Harmonic Patterns
SOLUSD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Cypher PatternOverview
On the weekly timeframe, BINANCE:SOLUSD has shifted gears since our last analysis. Previously, we flagged a bearish divergence—higher highs in price paired with lower highs on the DMI Delta—hinting at weakening momentum. Price has since declined, and now it’s tapping into a key demand zone, completing what appears to be a Bullish Cypher harmonic pattern.
Why This Matters
Bearish Divergence Played Out : The prior divergence signaled fading bullish pressure, and the subsequent drop brought SOLUSD from its highs into this demand zone—a textbook pullback scenario.
Bullish Cypher Completion : The pattern’s structure is taking shape: X-A (initial up move), A-B (~38.2%-61.8% retracement of X-A), B-C (~113%-141.4% extension of A-B), and now C-D targeting a 78.6% retracement of X-C. The D point aligns with this demand zone, marking a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
Demand Zone Test : This level has historical buying interest. If it holds, it could validate the Cypher and spark a reversal.
Key Considerations
Watch the PRZ : The 78.6% X-C retracement (~D point) is critical. To confirm a bounce, look for reversal signals like a bullish candle, volume surge, or RSI/DMI Delta divergence.
Lingering Divergence Risk : While the drop aligned with the prior bearish signal, momentum remains a question. Cross-check with volume or DMI trends before committing.
Risk Management : For longs, set stops below the demand zone. If shorting a breakdown, target the next support level from prior lows.
Upside Potential : A confirmed Cypher could push the price toward the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg—map these targets on your chart.
Conclusion
The recent decline in BINANCE:SOLUSD following our bearish divergence call has set the stage for a Bullish Cypher at this demand zone. If buyers defend this level with conviction, the pattern could drive a meaningful reversal, invalidating the prior bearish pressure. However, a failure to hold here might extend the correction. Traders should monitor price action and volume at the PRZ for the next actionable signal.
$BTCUSD Expansion or Reversal? Key Levels to WatchBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Overview
We explore the key resistance and support levels, potential pattern formations, and what we should monitor in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin appears to be forming an expanding triangle within the broader range of its weekly fractals. Additionally, there is the potential emergence of a double top reversal pattern . This pattern has a critical support level at $89,164, which acts as a neckline. A breakdown below this support could threaten the weekly fractal support positioned at $91,530. If the breakdown confirms , Bitcoin may experience a significant decline, targeting the previously broken monthly fractal resistance at $73,794 , representing a potential 17% drop . This level coincides with the 200% Fibonacci extension, often seen as a default target for a double top reversal.
Despite the downside risks, a corrective move lower may provide a bullish setup. A key support level at $76,368 aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the last bullish swing. A potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern could form around this level, indicating a possible reversal. If Bitcoin reaches this zone, traders should monitor price reactions for signs of recovery.
Will Bitcoin break higher, or is a deeper correction on the horizon? Stay tuned for further updates!
Key Takeaways
Weekly Fractal Resistance: $109,359
Weekly Fractal Support: $91,530
Daily Fractal Resistance: $98,871 (rejecting 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $98,314)
Daily Support: $93,340 (above weekly fractal support)
Critical Support Level: $89,164 (neckline for a potential double top)
Downside Target: $73,794 (previous monthly fractal resistance, aligning with 200% Fibonacci extension)
Bullish Reversal Zone: $76,368 (161.8% Fibonacci extension, potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern)
It is important to remain neutral regarding bias unless the price confirms the pattern with a breakdown below the neckline. Until that happens, the market structure remains open to different scenarios, and traders should focus on confirmation signals rather than assumptions.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
S&P500 Channel Up bottomed. Huge reversal expected.The S&P500 index (SPX) had been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 2024 Low and yesterday broke below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 20 days. Since January 17, every such break below the 4H MA200 has been a technical buy opportunity.
This time it is even stronger as the index appears to be replicating the Channel's first price structure and more specifically Leg (d). What followed after Leg (d) bottomed, was a symmetrical with (b)-(c) +7.05% rise to form a top at (e).
The confirmation for this rise came when the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross. As a result, we are waiting for this confirmation to continue with additional buying on S&P and target 6330, which would be a +6.22% rise, symmetrical with (b)-(c).
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Gold 1hour chart technical analysis next move possibleThis is a technical analysis chart from TradingView for Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$ per ounce) on a 1-hour timeframe. The chart includes support and resistance levels, price action, and an expected movement prediction.
Here’s what it means:
1. Current Price: The gold price is at 2,939.98, showing a decline of -12.94 (-0.44%).
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Levels (Red Lines): Key resistance levels are marked around 2,948.125 and 2,956.150. These are price points where selling pressure has been strong in the past.
Support Levels (Blue Lines and Pink Zones): The support zone is around 2,921.055, where buying interest has been observed.
3. Prediction (Blue Arrow): The chart suggests a potential upward movement
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still ranging and has not managed to break out of its consolidation zone. As long as the price does not close above the resistance level, we cannot expect further upward movement.
Here are two possible scenarios:
1.Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks the resistance level and closes above it, we can anticipate a continuation of the uptrend.
2.Corrective Scenario: This scenario seems more likely, where the price retraces back to the support zone before initiating another upward move.
A confirmed breakout above resistance would signal further growth, but until that happens, a return to support remains the more probable scenario.
What’s your view on Bitcoin’s trend? Do you find the second scenario more likely?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Univers Of Signals | KSM : Accumulation or Breakdown Ahead?In this analysis, I want to review KSM for you. This project is one of the platforms within the Polkadot ecosystem and currently ranks 157th on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $289 million.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, we observe a consolidation zone ranging from $15.36 to $55.85. The price has been fluctuating within this range for over two years. By comparing the weekly chart with Bitcoin’s chart, we can see that the KSM/BTC pair is in a downtrend, making it currently not a good buy against Bitcoin.
🔍 However, if we analyze this chart independently, if the price bounces off the $15.36 support and starts moving upward, we can consider buying if it breaks out of the upper box limit. In that case, we can confirm that this two-year range was an accumulation zone, leading to a long-term bullish trend.
📊 The buying volume within this range has been higher than selling volume, which can be a positive sign for buyers and increases the chances of an upward breakout. However, the bullish legs have been relatively short-lived, while the bearish legs have followed more technical and structured movements.
🚀 If the price breaks out of the range to the upside, the technical targets would be $177.68 and $530.43. This means a significant amount of capital would need to enter this coin, which seems unlikely at the moment.
❌ On the other hand, if the price breaks below the range, there will be no significant support left, and we will need to see where the new historical bottom forms.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price failed to reach the upper boundary of the range at $60.88 during its last bullish leg and got rejected at $51.21, initiating its downtrend. The price has since moved within a descending channel, approaching the bottom of the range.
✅ Yesterday's candle was heavily rejected from the mid-line of the channel, engulfing all recent candles from the past few days. This indicates strong selling pressure, which could initiate a much deeper downtrend.
📉 If the price breaks below the channel, the downtrend momentum will intensify, potentially leading to a parabolic bearish move for KSM. The key trigger level for confirming a parabolic downtrend is $16.08, and if this level is breached, we can expect a new bearish phase.
🧩 However, if the price breaks above the channel, the current breakout trigger is $22.37. A break above this level could be a buy signal for a long position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Ethereum (ETH): Sellers Are Taking Over $2000 Incoming...Well, sellers took over the local push we had here and broke the supportive trend, resulting in a decent drop as well.
As our upper buy entry failed, we are going to look for lower zones to be reached now, which are in the $2000 area.
From there we will be looking for some kind of BoS to form on smallertimeframes and overtake of buying volume so, we expect a further drop for now.
Swallow Team
$BTC - The Perfect Bear Trap?🔸
Bitcoin has done what it does best—flush weak hands before the real move. Dropping to $86K was nothing but a liquidity grab, and history tells us what comes next: a high-speed reversal toward new highs.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $85K-$86K
This was the prime accumulation zone for whales.
Market makers shook out late longers—now, smart money steps in.
🔸 Upside Target: $110K+
Same 57K-70K range pattern is repeating—the sideways grind before an explosive move.
OTC desks are running dry—sooner or later, BTC supply shock will kick in.
Expect a fast move past $100K once retail chases back in.
🔸 Risk Level at $84K
Any daily close below this level could delay the breakout.
However, market structure remains intact—bullish momentum is still in play.
🔸 Action Plan:
✅ Long accumulation between $86K- FWB:88K —perfect entry range.
✅ Ignore panic—the real move is always sudden.
✅ Holding all BTC —selling is NOT an option.
✅ Maintain longs from GETTEX:92K —nothing changes.
✅ Stay ahead of the crowd—most will only react once BTC crosses $100K.
Final Thought:
Bitcoin’s biggest breakouts always come after maximum fear. We’ve seen this pattern play out countless times—if you’ve been paying attention, you already know what happens next. 🚀
XAUUSD: Sustained ProfitsToday, after retesting the resistance near $2960, the price of gold dropped and reached the support level near $2930. The short-selling strategy I proposed within the range of $2950 - $2960 has continued to generate profits.
At present, the analysis of gold is quite clear. We should focus on the resistance near $2960. Before there is a strong breakthrough, we should stick to the short-selling strategy. Even if the $2960 level is broken through this week, don't go long at the peak. Instead, wait for the key resistance level and continue to short-sell.
Today's trading strategy for gold: xauusd sell@2950 - 2960
TP: 2930 - 2920
Currently, my $40,000 account is on the verge of reaching $80,000 in just two days. I will share the orders every day. If you also need accurate signals and analysis, you can click on the link below to obtain them!
Univers Of Signals| ENSUSDT Better Status Than AltcoinsLet's go together with one of the popular layer two coins that works in domain and address naming services for wallets and recently announced that it will launch layer two soon
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, ENS is one of the bullish coins in the market that has a good situation ahead and has started its main upward movement before the start of 2025 and in late 2023
After the start of the main movement after the 9.99 break, we started our main upward trend and we can say that we broke our ceiling in terms of market cap and made a new ATH market cap
We are also on a curve line that is bullish and supportive in nature and if this line is broken, it shows us that the main upward trend has weakened and if we go below 15.90, we will see a trend change in MWC
For re-entry, the 47.68 break is an interesting trigger and you can buy again and if the exit trigger is below 15.90, you can exit and for now, I recommend You can't buy in this time frame
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, however, it has held its own more than the rest of the altcoins and is suffering in its daily box between 24.78 and 27.55, which happened after the rejection at 47.68.
Also, in this time frame, we have a trend line that if the price reaches it, we will have the possibility of reacting and we will use it as a tool to save profit in the lower time frame if we react to it.
Also, the rejection candle that closes from this resistance at 27.55 in the same way, we will have the possibility of continuing the downtrend, and if 24.78 is broken, we can move towards 20.81 and 15.90. And for buying, if this support is faked or the 35.98 trigger is activated, I will buy, and in this box, I will only I trade in futures
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the four-hour time frame, what happened is that we faked the resistance above the box, which increases the probability of breaking the support floor
📉 Short Position Trigger
you can open a position with this four-hour candle as a guide, but on the other hand, it is better to wait for the support to reach 24.79 and the reaction from it and then follow its breakdown
📈 Long Position Trigger
we need to return to the ceiling again for now, and if we return above the support level sooner, we can think more about breaking 27.91 and open a more confident long position .
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends
Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6323
1st Support: 0.6260
1st Resistance: 0.6402
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5663
1st Resistance: 0.5744
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistsance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 71.85
1st Support: 70.11
1st Resistance: 72.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 2,953.33
1st Support: 2,882.38
1st Resistance: 2,979.66
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 5,938.92
1st Support: 5,865.87
1st Resistance: 6,051.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
gold rally towards buyside xauusd in an upward range,target is above the approximate equal highs buyside liquidity at 2956.bullish setup was presented at london killzone (3-5 ET) hitting liquidities and orderblock at 2930.also a third hit at trendline phantom.confirmation came at 2938 high violation.
goodluck and good trading.