair had been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 17 2023 High. At the moment it has made a direct Lower High (December 27 2024) at the top of the pattern but the rejection is contained above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
That is the sell confirmation level as whenever this broke after a Lower High, we had a bearish signal. As a result, wait for a bearish break-out and then sell, targeting the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) at 1.61000.
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
This currency pair, after its recent decline, managed to break its downward trendline and move higher. It is now expected that the price will pull back to the broken trendline before resuming its upward movement, potentially reaching the specified resistance levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Understanding Average True Range (ATR): A Measure of Market VolaThe Average True Range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator that measures market volatility. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., the ATR provides traders with insights into price fluctuations, helping them set stop-loss levels, identify breakout opportunities, and assess market conditions.
What is ATR?
ATR represents the average range of price movement over a specified period, capturing the level of volatility rather than the direction of price movement. A higher ATR indicates greater volatility, while a lower ATR suggests a calmer market.
How is ATR Calculated?
The ATR calculation involves three steps:
1. Determine the True Range (TR):
The True Range is the greatest of:
- The current high minus the current low.
- The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
- The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
2. Calculate the Average True Range:
- ATR is the moving average of the True Range over a specified period (typically 14 periods).
How to Use ATR in Trading
1.Set Stop-Loss Levels:
- Use ATR to place stop-loss orders at a distance that accounts for market volatility. For instance, set a stop-loss at 1.5x the ATR below the entry price in an uptrend.
2.Identify Breakouts:
- Compare current ATR values to historical ATR levels. A sudden spike in ATR often signals a breakout, indicating increased volatility and potential price movement.
3. Determine Market Conditions:
- High ATR values suggest volatile markets, often seen during major news events or market openings.
- Low ATR values indicate a period of consolidation or range-bound conditions.
4. Position Sizing:
- ATR can help calculate position sizes based on volatility, allowing traders to adjust their risk exposure accordingly.
Strengths of ATR
-Versatility:Can be applied to any asset class or timeframe.
- Adaptability:Works in trending and range-bound markets to measure volatility.
- Enhances Risk Management:Helps traders set realistic stop-loss levels based on market conditions.
Limitations of ATR
-Lagging Indicator:ATR is based on historical data and doesn’t predict future price movements.
-No Directional Bias:ATR measures volatility, not the direction of the trend.
-Context Needed:ATR values alone don’t provide actionable signals without additional analysis.
Best Practices for Using ATR
1. Combine with Other Indicators:
- Pair ATR with trend-following tools like moving averages or MACD to validate signals.
2.Adjust Periods:
- The default 14-period setting works well for most markets, but traders can adjust it based on their strategy and timeframe.
3.Use with Breakout Strategies:
- Monitor ATR spikes to identify potential breakout opportunities.
Example of ATR in Action
Imagine Ethereum (ETH) has an ATR value of $50 on a daily chart. A trader planning to enter a long position at $1,800 might set a stop-loss at $1,725 ($1,800 - 1.5x ATR) to account for typical price fluctuations. As the ATR increases to $75 during a volatile period, the trader adjusts their stop-loss level to $1,687.50 ($1,800 - 1.5x ATR), ensuring it reflects the heightened volatility.
Conclusion
The Average True Range is an invaluable tool for traders seeking to understand market volatility and manage risk effectively. While it doesn’t predict price direction, its ability to quantify volatility makes it a key component of any robust trading strategy. Practice incorporating ATR into your analysis to refine your approach and improve decision-making.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD)Bias: Bullish
This idea is based round the idea of a long ranging period, which then leads to a large push higher.
bias change
If bias was to change, then a push below 92-90k would be expected.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
NZDCAD Bullish Reversal: Buy at 0.618 FibNZDCAD shows potential for bullish continuation after a bearish rally, with a bullish divergence double bottom pattern and a break of its neckline. The price has broken a long-term trendline and formed a higher high without divergence, now moving in an ascending channel. A buy opportunity may arise at the lower boundary of the channel, around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup for continued bullish movement.
TESLA (TSLA)BIAS: BULLISH
After the reversal, there was a push touching ATH and now looking for support on the previous...
To change bearish bias:
A push below 360-300p/s would be expected... Strong support around 260.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
FTSE (UK100)BIAS: BULLISH
The FTSE(UK100) still ranging between 8400 and 8000... Break range and expect a big move (9K or retest 7800).
That rejection of 8100 makes me bullish bias X 2
If bias was to change
A solid push and resistance found around 8100-8000 would be expected.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.