EURUSD - Secret pattern no one talks about! (big crash coming)In my previous EURUSD post, I analyzed the historical chart (1971 - 2024). You know that EURO is heading for a big crash. If you haven't seen this very important post, please check out the related section down below. You have to see it if you are a real EURUSD trader.
Today, let's take a look at the actual 2023/2024 price action to see what is going on here. We have a secret head and shoulders pattern, that no one knows about. In general, the head and shoulders pattern is a reversal pattern and usually occurs at the top of the trend. These patterns are pretty much never perfect, so it's not always easy to spot them. This one is really hard to see, but I made it easy for you. We have 2 shoulders, and each shoulder is composed of a parallel channel. Neckline / HEAD is in the middle. This is of course an important level and strong support/resistance. Right now, it's a support, but once we break it, it turns into a resistance. Of course, I expect a breakdown on this bearish pattern, so make sure you are prepared for what is coming!
Is it good to short EURO now? Yes. Where to take profit? It depends on how long you want to wait. I have market 3 strong levels on the way down. The first is the neckline of the HaS pattern. The second is the POC (Point of Control) of the previous market structure. The third is the previous major swing low.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I see a bearish Elliott Nest, that is composed of waves (1-2-1-2). This is an extremely strong fractal because once wave 3 starts, a steep downtrend begins. Usually, wave 3 is the strongest of all waves.
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Head and Shoulders
Alikze »» RUNE | Head and shoulders pattern scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Head and shoulders pattern scenario
- According to the analysis presented in the previous post, he retested the supply area after exiting the congestion, but failed to break it.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the weekly and daily time frames, which has broken the dynamic trigger.
- A head and shoulder pattern has formed in the weekly time frame.
💎 If after retesting the dynamic trigger fails to break it and breaks the neckline, it can confirm the head and shoulder pattern for a downward trend to the origin of the movement, which can have downward targets near 3.13 and 2.35 and a green box.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the dynamic trigger is broken, its first target will be $6.25 and then it can be offered after the pullback to the successful structure of breaking the zone, it can have the next targets of $9.38 and $12.5.
🛑 Resistance range: 6.25 - 9.38 - 12.5
🟩 Support range: 3.13 -2.35
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Inverted Head and Shoulders: A Comprehensive GuideThe Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a popular and reliable reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Understanding and identifying this pattern can provide traders with profitable trading opportunities.
Anatomy of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Left Shoulder: The price declines to a trough and subsequently rises.
Head: The price falls again, forming a lower trough.
Right Shoulder : The price rises once more before declining to a trough similar to the left shoulder.
Identifying the Pattern
To accurately identify an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, look for the following characteristics:
Three Troughs: The head should be the lowest point, with the two shoulders on either side.
Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the two shoulders. This line acts as a resistance level.
Breakout Confirmation
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline with increased volume. This breakout indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend and the start of a new uptrend.
Trading the Inverted Head and Shoulders
Entry Point
Enter a long position when the price closes above the neckline. To reduce false breakouts, consider waiting for a retest of the neckline as support.
Stop-Loss
Place the stop-loss order below the right shoulder to limit potential losses. This level provides a cushion against false breakouts and unexpected market movements.
Target Price
The target price can be estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting this distance upward from the breakout point.
Example:
Example Reference image of chart ONGC on Daily Time Frame shared below
Distance from Head to Neckline: 62 points
Breakout Point: 280 points
Target Price: 342 points
Practical Example of ONGC chart
The neckline is drawn connecting the two peaks at 280 level. A breakout occurs at 280 level with increased volume and now candle closed bullish at 288 levels with Good intensity of Volumes.
Key Points to Remember
Volume: Volume should increase during the formation of the pattern, especially at the breakout point.
Timeframe: The pattern can form over various timeframes, but it is more reliable over longer periods.
Market Context: Always consider the broader market context and other technical indicators to confirm the pattern.
Conclusion
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a powerful tool for traders looking to capitalize on trend reversals. By understanding its structure and applying disciplined trading strategies, traders can enhance their ability to identify and profit from these patterns.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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Hope this post is helpful to community
Happy Trading!
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
H&SClose below $3.9 first signal of possible head & shoulder is in play with a target of $1.4 that coincides with horizontal support zone ($1.4-$2)
waiting to confirm a downwards bounce from $3.9
what speaks against continuation of move down is (if confirmed on daily close) Bullish Divergence on RSI / Priceaction and that volume is not high compared to previous priceaction
Will try againThe Dollar index is hitting a major resistance and losing the battle. This pair is forming an inverse HS and will try for third time in tow weeks to break out the upper vertex. I'm not sure if is goin to do it this time but price is sitting om 0.61 support zone. SL triggers if a weekly candle closes below the support.
Oh boy!Inverse HS not confirmed in the monthly timeframe. The markets are doing very scary moves in stocks and forex. Something big is happening. Looks like is going to break out a downtrend from 2015!!!!!. I'm already all-in in AUSUSD but I can't miss this one. I'm transferring more funds to forex account. I hate cash lol.
USDJPY - 150 Level of intervention to be broken!Borrow Yen buy Dollars!!!
:)
BOJ will do what they do
Probably beneficial to Japanese stocks as their companies are obviously big exporters think Honda , Toyota...
Beautiful Inverse Head and shoulders in progress
Big Charts ---> Big Patterns ---> Big moves
NVDA: Cooldown of the AI hype?On it's all-time high, NVDA faces a major correction in a SHS-formation.
While chart patterns indicate an early turn after the everlasting boom of the paper, the split indicates that NVDA has seen its saturation among big capital funds and portfolios, and tries to appeal to small-cap buyers with a more affordable price - a clear sign that the chip designer itself has foreseen its peak on the stock market.
The next earnings report not in sight until August, the stock price will rebound to its average. But even with good earnings, the paper cannot appeal any more to major capital funds with diversification as part of risk management than it already has, so the buyers who chip in on the next E&R will be either small cap participants or gamblers. Further peaks of NVDA will be used by larger funds to hedge their risk, resulting in more immediate and dynamic corrections.
All of this resolutes that the dynamic of NVIDIAs price development came to an end. New heights will be harder to achieve, unseen lows ever since the surge will be more likely.
A general cooldown of AI is not expected as the industry is still in development. Most products developed with LLM AI as a base platform are assistance systems. Regular users of AI notice hallucinations and erroneous behavior on the AI side, proving the technology is not inerrant and will or should not replace or substitute human control.