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Harmonic Patterns

US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span. This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders: Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond? 🔻 Key Observations: Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure. Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines. Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior. Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
FPMARKETS:US100
by Trader1mran
Ethereum - The moment of truth!🔬Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) trades at a key breakout level: 🔎Analysis summary: Ethereum - after consolidating for the past four years - is once again retesting the previous all time high. And before we will witness another bearish rejection, Ethereum has the chance to finally break out of the long term triangle pattern. It's time for us to start praying. 📝Levels to watch: $4.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
3
Xrp - This is the bullrun breakout!🔑Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) breaks the triangle now: 🔎Analysis summary: After the recent bullish break and retest, Xrp managed to already rally another +100%. This is a clear indication that bulls are still totally in control of cryptos and especially Xrp. It all just comes down to the all time breakout, which will then lead to a final parabolic rally. 📝Levels to watch: $3.0 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12
US10Y1. Labor Market Data Average Hourly Earnings m/m: Actual: 0.3% Forecast: 0.3% Previous: 0.2% Interpretation: In-line with forecast and slightly above the prior period, indicating stable wage growth. This suggests inflationary pressures from labor costs remain steady, not accelerating unexpectedly. Non-Farm Employment Change: Actual: 73,000 Forecast: 106,000 Previous: 14,000 Interpretation: A clear downside surprise; job gains are well below expectations, and while up from a low previous period, this points to softening labor demand—an early sign of slack in the job market. Unemployment Rate: Actual: 4.2% Forecast: 4.2% Previous: 4.1% Interpretation: Matches the forecast but marks a slight uptick, reinforcing mild labor market weakness. Fed View: The Fed will interpret softer than expected job growth and a higher unemployment rate as evidence of easing labor market pressures—a dovish signal that could support future policy easing if the trend continues. 2. Manufacturing and Industry Final Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global): Actual: 49.8 Forecast: 49.7 Previous: 49.5 Interpretation: Slightly above forecast but still below the 50 threshold, indicating contraction persists but is less severe. ISM Manufacturing PMI: Actual: 48.0 Forecast: 49.5 Previous: 49.0 Interpretation: Below both forecast and prior; contraction in the manufacturing sector is deepening. ISM Manufacturing Prices: Actual: 64.8 Forecast: 69.9 Previous: 69.7 Interpretation: Lower than both forecast and previous, signaling input price pressures are easing—positive for the Fed’s inflation outlook. Fed View: Ongoing contraction in manufacturing and lower input prices support the argument that inflation risks are cooling from the supply side, allowing for a more dovish stance. 3. Consumer and Construction Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: Actual: 61.7 Forecast: 62.0 Previous: 61.8 Interpretation: Slightly below forecast, little change—consumer confidence remains relatively subdued. Construction Spending m/m: Actual: -0.4% Forecast: 0.0% Previous: -0.4% Interpretation: Same as previous, misses forecast—ongoing weakness in construction and real estate investment. Fed View: Weak consumer sentiment and persistent soft construction data reinforce slower demand-side dynamics, an argument in favor of pausing or even cutting rates. 4. Inflation Expectations Revised UoM Inflation Expectations: Actual: 4.5% Forecast: Not directly listed (prior 4.4%) Interpretation: Ticks up slightly, indicating that consumers expect inflation to remain higher. This could temper the Fed’s willingness to cut rates too soon—if expectations become unanchored, the Fed may have to stay hawkish. Overall Fed Interpretation Labor market: Softer than forecast, unemployment up—dovish for rates. Manufacturing/industry: Slight improvement in PMI, but ISM shows contraction; input prices are easing—dovish. Consumer/construction: Little improvement, still weak—dovish. Inflation expectations: Up slightly—potential hawkish caution. Net result: The data is mostly dovish—except for the higher inflation expectation which remains a concern. The Fed will likely see this data as supporting a “watchful pause” and adopt a more flexible stance: no immediate rate cut, but the case for easing is growing unless inflation expectations keep drifting higher. Sustained weak jobs or further easing in prices would increase the chances of a rate cut in coming months. Elevated inflation expectations will keep the Fed cautious about acting too quickly. #DOLLAR #US10Y #STOCKS #BONDS #YIELD
TVC:US10Y
by Shavyfxhub
“Exactly What I Saw” promises value and transparency. In today's analysis, I’ve identified a clear completion of Wave D, securing a 3% ROI across just two trades – all before the move unfolded. 🔍 What’s inside this breakdown? • Multi-timeframe analysis: Weekly ➝ Daily ➝ 4H ➝ 1H • Elliott Wave structure with confluence zones • Trade psychology at key turning points • Exact entry & exit insights explained • Risk management for consistent returns --- ⚡ Highlights: Precise reversal spotted before it was obvious No indicator clutter – just clean, confident price action Part of my 100-day breakdown series: real, raw, and repeatable setups --- 👣 Day 7 of 100 is just the beginning. Tap Follow to stay ahead of the market – one wave at a time. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #Forex #TradingViewUK #SwingTrading #PriceAction #RiskReward #FXMindset #ForexTradersIndia #ForexEducation
Short
by Greenfireforex
1
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by Derry_Trades
1
USDT Dominance – Potential Wave F Reversal? We are tracking a NeoWave Diametric formation (7-leg corrective structure: A–B–C–D–E–F–G) on the USDT Dominance chart. Recently, price reached the projected resistance zone of wave E, and early signs of reversal are emerging. ⸻ 🧠 Structural Analysis: • The structure has developed with alternating legs in price and time, consistent with the symmetrical diametric rules. • Wave E has likely completed, reacting from prior supply and resistance. • A pullback from here can mark the beginning of Wave F, which in diametrics tends to retrace significantly toward the internal balance of the structure. ⸻ 🔍 What to Watch: • Confirmation of bearish intent via a break of internal supports or lower-timeframe BOS. • Possible retracement targets: 4.2% → 3.95%, depending on momentum. • A decisive break below 4.00% would reinforce the wave F scenario. ⸻ ⚠️ Implications for the Crypto Market: A drop in USDT Dominance typically indicates rotation into risk assets (alts/BTC/ETH). However, context matters — if the drop happens during a general market sell-off, it may reflect risk-off unwinding into fiat, not risk-on rotation. ⸻ 🔄 Strategy Note: • Avoid premature shorts or longs; wait for structure to confirm. • Watch for smart money traps (e.g., false breakouts or liquidity grabs) around the recent highs. ⸻ 📌 This is a high-risk zone for entering long USDT.D — be cautious with stablecoin bias. 📊 Analysis by CryptoPilot – Precision through structure.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by CryptoPilot
1
Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out. This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone. As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeCraft_FX
Bullish Idea on APPLNASDAQ:AAPL / Lovley day its been a while, am planing to share my views on the markets atleast once a week from now going forward. Basically on this bias idea above here @LutthMage we are leaning more on long term holding, WITH AN ADVANTAGE OF TAKING SHORT TERM TRADES BASED ON OUR LONG TERM INVESTMENT IDEA WE ARE SURE YOU WILL UNDERSTAND AS TIME GOES BY. NOW LET THE GAMES BEGIN``` On the chart above we a basically bullish due to 4 reasons 1. The trend is our friend its currently bullish, because AAPL is BREAKING STRUCTURE NO VISIBLE Change of character as of yet 2. We got a widening channel currenly bouncing of the lower level line of the channel. 3. Price is playing around a Bullish FVG 4. APPLE JUST CREATED SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY. We will keep you posted on the short term trades we execute based on this bullish bias on APPL, ofcourse only if they do appear for now we sit and do the hardest thing to do wich is NOTHING. AS TIME GOES BY YOU WILL CHARACTERIZE A WASH RINSE AND REPEAT PROCESS FROM US @LutthMage NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by LutthMage
Gold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing StopGold Price Target: 3380-3400+, Set a Trailing Stop As shown in Figure 4h: Gold finally rallied this weekend. Despite recent heavy losses for long positions, the past two days have been encouraging. We ultimately managed to successfully buy the dip in the 3280-3300 range and recover all our losses. Gold prices continue to rise, and everyone is asking if it's time to sell. Now is the critical time to exit. We must acknowledge one fact: Gold currently presents a huge opportunity. Of course, the risks are also increasing. At times like these, I always emphasize that the best approach is to set a 10-point trailing stop. Even if gold prices soar, we can move with them. This non-farm payroll data was a huge disappointment. It was a truly positive surprise for gold. The market expected 110,000 new jobs, but the result was a disappointing 73,000, a decrease of half from the previous month. The market went into a tizzy after the outperformance. But even more shocking news is yet to come: Non-farm payrolls for May and June were revised downward by a combined 258,000. This means the June gain was revised downward from 140,000 to 14,000. The May gain was abruptly revised downward from 140,000 to 19,000. The strong data of the past two months was completely false. Market followers have become the "clowns" of the Fed and Trump. Now you understand why everyone praised Powell's hawkish speech two days ago. Because Powell said: "Only if there is a severe decline in employment will we consider cutting interest rates." Just this Wednesday, some good non-farm payroll data was released. This undoubtedly gave the market a false impression. Everyone believed that a rate cut was impossible, and the probability of a September cut had dropped to 40%. However, today's poor non-farm payroll data, combined with revisions to May and June data, revealed the truth. The job market has been dismal over the past quarter. The market reacted quickly, and gold prices soared on this sentiment. My advice is to buy gold at a low price and hold on. For investors who have successfully bought in the 3280-3300 level in recent days, I recommend setting a 10-15 pip trailing stop-loss. Gold prices are likely to continue their upward trend next Monday. Our next target is above 3380-3400 points.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa-2025