Harmonic Patterns
GOLD President Donald Trump spoke today, May 23, 2025. He made several public statements and announcements, including:
Announcing that he is recommending a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union starting June 1 due to stalled trade negotiations.
Warning Apple that it would face a 25% tariff on iPhones not made in the United States, urging domestic manufacturing.
Commenting on ongoing trade talks with the EU, expressing frustration over lack of progress.
Posting on Truth Social about a “major prisoner swap” between Russia and Ukraine, though this was not officially confirmed by either side.
Planning to sign additional executive orders today as courts continue to block some of his previous actions.
He also attended a black-tie gala and is expected to give a commencement speech at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point on Saturday.
GOLD REACTED .
Gold Buy Setup: Demand Reaction with Eyes on Supply Zone”Gold (XAUUSD) has reacted strongly from the 3345–3351 demand zone, indicating that buyers are stepping in with some serious momentum. The wick rejections and bullish engulfing candles point to institutional interest in this area.
Right now, the price is hanging around the mid-level (3357–3358). If this level holds as support, we expect to see a continued push towards the 3370–3376 supply zone, which coincides with a significant resistance level on the 30-minute chart and a potential area for liquidity sweeps.
The route to the supply zone looks technically clear, backed by:
- Reaction from the demand zone
- A bullish internal structure
- Price making higher lows on lower timeframes
🔹Trade Setup (Buy Bias):
- Entry Zone: 3357–3358
- Stop Loss: Below 3345 (to invalidate the demand)
Take Profits:
- TP1: 3370
- TP2: 3376 (upper limit of the supply zone)
⚠️ Notes:
If the price closes below 3345, we’ll shift to a neutral bias.
Make sure to wait for clear bullish confirmation before jumping into any market entries.
📊 Bias: Bullish (Short-term swing towards the supply zone)
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Market Structure: Bullish after defending the demand
GOLD – Technical Outlook
📈 Breakout Alert
Gold just broke out of the key descending trendline that has acted as resistance since early May. This breakout confirms a shift in structure and opens the door for a new local high in the coming sessions.
📊 Technical Context
Strong reaction from the Bull OTE + POI zone around 3190-3230.
Reclaimed 50% Fib retracement from the last leg down.
Cleared the supply zone and trendline with momentum.
🌍 Macro Watch
If tariff tensions between Europe and the US resurface, we could see a faster flight to safe-haven assets like gold. Risk-off narrative = bullish fuel for XAU.
🎯 Next Target
Price now eyes the liquidity resting above the 3450-3550 zone. This area could act as a magnet before the next meaningful pause.
⚠️ Key Support
A clean retest of the broken trendline + 3320 area would be ideal to confirm the breakout structure.
Gold 200% Profit SignalYesterday, it rose and fell, and stopped falling again at the middle track, indicating that the middle track can be used as a watershed in this cycle. If it runs above it, the shock will be strong. In addition, the 618 division position 3317-18 line broke through again, and the short-term 5-day moving average supported at 3315. Therefore, the 3315-3318 range is the first retracement to confirm the support point. If it stabilizes, it will further attack and point to the 786 division resistance 3370 line. Once the previous high of 3345 is broken, the corresponding macd will enter a top divergence state. If it is further pulled up in the later period, it is necessary to be careful of the high and fall.
At the hourly gold line level, gold is under pressure below 3315, with support at 3280-90, and repeatedly fluctuates at the bottom. This morning, it was still running back and forth under the suppression of the middle track 3305, but the low point gradually moved up. Finally, under the continued weakness of the US dollar, the gold price finally stood on the middle track, and directly reached 3330 with a strong force. From overnight to this morning, it has been bullish and finally waited for a big profit. Then after the 3315 resistance is broken and stabilized, gold will naturally become the top and bottom support, and the 10-day moving average will move up and approach 3320. For the rise of gold, the European session will maintain resistance to falling, and gold still tends to rise further. Pay attention to the stabilization of the 3320-3315 support and continue to be bullish. The resistance target is 3370-3380; if it is unexpectedly effectively lost, pay attention to 3340.
Gold US session strategy: It is recommended to go long at 3330, stop loss at 3320, and the target is 3350-3360; it is recommended to go short once when it touches 3370 above, stop loss at 3380, and the target is around 3340-3330
Gold fell back at night and continued to riseGold rose and fell, and stopped falling at the middle track again, indicating that the middle track can be used as a watershed in this cycle. If it runs above it, the volatility will be strong. In addition, the 618 division position 3317-18 line broke through again and stood above it. The short-term 5-day moving average support is 3315. Therefore, the 3315-3318 range is the first retracement to confirm the support point. If it stabilizes, it will further attack and point to the 786 division resistance 3370 line. Once the previous high of 3345 is broken, the corresponding MACD will enter a top divergence state. If it is further pulled up in the later period, we must be careful to prevent a high and fall. At the hourly gold line level, the US market was under pressure at 3315 overnight, with support at 3280-90, and repeated bottom shocks and consolidation. This morning, it was still running back and forth under the suppression of the middle track 3305, but the lows gradually moved up. Finally, under the continued weakness of the US dollar, the gold price finally stood on the middle track, and the direct positive strong force reached 3330. From overnight to this morning, it has been bullish and finally waited for a big profit. Then after the 3315 resistance is broken and stabilized, it will naturally become the top and bottom support. The 10-day moving average will move up and approach 3320, maintaining resistance to declines and still tending to further rise. Pay attention to the 3320-3315 support to stabilize and continue the bullish trend. The resistance target is 3370-3380; if it is unexpectedly effectively lost, pay attention to 3340.
APPLE Down -4% premarket on Trump's 25% Tariff. Buy opportunity?Apple Inc. (AAPL) is down -4% on pre-market trading following a warning by U.S. President Donald Trump that the company would have to pay a 25% tariff if phones sold in the U.S. were not made within its borders.
Along with a proposed 50% Tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 01, these news have inflicted fear again in the markets following 6 weeks of a relief rebound on trade deal talks.
So are these announcements a dip buy opportunity for Apple or round 2 of correction?
Based on the stock's long-term pattern, which is a Channel Up, the recent rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is technically the start of its 2nd Bullish Leg. With the Bearish Legs having similar declines (-35% and -32% respectively), we can expect the Bullish Legs to have a proportional rise as well.
On top of that, the 1W RSI rebounded on its multi-year Support, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, since the 2023 Bullish Leg that was complete on July 17 2023 almost touched the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect the price to disregard the news and continue rising up to the new 1.236 Fib and target $285.00.
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Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youClosely monitor the key resistance level at 3,340. If the price rebounds near this level and shows signs of stagnation—such as stalling momentum or signals of strong overhead selling pressure—it indicates difficulty in sustaining further upward movement, and short positions may be considered at this point. Additionally, if the price briefly breaks through 3,340 but fails to hold steady and quickly retreats, this also presents an opportune moment to go short.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD SELL@3340~3346
SL:3350
TP:3320~3310
KASPA CUP AND HANDLE (TA+TRADE PLAN)Cup and Handle pattern clearly formed with rounded bottom and emerging handle.
This is a strong bullish continuation pattern suggesting a potential breakout once the handle completes.
The neckline resistance is approximately at $0.12, and a breakout above this could trigger a strong upward move.
Support & Resistance Zones (S/R)
Current Price: $0.10895
Major Resistance Levels:
$0.12 (neckline)
$0.14
$0.16
$0.19 (pattern target)
Major Support Levels:
$0.10
$0.085
$0.065
Volume Analysis
Volume increased during the formation of the right side of the cup – a bullish signal.
Volume has decreased slightly during handle formation, which is expected.
Indicators
RSI (14): 52.89 – Neutral zone. Not overbought or oversold. Room for upward movement.
Stochastic (14, 3, 1): 27.76 – Close to oversold; potential bullish crossover incoming.
Money Flow Index (MFI): 62 – Healthy inflow of money, not overbought yet.
Wave Momentum/Cipher B: Shows bullish divergences and momentum building from recent lows.
Price Target (Pattern Projection)
Cup depth: ~$0.12 - $0.06 = $0.06
Breakout target: $0.12 + $0.06 = $0.18–0.19 zone
📈 Trading Plan – KASPA/USDT
Strategy: Cup and Handle Breakout
Entry
Aggressive Entry: Buy near current price ($0.108–$0.11) if expecting early breakout.
Conservative Entry: Buy on confirmed breakout above $0.12 with strong volume (daily close).
Stop-Loss
Place SL below handle low, approx. $0.096–$0.098 (depending on risk tolerance).
Alternative: wider SL below $0.085 support if aiming for longer-term hold.
Take Profit Levels
TP1: $0.14
TP2: $0.16
TP3: $0.19 (pattern target)
Use laddered take-profits for partial exits at each level.
Risk Management
Risk per trade: 1–2% of capital
Use position sizing calculator to adjust size based on SL distance
🔄 Re-entry Plan
If breakout fails, monitor $0.085–0.095 zone for support and potential re-entry on double-bottom or bull flag.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
Breakdown below $0.085 invalidates cup and handle.
Next support at $0.065.
Reassess structure and macro sentiment.
Algorand (ALGO): Seems More of a Liquidity Grab | We WaitCurrent movement on markets seems a little suspicious, where markets are dipping hard, yet for example, on ALGO, we do not see any proper signs.
We are expecting to see soon a bounce to upper zones to form another local hight from where we will be looking for a correctional movement, but for now we are just keeping our attention at 200 EMA.
Swallow Academy
Analysis of GBP/USD PriceThe possibility of the GBP/USD exchange rate dropping from the 1.36 USD level has been highlighted, based on the harmonic Butterfly pattern.
This analysis points towards potential movement towards predetermined target levels.
Keep an eye on these developments if you're following the currency market closely, as patterns like this can provide valuable insights for decision-making.