Where BTC going from here? BTC find bottom? Last 4 - 5 months I tracked #Bitcoin to see when it will hit the bottom like many of you and I was expecting capitulation before we see a strong move up from BTC.
Did Crypto find bottom, Alts and BTC? I'm not 100% sure but altcoins made nice 50%+ move some even bigger move from bottom. If you are not already long on some of these movers or if you catch some of these moves I guess it is a good time to take some profits from table and move Stop in profit. I'm 100% sure I will not long here.
Why?
Because I'll wait to see where this going from here. Can Bitcoin push from here without retrace? Sure, it's possible, but the question is what kind of traders are you? Holder? Where to enter and where to place Stop? Anyway this is what I tracked these months for #BTC and what I was looking for (I know bear option is not popular) and what could happen.
Back in September '20 the first harmonic pattern I spotted (after BTC make big drop) was bullish Shark pattern. I also noticed that is choppy waves and usually it is not a good idea to take long in bearish market.
I got the bearish harmonic pattern in result of how the price moves (small Butterfly harmonic pattern)
Again, I noticed choppy waves (not impulse, this move should be part of some larger correction)
At same time, I got a larger harmonic pattern (121 pattern)
and 5 - 0 pattern, that is a specific harmonic pattern (small margin for error)
I assume this is just internal (inside) correction of larger move down (from 25k to 18k) and I have confluence of 3 #harmonic patterns.
Risk to Reward (R:R) is good and in bearish market is always a better option to ride with trend. Clear Entry, Stop and all Targets.
So, Bitcoin reached all targets, for one small and two larger harmonic patterns.
After that drop, the next pattern I got is small Cypher and Anti Butterfly pattern.
Like I said before, it is not a good idea to long in bearish market but these harmonic patterns reached all targets (I ask myself maybe trend is going to change)?
After a nice move from that bottom, Bitcoin reached new larger bearish harmonic patterns (very large 121 pattern and Cypher and Anti Butterfly)
These patterns even reached PRZ however they still did not reach "entry". The question is will it be invalidated (not reached "Entry" before break up) or we will see valid harmonic patterns (hit entry) and reached some targets?
One of the reasons to be careful is because I can see two more possible harmonic patterns above (Crab and more upside Nen Star and Anti Bat).
If this is not bottom one of the options are this Elliott wave that I see.
I guess soon we will see where the top is for this move up (if this is bottom) and what kind of move down we will see after we find top (if this is not yet). 3 or 5 wave down.
Enjoy and good hunting.
Harmonictraders
Bullish Crab on 4hr, 12hr, 1DBINANCE:BTCUSDT A fun way to potentially draw what could happen in the long term. Just for fun. Since the Gartely Failed, I am leaning toward a Bullish Crab very soon $1000 away. I believe there will be some sort of reaction on the 1.618. From there, not sure, maybe make a Bat to a Deep Crab all the way up to 30k. From there, not sure. Thanks
BTC/USDT - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.according to monthly to weakly timeframe analysis i make some zones for bitcoin.
i am looking possiable move of btc at 2400 then goes to 18400.
personally i am taking ka long swing trade from 21400 our stoploss will be 17500.
taget 1st is 1:3 risk reward ratio 2nd target 1:5rr and 3rd is 1:7 or 10.
CABLE BULL BREAKOUTAfter several weeks of Price action consolidating on CABLE inside of a DESCENDING WEDGE and forming several HARMONIC PATTERNS it appears as though we finally have a winner between the bulls and the bears. Based on the price action a bottom has been formed and a breakout of the WEDGE PATTERN has occurred. Assuming this is a STEP ONE BREAKOUT and a total reversal of the bear momentum, we should see a RETEST next week, potentially during CPI, and a KISS of the broken trend.
Entries have been painted in two parts along with a stop loss BELOW the painted support areas @1.192, if CABLE is to break back into the pattern and challenge the bottom formation again, we will get out before it does so. If all goes well a new BULL TREND could form and CABLE will attempt to make a NEW HIGH
Adding to my btc prediction long termNot sure how to add charts to existing published ideas so making this separate for now, which is just another indicator to use for my point of view and perspective, is the 3day anti gartley formed for anyone into harmonics trading, although I personally do not use them much, but do believe on a more macro chart such as this 3day that they do have some significance, esp when used in confluence for everything already mentioned in my main BTC prediction using fib circles, and fib channels. This ant gartley shows a take profit amount of $9.5k which would perfectly align with my main chart and would be almost pinpoint precise to my exact main target prediction which would take out that CME futures gap that I so strongly see us retracing to as the final bottom of this bear market. Therefore, lets rock n roll and see how this thing plays out over time, accumulating the final bottom sometime very close to our fall equinox. Godspeed and goodluck making that money
EURUSD THE BULLISH PERSUSAION*DISCLAIMER*
THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES AND I WILL NOT BE TAKING THIS TRADE. WHAT YOU DO WITH THIS INFORMATION IS ENTIRELY AT YOUR OWN RISK AND I AM NOT LIABLE.
EURUSD has been on a prolonged bearish market on the weekly time frame, along the way it had some bullish corrections as the market cannot go in one direction for ever. I believe we're at the stage where price action will face another bullish correction but this time, will be a more significant turn around in the trend. The bullish deep crab indicates that price has been oversold and may face a bullish correction or a significant change in trend as you can see from the heavy assault from the bears. Price has tested the entire range of the PRZ first with extreme price action, marking the TPB almost exceeding the 2.0 make or break stop loss limit. The nature of price action when it comes to this particular pattern is, for price to first exceed the PRZ, then reverse immediately after testing this range. You can see how price action closes just above the 1.618 on the weekly time frame, showing the liquidity spike it did towards the late sellers leaving them trapped. This spike also indicates price action's first sign of exhaustion as this spike level of spike is huge. Back on the daily you can see price action consolidating and if you go on a lower time frame, you can see this range more in detail. One may say on a lower time frame, price action is in the accumulation phase which is the act of gathering the liquidity before the big shift towards the upside, so we can use this as a layer of confirmation for the bullish persuasion.
Another layer of confirmation for the bullish persuasion is the RSI BAMM. The extreme RSI readings does a complex W type structure in the oversold reading, initiating the RSI Trigger bar. This begins the first phase of the divergence as the reading has a sharp rally towards 50% level. Although the reading did another impulse test on the oversold limit, it's okay because it did not test the 50% level as this is a minimum requirement before triggering the confirmation bar. The RSI reading does however, start to roll over after testing the 50% level which begins the final phase of the divergence which is the confirmation point. As price and RSI reading began to breakdown, this told us the short lived uptrend is over and the final push to the low has began before price action reaches a significant turning point. This "final push" indicates the composite operator is quickly trying to reach his target before the trend shifts. Scott mentions in volume 2 "The best trading opportunities develop when distinct patterns complete at important retest points for the RSI. When patterns complete while the RSI stabilizes, these signs accurately validate successful reversals well in advance." Which happened in this case, both price action and the RSI reading came in union to validate that price action has reached a significant turning point, although the RSI reading may have signalled an early trade, as price had to test and exceed the critical number in the PRZ, this has validated this PRZ as the sign post for a possible reversal.
Over the past serval months I've noticed traders will place a limit order on the crucial number of the PRZ, although I respect them as they have high belief in the system, it is imperative you understand the nature of each pattern and also the time frame as so patterns may exceed the PRZ as a form a liquidity grab. Traders must remember the characteristics of extreme price action, just like in reality, if someone is desperate, they would like to achieve their target in a quicker turn around time by all means. This is where I see the human behaviour within price action.
I won't go into further detail beyond this point as the rest is for my research and journal, thank you for taking the time for reading this blog.
See you on the charts.
Beaucoup Pips
Fibonacci Retracement on ShibaInuCOINBASE:SHIBUSD
Fibonacci Retracement on COINBASE:SHIBUSD suggests that a possible bounce back is expected from 0.00001272 till 0.00001388.
After that a massive short position may take place till .00001000 after which a bullish rally may seen.
CABLE BULLISH 3 DRIVEAfter some careful consideration of the price action I realized that CABLE was making a very RARE, DOUBLE HARMONIC pattern called the 3 drives.
In this case it appears as though CABLE is creating a BULLISH THREE DRIVES DOWN harmonic pattern. Which would frame our sells at this point and give us a nice potential EXIT to any CABLE sells at point #3.
From point #3 it is a very high likelihood that CABLE will experience some form of bullish impulse wave. The current trading plan is to ride the THIRD DRIVE TO THE BOTTOM, which is wave 3 of the second harmonic pattern that is contained WITHIN a 3 Drive pattern.
After completion of wave 3, the size of the resulting impulse wave should give clues to the next step in CABLE
GBPZAR SHORTThe XA leg of the Harmonic is a Double top in itself. The huge wicks on that leg suggests large institutional volumes trapped in that region. The CD leg just broke through the last order block and we see a confluence on the 1.272 Fib and 2.000 Fib where the CD leg completes. The H1 also gives a beautiful crab pattern competing around the same region. I would say this move may wait for the release oof Non-farm data for a violent take off in the Bearish side and if not enough volume is taken then we may see a retest and a gradual Bearish movement.
Harmonic Bat Pattern for traders can apply on any time frameThe Bat is defined by the .886 retracement of move XA as Potential Reversal Zone. The Bat pattern has the following qualities:
Move AB should be the .382 or .500 retracement of move XA.
Move BC can be either .382 or .886 retracement of move AB.
If the retracement of move BC is .382 of move AB, then CD should be 1.618 extension of move BC. Consequently, if move BC is .886 of move AB, then CD should be 2.618 extension of move BC.
CD should be .886 retracement of move XA.
Supporting theory for GBPUSD ShortI see a nice Bat pattern with a tight C point, now price can drop again and give me a better C point retracement but it broke structure to the high. What's important is the 88.6 lines up with the price imbalance where price has shifted away, which is a very big clue where price can potential reverse. Include this with my higher timeframe bias and let's see the magic happen.
Beaucoup Out
UNI : INCREASE VIEWUNI showing depending on low time frame increase view.
we will follow this coin to check the trend out.
🌠We will monitor UNI to see if it shows any upward movement in the lower time frames. If the trend looks promising, we will continue to track it beyond the initial 24-hour period
🗝UNI have good chance to breakout if the trend keep going in trend volume
$O Childhoods End ODAI UPDATE!Congrats on a 1X since call, updated chart with new targets.
Stay safe and take profits along the way 💚
Will keep you posted.
Nfa/Dyor