ASX 200 flirts with bearish reversal breakoutElection jitters are in the air, and it is weighing on Wall Street sentiment - and dragging the ASX 200 with it, which also faces pressure from a spate of weak China figures in recent weeks.
A potential head and shoulders top has formed on the daily chart, and prices are close to testing a support zone which could double up as a neckline.
For now, the ASX appears hesitant to break the 8130/50 support zone which brings could prompt a minor bounce over the near term.
A break beneath 8130 confirms the bearish reversal, which projects an approximate downside target near 7900 and the 200-day EMA. Also note the 8100 and 8000 levels which could provide support along the way
MS
Head and Shoulders
SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
MOBILEYE ($MBLY) : BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE! TICK TOCK!!!NASDAQ:MBLY BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE!
In this video, we talk about:
1.) Why the stock is down 5%
2.) Why everything on the Technicals/ Fundamentals point to a STRONG BUY.
3.) My earnings prediction & fair value
Thanks for watching! I know it was a longer video, but I always want to be thorough. Especially with a name as polarized as this one.
Are you a BUYER, will you FOMO, or am I WRONG? Let me know in the comments.
YouTube:
@TheRonnieVShow
NFA
#BuyingOpportunity #BuyTheDip
XAUUSD(Gold) - Trend Reversal ExpectationFrom a technical perspective, XAUUSD has been in a bullish trend for a while due to several factors. All good things come to an end, in a simialr way I'm expecting Gold to start it's trend reversal.
Gold is currently facing resistance at 2740-2750 levels.
I'm expecting Gold to turn bearish in the coming days and I also see a start of a trend reversal pattern forming in Gold in Day TF.
The levels are marked in the chart.
Good Luck with your trading plans!
Shiba Ready to Explode? Two Patterns Point to Massive VolatilityAltcoins like Shiba Inu are gaining momentum as Bitcoin edges closer to a new all-time high.
For Shiba, the last 135 days of price action on the 3-day chart reveal two significant patterns. First, an inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests that a breakout above the October 18 high could drive Shiba Inu up by 37.71%, reaching the upper level indicated on the chart. Additionally, over the last 30 days, Shiba Inu appears to be in a smaller rectangle-like pattern that would also trigger on a move above the October 18 high, signaling a potential 20.95% gain. Ideally, the market would trade sideways for the next 48 hours just below this key level, setting up an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for a breakout opportunity.
What’s your take on Shiba Inu’s potential?
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Natural Gas: Inverse Head & Shoulders targets $4.67The series of three valleys with the lowest bottom in between shaped notorious Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern in Natural Gas futures chart.
It's bullish reversal pattern.
Price eyes to break above the Neckline to trigger the pattern.
Target is located at the size of the Head added to the Neckline break point at $4.67.
Invalidation is below the trough of Right Shoulder at $1.88
Indicators support this bullish pattern:
1) RSI retested the midline and bounced up
2) Price retested 52-week MA and bounced up
Those who are shorting or want to short remember to readToday, the market has reached my target position of 2757, 2765.2770 for the third time. The long order has completely won. After the fast strategy of high-level selling and low-buying was announced today, members all made good profits. In such an extreme market, I think such a profit is acceptable. Maybe for many people, not losing money is a good result. But not for me. There must be a profit every day. And it must be a good profit.
Next is the short selling plan. Today, the New York market is expected to retreat to 2765 or below. If it reaches, continue to go long. The target is 2775. The Asian market can continue to wait for the position of 2780. The announcement of GDP the next day needs to be paid special attention. If the data is negative, the probability of reaching 2800 this week is not high. If the data is positive, then 2800 is very close. Because there will be a non-agricultural data release on Friday this week. This value can determine whether the market can reach 2800 points. In layman's terms, the gold price will continue to rise from today to tomorrow.
It has been expanding profits for a month. Others verify based on the winning rate. My verification method is based on the failure rate. If you want to save your account, follow me. And leave a message.
Bullish End of Year?This chart shows the price development of Alphabet (Google). Since reaching its high in July, the stock has been in a downward correction. However, it now appears that this correction may be ending. The price has formed a higher low, which could serve as the right shoulder in an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern.
Additionally, the SMAs are bullishly aligned once again. If the price breaks above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, I anticipate a bullish move toward the end of the year.
DIXON Short Setup: Evening Star & Potential HNS with Trendline Weekly Analysis
Pattern Observed: Evening Star on Weekly Timeframe
Additional Insights
- The Evening Star pattern tends to be more reliable on Daily and Weekly timeframes, making this setup particularly noteworthy for swing traders.
Trade Setup
1. Entry: Enter after a decisive break below the low of the third (red) candle in the Evening Star pattern.
- Alternatively, you may enter on the fourth candle if it signals a reversal, with a stop loss set according to your risk tolerance.
2. Stop Loss (SL): Can be set based on your risk preference, usually just above the high of the Evening Star pattern.
3. Target (TGT): Consider scaling out at key support levels or use the measured HNS target as detailed below if the formation completes.
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Potential Head and Shoulders (HNS) Formation
Trade Setup for HNS Pattern:
1. Entry : Enter when price decisively breaks below the neckline on a closing basis.
2. Target (TGT): Measure the distance from the top of the head to the neckline and project it downwards from the neckline for your target.
3. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop above the head of the HNS pattern.
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Additional Confirmation
I've drawn a trendline to monitor for a potential breakdown. If either the Evening Star or HNS pattern aligns with a trendline break, it would serve as an additional confirmation for a short position.
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This setup combines a confluence of technical factors, making it robust for weekly trading decisions. Comments and thoughts welcome!
IMPORTANT THINGS TO REMEMBER
1. Don't be fooled by opearators Theyll try it take it up to sell
2. Don't be a hero, follow SL with 1% extra loss max. (as setup is on Weekly TF)
Nifty 50 Index - Head and Shoulders Pattern with Fibonacci
** Introduction :**
The Nifty 50 Index on the NSE has shown a clear head and shoulders pattern on the 1-day time frame, followed by Fibonacci retracement levels drawn on the 4-hour time frame. This combination of technical analysis tools provides valuable insights for traders looking to predict potential price movements.
** Head and Shoulders Pattern: **
The head and shoulders pattern is a reliable indicator of a potential trend reversal. In this case, the pattern suggests a bearish reversal:
- **Left Shoulder:** The initial peak before the highest peak (head).
- **Head:** The highest peak in the pattern.
- **Right Shoulder:** The lower peak after the highest peak (head).
The neckline, drawn at the lowest point between the shoulders, acts as a critical support level. A confirmed breakdown below this neckline indicates a strong sell signal.
** Fibonacci Retracement Levels: **
Fibonacci retracement levels help identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might react:
- **0.00% at approximately 26,200.00 INR**
- **23.60% at approximately 25,600.00 INR**
- **38.20% at approximately 25,400.00 INR**
- **50.00% at approximately 25,000.00 INR**
- **61.80% at approximately 24,600.00 INR**
- **78.60% at approximately 24,200.00 INR**
- **100.00% at approximately 23,800.00 INR**
** Price Prediction:* *
Given the head and shoulders pattern, the Nifty 50 Index is likely to experience a downward trend if the price breaks below the neckline. The Fibonacci retracement levels provide additional support levels where the price might stall or reverse. Traders should watch for key levels such as 25,000.00 INR and 24,600.00 INR.
** Conclusion :**
Combining the head and shoulders pattern with Fibonacci retracement levels offers a comprehensive approach to predicting price movements in the Nifty 50 Index. Traders can use these tools to make informed decisions and manage their trades effectively. Proper risk management and position sizing are essential to maximize profits and minimize losses.
Potential Upside for EURNZDTechnical overview:
The EURNZD currency pair has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern, and the price is currently at the neckline of this pattern as well as a significant resistance zone (1.8065-1.8160). If the price successfully breaks through this area, it could reach the specified price targets. However, if the price reverses downward from this zone, the first valid support level will be 1.78360.
Fundamental overview:
Considering recent geopolitical tensions that have driven the market toward risk-off sentiment, along with recent statements from the RBNZ, the NZD has weakened over the past month. If tensions continue to escalate in the coming days and weeks, we can expect this currency pair to increase further.
This analysis will certainly be updated after the price reacts to the resistance zone and neckline. Don’t miss the upcoming trading opportunities in this currency pair.
What are your thoughts on EURNZD ? are you bullish or bearish?
GBP/USD Bullish Reversal - Inverted Head & Shoulders FormationPattern Formation:
The GBP/USD pair is currently forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that the downtrend may be coming to an end, and we could see a potential upward movement upon confirmation.
Key Support and Rejection Level:
The price has shown a strong rejection from a key Support level at 1.29050 , which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level. This confluence strengthens the support, suggesting that the price has found a significant bottom at this level. The repeated rejections at this zone indicate buying pressure, supporting the potential bullish setup.
RSI Analysis:
Upon analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a clear Bullish Divergence . While the price was forming lower lows, the RSI was forming higher lows. This divergence suggests a potential reversal in price, further validating our bullish outlook.
Entry Strategy:
An entry is recommended upon the breakout of the Neckline at approximately 1.30020 . For a more conservative approach, entering on a re-test of this level will provide additional confirmation of the breakout's validity.
Entry Point: Near 1.30020
Stop Loss: Near 1.29050 (below the support level)
Take Profit Levels:
To maximize the potential profit while managing risk, the following take profit (TP) levels are suggested:
TP-1: 1.30990
TP-2: 1.31960
TP-3: 1.32930
Conclusion:
The overall technical analysis indicates a potential bullish reversal for GBP/USD based on the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, support at 1.29050, 0.618 Fibonacci level, and bullish RSI divergence. An entry near 1.30020 with a stop loss at 1.29050 offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The market should be closely monitored for a confirmed breakout or re-test at the neckline level.
Recommendation: Watch for a clean breakout or re-test at 1.30020 for a potential bullish entry, and follow the risk management plan by placing the stop loss near 1.29050.
Tesla on its way to 500NASDAQ:TSLA
Telsa finally entered in the strongest Elliot Wave there is: iii of 3 of (3) ..... almost nothing can stop the stock now (!)
Additional weekly 3 candle pattern made a "Mornign Doji Star" , also a very bullish occurence: normally we see a trend change in 78% of times and according to Bulkowski - And the height of the pattern was huge - So expect a very strong coming Rally ..... last week was only the Start!
Also in weekly Candle pattern we can see a Bullish Engulfing - Strong down after 10/10 Event and this week a rise of 27% - This is a very seldom strong Bullish Engulfing and we can expect many weeks of rise into Year End in my opinion!
Friday we went over the Neckline of the INVERSE HEAD&SHOULDER - The target points to 500, which gives us a new ALLTIME HIGH (!)
And if Elons prediction of 25% to 30% growth will Happen next year, Profit will increase by 50% ….. WHICH GIVES THE TESLA STOCK A RISE OF MINIMUM 100% next year (!)
Deutsche Bank AG to 21 EuroDespite the chaos with Credit Suisse European banks in General are printing some excellent setups. What is the reason for this? No idea.
On the above 2-month chart:
1) A strong buy signal (not shown) prints with price action breakout from resistance that has been active since 2007.
2) Regular bullish divergence. No less than eight oscillators this time. Four to five oscillators printing on this time frame is incredibly powerful but eight?!
3) Inverse head and shoulders pattern. Confirmation is price action closing above 10.50 and staying there or above for a week or two. On confirmation a target of 21 euro should be expected.
4) The yellow line is the 21/2-month EMA. Notice the first attempt to hold as support has failed? (Orange arrow). This was the first attempt to hold as support since July 2005. Confirmation of support is price action at 10.50 and above by the month of May.
5) Almost EVERY idea on tradingview is 'short' / Bearish! Ww is the 5%. What in?
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: 110%
Stop loss: 7.20