Harmonicsignals
Wyckoff Redistribution - 22.8k to 18.3kWyckoff Redistribution to 22.8k
First, the fundamentals:
Bitcoin is currently in a clear distribution phase, as supported by volume and the fact that big players are selling and small players are buying (seen by the amount of BTC wallets holding BTC increasing, with those wallets having smaller number of BTC in them).
Next:
A shark pattern has emerged on the 4 hour chart, and BTC has bounced around the 1-0.886 retracement area. Usually in a circumstance like this, Take Profit would be around 50% of BC, which in this case is around the same area of 22.8k. The bounce point from C-D leg would complete the bullish harmonic pattern and can potentially signal the continuation of the downtrend.
If we measure the 1.618 of OX we get 18,250. If we measure the 2.236 of a potential CD at 22.8k we get the exact same point - 18,250. Now this is more than just coincidental given the PSY level on the Redistribution schematic.
Next, the 2.236 level in harmonics are usually seen in patterns like the Crab, Gartley, Shark or Partizan. This bearish leg can bounce at 1.618 (19.5k) and continue to fall straight down to 2.236 (18,250) which is likely. This is where we close our SHORT and flip LONG.
Wyckoff Law mentions how we can have an extreme impulse towards BC (Buying Climax) to test the previous Preliminary Supply. Now there is a reason we are not choosing 23.5k for this (as you can see in the pattern on the right hand side, the point next to the letters "Phase A" is likely to be 23.5k.
An automatic rally (AR) can occur when selling volume has diminished. There are likely going to be buyers buying at the 0.5 or 0.618 retracement of CD before last chance SHORT retesting UT/ST around 22.7k.
Finally, stocks look like they are about to crash and should drag Bitcoin down with it. DXY is also rallying and showing no signs of slowing down mid term.
Also, the 200MA weekly is not that important here but a good resistance level in case we somehow break 22.8k. I think not likely though.
NEAR - Mixing Harmonic Patterns with WyckoffMixing Harmonic Patterns with Wyckoff Law (and also confirming with Elliot Wave where applicable) can be one of the most effective ways to trade.
The AB=CD pattern comes within many Harmonic patterns such as the Shark, Crab or Bat. You can scalp movements like this within confirmed (or very possible) harmonic patterns that all point to a singular number.
You can also trade smaller harmonics within bigger harmonics, as long as you map out the bigger harmonic first, so you have an idea where the market is heading mid-long term.
In the example above, we use altcoin NEAR Protocol. We first check the 4 hour to find bigger harmonics, and then switch down to the 1 hour or 15 mins and trade those timeframes, depending on what we prefer.
Currently, NEAR on the 1 hour timeframe is pointing towards 4.72 via the 1.618 and the 2/2.14 fibs. It makes sense that price would top here, because of the "Preliminary Supply / PSY" Section as seen in Wyckoff Redistribution Schematic #4 (For more info on this, please check my "Link to Related Ideas" below, where I describe this in more detail on a Bitcoin chart.
You could also use Elliot Wave analysis here to map out the 5 waves upwards towards 4.72. Perhaps the final 5th wave points to a 1.272 or 1.618 expansion?
BANKNIFTYHello and welcome to this analysis
Bank Nifty after a stupendous run has reversed from a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark suggesting a probable 38-50 Fibonacci retracement of the entire run since mid June.
Harmonic patterns are formed when structures synergize with Fibonacci ratios thereby giving higher probabilities of reversal confirmations.
This view will be valid till SPOT does not break above 39850
Risk Reward appears to be very good for a bearish trade.
Possible Double Bottom, 22k StillPossible Double Bottom with good Buying.
Double Bottom pattern target is 1x above the neckline - this would be around 21,950-22k. The 0.886 fib X-D also meets here, which would create a potential bearish harmonic .
If this does happen, my profit target will be the 1.618 and 3.14 fibs - around 20k and 18.3k.
There is a descending triangle , but I won't be shorting here - I have a feeling it will break upwards.