Harmonic Patterns
BITCOIN Is it owed a parabolic rally based on the GoldBTC ratio?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a highly structured manner within a Channel Up for the entirety of its Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom. We've discussed before how this is the smoothest Cycle of all.
What we didn't bring into the mix before was the Gold/BTC ratio (black trend-line), naturally negatively correlated to Bitcoin, which has been trading within a Channel Down since its January 2023 Top. As you can see it posts the same pattern on every Cycle: Channel Down (blue), followed by its bearish break-out and a huge drop (red ellipse) that prices the Bull Cycle Top on BTC.
So far every BTC Cycle had its parabolic rally (green ellipse) when the Gold/BTC ratio broke downwards. Does the market owe one this time also? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Let's analyze BTC dominance :
For four months, BTC dominance (BTC.D) has held a trendline support. After breaking out of an ascending triangle, BTC.D is forming another, with resistance at 62%-62.3%, repeatedly tested. A break above targets 64.50%, a strong resistance. Conversely, a trendline breakdown signals a potential drop to 59% support. Monitor these levels; a decisive break will heavily influence altcoin market dynamics.
Lower Support Levels:
59%-58.7%
Resistance Level:
62%-62.30%
64-50%
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CHF/USD sell zone @170.66 H4 chart analysisEntry Point: Near the current resistance zone around 170.750.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the resistance trendline, possibly around 172.500 (conservative) or 173.000 (aggressive buffer).
Target (TP): The identified demand zone near 165.500 or further down near 164.000.
This setup follows a potential breakout rejection strategy with a bearish bias. Let me know if you need more precise risk management details or additional insights.
Right now is the best time to be accumulating $ETH.Repeating Market Cycles (ChartPrime Indicator):
The ChartPrime oscillator shows a recurring pattern of market lows around the green-marked dates:
June 13, 2022 (Bear market bottom)
September 11, 2023 (Temporary low)
August 19, 2024 (Another correction)
March 24, 2025 (Potential bottom forming)
If this pattern holds, ETH could be near a cycle low, signaling a potential reversal soon.
Indicators Confirm Oversold Conditions:
The oscillator is near the lower green zone, historically aligning with market bottoms.
Past similar signals led to strong recoveries after a consolidation phase.
How to operate when gold is trading sideways at a high levelStimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted. However, the previous box was broken by shocks, and gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and the price continued to test the high point line. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls rose again, and the high point was likely to be refreshed. Stop loss and exit for short-term short orders within the day. According to the extension of the amplitude of the rise from 3003 to 3036, 3066/3080 can be seen above. After this correction is over and the high is broken, we will see whether we can go short. We never do dead longs or dead shorts. Since gold has chosen to break upwards in the shock, we still need to follow up and go long. Gold broke through and oscillated upwards during the day. The reasons are risk aversion and technical breakthrough. For the overall decline, it is still rising. The 1-hour moving average of gold now begins to diverge upward. After the gold retracement is confirmed, the bulls continue to exert their strength. After gold retraced to the support near 3033, it began to soar straight up. The bulls still control the home court. At present, the top-bottom conversion level is here at 3033, so the fall back to 3033-35 will continue. Overall, the short-term gold operation idea is to focus on callbacks and shorts, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3070-3080 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3040-3030 first-line support.
Gold safe-haven buying hits record high again!Stimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted. However, the previous box was broken by shocks, and gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and the price continued to test the high point line. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls rose again, and the high point was likely to be refreshed. Stop loss and exit for short-term short orders within the day. According to the extension of the amplitude of the rise from 3003 to 3036, 3066/3080 can be seen above. After this correction is over and the high is broken, we will see whether we can go short. We never do dead longs or dead shorts. Since gold has chosen to break upwards in the shock, we still need to follow up and go long. Gold broke through and fluctuated upward during the day. The first reason was risk aversion and the second was a technical breakthrough. As for the overall decline or rise, gold's 1-hour moving average now began to disperse upward golden crosses for bulls. After gold's retracement was confirmed, bulls continued to exert force. After gold fell back to support near 3033, it began to surge upward. The bulls still control the home court. The current top and bottom conversion position is here 3033, so if it falls back to 3033-35, continue to buy. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly buy on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3070-3080 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3030-3033 support.
Gold shows a triangle convergence patternGold broke through 3038 and broke the shock pattern. We went short near 33 and decisively exited the market when it fell back to near 27. We need to adjust our thinking when the market breaks through 3038. We went long at 3033 and exited the market when the market rose smoothly to 3050. The trend of gold started to strengthen after it broke through 3038. So the next step is to change our thinking and go long at a low level and smoothly go bullish. 3038-3035 below will become support. Go long when it falls back to 38-35 area. The current market is stagnant near the previous high of 3057. We can go short near 3052 and wait for a short-term retracement of a few points. We will continue to go long after the top and bottom conversion near 3035 is tested below. Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3051/52, stop loss at 3057, and target at 3038-35; go long at the support of 3035-38 area below, stop loss at 3030, and target at 3055-3062;
Gold hits record high againThe gold market has recently shown a significant bullish pattern, and prices have repeatedly broken through previous highs. From a technical perspective, the hourly chart of gold shows a breakthrough trend, successfully breaking away from the previous narrow consolidation range. The short-term moving average system maintains an upward trend and maintains a strong oscillating rhythm. The current price retracement has effectively repaired the technical pattern. It is expected that the late trading will continue to maintain a high-level oscillating pattern, with a focus on the performance of the pressure zone near the previous high. There is no clear trend feature in the hourly chart, and it is necessary to continue to observe the short-term adjustment and repair process. The recent price fluctuations are large, and investors are advised to strengthen risk management. For late trading operations, you can pay attention to the long order entry opportunities in the 3038-9 range, and set the stop loss at 3031.6.Gold showed a trend of fluctuating upward, reaching the highest point of 3056. After adjustment, it rose again, setting a new historical high of 3057. The current bullish trend of gold is still strong. The hourly chart shows that the moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, the MACD indicator is golden cross and the volume is large, the Bollinger band is opening and expanding, and the gold price is running along the upper track of the Bollinger band. Based on the above analysis, it is recommended to continue to rely on the opportunity of stepping back to go long on gold. Operation strategy: 1. Go long on gold at 3038-40, stop loss at 3030, target 3050-60; 2. Buy gold around 3046, protect 3036, target 3060-3080.
135 - 145 Important Resistance ZoneImmediate Important Support lies around 125 - 128.
However, 135 - 145 is a Very Strong Resistance.
So Fresh Position is recommended either once
this level is crossed or at a Proper Support around 123-128
& then around 112 - 115
If it breaks 118, we may see more Selling pressure.
SAND/USDT 1W🩸 NYSE:SAND ⁀➷
#TheSandbox. Macro chart Another
💯 Intermediate Target - $1.36
🚩 Macro Target 1 - $2.03
🚩 Macro Target 2 - $3.44
🚩 Macro Target 3 - $5.50
- Not financial advice, trade with caution.
#Crypto #TheSandbox #SAND #Investment
✅ Stay updated on market news and developments that may influence the price of The Sandbox. Positive or negative news can significantly impact the cryptocurrency's value.
✅ Exercise patience and discipline when executing your trading plan. Avoid making impulsive decisions driven by emotions, and adhere to your strategy even during periods of market volatility.
✅ Remember that trading always involves risk, and there are no guarantees of profit. Conduct thorough research, analyze market conditions, and be prepared for various scenarios. Trade only with funds you can afford to lose and avoid excessive risk-taking.
ETH - TUG OF WAR! WILL IT REACH $2300?PLLLLLEAAASEE new structure for the market as cited below! Observe and take stances! For nerds , Look at this
Ethereum has experienced a significant breakdown from its previously established value area between $2,060 and $2,100, as seen clearly in the 4H Volume Profile. The price sharply rejected the upper range and fell through low-volume nodes with little resistance, indicating aggressive selling and a clear lack of buyer support at higher levels. Currently, ETH is trading near $1,890, where the new Point of Control (POC) has formed, suggesting that the market is starting to accept this lower price region. However, the volume at these lower levels is still relatively thin, which means that the structure is not yet fully balanced, and volatility may continue. If ETH fails to reclaim the $1,920–$1,950 zone, we could see continued downside movement toward $1,850 or even $1,800, where a new high-volume base might establish. On the other hand, if bulls manage to push the price back above the recent breakdown point and sustain it, there could be a short-term recovery attempt.
EURGBP: Bullish Harmonic Pattern in a Strong ZoneEURGBP: Bullish Harmonic Pattern in a Strong Zone
EURGBP has completed a bullish harmonic pattern within a robust zone.
Despite this, the likelihood of the price testing the entire red zone remains high.
It's crucial to be careful and closely monitor the price's reaction.
Key resistance zones for the harmonic pattern are 0.8307, 0.8335, and 0.8370.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Black Swan Event - When It's Not Mentioned, It Happens!Evening friends,
He's another one that not many people will like. But it's gotta be said.
Check my Adam & Eve pattern, MANY days before it even happened, its like my 5th to 10th post back, and now, once again, before it breaks down I will say this:
There's a Black Swan event coming around the corner.
Trade thirsty, but this once, trade safe friends...
BTC - What's next BTC Update – March 28, 2025
Quick update on where BTC is at and what I’m watching next.
We finally broke out of that daily downtrend — nice little shift in structure. Price is chilling around $85K right now, sitting just below that FWB:88K –$90K resistance, which is still a pretty strong zone to crack.
Key Levels I’m Watching:
🔴 Major Resistance:
FWB:88K –$90K – First big test. If bulls push through this, could get spicy.
$100K–$105K – Big macro level. Expect sellers to step in heavy here if we make it that far.
🟢 Major Support:
$75K–$78K – Solid higher timeframe support zone. Great bounce area if we dip.
$70K – 2021 ATH retest level. Would still be macro bullish unless that breaks.
🟡 Local Zones:
$84K – Acting as intraday support for now. Holding this could lead to a push higher.
GETTEX:82K – Another local support. If that breaks, next stop is probably mid/high 70s.
What I’m Thinking:
As long as we hold $84K, we’ve got a shot at pushing into FWB:88K –$90K again. Break that and it’s game on toward $100K+. But if we lose $84K and especially GETTEX:82K , I’m watching for a retest of the $75K–$78K zone. That’d still be a healthy pullback, nothing to panic about.
All in all... structure looks solid, levels are clear, let’s just stay patient and let price do its thing. I’ll keep you all posted if anything major changes 🔔
Why GBPJPY IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS GBPJPY is currently trading at approximately 195.000, having achieved a substantial gain of over 300 pips. Technical analysis suggests that the pair is poised for further upward movement, with a target price of 199.000, indicating the potential for an additional 400 pips gain. This bullish momentum is supported by the pair's recent breakout from a consolidation phase, signaling strong buying interest.
Fundamentally, the British pound has demonstrated resilience, bolstered by stable economic indicators and a proactive monetary policy stance from the Bank of England. Conversely, the Japanese yen has experienced depreciation, influenced by the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policies. This divergence in central bank policies has widened the interest rate differential between the two currencies, favoring a stronger pound against the yen.
Technical indicators further reinforce the bullish outlook for GBP/JPY. The pair has been trading above key moving averages, with oscillators indicating strong upward momentum. The recent breakout above the 193.000 resistance level has opened the path toward the 199.000 target. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in bullish territory, suggesting that the current uptrend has room to continue
Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as a sustained move above 195.000 could confirm the continuation of the bullish trend toward 199.000. Implementing robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, is essential to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.
CADCHF Bullissh or Bearish ??? Detailed analysisCAD/CHF is currently trading at approximately 0.6150, forming a bearish flag pattern—a continuation signal that typically precedes further downward movement. This pattern emerges after a sharp price decline, followed by a consolidation phase characterized by parallel trendlines. A breakout below the flag's lower boundary could potentially lead to a decline of over 100 pips, aligning with the target price of 0.6000.
Fundamental factors support this bearish outlook. The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently implemented a 25 basis point rate cut, reducing the benchmark rate to 2.75%. This move, aimed at stimulating economic growth amid trade tensions and weakened consumer confidence, has exerted downward pressure on the Canadian dollar. Conversely, the Swiss franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status, attracting investors during periods of global uncertainty. Additionally, Switzerland's robust economic data, including a manufacturing PMI of 51.5 and a 4.0% rise in exports, further bolsters the franc's strength.
Technical analysis further reinforces the bearish sentiment. The CAD/CHF pair has been in a steady downtrend, with minor retracements occasionally. Currently, the price is preparing for another retracement aimed at retesting the immediate supply zone. The 4-hour timeframe chart shows that the supply zone falls perfectly between the 76% and 88% Fibonacci retracement levels. The presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and inducement contribute to the bearish leaning of the market sentiment. Analysts have set a target of 0.6051, with an invalidation point at 0.6231.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, the CAD/CHF pair appears poised for a bearish breakout from the flag pattern. Traders should monitor key support levels and employ robust risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders, to navigate potential market volatility. Staying informed about upcoming economic data releases and central bank communications will also be crucial in effectively capitalizing on this trading opportunity.