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Harmonic Patterns

USDCAD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Long
by dkb14246
1
AUDCHFCurrent Monetary Policy Stance The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10% in February 2025, marking the first cut since 2020. The RBA paused further easing in April, maintaining the rate at 4.10% and adopting a cautious, data-dependent approach. The RBA’s policy remains restrictive, but with inflation easing and private demand sluggish, further gradual rate cuts are anticipated through 2025. Switzerland (SNB): The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% in March 2025, responding to increased downside risks to inflation. Swiss inflation remains the lowest among G10 economies, forecast at 0.6% for 2025. The SNB is expected to keep rates at 0.25% until at least 2026, with a low risk of returning to negative rates. Interest Rate Differential As of April 2025, the interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland stands at 3.85 percentage points (Australia 4.10% minus Switzerland 0.25%). This significant positive differential typically supports the Australian dollar, as higher yields attract capital inflows into AUD-denominated assets. Impact on AUD/CHF Exchange Rate Higher Australian rates relative to Switzerland generally favor AUD appreciation versus CHF, as investors seek higher returns. However, the Swiss franc’s status as a safe-haven currency can counteract this effect during periods of global uncertainty, attracting flows into CHF regardless of the rate gap. The RBA’s gradual easing bias and the SNB’s low, stable rates suggest the differential may narrow slightly if Australia continues to cut rates, but the gap is expected to remain wide through 2025. Summary Table Central Bank Policy Rate (Apr 2025) Policy Direction Inflation Outlook RBA 4.10% Gradual easing expected Easing, within target SNB 0.25% On hold, dovish Very low, stable Conclusion The monetary policy differential between Australia and Switzerland is currently wide, with Australia maintaining much higher rates than Switzerland. This supports the AUD/CHF exchange rate, but the effect is moderated by the Swiss franc’s safe-haven appeal and global risk sentiment. Future moves by the RBA to cut rates may narrow the differential, but the gap is likely to remain significant in 2025.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
Uno Minda Ltd – Coiled for a Breakout🚗 Uno Minda Ltd – Coiled for a Breakout After 38% Correction! 📉 Stock Background & Current Structure: Uno Minda Ltd, a key player in the automobile components sector, has corrected nearly 38% from its all-time high of ₹1,255. The recent low was recorded around ₹867, which is close to a key swing level. What's interesting is that the stock recently: Swiped the latest swing low, potentially triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. Has been consolidating in a tight range (₹915–₹880) for the last 9 trading sessions. This behavior typically signals absorption of selling pressure and potential preparation for an explosive move. 🧠 Why This Trade Setup? A strong support base is being formed in the consolidation range. Despite a lower-low formation on the higher timeframe, price failed to break down aggressively. This indicates that smart money might be accumulating. If the price breaks out of this consolidation range, it offers a great swing trade setup with a well-defined risk-to-reward profile. 🎯 Trade Plan: Element Levels Entry On breakout above ₹915 Stop-Loss ₹870 (just below swing low) Target 1 ₹993 Target 2 (optional) ₹1,070 Target 3 (longer term) ₹1,150 We are currently focused on Target 1, and will assess further upside if momentum sustains. 🔍 Technical Perspective: Consolidation zones often lead to strong directional moves. Recent swing low swipe signals liquidity grab — a common sign before reversals. A breakout will confirm short-term trend reversal on lower timeframes. This is a classic "base + breakout" setup loved by both swing and positional traders. 🔔 What Led Me to Update This Analysis? Significant price correction offering value Repeated tests of support without breakdown Range-bound movement suggests seller exhaustion Structure aligns with high-probability breakout pattern 📌 Summary: Stock: Uno Minda Ltd Sector: Auto Parts / Manufacturing Strategy: Breakout Swing Trade Risk Level: Moderate (tight SL, defined setup) 📢 Don’t Miss Out! ✅ Follow me so you don’t miss the next breakout opportunity! 👍 If this helped you, drop a like and leave a comment with your view! 💬 Let’s chat in the comments. See you there! 🚀📊 🙏 Thanks for your continued support. Let’s grow together as traders!
NSE:UNOMINDALong
by PRATHAPSIMHA
BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward. Key Technical Zones: - Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply. - Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up. Current Outlook: - Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound. - If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576. Next Target: 95,576 Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD VS BTC: 2026 Like it or not, Bitcoin is behaving like a risk on asset but with the seasonality of a commodity. so there are reasons to compare the pair with its rival Gold to peek into the future, much like people do with the dollar and its fake blockchain derivates. the implications of a brutal 2025 bear market could be really bad for crypto and I seriously doubt that market makers would ever allow that. however, it's clear that they are playing with retail emotions pretty hard since COVID happened. everything is permitted, also a great wealth transfer. especially when nationwide "blackouts" happens in first world countries like Spain and France.
TVC:GOLD
by saturnv4
AUDCHFThe current head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Governor Michele Bullock, who commenced her term on 18 September 2023 and is serving through at least February 2025. The current head of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is Martin Schlegel, Chairman of the Governing Board, Zurich Antoine Martin, Vice Chairman of the Governing Board, Berne Petra Tschudin, Member of the Governing Board, Zurich Interest Rate Differential and Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has historically maintained a low or negative interest rate policy to curb the Swiss franc's strength and support the Swiss economy. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been adjusting rates in response to inflation and economic conditions, often maintaining higher interest rates relative to Switzerland. This interest rate differential typically supports the Australian dollar against the Swiss franc, as higher Australian rates attract yield-seeking capital. However, recent global economic uncertainties and risk-off sentiment have strengthened the safe-haven Swiss franc, offsetting some of the interest rate advantage of the AUD. The head of the Swiss National Bank, in recent years, has emphasized cautious monetary policy, aiming to prevent excessive franc appreciation while managing inflation and economic stability. Directional Bias is Bearish to neutral with potential for further declines in 2025 Interest Rate Differential RBA rates generally higher than SNB, supporting AUD, but SNB's low/negative rates and safe-haven status of CHF create mixed pressures SNB Policy Cautious, focused on preventing franc appreciation, maintaining low rates Market Sentiment Risk-off environments tend to strengthen CHF, weighing on AUD/CHF In conclusion, despite the interest rate advantage of the Australian dollar, the AUD/CHF pair faces bearish pressure due to broader market sentiment favoring the Swiss franc as a safe haven and technical indicators signaling potential downside. Traders should watch SNB communications and global risk sentiment closely for directional cues The interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland is a key driver of the AUD/CHF exchange rate. When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raises interest rates relative to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Australian dollar (AUD) generally appreciates against the Swiss franc (CHF), and vice versa. How Interest Rate Differentials Influence AUD/CHF Higher Australian Interest Rates: When the RBA sets higher interest rates compared to the SNB, it attracts foreign capital seeking better yields. This increased demand for AUD leads to its appreciation against CHF, pushing the AUD/CHF exchange rate higher Lower Swiss Interest Rates: Switzerland traditionally maintains very low or even negative interest rates to prevent excessive appreciation of the CHF and support its economy. This low yield makes CHF less attractive relative to AUD when Australian rates are higher, further supporting AUD strength. Carry Trade Effect: The positive interest rate gap (for example, RBA at 4.25% vs SNB at 0.5%) incentivizes traders to buy AUDCHF to earn the interest rate differential (positive swap), which can sustain demand for AUD against CHF. Safe-Haven Status of CHF: Despite the interest rate differential, CHF often strengthens during times of global financial uncertainty due to its safe-haven status. This can offset the interest rate advantage of AUD, causing AUD/CHF to decline even if Australian rates are higher.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup? NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup? NZDCHF is on the verge of confirming a bullish Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. If the price moves above the neckline at 0.4870, the chances of an upward continuation increase, potentially solidifying a new bullish trend. However, a major risk remains: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to intervene in the Forex market, strengthening the CHF in ways that seem unpredictable. Their unconventional monetary policy has often benefited Switzerland at the expense of other economies, and these interventions show little regard for market stability. Should the SNB interfere, NZDCHF could experience a bearish wave, possibly when least expected. This adds a significant risk and uncertainty to this setup. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
Bullish rise off pullback support?S&P500 has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,478.47 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 5,349.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level; Take profit: 5,776.02 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
LINK/USDT on the 4H timeframe)Trend: The market is in a bullish structure with a clear series of higher highs and higher lows. Support & Resistance: Support Zone: Around $13.70 – $14.00 (just below current price, previous consolidation area). Immediate Resistance: Around $15.94 (marked on your chart). Major Resistance: Around $17.52 (also marked). --- Trading Plan: Entry Point (Buy): Current price zone (~$14.98) is viable if price breaks and holds above $15.00. Alternatively, a retest entry around $14.50–14.70 (for a safer entry near support). First Target: $15.94 (marked as your first target box). Final Target: $17.52 (major resistance and final target marked on chart). --- Stop Loss Suggestion: Below recent swing low: around $13.90 (under support area).
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
GBPJPY DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSGBPJPY is currently trading around the 191.00 zone, and price action is forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart. This follows a strong impulse leg, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside. The consolidation is tight and healthy, showing market participants are preparing for a breakout. My upside target stands at 193.000, which aligns with the descending trendline resistance. From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound remains supported by recent hawkish signals from the Bank of England, which is facing persistent inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken across the board due to the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary stance and its defense of yield curve control, which makes it less attractive in a high-interest environment. Technically, this setup aligns with key momentum indicators and market structure. If price breaks above the flag pattern with volume confirmation, we can expect buyers to take control, pushing price toward the 193.000 resistance zone. This level also coincides with a key liquidity area where prior sellers may be trapped. Overall, GBPJPY continues to offer a solid bullish bias in the short term. The pair is fundamentally and technically aligned for a push higher. Breakout traders should monitor closely as the price approaches the upper trendline of the flag. This is one of the most watched JPY pairs right now—momentum is building.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery