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Head and Shoulders

How to Spot Potential Price Reversals - Part 1: GBPUSD ExampleA subject within technical analysis that many traders find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price. The misreading of price activity when a reversal is materialising can often lead to incorrect decisions, such as entering a trade too early, which can result in being stopped out of a potentially successful trade before price activity moves in the intended direction. In this piece today, and part 2 tomorrow, we want to look at 2 types of reversal in price – the Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders and the Double Top/Double Bottom. The intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies. The Head and Shoulders Pattern This pattern highlights the potential, • reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of upside strength • reversal of a previous uptrend in price into a phase of weakness In this example, we are going to outline in more detail a bullish reversal in price, which is called a ‘Reversed Head and Shoulders’. Points to Note: Reversed Head and Shoulders • A downtrend in price must have been in place. • A Reversed Head and Shoulders is made up of 3 clear troughs on a price chart. • The middle trough (called the Head) is lower than the 2 outer price troughs (called the Left Hand Shoulder and the Right Hand Shoulder). • The 3rd low in price (Right Hand Shoulder) being higher than the Head, reflects the inability of sellers to be able to break under a previous low in price. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price extreme, suggesting buyers may be gaining the upper hand, readying for a potential positive sentiment shift and price strength. • A trendline connecting highs in price that mark the upper extremes of the Head is drawn. This highlights the Neckline of the pattern, which if broken on a closing basis, completes the reversal, to represent a positive shift in sentiment and the potential of further price strength. Point to Note: To understand a bearish reversal, known as a ‘Head and Shoulders Top’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above. GBPUSD Example: In the chart below, we look at the recent activity of GBPUSD, which formed a bullish Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern between December 20th 2024 and February 13th 2025, when the pattern was completed. As with any bullish reversal in price, a clear downtrend and extended price decline must have been seen previously, for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the decline from the September 20th 2024 high at 1.3434, into the January 13th price low at 1.2100. The Head and Shoulders pattern is made up of 3 troughs in price and in this example, these are marked by the period between December 30th 2024 to January 7th 2025 which forms the Left Hand Shoulder , between January 7th to February 5th 2025 which was the Head developing , and between February 5th to February 13th 2025, which then formed the Right Hand Shoulder . The Neckline of the pattern is drawn connecting the December 30th 2024 high and the February 5th 2025 highs, which was broken on a closing basis on February 13th 2025. It was on this day, the Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern was completed with potential then turning towards a more extended phase of price strength. Does the Head and Shoulders offer an Insight into a Potential Price Objective? Yes, it does, by measuring the height from the bottom of the Head to the level of the Neckline at the time that low was posted, we can project this distance higher from the point the neckline was broken. This suggests a possible minimum objective for any future price strength. In the example above, a low of 1.2100 was registered on January 13th 2025, at which time the Neckline stood at 1.2576. This means the height of the Head was 0.0476 (476 pips). On February 13th when the Neckline was broken on a closing basis, the Neckline stood at 1.2529. As such… 1.2529 + 0.0476 = 1.3005, which would be the minimum potential price objective for the Reversed Head and Shoulders. This level was in fact achieved on March 18th 2025. Of course, while the Head and Shoulders pattern is regarded as one of the most reliable patterns within technical analysis, it is not a guarantee of a significant price movement, as much will still depend on future sentiment and price trends. Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement. The stop loss should initially be placed just under the level of the Right Hand Shoulder, as any break of this point negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did. However, if prices rise after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving a stop loss higher, keeping it just under higher support levels to protect your position. We highlighted the formation of the potential GBPUSD reversed Head and Shoulders pattern on February 13th 2025, so please take a look at our timeline for further details. Remember to watch out for tomorrow’s Part 2 post The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
Shiba INU is repeating the history !!!!Trading patterns often tend to repeat themselves due to market psychology, investor behavior, and historical price movements. The current Shiba Inu chart appears to be mirroring past formations, reinforcing the cyclical nature of technical patterns. Stage 1, a Falling Wedge, was completed , similar to previous corrections on September 24 before a breakout. Stage 2, a Cup and Handle pattern, was confirmed , resembling earlier bullish continuation setups in August 2024. Now, the market awaits, Stage 3, the formation of a W pattern , which historically signals strong upward momentum in September 2024. Finally, Stage 4, an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern expected, could mark a significant breakout, much like previous bullish reversals. These recurring patterns highlight the importance of studying historical charts to anticipate future price movements.
COINBASE:SHIBUSDLong
by GKTrademanthan
2
USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders chart pattern📌 **USD/JPY Buy Setup – Inverted Head & Shoulders** 📌 🔹 **Pattern:** 📈 **Inverted Head & Shoulders** (Bullish Reversal Signal) 🔹 **Entry Point:** ✅ **150.500** (Neckline breakout confirmation recommended) 🔹 **Target:** 🎯 **153.800** (Measured move projection from pattern breakout) 🔹 **Stop Loss:** 🔍 Ideally **below 149.800** (Neckline retest zone or recent swing low) ### 📊 **Analysis & Risk Management:** ✅ **Confluence Factors:** - **Bullish Chart Pattern:** Inverted H&S suggests trend reversal. - **DXY Strength:** If USD remains strong, it supports this setup. - **Yield Differentials:** Watch US-Japan bond yields, as rising US yields boost USD/JPY. ✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio:** ~ **1:5**, making it a high-probability trade. ✅ **Trade Management:** - If price retests **150.500** after breakout, it could be a strong entry confirmation. - Secure profits gradually (e.g., **TP1: 152.000**, **TP2: 153.000**, **TP3: 153.800**). - Use **trailing stop-loss** to lock in gains as price moves higher. 🚨 **Market Caution:** 📅 **Fundamental Watch:** Monitor key news such as: - **BoJ Policy Decisions** (Any intervention risk if JPY weakens too much) - **US Economic Data** (CPI, NFP, Fed Statements) - **Global Risk Sentiment** (If risk-off, JPY may strengthen unexpectedly) 🔥 **Final Tip:** Confirm entry with bullish candle patterns & volume spike on breakout for added confidence. Happy Trading! 🚀📈💰
Long
by TradingStar090
USDCHF Head & Shoulders: 400+ Pip Drop or Fakeout?USDCHF is showing a 131-day head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a possible 434-pip drop if it breaks below 0.8753. Even partial moves offer solid risk-reward, with setups ranging from 3.2 to 5.1. But be cautious—there’s also a chance of a failed pattern with upside potential. Fundamentals could decide the real breakout direction. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
Gold’s Bearish Setup – What’s Next for $XAUUSD?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to $3,003 as I expected in my previous post . Of course, since this is a round number , we can expect good support . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to have succeeded in breaking the neckline of the two patterns , the Head and Shoulders Pattern and the Three Falling Peaks Pattern . Educational Note : The Three Falling Peaks is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs after an uptrend, where the price forms three consecutive lower peaks. Each peak represents a failed attempt to continue the uptrend, signaling weakening bullish momentum. A breakdown below the support confirms the pattern and signals a potential downtrend. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect Gold to attack the $3,000 at least once more after completing the pullback , and the next target could be the Support zone($2,989-$2,976) . Note: If Gold goes above $3,039, we should expect more pumps. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
10
Bull Trap Confirmed: HOOD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionHey Traders after the success of our last month trade on Tesla hitting all targets more than 35%+ With a Similar Trade setup I bring you today the NASDAQ:HOOD Short opportunity on Hood Based on Technical + Fundamental View -Market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame. 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures 4. Intense Industry Competition 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility Technical View Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a great Risk Reward ratio. Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 35.52$ Target 2 - 30.81$ Target 3 - 26.26$ Stop Loss - 44.72$ Fundamental View 1. Declining User Growth and Transaction-Based Revenue Robinhood’s revenue model relies heavily on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), which makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in trading activity. After a pandemic-driven surge in 2020–2021, user growth stalled, with monthly active users dropping 34% YoY to 14 million by mid-2022. Transaction revenue fell 55% in Q2 2022, and while assets under custody grew to $140 billion by Q2 2024, the platform’s dependence on volatile crypto and meme-stock trading amplified revenue instability. 2. Regulatory and Legal Challenges The SEC’s scrutiny of PFOF and proposed trading rule changes threaten Robinhood’s core revenue source. In 2022, New York regulators fined Robinhood’s crypto unit $30 million for anti-money laundering violations. Ongoing legal risks, including backlash from the 2021 GameStop trading restrictions, have further eroded institutional trust. 3. Rising Costs and Profitability Pressures Operating expenses surged due to aggressive marketing, technology upgrades, and compliance investments. Despite workforce reductions (23% layoffs in 2022), profitability remains strained. The company’s shift toward diversified products like retirement accounts and credit cards has yet to offset these costs. 4. Intense Industry Competition Traditional brokers like Fidelity and Charles Schwab adopted zero-commission trading, neutralizing Robinhood’s initial edge. Newer platforms like Webull and Public.com also captured younger investors with advanced features, while Robinhood’s limited product range (e.g., lack of wealth management services) hindered retention of high-net-worth clients. 5. Macroeconomic and Market Volatility - Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a growth stock, HOOD declined amid rising rates in 2022–2023 and broader tech-sector sell-offs. - Recent Market Turmoil: On March 10, 2025, HOOD dropped 18% alongside crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase due to Bitcoin’s price volatility and fears of inflationary tariffs under new U.S. policies. - Retail Investor Pullback: Reduced discretionary investing and crypto crashes (e.g., Bitcoin’s 71% plunge in 2022) dampened trading activity. NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISE
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
22
ETHUSD – Bullish Quasimodo + iH&S Breakout | Upside Targets!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has completed a textbook bullish Quasimodo pattern in confluence with an Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has broken out with strong bullish momentum, and the structure suggests more upside ahead. 📊 Technical Breakdown 1. Quasimodo Pattern A well-defined Quasimodo reversal formed at the swing low, providing early signs of a bullish trend shift. This pattern combines a higher low and reclaimed structure—offering an excellent base for trend continuation. 2. Inverse Head & Shoulders Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly structured with neckline breakout confirmed. Breakout above neckline resulted in a 5.38% rally into minor resistance. 3. Bull Flag Formation A short consolidation just below the recent highs resembles a bull flag, typically a continuation signal. Breakout from the flag would trigger the next leg toward the final target. 🎯 Targets Minimum Target: 2,121.41 — aligns with neckline projection. Final Target: 2,229.90 — 6.27% projected move based on iH&S measured move. 📌 Trade Idea Entry Zone: On bull flag breakout above 2,093 Stop Loss: Below 2,060 (flag low support) TP1: 2,121 TP2: 2,229 🔎 Key Confluences Pattern Breakouts ✅ Strong Momentum ✅ Clean Structure & Price Geometry ✅ ETH bulls have reclaimed short-term control. If momentum sustains, the upside targets are well within reach.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
Gold Bearish Setup–Head & Shoulders Breakdown target 2990This setup on the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD presents a head and shoulders pattern, which is a well-known reversal formation indicating a potential bearish move. Key Observations: 1. Head and Shoulders Formation - The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked. - The neckline of the pattern has already been broken, confirming the bearish bias. - Price is currently retesting the neckline, which often acts as resistance after a breakout. 2. Sell Entry Zone (3028 Region) - The marked sell entry is positioned around 3028, which aligns with the neckline retest. - If price rejects this level, it confirms seller dominance and increases the probability of a continuation downward. - A strong rejection candle at this level could be a good confirmation to enter a short position. 3. Bearish Targets: - First Target: 3004 - This level represents a strong demand zone where buyers previously stepped in. - A reaction may occur here, but if momentum remains bearish, price could continue lower. - Second Target: 2988 - This is a deeper support area where price could head if selling pressure remains strong. - This level aligns with previous liquidity zones and a key structure support area. Bearish Confirmation Signals to Watch: - Rejection candles (wicks, bearish engulfing, or pin bars) at 3028 - Break of minor support levels with strong volume - Failure of buyers to reclaim the neckline zone (3028 region) Invalidation of Bearish Bias: - If gold closes above 3028 and sustains above this level, it could invalidate the bearish setup. - A break above the right shoulder zone would signal potential bullish continuation. Sell Entry: Around 3028 (Neckline Retest) First Target: 3004 (Initial Support Zone) Second Target: 2988 (Major Support Level)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern H4Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern **Bearish Breakdown Confirmation (📉 Downtrend Risk)** - **Head & Shoulders Breakdown:** The price formed a **head and shoulders pattern**, signaling a potential reversal. - **Sell Zone:** Price is trading below the **21 EMA ($3,027)** and **7 EMA ($3,028)**, confirming bearish pressure. - **Support Test:** Price is approaching the **50 EMA ($3,000)**, which is a key level. A break below this could accelerate selling. - **Bearish Confirmation:** If gold fails to reclaim the **$3,028-$3,030 zone**, further downside toward **$2,980-$2,960** is likely. - **Entry Points:** A rejection from **$3,025-$3,030** is ideal for sellers, while a breakdown below **$3,000** confirms further weakness. 📌 **Conclusion:** - **Below $3,030 = Bearish outlook toward $3,000 & $2,980** - **Break below $3,000 = Strong downside toward $2,960** - **Above $3,030 = Bulls regain control** Trading Plan: 🔴 Sell near resistance ($3,025-$3,030) with a stop above $3,035. 🟢 Take profit at $3,000, then $2,980 if breakdown occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by elitetrader9090
Bearish Bias Under Head and Shoulders Formation📍Gold is currently leaning towards a bearish trend under the pressure of a well-defined head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, our primary trading approach remains focused on short positions. 📍In the short term, the key resistance to watch is in the 3030-3040 zone. However, it's worth noting that on Friday, gold quickly recovered most of its losses after testing the 3000 level, indicating the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below. 📍From a trading perspective, there is still an opportunity to capture profits from potential technical rebounds. The main support levels to monitor are: 📌3010-3000 as the initial support zone 📌2995 as the secondary support level 🔎Trade Idea: 1. Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045 TP:3020-3010 SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance. 📎But if gold shows signs of holding support, a short-term rebound could provide opportunities for counter-trend trades. 2. Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005 TP:3025-3035 SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance. 📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
DOT in coming days ...The pattern has broken, and now I expect the price to rise to $5.3. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Hindustan Copper: Ready for Reversal? 🚀 Hindustan Copper: Ready for Reversal? 🚀 📉 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹237 🔒 Stop Loss: ₹210 📈 Targets: ₹256 | ₹285 📊 Why Hindustan Copper Looks Promising: 🔹 Technical Reversal Signal: The stock has formed a small inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart, indicating a potential reversal from current levels. This small base formation suggests upcoming bullish momentum. 🔹 Macro Tailwinds: With the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) decreasing and copper prices rising, there is additional support for an upward move in Hindustan Copper. 🔹 Swing Trading Opportunity: With quarterly results on the horizon in April, this presents a timely swing trading setup to capture short-term gains. 💡 Strategy & Risk Management: 🔒 Stop Loss: Set a strict stop loss at ₹210 to protect capital against adverse movements. 📈 Staggered Entry: Given the recent market rally, it's wise to scale positions gradually while maintaining a balanced risk-to-reward ratio. ⚠️ Caution: While technicals are encouraging, the market has shown significant movement recently—adjust position sizes accordingly to manage risk effectively. 📍 Outlook: With a confirmed inverse head and shoulders pattern and supportive macro factors, Hindustan Copper presents a compelling swing trade opportunity leading up to the April earnings season. 💬 Do you see this reversal playing out? Share your insights below! 📅 Follow for more technical insights and actionable market updates. 📈 #HindustanCopper #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #InvestmentOpportunities #MarketInsights #BreakoutStrategy 📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I encourage investors to conduct independent research or consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by satyam15
ETH’s Secret Pattern Exposed! Why Is No One Talking About This ?Hello Traders 🐺 When I opened the ETH chart today and switched to the weekly timeframe, I saw something unbelievable with my own eyes! 🤯 That’s why I decided to share it with you, my friends. I truly believe there’s a very high chance for ETH to explode to a new ATH! Let’s break it down: Why am I still bullish and not talking about anything bearish these days? 🤔 ✅ The BTC.D Chart – The Most Important Factor BTC.D is sitting at its most critical resistance level. Not just one, but two bearish divergences have already formed on the weekly chart, signaling a potential reversal. I will also update my last idea about BTC.D, so make sure to follow me for upcoming updates! 🔔🔥 Other Reasons to Stay Bullish on ETH & Altcoins 💎 📉 Weak hands are leaving the market 💰 Inflation is falling, which means we could see rate cuts very soon 🏦 Quantitative Tightening (QT) is ending soon 🇨🇳 China is printing money, and the FED will likely turn the printers back on 📍 ETH/BTC is sitting at a key monthly demand area 📊 Binance has increased its ETH holdings by over $600 million just this week! These are the reasons why I remain extremely bullish on ETH and Altcoins. And now, let’s dive into the ETH chart—because that’s exactly why you’re here! ETH’s Repeating Pattern – A Bullish Setup! 🔄🔥 As you can see on the chart, ETH has a history of repeating the same pattern over and over again. 🌀 Back in 2020-2021, before the massive ETH & Altcoin rally, we saw a huge weak hands shakeout. Just before the shakeout, everyone thought ETH had formed a double bottom and was ready to fly—but then BOOM! 💥 A huge shakeout happened, followed by a rally to new all-time highs. 🚀 Now, the same pattern is unfolding again! We have an Inverse Head & Shoulders, which is a bullish pattern. Then, we saw a massive shakeout just below the previous low, causing a bullish divergence on RSI—and now, things are starting to change! 🔥📈 ✅ Make sure to act accordingly, my friends! 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Long
by Kiu_Coin
2