IBM Stock Slides 9% After Confirming $6.4B HashiCorp BuyoutInternational Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:IBM ) encountered a stormy start to the trading day as its shares tumbled more than 8% in premarket trading on Thursday. The computing and consultancy giant grappled with challenges in its consulting business, fueled by enterprise spending constraints amid an uncertain economic backdrop and rising interest rates.
The tepid performance in IBM's consulting segment, marked by weaker demand for smaller discretionary projects, sent shockwaves through the market. Despite a 5.5% growth in its software business and a strategic $6.4 billion acquisition of cloud software company HashiCorp (NYSE: NASDAQ:HCP ), NYSE:IBM fell short of Wall Street expectations with total revenue of $14.46 billion, slightly below estimates.
Analysts at J.P. Morgan highlighted the unexpected deterioration in IBM's consulting division, while acknowledging the potential for a turnaround fueled by the company's backlog. However, the magnitude of IBM's consulting slowdown overshadowed the software acceleration, prompting concerns among investors.
The confirmation of IBM's acquisition of HashiCorp for $6.4 billion added complexity to the narrative, with the deal expected to close by the end of 2024. While NYSE:IBM anticipates the acquisition to be accretive to adjusted EBITDA within the first 12 months post-closing, investors remained cautious amidst uncertainties surrounding regulatory approval and integration challenges.
IBM's CFO, James Kavanaugh, cited macroeconomic uncertainty as a key factor driving prudent customer discretionary spending, echoing concerns about tightening budgets amid economic headwinds.
Despite posting adjusted earnings of $1.68 per share for the first quarter, beating analysts' forecasts, IBM's revenue miss and consulting woes cast a shadow over its financial performance. The company's stock price plummeted to $168.51 in after-hours trading, erasing some of the gains it had accrued over the past year.
Investors closely monitored IBM's chart patterns, with the $165 level emerging as a critical support area amidst the selling pressure. The stock's trajectory, characterized by a breakout from a multi-month rising wedge followed by a retreat to its lower trendline, underscored the volatility and uncertainty surrounding IBM's prospects.
The challenges posed by enterprise spending constraints and executing its growth strategy amidst macroeconomic headwinds, investor sentiment remains pivotal in determining the company's trajectory in the coming quarters.
HCP
HashiCorp ($HCP) Stock Up 26% on Report of IBM Buyout Shares of HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ), a cloud software maker, surged by up to 26% following media reports that IBM was in discussions to acquire the company. HashiCorp's software aids developers in setting up and managing infrastructure in public clouds operated by companies like Amazon and Microsoft. The software also provides organizations with security credential management services for which they pay HashiCorp.
According to sources who wished to remain unnamed, a potential deal could be reached within the next few days. This report has been neither confirmed nor denied by either HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ) or IBM representatives.
While HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ) went public on Nasdaq in 2021, the company was founded in 2012 and has grown considerably since. In the fiscal year ending January 31st, the company earned $583 million in revenue, alongside a net loss of almost $191 million. The annual report shows that HashiCorp's revenue increased by nearly 23% during that period, compared to IBM's 2% in 2023. IBM executives cited a difficult economic climate during a conference call with analysts in January. IBM will report its earnings on Wednesday.
Cisco held $9 million worth of HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ) shares at the end of March, according to regulatory filings. In 2019, Cisco reportedly held early discussions about acquiring HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ).
Technical Outlook
HashiCorp ( NASDAQ:HCP ) share IS up 26% due to the buyout news trading above the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Average (MA) respectively. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 70.24 indicating bullish momentum.
HCP runs to earnings on March 4th LONGHCP is a computer infrastructure company. The December earnings were a 160% beat. Given the
quicky evolving AI supertrend, the earnings might be expected to be another big beat. However,
that could be baked into the price. However, the explosive volatility of the last trading session
say otherwise. I will take a long trade here and chase this stock. I see it as pulling out of a
pullback and continuing on higher time frames.
HCP Testing its necklineHCP is forming a clear Head-and-Shoulders pattern. It is still not completed as the stock is testing the neckline at 43.00, but odds favor breaking that line to successfully complete that pattern and target 50.00.
What gives more weight to this scenario is RSI structure. RSI moved in the blue rectangle during the pattern formation and it managed to break it in the right shoulder, suggesting the persistence of strength.
A confirmed breakout above the neckline -closing above 44.00- would push the stock to 50.00.
Stop loss below 42.00