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H&S with right anglePreviously I posted a Head and Shoulder Pattern forming at around 7.200$ BTC/USD Price. I exaggerated (got wrong) the downtrend angle. I also wasn't aware of Chinese Holidays until recently. That (to me) had a huge impact on the trading volume thursday and friday. Still Weekend worked out as expected. This is an update of the H&S pattern that I thought was forming but with a correction on the downtrend. Also I am adding a possible Short Position that I might take. Please comment if you feel my analysis is wrong and much more important: NEVER INVEST ON SOMEONE ELSE'S IDEAS! Trade safe and BTC will definetely go to 100K+ (eventualy)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by UrbnityTrades
previous bearflag finally breaks down and hits projected target.It was over 36 hours of non stop consolidation on the last bear flag, doji after doji after doji, morphing at times into a descending wedge, a diamond bottom, and threatening to be an eve shoulder of an adam and eve double bottom, but after 9 4 hour candles of consolidation, it finally returned back into a standard bear flag and broke down to the projected target almost exactly. One of the obstacles that took it so long to do so was the 23.60% fibonacci retracement line(in red) That line was tested again and again and again and just refused to submit....acting as support for hours and hours before finally caving and the flood gates opening. It has now been flipped to just as strong of a resistance line which is a very bad sign for the bulls and the chance of us returning above it before more downside is experienced. It also has now overlapped with the t line which was providing just as stubborn of resistance during the last bear flag and continues to be that level of resistance. Here I am showing the 1hr chart because I think it shows the flags slightly more clearly, but it is important to note that on the 4hr chart, we still have not established a higher low than the last low we had on back on April 1st. I find it hard to believe we would fall back down this close to that low and somehow still create a higher low so I'd say probability highly favors either a new lower low after this current bear flag that has a projected drop of $6264....or we trigger a double bottom with the low on April 1st and then finally shoot upward from there. If we achieve a lower low, the next chance for a rebound will be the psychological support of 6,000 and just under that at $5942 a chance to trigger a massive double bottom with february 6ths low. If we do dip down that low, we will need to trigger a big rebound quickly otherwise we could close under a massive head and shoulders pattern which if triggered has the potential to send us down to $3,000 or even lower which would be bad for the market and could potentially cause the entire year of 2018 to be a bear market. I'm still optimistic in a bullish 2nd quarter so I'm hoping we trigger one of these potential double bottoms...but for now I remain short and will likely limit buy most of my position back just above the psychological support of 6,000 to play it safe...and ladder in more to the position just above each significant line of support under that we might reach. You of course choose your own path though as this is not financial advice. Good luck, ad thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
3
Closed 1 4hr cndle above dscnding trngle; still inside bearflagA very positive sign to see us close a 4 hour candle above both the descending triangle and the t-line ont he 4 hour chart....we have one hour left to go on the current 4 hour candle but as you can see it's momentum turned around right inside the edge of the bear flag we've been stuck in for awhile now. Hopefully it will close above the descending triangle as well and give us a confirmation of a potential breakout...but even then we need to see lts of bull volume to go with it for the descending triangle to be valid. For now we are still stuck inside a bear flag but hopefully after closing this current 4 hur candle above the descending triangles top tan trendline that can give us enough bull momentum to bust upward out of the bear flag and follow that candle with another 4hr confirmation candle closing above the bear flag as well...that should collectively give us enough momentum to avoid the dread and shoulders and the death cross. We will ahve to wait and see so for now I remain neutral. You make your own best judgement on what you choose to do as this is not financial advice. Thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
bearflag expands ; are we looking at another descending wedge?For now I stay neutral because sure there's plenty of bearish signs in the market but there is also what appears to be another smaller fractal like descending wedge pattern forming as I have indicated here with the light tan trendlines...These patterns are pretty bullish and Haejin Lee also hypothesized after the last descending wedge that we would rise up and former a smaller fractal of that descending wedge which is kind of what it appears we are potentially doing...of course if this bear flag decides to break bearishly then the potential of triggering a massive head and shoulders that could send us to 5100-5400 is possible...but if we don't confirm a bearish break below this wedge we might instead see a nice bullish break upward to subvert the bearish head and shoulders....Head and shoulders can often be tricks for example the last descending wedge was hidden inside a fake head and shoulders....this could once again be the case....we are sitting at a pivotal moment of limbo where the side it breaks on will determine a big fall or rise. Be careful tread wisely and make good decisions...this is not financial advice. Lastly based on the recent two candles having a trendline that connects them we can expand the ebarflag and see that it likely hasnt been broken yet and is instead bigger than we had originally seen wich happens alot with flag patterns.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
4
4hr bearflag teetering on the verge of a bearish breakdown.Not looking good folks..we can see a bearflag that has been forming on the 4hr for awhile is threatening to break bearishly....you can see the projection of that drop would send us all the way under to the grey ascending trendline which bounced us back up from our biggest low of the year and hasn't been encountered for over a month since that time. It has made strong support in the past and I see no reason why it wouldn't this time around too but always consider the worst case scenario possibility of it breaking down under that as well which I think could only occur if the massive head and shoulders that MagicPoopCannon is claiming is actually actually head and shoulders...if so that could send the market as low as $54000 for a brief while.....It's also very possible that a bearish breakdown from this current 4hr bear flag could still send us all the way to the ascending grey trendline and the grey trendline bounce us back upward quick enough that we never get a chance to actually trigger or confirm the head and shoulders....I think one of these 3 outcomes will happen...bust to consider the potential of all three and have a good game plan ready...If we confirm the bearflag breakdown I will likely go short until just above the grey ascending trend line.You do you though, as this is not financial advice.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
EURUSD sentiment shift?!Ok, so quick update with the EURUSD. We can see that after February's drop we got exposure to some solid support at the 61.8% retracement from the highest high. This is mimicked by the intense price action from the smaller 38.2% - 50% within that range. They're the baby blue lines. We can see that this chart has one bull flag at the end of an even bigger flag. To trade this we would need a strong close above the smaller bull channel (grey pattern), coincided with a strong close above the bigger channel (white pattern). Aside from a bullish rally, we can actually see a head and shoulders pattern forming. If the smaller bull flag pattern were to break down and close below the neckline we would see a drop to the 1.19 area. Of course the pattern would HAVE to break through the bigger 61.8% retracement floor, followed by the 50% and 61.8%. The RSI is starting to show higher lows and the MACD has passed a bullish crossover. All in all I will be looking for a strong close above both flags, or keep the smaller one for a small position. If I start to see sentiment change, then I'll be shorting to the neckline, then below that if the HS pattern stays true.
Long
by jordvnflows
NEO :- Potential Inverse Head and Shoulder Neo seems to be in a potential inverse head and shoulder pattern and seems to be respecting it for the moment. Keep in mind that a downtrend line within the right shoulder has been drawn and this resides within the right shoulder.In order to see the right shoulder play its part that would require a breakout from the downtrend line. A potential target for the IHS is placed at 95+ levels and keep in mind a nice breakout to the upside would be possible as soon as we see the trendline on RSI breaking out. A major move could be in the offing at any moment.
Long
by Akshath1994
XMRUSD MONERO LONG!!!Inverse head and shoulders forming on the 4h time frame with a break and retest of neckline occurring. 4h also reveals the formation of a higher high On the Daily, there is bearish convergence on the RSI, signalling a trend reversal to the upside. Price on the Daily has also rejected the 61% fibonacci previously and has done so again. This is also reinforced by the lower bound of the wedge formation, creating strong support. Price is expected to test the higher bound of this wedge formation at which our TP will be set Entry:$214 TP: $320 SL:$178
BITFINEX:XMRUSDLong
by MayerFX
Ascending wedge drop target dropped to the exact length of wedgeJust wanted to show you all how the purple ascending wedge once it was broken out of dipped the exact height and angle of the wedge...so a very reliable pattern. Also wanted to note that we now have 2 4 hour candles that have closed below this head and shoulder neckline with the bulls desperately trying to lift it back up above the neckline...so far on the 1 day chart though we have yet to close below the neckline...I wouldn't consider it a definite breakout until I see 2 1 day back to abck candles close below the neckline...but with 2 closing below it on the 4 hour its definitely not a good sign. Hoping for a false breakout because if it is a valid breakout you can see by the red dotted trendline that it would take us all the way down to the red fib retracement level....which would be lower than both the grey ascending trendline which has acted as extremely strong support multiple times since last July and would take us even further down than the bottom we hit in February. So if you see today's 1 day candle close under the neckline be prepared to play the short game waiting on 1 more 1 day candle for confirmation. If the bulls can find a way to get the 1 day to close above the neckline...then there's still a slight chance for a ltitle more downside possibly finding good support at the ascending grey trendline or if it breaks below that at the same price we found februarys bottom at.....Once we find a clear bottom that is likely the time I will go fishing for extreme bargains in the alt coin market, but the way this head and shoulders is looking right now, there's a chance we could dip into the $4,000s before then. I certainly hope not but if so I intend to find a way to allow the dip to make more more btc in the process. You make your own decisions however as this once again is not financial advice. Best of luck.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
BTC hits ascending wedge drop target, flirting w/ h&s breakdownBTC has just reached the target price drop of the ascending wedge breakdown shown by the purple dashed line. WWhile it doesn't surprise me it hit this price, it does worry me, because now we are in real danger of breaking below the neckline of this current head and shoulders..we have already sent a wick below it. In order to break it we will need at least 2 closes below the neckline on the 4 hour chart. Even then its not a guarantee that its not a fake breakout but the probability and odds are then at that point greatly in favor of a successful breakout. However 2 closes on the 1 day chart under the head and shoulders neckline will indeed signal a valid head and shoulders pattern. If this happens we may possibly plummet below my grey ascending trendline and possibly dip even lower than februarys low which is a very scary thought. So these next few candles are clutch. I'm still hoping we will eventually find strong support and a huge bounce back up from either the grey ascending trendline or just under it at the same price as februarys low thereby creating a massive double bottom pattern. The latter would probably be preferable, as it would have greater potential to take the price far higher. Anyways be careful out there if you aren't already still short, and you see 2 confirmation candles below the hea and shoulder neckline it may be wise to go short at least until right above the grey ascending trendline or possibly right above it if you are fishing to trigger a limit with a wick. A more adventurous trader may try to put their limit buy back in just above the low of february. As of right now technically the inverted head and shoulders pattern is also still in play because we haven't gone below its head but I have taken it off the chart currewntly as to not muddy up things with overlapping h&s patterns.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DrDovetail
4
We officially have gone above the neckline!We are officially above the neckline on the 4hr chart!! And with only 4 minutes left to go before this 4 hour candle closes...we may actually close this candle above the neckline! Very exciting time to be invested in btc! Now remember folks we still even if it closes above the neckline on the 4 hr chart are going to need the next 4 hr candle to close above it as well...we also want to see a huge swell in bullish volume to help confirm it. Also always good to double check indicators such as mac d and rsi to be safe....the biggest confirmation won't be until we have closed to 1day candles above the neckline...however 2 4hr candles closing above is a really good sign...I would even tread lightly and wait for a 3rd 4 hr candle if I was being super conservative. We may very well see the price dip back udner the neckline as a false breakout initially though so be prepared if that happens I imagine it will only take another day or 2 max before we get a legitimate breakout. Of course, this could be the legitimate breakout and we might not even ahve to worry about any fake outs. Best to be patient and see just to be safe though.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
NEXT UP: BITCOIN In Major Fight Against Reigning Champion! SIGH.Hello Friends & Family, Ladies and Gentleman Tomorrow... we are going to witness, the most anticipated match in the history of crypto trading for the heavy weight championship of the Woooorld! In the blue corner, we have BITCOIN, up and coming super star with a record of 10 wins and only 3 losses. In the red corner we have THE reigning, undisputed champion of the World, Mister 11,8K, with 25 wins and only 1 loss! Are you ready?? Cryyypto-faans, aaaaare youuuuu reeeeady?? For the millions of people watching around the world, live directly from TradingView, ladies and gentleman, aaaare you reaaady to ruuuuuuuuuuuuuuumblee?? We are now taking a look at the 4h BTCUSD Chart. D4rkEnergYs 55 % scenario has been spot on so far. We are finally in an uptrend with the EMA50 way under us. The EMA100 are almost crossing the EMA200. Life IS indeed wonderful! As you can see, we are still on the 3rd subwave on the 5th Elliot Wave. That means we are still cruising up, up, up. I want to you take notice of the RSI. If we don't manage to make 3 higher highs, we will very soon have a smaller correction, before we reach our first target at 11,8k, due to the ascending wedge on the RSI. But don't it let scare you. I also want you to pay attention to the MACD, how the bulls 2 times managed to reject a bearish MACD-Cross. Last but not least. Many people have mentioned the lack of volume lately. And you guys are right. But there is a reason. In other markets when you shift into an uptrend we usually see more volume. The reason why that's not the case here is because the crypto market is still new, and we don't have big institutional buyers yet. But don't let it fool you. So D4 is still super bullish on BTC, and it will only be a matter of time before we will stand face to face with the reigning champion of the World, Mister 11,8k! This will indeed be a tough match, but as I already predicted many weeks ago: Bitcoin WILL WIN in the end due to the inverse HS pattern and the new trust in the market. I will follow up, and give you guys updates. Please hit that LIKE BUTTON and FOLLOW. Thank you so much <3 D4 is everywhere D4 predicts everything
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by D4rkEnergY
41
RSI Reaching overbought conditions on the 4hrThe past 3 4hr candles have been somewhat indecisive closing as dojis with the most current 4hr candle started by dipping down low as a red candle all the way to the support line of the TLine(in yellow) before bouncing back upwards. Thecurrent minor retracement/dojis is mainly due to the RSI reaching up and touching the 70 range on the 4 hour...However the RSI is still looking very steady on the day chart so I think with enough bearish wicking on the next few 4 hour candles with them ultimately closing as dojis and helping to drop the 4hr RSI rate...I predict a much tighter range of resistance and support and lots of sideways trading for the next 1/2-3 days tops...However I think the big whales involved in bitcoin probaby want to see us break above the inverted head and shoulder pattern's neckline even more than us guppies so they likely won't be afraid to flex their dominance to help break that neckline within the enxt 1/2-5 days...the longer we go the smaller the amount bitcoin will have to climb to break that neckline. These patterns become somewhat of a self-fulfilling prophecy the more the big traders make their trading decisions based on them being triggered. I'd say only buy in at this point and really try your best to do so during dips(which as of now is anything in the 11200s or udner) With the 4hr RSI currently at near overbough levels this is usually when you will be able to catch great temporary dips.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail