Harmonic Patterns
euraud analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Has gold peaked and turned bearish? Trend analysisGold will focus on the impact of non-agricultural data. At that time, there will be large short-term fluctuations. In the 4H cycle, the weak shock will remain below the middle track. The upper pressure will remain at 3118 and 3135. The short-term weakness will also be accompanied by repeated detours. Therefore, the rebound will be mainly shorted, and the lower support will remain at 3080 and 3055.
Recommendation: Short gold near 3135, stop loss at 3143, target 3120, 3110!
Has gold peaked and gone short?So has gold peaked and turned bearish? Yesterday, it rebounded after a sharp drop. Although it fell back, it still closed above 3100, indicating that the market is not weak and has not completely turned bearish. Although the daily line turned negative yesterday, it closed with a long lower shadow and did not fall below the short-term moving average. We can only see long adjustments or corrections. There are generally two types of corrections: time correction and price correction. Time correction is to exchange time for space, and the price does not change much; while price correction is to complete the correction with rapid price fluctuations, mostly in the form of a high-rise fall or a bottom-out rebound. Yesterday's trend was a price correction.
ETH - UpdateETH has been "crashing" lately but I think it is in the end state of a long rally. In fact I think we are in the last stage of Wyckoff distribution and we could see a major rally soon. Looking at the 300 SMA we bottomed there in June 22 and if we hold there, it could be the spring board for a massive rally to new highs.
Also I think GLD will top in a week or so which will be good for BTC and ALTS.
Not investment advice. Please like and share and leave a comment.
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
CopperXCUUSD
- Demand Zone
- Change of Characteristics
- Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
- FVG
- Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves
Gold's counter draw 3115-18 is still an excellent short spotGold fell after hitting a high of 3135, but failed to stand firm at the 3121 real level. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating significant selling pressure from above. The current key watershed is in the 3115-3121 area: if the closing price falls below this position, the lower side will test the strong support band of 3085, and the medium-term trend may turn to shock adjustment. Pay attention to the 3115-3118 pullback opportunity, and you can arrange short orders in place. There are two points to note: First, if the price fails to quickly pull back to 3115, it may accelerate downward; second, if it unexpectedly recovers 3115, it is necessary to adjust the strategy. Gold operation suggestions: short in the rebound 3115-3118 area, stop loss 3125, target 3085.
7 April Nifty50 important level trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👆Gap up open 22920 above & 10m hold after positive trade target 23020, 23130
👆Gap up open 22920 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22860, 22823, 22709
👆Gap down open 22862 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22918, 23018
👆Gap down open 22862 below 10 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22818, 22709
⚡big gapdown open 22709 above hold 1st positive trade view
⚡big Gapup opening 23020 below nigetive trade view
Tep . Market new base hi carefully
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me
WTI / OIL PoV - Break Point 65$ / 62$ / 47$ LONG The price of oil has recently undergone a significant retracement, dropping to its lowest levels in the last three months. This decline has been influenced by several factors, including trade tariff policies and decisions made by OPEC+.
In March 2025, the price of Brent crude fell below $70, touching a low of $69.76, its lowest since September. In New York, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost 1.64%, reaching $67.24. New tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on imports from Canada and Mexico have fueled uncertainty about international trade, raising concerns that global economic slowdown might cause oil demand to fall behind supply.
Additionally, OPEC+ decided to increase production by 138,000 barrels per day in April, with the goal of reaching a production level of 2.2 million barrels per day by 2026. This decision contributed to an oversupply that could negatively affect prices, especially if economic growth slows.
Trade tariffs have had a direct impact on the oil market. In February 2025, China imposed a 10% tariff on U.S. crude oil in response to U.S. tariffs, contributing to the drop in oil prices to their lowest levels of the year. Additionally, U.S. crude oil inventories increased beyond expectations, indicating further weakness in demand.
Geopolitical tensions, such as the U.S. proposals to take control of Gaza and the intention to strengthen sanctions on Iran, have added further uncertainty to the market, affecting consumer and investor confidence.
Regarding the price levels you’ve identified for potential purchases, it's important to note that the oil market is influenced by a combination of geopolitical, economic, and supply factors. The support levels at $65, $62, and $57 that you've pointed out may represent significant technical levels, but it’s crucial to monitor geopolitical developments and trade policies that can affect price volatility. It is advisable to consult up-to-date sources and market analysis before making investment decisions.
aggresive sell set up 3054 APRIL 4 2025
🚀 ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADING PLAN – APRIL 4, 2025
WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🏦💰🔥
⸻
📊 Market Overview
• Current Price: $3,103.825
• POC (Point of Control): $3,128.059 (Above price, acting as resistance)
• Premium Zone: Above $3,128 - Heavy Sell Zone
• Equilibrium Zone: Around $3,100 - Neutral Price Zone
• Discount Zone: Below $3,080 - Buy Interest
⸻
🏛 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity
• Smart Money Selling: Price rejected from premium ($3,128), respecting major institutional sell zones.
• Liquidity Sweeps: Multiple liquidity grabs above $3,128, institutions collected stop orders.
• Volume Delta: Heavy selling pressure confirmed after sweep. (💥)
• Order Blocks: Bearish order blocks holding below $3,128.
Institutions are currently DISTRIBUTING and selling Gold at premium. 🏦📉
⸻
📰 News Headlines & Sentiment
• Gold Hit New All-Time Highs but now retracing after tariff news (Trump tariffs).
• Market Sentiment: Switching from Risk-Off ➔ Risk-On (DXY rising slightly, equities bouncing)
• FED Influence: No emergency cuts, hawkish Fed tone lately = Negative for Gold
• Geopolitical Tension: Mild, no extreme uncertainty.
Conclusion: Bearish bias short-term. Gold is losing momentum after hitting peaks. ⚡️
⸻
✅ Technical Indicators Check
Indicator Reading Verdict
RSI (7) Mid-zone, slightly bending downward 📉 Sell Bias
MACD Bearish crossover confirmed 🔻 Sell Bias
50 EMA vs 200 EMA 50 EMA starting to slope down (momentum loss) 📉 Sell Bias
Fibonacci (from low to high) Price retraced below 50% - bearish retracement 🚨 Sell Bias
VWAP Price below VWAP 🚫 Sell Bias
Volume Selling volume dominant after liquidity sweep 💣 Sell Bias
⸻
⚡ Execution Plan
🔴 SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY):
• Sell Now: $3,103.5 - $3,104.5 Zone ✅
• Stop-Loss: $3,110 (Above equilibrium + stop hunt protection) ❌
• Take-Profit 1: $3,092 (Previous weak low) 🎯
• Take-Profit 2: $3,080 (Discount zone boundary) 🏁
• Take-Profit 3 (Final): $3,054 (Major liquidity cluster) 🚀
Risk-Reward Ratio:
• Minimum 3:1 (PERFECT Institutional Trading Standard) 🏦✅
⸻
🔥 FINAL VERDICT:
Decision Action Confidence
SELL 📉 Sell now or on minor pullbacks 80% HIGH PROBABILITY 🌟
Institutions are selling. Momentum is fading. No strong bullish reversal yet.
This is a classic premium distribution phase!
⸻
🚀 LET’S MILK THE MARKET – ONE STRATEGIC MOVE AT A TIME!
TRADE SMART, EXECUTE SHARP, DOMINATE THE MARKET! 🏦💰📈🔥
⸻
Would you also like me to prepare a ready-to-go text that you can copy-paste into your trading journal for today’s execution record?
(Also, I can give you a contingency plan if price suddenly spikes or news hits!)
Would you want that too? 🚀✨
ksclFinance minister Nirmala Sitharaman anounced that six-year mission on high-yielding seeds will be launched to boost pulses output
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets.
As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals.
The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets:
- Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average).
- Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence).
- Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”).
Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline.
Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity.
This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
Risk Can be Taken at Re-test of Breakout Level.Cup & Handle Formation.
Breakout from the main Resistance level
around 25.
Possible Targets can be around 30 - 31.
Breaking 23 will bring more Selling Pressure.
Apple - All This Was Expected!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) perfectly plays out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Apple perfectly retested the rising channel resistance trendline and has been creating the expected bearish rejection. This could perfectly form the next all time high break and retest, which would eventually lead to another significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $190
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GALAUSDT 1WGALA ~ 1W Analysis
#GALA Buy gradually from here if you still have a Conviction on this coin with a short -term target of at least 20%+.
AAVEUSDT 3DAAVE ~ 3D Analysis
#AAVE Buy from this after successfully testing this support with a short -term target of at least 10%+.
Bearish drop?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 31.91
1st Support: 30.92
1st Resistance: 32.68
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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$SOXL $SOXX BOTTOMED (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)An ascending triangle is a bullish breakout pattern that occurs when the price breaks through the upper horizontal trendline with increasing volume. The upper trendline is horizontal, showing nearly identical highs that create a resistance level. Meanwhile, the lower trendline slopes upward, indicating higher lows as buyers gradually increase their bids. Eventually, buyers become impatient and push the price above the resistance level, triggering further buying and resuming the uptrend. The upper trendline, which previously acted as resistance, then becomes a support level.
Semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX are crucial to the United States for several reasons:
Technological Backbone: Semiconductors power essential technologies like smartphones, computers, cars, and medical devices. They are integral to almost everything with an on/off switch. The semiconductor industry aka NASDAQ:SOXX significantly contributes to the U.S. economy. It supports millions of jobs and drives innovation in various sectors, including artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and clean energy.
Semiconductors are vital for national security. They are used in military systems, aircraft, weapons, and the electric grid, making them critical for defense and infrastructure. Maintaining a strong semiconductor industry helps the U.S. stay competitive globally so BUY AMEX:SOXL , $SOXX. The CHIPS and Science Act, for example, aims to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, create jobs, and support American innovation. Strengthening the domestic semiconductor supply chain reduces dependency on foreign sources, enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains.
BUY NOW AND HOLD
S&P 500 - Elliott Wave Bearish BreakdownThis S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) daily chart highlights a potential bearish Elliott Wave structure following rejection from a key resistance zone.
- The market encountered strong resistance near the 5,600 level, leading to a sharp decline.
- A five-wave impulsive bearish structure appears to be forming, with Waves (1) and (2) already completed.
- If this pattern continues, Waves (3), (4), and (5) could drive prices lower, targeting key support levels in the coming weeks.
Traders should watch for confirmation of Wave (3) acceleration, as it is typically the strongest wave in an impulse. A break below recent lows could confirm further downside, while a strong bounce from lower levels may indicate a correction or trend reversal.
Risk management remains crucial, as volatility can increase during corrective and impulsive waves. Keep an eye on macroeconomic factors and technical confluences for additional confirmation.
AAPL - support & resistant areas for today April 4 2025The key support and resistance levels for AAPL today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target:
Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up.
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