HogsHogs - Weekly Continuous: The gray vertical bars represent the expiration month of labeled contract and have prices of each contract as of today labeled. The deferred contracts can use the uptrend/downtrend lines to determine areas to be hedged. The June 21' high has provided a pivot for a down trend line that has acted as a strong area of resistance. Currently the May and June Contracts are near that downtrend line and could warrant some Price protection. Above look at the Red Uptrend line
Lean Hogs
Lean Hogs With Oil Futures CorrelationsLean Hog has a gap below that has me intrigued but I am not sure how or if it will fill. I will also note this interesting but obvious correlation that I found with oil. We have some interesting inverse correlations on 2/18, 3/17, 3/25 among other days but otherwise similar chart patterns between the two. I am not sure how or why lean hogs front ran the oil pump 2/14 - 2/25 I would be curious to anyone's thoughts on this. Just general observations from a neutral stance.
HogsContinuous Hogs- Weekly: Currently plotting against the February contract. Uptrend lines off swing lows, and downtrend lines off swing highs. Creates areas to watch for action and reaction points. The Red uptrend line off the Covid Crash low is trying to maintain the overall strength in Lean Hogs. A firm break below could find support at any of the dashed downtrend lines…
Upside into the first half of 2022 show multiple areas competing with last years strength
LEAN HOGS FUTURES (HE1!) DailyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
The Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick. If multiple Djinn prediction dates are missed and are plowed through by same color Henikin Ashi candles the asset is being "reset". The "reset" is complete when Henikin Ashi candles are back in sync with Djinn price high or low prediction dates.
One way the Djinn Indicator is used to enter and exit trades:
For best results trade in the direction of the trend.
The Linear Regression channel is used to determine trend direction. The Linear Regression is set at 2 -2 30.
When a green Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression upper deviation line (green line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a sell is triggered.
When a red Henikin Ashi candle intersects with the linear regression lower deviation line (red line) and both indicators intersect with a Djinn prediction date a buy is triggered.
This trading strategy works on daily, weekly and Monthly Djinn Predictive charts.
This is not trading advice. Trade at your own risk.
LEAN HOGS FTURES (HE1!) MonthlyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
LEAN HOGS FTURES (HE1!) WeeklyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, in all asset categories and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
LEAN HOGS FUTURES (HE1!) DailyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing dates. The Djinn Indicators work on all charts, in all asset categories and in all time frames.
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
Lean Hogs: Ranged 2-month plan. Leans Hogs is on a strong rejection this first few session of 2020, after the top on the 72.100 1D Resistance. The price is currently testing the 1D MA50 (blue line) which has been acting as the pivot since October.
With the long term Higher Low trend line (since August 2018) providing Support, we are expecting a bounce on the 61.400 Symmetrical Support back towards the 1D Resistance. 2 way opportunities exist within this range. Make the most out of it.
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1D Channel Up. Long.Lean Hogs (HE1!) are on a 1D Channel Up (MACD = 2.610, Highs/Lows = 4.5150, B/BP = 9.0280) but highly overbought (RSI = 72.148, STOCHRSI = 96.420) hence in need of a technically pull back. Based on the recurring patterns this will come in the form of a consolidation/ slow down and not a standard pull back. The next Higher High and TP is projected at 70.000.
LIVE CATTLE - Finding a bottomIn the chart above I've plotted average cattle prices since February of 1980. I found that a 30 year view is typically enough to see the big picture in a market. Prices closed today (9/6/16) nearly exactly at par, which has been a major level since 2003. From its all time low (53.xx in July 1985) to its peak (170.xx on Nov 2014), the .618% retracement sits at about $98 per cwt.
Since Feb 1980 price has never declined over 30% (avg major peak to major trough was about 28%). Since Q4 of 2014 price has declined 40%, so by all standards this is considered a somewhat rare decline in price. Though, given how high prices have gone, it is far from out of the ordinary to see a decline of this magnitude or greater. This recent price action is reminiscent of oil in January/February. My thought is we'll see a bottom somewhere between 96 - 88. 88 seems more likely. I am going long with low leverage at 96 if price action signals a long on the short term chart. I am going long at 89 with an automatic buy order regardless of the short term price action.
Oil is the chart above - Live cattle is the chart below
Source for data: www.investing.com
Hogs: Dealing with a logarithmic vs. arithmetic discrepancy My long trade is the assumption that the breakdown on the log chart is a false breakout. I trade based on LOG almost entirely, but there is a mixed bag of data here that leads me to believe it is worth considering both metrics (log vs arithmetic). Many traders dislike trend lines - this is just one of those reasons among many. The way I deal with these situations is to analyze them horizontally and see which levels are violated from there.
From the horizontal perspective price is at an attractive symmetrical level as shown in purple. I am a cautious buyer here. My stop is relatively wide because $5.4 per pound ($54 per 100 weight) would still register as a buy.