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Harmonic Patterns

RIOT / 2hNASDAQ:RIOT The rise of 2.9% today may have completed a 4th wave correction in the leading diagonal wave A. So, a swift decline of 11% is expected to follow as the diagonal's 5th wave. Wave Analysis  >> The leading expanding diagonal in Minor degree wave A, as the first subdivision of the ongoing correction in wave (2), indicates that a relatively deep correction in wave (2) might be developed. Trend Analysis  >> The trend is correcting down in the same degree wave (2), which will take a few weeks to develop downward. The retracement targets >> 8.76 >> 8.20 >> 7.93 >> 7.67 #CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
NASDAQ:RIOT
by ElliottChart
2
SOL/USDT Rejected at Key Fib Zone – Bulls’ Last Stand at SupportRecap and Bias The short-term bullish “orange” bounce scenario from the previous analysis failed to materialize. Solana’s price was rejected near 150, printing a lower high, and has since dropped back into the mid 140s. This confirms that the recent rally was a dead-cat bounce rather than a trend reversal. The updated bias is cautiously bearish. This stems from rejection at resistance, weakening momentum, and a deteriorating volume profile. Unless price reclaims the 148 to 150 zone with strength, the bears remain in control. Only a decisive breakout above that level would shift the short-term outlook back to bullish. Macro Context Global risk sentiment remains fragile. The sudden escalation between Israel and Iran in early June, including reports of missile strikes, sparked a flight to safety. Solana’s rally quickly reversed, with price dropping over 15 percent since June 11. Other geopolitical flashpoints also continue to weigh on investor confidence. The protracted war in Ukraine and ongoing disruptions in Red Sea trade routes have fueled broader market caution. This is contributing to periodic risk-off moves and spikes in volatility across both traditional and crypto markets. On the economic side, uncertainty around US monetary policy is adding to pressure. Although May inflation cooled slightly, investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming Fed decisions. Crypto assets have traded weakly into these events, reflecting a wait-and-see approach. Taken together, this geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop is driving elevated short-term volatility and a higher risk premium in the crypto space. In this context, market participants are increasingly hesitant to take large directional bets without a clear catalyst. One such catalyst may be the potential approval of a Solana ETF. Optimism has grown, with prediction markets now placing the likelihood of approval near 76 percent by late July. If approved, this could be a game-changing event that re-rates SOL’s medium-term valuation and breaks it out of its current downtrend. Until then, traders should remain cautious and assume headline risk is elevated. Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook Daily and 4H Trend The high timeframe structure shows a clear downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows are intact. A double top formation from May broke down cleanly. Most recently, Solana was rejected at a key Fibonacci confluence zone around 149 to 151, which included the 0.618 retracement, the 20-day SMA, and a well-defined supply zone. After that rejection, SOL has traded along the lower Bollinger Band with increasing volatility. The 20 SMA is now acting as dynamic resistance. All major trendlines have broken. 2H, 1H, and 30m Perspective Shorter-term charts show SOL attempting to base near 143 to 145 support. Several oversold RSI conditions have triggered bounces, but these have lacked momentum. Harmonic pattern recognition shows that a bearish Deep Crab completed near 152, which marked the local top. Currently, price remains pinned below descending trendlines and the 1H 20 EMA. Bullish momentum has yet to reappear in any meaningful way. Key Technical Factors Resistance: 149 to 151 This zone holds multiple levels of confluence. It includes the 50 to 61.8 percent retracement of the last swing, a 1.272 Fib extension, the 20-day SMA, and prior supply. The rejection at 151.7 was sharp and decisive. Unless price reclaims this zone, it remains a ceiling. Support: 142 to 145 This is the last meaningful support zone holding price up. It is the neckline of a 12H Head and Shoulders pattern and the base of a previous multi-week range. It also coincides with the lower bound of a prior rising channel. The 50-day MA and 0.236 Fib retracement are also near this zone. If this area breaks, sellers will likely target 130 to 135 next. Momentum: RSI 14 with MA Overlay Daily RSI rolled over from above 70 with bearish divergence as price topped. RSI is now below its MA across all timeframes, reflecting negative momentum. On the 4H chart, RSI dipped below 30 and remains weak despite minor relief bounces. Lower timeframes show early divergence but no confirmed reversal signals. Trend Structure Price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. The 200-day MA was lost weeks ago. The 50-day is now flattening near 140. A death cross recently printed on the 12H chart, confirming bearish short-term pressure. Volume and PVT Volume favors the bears. PVT is in decline, showing more volume on down days than up days. The rally to 150 occurred on weak volume, while selloffs continue to show increasing size. This signals distribution, not accumulation. Harmonic Patterns A bearish Deep Crab pattern completed at the recent high. No bullish harmonics are confirmed yet. Traders should monitor the 130 to 125 zone for potential bullish completion patterns like a Gartley or Bat. If those form with oversold signals, they could mark the bottom. Green Scenario: Bullish Breakout Path Bias Only valid on confirmed breakout Trigger Break and hold above 150. Ideally, an hourly close above 150 or daily close above 152 confirms the move. Confirmation Rising volume, RSI reclaiming 50, and a PVT uptick. A retest of 148 to 150 from above would reinforce the breakout. Targets First target is 155, which aligns with the 12H 50 EMA. Second target is 162 to 165. Extended targets include 170 to 180 and eventually the 200 psychological level if ETF news hits. Stop Loss Below 147 or back inside the 143 zone would invalidate the breakout and suggest a failed move. Logic If bulls reclaim 150 with strength, this would invalidate the lower-high structure. Shorts would begin covering and momentum could quickly shift. Breakout entries should focus on confirmation and volume expansion. Red Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Continuation Bias Default scenario Trigger Clean break below 142. Daily close under 140 confirms the H and S neckline break. Confirmation Failing retests of 142, rising sell volume, and RSI staying suppressed. Price action showing impulsive red candles validates the move. Targets First target is 130 to 135. Second target is 115 to 120. Final measured move would project into the 100 to 110 zone if trend acceleration continues. Stop Loss Any reclaim of 145 to 148 would likely invalidate the breakdown and trap late sellers. Logic If this support fails, shorts will press. Bounces will likely be sold into. Traders can enter on the break or the first failed retest of 142. Consider scaling out near 135 and trail stops from there. Strategy Summary Current Bias Leaning bearish unless bulls reclaim 150 Key Levels 148 to 150 is breakout zone 142 to 140 is breakdown zone Trading Strategy Range traders can play 144 to 150 but must be nimble Breakout traders should wait for confirmation above 150 Breakdown traders can short under 140 with stops over 145 Risk Management Volatility is elevated. Trade smaller size. Use tight stops and trail them. Wait for confirmation, not anticipation. Watch ETF news closely. If delayed, expect continued weakness.
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by apeastronaut404
ETH – Rounded Distribution Before the Punch Higher?What we’re seeing here is a potential fakeout setup within a value zone. Notice the rounded top formation — looks bearish — but price refuses to break the low. This often sets the stage for a sharp reversal. Structure Breakdown: Volume profile shows acceptance in current range Rounded top shape implies weakness — but no breakdown = trap potential Price holds a higher low inside the range = absorption Green box marks ideal long entry area — well-defined invalidation below Bullish case: We’re watching for that reclaim of the mid-level → quick push into the upper range Target zone = 2,618 (clean inefficiency fill + local top) Bearish trap scenario invalidated if price closes below red box (stop hunt level) Strategy bias: This is a compression-reversal trap — fake weakness to trap shorts, then launch. Patience pays here — if it reclaims and consolidates at the mid, it’s time to ride. 📊 More setups like this, early in structure, are shared inside the account description. Tap in for the breakdowns.
by SmartFlowsI
BTC – Stop Hunt at the Edge of ValueThis is what a liquidity raid looks like. Price just swept the bottom of the range, tapped into the low-volume zone (as seen on the volume profile), and reclaimed — classic sign of a trap sprung. Key points: The downtrend line labeled “comp” = compression — bulls forced to capitulate into a thin zone High probability deviation with stop run and reclaim — this fuels the next move up The green box shows risk-defined entry off the sweep low Targeting the prior high: 106,787 Volume imbalance filled = no inefficiency above — price can now move cleanly Execution mindset: Trap spring → retrace into structure → expansion Risk is clear, liquidity is engineered, structure remains Late shorts just became the fuel. Watch the reclaim of the box top. If that flips support, we ride momentum. 📈 For more setups like this — including pre-breakout traps — check the description in the profile.
by SmartFlowsI
Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓. Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄 I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385 🚀 TP 3400 - 3430 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
1
They want AVAX to look weak down here Everyone’s staring at the recent drop like it’s collapse. I see rotation into discount. AVAX is tagging the 0.786 retracement (17.27) — the same level that Smart Money builds into before it reclaims value. Breakdown of the move: The range top at 26.86 marked the premium; we’ve now delivered deep into the 0.786 No displacement through the previous swing low — yet Structure remains intact if 14.66 holds — anything above that is deliberate discount rebalancing, not failure This is where liquidity collects before decisions are made. Execution lens: Accumulation zone: 17.27–14.66 If bulls defend this pocket, 20.76 (0.5 fib) is the first draw, then 22.20 Final delivery window sits between 22.20–23.98 — where late buyers chase AVAX doesn’t need a narrative. Price is the narrative. Watch this base. And if it holds — don’t act surprised when it’s 20+. For more setups that map where, not when — check the profile description.
by SmartFlowsI
Most see capitulation. I see clean premium-to-discount deliveryPEPE just swept deep into the 0.786 retracement — right where most fear sets in. But Smart Money? This is where they reaccumulate. The structure isn't broken — it's resetting. Here’s what the chart tells me: Price dipped straight into the FVG + 0.786 (0.00000945) zone That's the deepest discount before structural invalidation — exactly where Smart Money looks for reversal footprints The upside draw sits cleanly at 0.00001194 (0.5 fib), with an extension possible toward 0.00001297 and even 0.00001424 This move down didn’t violate anything. It rebalanced prior inefficiency and opened the door for premium delivery. Execution logic: Accumulate within 0.00000945–0.00000918 (discount zone) Invalidation: break below 0.00000758 closes the book on this setup Targets: 0.00001194 → 0.00001297 → 0.00001424 The biggest moves don’t start when it feels safe. They start when it feels late. For setups like this — built on logic, not luck — check the profile description. I trade where Smart Money trades.
by SmartFlowsI
CHFJPY - Bullish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the red zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #CHFJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
NZDCHF - The Bears Are Back!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈NZDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red, and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
EURUSD - Getting Over-Bought?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channels marked in red and blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channels. Moreover, the orange zone is a major daily high. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue/red trendlines and daily high. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
5