Harmonic Patterns
ALGOUSDT - bullish pennanthi traders,
Recently we shared this idea where we expect the price of ALGO to rise:
There's not much changed but the price has been forming the bullish pennant.
Anyway, all the ways lead to 0,70$
Patience required. However, in March or April, ALGO should be traded around 0,70$.
GOOD luck
Is SWARMUSDT Ready for a Breakout?
SWARMUSDT has entered a fascinating phase, trading at $0.11341, far below its historical peak of $0.62689—a stunning 81.91% deviation from the highs recorded just 18 days ago. Yet, with the asset rebounding 25.1% above its recent low, the question arises: Is this the calm before the storm?
Current technicals suggest a potential setup worth watching. The RSI sits at 36.39, hinting at oversold conditions, while a series of VSA Buy Patterns on recent candles signal accumulation at these levels. With the MA50 trending downward to $0.13403, SWARMUSDT remains under pressure—but could this be the catalyst for a breakout as bulls test new resistance?
In a market swayed by macroeconomic shifts and investor sentiment, now is the time to stay vigilant. Is this your opportunity to ride the wave, or will the market pull back for one last consolidation? Keep an eye on this volatile mover—every second counts.
Roadmap of SWARMUSDT: From Signal to Momentum
Dive into the timeline of recent SWARMUSDT patterns to decode how the asset’s price movements align with key signals. Let’s analyze the most relevant patterns that hit the mark and proved their predictive power.
VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 25, 2025
Direction: Buy
The opening price of $0.11491 and closing at $0.1109 didn’t fully deliver immediate upside action. While the pattern aimed for a bullish push, the subsequent VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st on January 24 also signaled Buy—validating a short-lived reversal that held potential. Prices stayed in a tight range but hinted at incoming accumulation.
Increased Sell Volumes: January 24, 2025
Direction: Sell
Here’s where things get spicy. The asset opened at $0.141 but sharply closed at $0.12597—a classic example of heavy sell-side pressure. This sell pattern succeeded in directing the market downward, confirming a clear alignment with the downward trajectory.
VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025
Direction: Buy
This time, the Buy signal partially delivered. Opening at $0.15108, the price closed only marginally lower at $0.15101. However, it’s the interaction with the subsequent Buy Volumes pattern on January 22 that confirmed this pattern's intent, as the price rallied from $0.2026 to $0.22059—an undeniable proof of accumulation feeding the fire.
Increased Buy Volumes: January 22, 2025
Direction: Buy
This is the breakout you dream of. The market opened at $0.2026 and closed strongly at $0.22059, proving the upward bias was no fluke. What followed was a confirmation that this momentum marked a reversal point, supported by the next sequence.
VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd: January 21, 2025
Direction: Sell
The bears momentarily gained control here, with the price falling from $0.17216 to $0.1641. This retracement set the stage for the next accumulation phase, aligning perfectly with the Buy Volumes pattern that came to fruition soon after.
Buy Volumes Takeover: January 21, 2025
Direction: Buy
Boom. The market rebounded, closing at $0.17529 after an opening of $0.16161, signaling a firm buyer's grasp. This aligned perfectly with the trendline’s trajectory and set up a bullish consolidation period.
Key Takeaways for Traders
The Buy Volumes pattern consistently validated itself, signaling effective accumulation and trend reversals. Sell patterns like Increased Sell Volumes confirmed bearish phases, ensuring traders were aware of short-term downward movements. The roadmap suggests that combining VSA patterns with volume indicators amplifies accuracy. Future opportunities lie in identifying similar setups and leveraging momentum for entry/exit strategies.
This sequence is your guide to understanding how predictive signals can transform trading outcomes. Stay tuned and keep an eye on the next wave of SWARMUSDT patterns!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
Let’s break it down with pinpoint accuracy. These levels are the battle lines where bulls and bears will clash, and price action will reveal its hand. If these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance zones, so keep a close watch.
Support Levels:
These levels are where buyers might step in to defend the trend:
0.09065 (recent absolute low)
If broken, expect this level to act as a brick wall of resistance for any bullish recovery attempts.
Resistance Levels:
These are the ceilings that price needs to smash for a breakout:
0.14784
0.24552
0.3642
If momentum fizzles out here, these levels will flip, becoming tough hurdles for the bulls.
Powerful Support Levels:
Currently, no standout zones are in play, suggesting the price is testing buyers’ resolve near dynamic supports like moving averages.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
Major areas to watch where the bears are likely to stack their sell orders:
0.24552 (also aligns with a key fib retracement zone).
Once the market closes above this with volume, a significant bullish run could ignite, but failure will likely spell trouble for any recovery momentum.
The game plan is simple: watch how the price reacts at these zones. A breakout or failure will guide the next move. Always trade with a plan—respect the levels, and let the market show its hand before diving in.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Fibonacci Meets Market Dynamics
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept integrates Fibonacci-based geometric principles with dynamic price action, creating a robust framework for trading SWARMUSDT. By leveraging these rays, traders can identify high-probability zones for interaction and subsequent movement, supported by dynamic factors such as Moving Averages and VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) rays.
Concept of Rays
Core Idea: Rays, based on Fibonacci angles, are drawn from the start of movement patterns to define channels and dynamic interaction zones. Unlike classical analysis relying on extremum points, this method adapts to market dynamics in real-time.
Dynamic Factors: Interaction with key Moving Averages (MA50, MA100) provides additional confirmation of trends and support/resistance zones.
Interaction Scenarios: When the price interacts with a ray, traders should wait for confirmation of reversal or continuation patterns. This ensures trades are placed at moments of high probability. Targeting Zones: Each ray transition creates a roadmap of price objectives, with the price typically moving from one ray to the next, offering clear entry and exit strategies.
Trading Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario:
Key Interaction Zone: Price bounces off the ascending Fibonacci ray near $0.11341 and interacts with MA50 at $0.13403.
Targets:
First target at $0.14784, aligned with dynamic resistance and the next Fibonacci ray.
Second target at $0.24552, achievable upon breaking MA100 at $0.1545.
Third target at $0.3642, signaling a significant trend breakout.
Strategy: Enter long after confirmation of the bounce from $0.11341, supported by volume and bullish VSA rays. Maintain trailing stops as the price moves toward each target.
Pessimistic Scenario:
Key Interaction Zone: Price fails to hold above the Fibonacci ray at $0.11341 and breaks below the critical level of $0.09065.
Targets:
First target at $0.09065, turning into resistance if broken.
Second target at $0.081, representing a potential oversold zone if significant bearish pressure emerges.
Strategy: Enter short after confirmation of a breakdown below $0.11341 and a bearish crossover of MA50 and MA100. Look for VSA sell signals to reinforce the decision.
Suggested Trades
Long from $0.11341 to $0.14784: Entry after interaction with the Fibonacci ray and confirmation of bullish momentum.
Short from $0.11341 to $0.09065: Entry upon bearish break below the ray, confirmed by sell-side volume dominance.
Continuation Long from $0.14784 to $0.24552: Add to positions after a breakout and interaction with MA100.
Trend Reversal Short from $0.14784 to $0.09065: Reevaluate bias if price fails to hold above the ray and reverses significantly.
These strategies offer traders flexibility to adapt to either direction, leveraging the synergy of Fibonacci rays, MAs, and VSA dynamics. Plan your entries wisely, and let the rays guide your trades from level to level!
Your Questions and Ideas Matter!
Hey traders! Let’s keep the conversation alive—drop your questions, thoughts, or requests right here in the comments. I always enjoy hearing your insights and discussing how we can navigate these markets together.
If you found value in this idea, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the levels and rays over time is a game-changer—it’s all about nailing those key zones for entry and exit. Let’s see how this setup plays out together.
By the way, my indicator draws all these rays and levels automatically, making analysis smoother and more accurate. If you’re interested in accessing it, shoot me a private message—I’ll be happy to explain how it works. Whether you’re new or experienced, I can help tailor strategies to your needs.
Have an asset in mind that you’d like analyzed? Leave a comment with the ticker, and if it resonates, I’ll do my best to share a breakdown. For more detailed, private analysis, let’s chat directly—we can work out the perfect solution for your needs.
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NOTUSDT BULISH IDEA AFTER LONG TIME!NOTUSDT is showing signs of moving up after a long time. The technical indicators suggest that it could be bullish for a while (but who knows what will happen!).
As before, I am using curve channels and triangle patterns in this analysis. I have some uncertainty about NOT due to its community and liquidity, which may affect its ability to reach all targets. However, we will continue to monitor the market as always! :)
Here are my other ideas:
MELANIEwhat do you think about 1st lady Melanie.
looking like there is money entering in this project, am not sure how much it can go up or if it will go up, but the honor of the 1st lady it will be sent to the place it should be, high...
in 4h TF looks like the downtrend is over.
thinking to open a long position.
NFA
DYOR
"XAU/USD: Short from H1 Wick and M30 Order Block""After transitioning into a bearish trend, I am considering a short position on XAU/USD from the M30 order block, which formed after the structural shift. On Monday, I expect the price to break structure and return to clear liquidity from hedged positions.
The entry zone aligns with the H1 wick, which swept previous highs and is fractally aligned with the M30 order block. I anticipate a reaction from this zone.
First Target (FTA):
The previous significant swing low.
This level also contains the full fill of the imbalance."
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
AVAX LongAvax bounced at 34.50, where there's strong support, as well as the 4-hour EMA 200 on the daily chart. At the moment, we have broken the trendline and are currently testing prev week mid and monday mid also previous small rezistance.
If we manage to hold, I expect the price to shoot up to 38.96, and from there, I anticipate the price will go back to test the level of 37.68. If it holds, I’ll be opening a trade.
Bitcoin will have a correction, please be careful trading!
Last week Bitcoin finished the correction down into the Dailly FVG and after that it made a new all time high just like I've said in my outlook.
After the new ATH it immediately reversed to the downside and now it's in a consolidation. It looks like this pair is making an ABC correction down.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down to finish. This is not the time to trade Bitcoin.
If you want to learn more about trading ICT concepts with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment.
ETHUSDT.1DThe daily chart for ETH/USDT reveals a well-structured technical setup with both bullish and bearish scenarios, making this a critical phase for Ethereum's price action.
Key Levels of Interest:
Resistance Levels:
R1: The immediate resistance lies near the descending trendline, currently aligning with $3,500–$3,550, which has been a strong cap for upward moves.
R2: The next major resistance level is at $4,066.49, where Ethereum last encountered significant selling pressure, marking a medium-term bullish target.
Support Levels:
S1: The initial support zone is at $2,998.25, representing a pivotal level for bulls to defend to maintain the current uptrend.
S2: A deeper correction could push prices toward $2,208.24, which aligns with historical accumulation zones and the lower boundary of the chart's visible support structure.
Trendlines and Patterns:
Ethereum is trading below a key descending trendline (R1), which has acted as a persistent dynamic resistance. A breakout above this trendline could signal a reversal in the bearish structure and a move toward the $4,000+ range.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above S1, Ethereum could retest the lower support at S2, marking a continuation of the bearish structure.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (12, 26, close): The MACD histogram is close to neutral, with a slight bullish bias. A confirmed crossover above the signal line would validate bullish momentum, while a bearish crossover could confirm downward pressure.
RSI (14): The RSI is hovering at 46.69, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish market sentiment. A move above 50 would strengthen bullish confidence, while a drop below 40 could accelerate selling pressure.
Volume and Momentum:
Volume has been tapering off as the price consolidates, reflecting indecision in the market. A breakout or breakdown accompanied by increased volume will confirm the next significant move.
Conclusion: Ethereum is at a decisive juncture, with the descending trendline (R1) acting as the key hurdle for a bullish reversal. A breakout above this level would target $4,066.49 (R2) and potentially higher. On the other hand, failure to hold above $2,998.25 (S1) could lead to a retest of $2,208.24 (S2), marking a bearish continuation.
Strategic Approaches:
Bullish Setup: Consider entering long positions upon a confirmed breakout above R1 with volume confirmation. Targets should focus on R2, with stops placed below the trendline.
Bearish Setup: Short positions can be considered if the price breaks below S1, with targets at S2. Stops should be placed above S1 to minimize risk.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to critical levels, risk management is essential. Traders should ensure proper stop-loss levels to avoid being caught in false breakouts or breakdowns.
GOLD/ Preparing to 2810 New HighThe analysis indicates that gold is in a position to challenge the resistance level at 2789. However, it recently reversed after testing this level, undergoing a corrective phase. Following this correction, the price is expected to regain momentum, break through the 2789 resistance, and reach a new high of 2810. After touching the 2810 level, the analysis anticipates a sharp decline in price, signaling a potential bearish reversal after the upward movement.
This week, significant economic data releases are likely to influence the gold market. Key data points include Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, U.S. GDP growth figures, and updates on inflation rates through the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. These factors will play a critical role in shaping investor sentiment and determining the price trajectory of gold. A dovish stance from the Federal Reserve or weaker-than-expected economic data could support the bullish scenario, as gold typically benefits from lower interest rates and economic uncertainty. Conversely, strong economic performance or hawkish commentary from central banks could pose resistance to further price increases.
ETHHi
I know there is an HnS, it was good debate between my m8 and I..however previous price action inidicates that there is another bottom before we actually get into the REAL alt season not the hyped up one.
Therefore take this chart into consideration, if it plays out well and the price head to 4.5K wait to see if there a break above resistanse ( watch out for a fake out it can happen as it is in a crucial area) it will invalidate this chart.
good luck
$ATOM: Potential for Reversal?
🔎 The chart shows an interesting fractal that may indicate a possible future price movement. After the correction phase, the price has reached a key support level in the green zone. If this level holds, we may see a rebound and growth to $15.76.
📊 Key Points:
Support: Zone $6.18–$6.30 (protection against further decline).
Target: If the reversal scenario is confirmed, the potential move is up to $15.76.
Action: Study the chart, identify your entry and exit points.
⚠️ Remember Risks: Always consider that the market can go against the expected scenario. Use stop-loss to minimize risks.