Head and Shoulders
"Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts: Bullish Breakout with INR 1325 TargetTechnical Analysis
The chart shows a clear inverted Head and Shoulders / ascending triangle pattern. The breakout above the neckline confirms the pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The target price of INR 1325 is derived by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it upwards from the breakout point. Additionally, the stock is trading above key moving averages, confirming bullish momentum.
Fundamental Analysis
Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts has demonstrated strong financial performance:
Revenue Growth: For H1 FY25, revenue grew by 10.8% YoY to ₹202.07 crore. EBITDA margins also improved, reflecting operational efficiency.
Profitability: PAT for Q2 FY25 rose by 76% YoY, indicating robust profitability.
Valuation Metrics: The stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 27.56, which is lower than the sector average of 85.06, suggesting relative undervaluation within its sector.
Expansion Plans: The company is constructing a new 253-room Taj hotel in Bengaluru, expected to open in FY26. This expansion could enhance revenue streams in the long term.
Cash Flow: Positive cash flow from operations (₹123.79 crore in FY24) indicates strong liquidity and financial health.
SWOT Analysis
Strengths:
Strong Brand and Market Position: Taj GVK benefits from its association with the Taj Group, a leading name in hospitality.
Consistent Financial Performance: Revenue and profit growth highlight operational efficiency and demand resilience.
Expansion Strategy: New projects like the Bengaluru hotel indicate forward-looking growth plans.
Weaknesses:
High Valuation Metrics: A P/B ratio of 5.41 and P/S ratio of 6.74 indicate that the stock is trading at a premium compared to intrinsic value.
Dividend Yield: At just 0.30%, the dividend yield is relatively low, which might not appeal to income-focused investors.
Opportunities:
Hospitality Sector Growth: The Indian hospitality industry is witnessing robust demand due to increasing tourism and business travel.
Upcoming Properties: The new hotel in Bengaluru could significantly boost revenues post-FY26.
Digital Transformation: Leveraging technology for better customer experiences can enhance brand loyalty.
Threats:
Economic Cycles: Hospitality demand is sensitive to economic downturns, which could impact revenue.
Competition: Intense competition from other luxury hotel chains may pressure margins.
Regulatory Risks: Changes in taxation or environmental regulations could increase costs.
Conclusion
The technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook with a target of INR 1325 based on the inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. Fundamentally, Taj GVK is well-positioned for growth due to its strong financials and expansion plans but faces valuation concerns and external threats like competition and economic cycles. Investors should weigh these factors before making decisions.
AUDUSD Head and Shoulders bottom pattern, BUY 0.6330On the daily chart, AUDUSD formed a head and shoulders bottom pattern, with short-term bulls in the lead. Currently, attention can be paid to the support around 0.6330. If it falls back and stabilizes, you can consider buying. The upward target is around 0.6440, and the upper target is around 0.6550.
Nemetschek SE Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Nemetschek SE Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* 105.00 EUR | Area Of Value | Completed Survey
* Wave (3)) Extended | Feature & Entry Area | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1.618 & 0.5 Retracement Suggestion | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 110.00 EUR
* Entry At 119.00 EUR
* Take Profit At 133.00 EUR
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
USDCAD 4H Chart Analysis1. Market Structure
The chart shows a bearish market structure, where price has broken a key trendline support.
The price previously made higher highs and higher lows, but recently failed to continue upward and broke below the ascending trendline.
This confirms a potential trend reversal to the downside.
2. Key Levels
Broken Support Zone (~1.4350 - 1.4400): This level previously acted as support, but price has now dropped below it.
Current Resistance (~1.4300 - 1.4320): Price attempted a pullback to this zone, but it is now acting as resistance.
Target Zone (~1.4165 - 1.4180): Marked as a potential take-profit area for short positions.
3. Bearish Setup Confirmation
The chart shows a short position setup, with:
Entry near the pullback area (~1.4300)
Stop-loss above the resistance zone (~1.4350 - 1.4400)
Take-profit near 1.4165 (previous key support)
The trade setup suggests a Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, making it a favorable setup.
4. Trading Strategy
If Price Retests Resistance (1.4300 - 1.4320) and Rejects → Short (Sell) Entry
If Price Breaks Above 1.4350 → Invalidates Bearish Setup
If Price Drops Below 1.4260 → Bearish Momentum Confirmed
5. Additional Confirmation Factors
EMA 50: Price is below the 50 EMA, which supports the bearish outlook.
Break of Trendline: Strong signal for downside continuation.
Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near 1.4300 - 1.4320 resistance
Stop Loss: Above 1.4350
Take Profit: Around 1.4165
Trade Confirmation: Look for rejection candles at resistance.
PIUSDT : Head & Shoulders Signals a Major Drop Incoming!Yello, Paradisers! PIUSDT is flashing strong bearish signals! The price has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern right on the resistance trendline of a descending channel—this combination significantly increases the probability of a sharp move to the downside.
💎PIUSDT breaks below the neckline and closed a candle which validates the bearish setup, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
💎However, We have to wait for the proper retest of the neckline, patience is key for the right entry.
💎On the flip side, if PIUSDT breaks above the resistance zone and closes candle above it, the bearish setup will be invalidated.
Stay disciplined and wait for confirmation, Paradisers. A fakeout could trap impatient traders—don’t be one of them! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Rotation to healthcare ?Analysis of NLBNPIT1YHG3 certificate: EXACT SCIENCES, VRTX, AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES
Article debut: 18 March 2025
The certificate is at justcertificate.com
As a general rule, "buy the rumors and sell the news" works in most cases, so we won't deny it, but reports of rotations to industries like healthcare persist. True? No need to know, as technical and quantitative analysis can provide guidance for our decisions.
Analyzing spot price relative to the exponential moving average in 200 periods (EMA) is a popular tool. This simple indicator shows how many companies have maintained the average price computed over 200 days, which technical analysts use to assess the state of interest in the stock. Not the most accurate method, but used by many, hence including us.
Use TradingView's stock screener to filter S&P 500 healthcare technology stocks (we get 61 across all healtcare industries) and then apply a price filter over the EMA for 200 days (22 companies). The ratio is about 40%, which is in line with the index, and 10% higher than Information Technology and 12% higher than Consumer Discretionary. We were neither hyped nor market-disinterested. A good certificate may be profitable if a sector's side phase.
We can activate industry filters using JustCertificate and have about 300 healthcare-related certificates. We limit the underlying certificate stocks to three to avoid including other sectors as much as possible, and there are about 250 active certificates.
The NLBNPIT1YHG3 is in my wallet, and now it costs around 86 euros with Exact Sciences as the "worst of" and less than 30% margin above the coupon barrier. Exact Sciences develops cancer detection and prevention tests. More than a pharmaceutical title, it can be considered in biotech, with volatility closer to Nasdaq stocks.
It is a contrastive situation. The weekly candlestick chart shows that at the time of certificate issuance in the retail market, Exact Sciences was down nearly 60% from its 2021 peak and was in the midst of a major head and shoulders that broke the master Point Of Control (POC) of 64 USD, causing the first support area to drop to 45 USD, which matched the second POC that stopped the drop. From there, the sock tried to reach the master POC twice and failed to close the gap when the company missed earnings on November 4, 2024, indicating that sellers dominate the 65 USD liquidity area.
The price is currently at 45 USD at the secondary POC, with a weekly shadowed candle that may indicate buyers contrasting sellers in that price range. The title moves on a clear descending trend line with declining max prices but min prices compression from 32 USD. Fair value might be 45–61 USD among the two POC.In fact, 12 statistical models by Investing.com place fair prices around $50.
As always, your risk tolerance and portfolio benchmark determine your appetite forr this certificate. Based on my criteria, the certificate is attractive with a 20% return, 11.4% cumulative cedolar flow, and 40% potential current entrate, as estimated by JustCertificate.
XAUUSD 15MINTS CHART PATTERN. NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE.This chart is a 15-minute Gold (XAU/USD) price analysis with a technical pattern projection.
Key Observations:
1. Support & Resistance:
A strong horizontal support level is marked at $3,000.14.
Price recently peaked near $3,016.13 and is showing signs of a potential reversal.
2. Price Structure & Pattern:
The blue lines indicate wave-like price movements, possibly an Elliott Wave or price action structure.
The pattern suggests that the market previously experienced a strong bullish impulse, but now a retracement is expected.
3. Projected Movement:
The downward arrows suggest a bearish correction towards $3,000.14, which could act as a key support zone.
If price respects this support, a potential bounce-back might occur. Otherwise, a breakdown could lead to further declines.
Possible Trading Plan:
Short Setup: If price starts rejecting resistance near $3,016 and forms bearish confirmation (e.g., candlestick patterns like engulfing or pin bars).
Buy Opportunity: If price reaches $3,000.14 and shows strong support confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or double bottom).
Would you like a more detailed trading plan based on this setup?
HDFC BANK FORMING INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS ??Hii, HDFC BANK has formed inverse H&S on daily chart
How to trade in inverse is to wait for breakout and once it breaks wait for another candle for confirmation, after confirmation enter the trade.
Target will be the distance from head till dotted line & Stoploss will be 1664, Enjoy trading simple.
***This is my personal views and not any recommendations***
AVAXUSDT Breakdown Alert – Are Lower Lows Coming Next?Yello, Paradisers! Is AVAXUSDT gearing up for a bigger drop? Let’s break it down.
💎AVAXUSDT has turned bearish after breaking below its key support trendline. A Change of Character (CHoCH) confirms the shift to the downside, and right now, the price is rejecting from a critical 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the 200 EMA resistance zone. Adding to the bearish pressure, we also see a 4H bearish divergence, making a downside move highly probable.
💎Moreover, AVAXUSDT is in the process of forming a Head & Shoulders pattern, which increases the risk-to-reward (RR) potential for short trades. On top of that, there’s liquidity resting below, which could act as a magnet, pulling the price further down.
💎However, if the price breaks out and closes a candle above the 200 EMA resistance zone, this bearish outlook will be invalidated. In that case, it’s better to wait for clearer price action before making any moves.
🎖Patience is key, Paradisers. Stick to the strategy, avoid emotional trading, and let the market come to you. The best setups will always present themselves to those who wait!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
EUR/USD Head & Shoulders Bearish Trade Setup### 📉 EUR/USD Head & Shoulders Bearish Trade Setup
📌 **Current Price**: 1.09150
🎯 **Target**: 1.07900
⛔ **Stop Loss (SL)**: 1.09500
📏 **Risk-Reward Ratio**: ~3.5:1
---
### 📊 **Technical Analysis**
🔹 **Head & Shoulders Pattern**: A bearish reversal pattern suggesting a potential downtrend.
🔹 **EMA 50**: Price should ideally stay below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to confirm bearish momentum.
🔹 **Risk Management**: Keep position size in check to avoid overexposure.
---
### ⚠️ **Trading Plan**
✅ **Entry**: Below neckline confirmation around 1.09100
✅ **SL Above Right Shoulder**: 1.09500
✅ **Take Profit**: 1.07900
✅ **Monitor EMA 50**: If price moves above EMA50, reconsider trade.
USD/CHF: Selling the Head & Shoulders BreakdownSpotted a clear H&S pattern on USD/CHF 15m chart!
Selling at 0.8826 with stop above 0.8844.
Target: First 0.8815, then possibly lower to the -0.27 Fib level.
The neckline break looks solid and we're still in the channel. Risk-reward looks good here.
What do you think? Are you bearish on USD/CHF too?
#USDCHF #Forex #TradingIdea
AUDCHF: Strong Bullish Continuation 🇦🇺🇨🇭
It looks to me that AUDCHF will continue rising.
A confirmed breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern
on a 4H time frame provides a strong bullish signal.
The price will likely reach at least 0.5627 level soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**📈 Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**
This chart represents the **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe** and shows a potential **Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern**, which is a bearish reversal signal. Let's break it down:
**🛠 Key Elements of the Chart:**
1. **📉 Head & Shoulders Formation (Bearish Sign)**
- **Left Shoulder**: Price makes a peak, then retraces.
- **Head (ATH – All-Time High at ~$3,005)**: The highest point before pulling back.
- **Right Shoulder**: Another peak, lower than the head, indicating weakness.
- **Neckline (Support Zone)**: Marked in red. A breakdown below this level confirms the pattern.
2. **📊 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**
- **EMA50 (Black Line)**: Indicates medium-term trend support.
- Price is testing this moving average, which acts as a dynamic support level.
3. **🔴 Resistance & Support Zones**
- **Resistance (Green Box near ATH)**: Selling pressure is strong at these levels.
- **Support (Red Zones)**: Price could test these areas if the H&S pattern plays out.
4. **📉 Bearish Projection (Blue Arrow)**
- If price **breaks below the neckline (~$2,974)**, it could drop to the next major support at **$2,940–$2,920**.
5. **📈 Bullish Scenario (Gray Arrow)**
- If price **rebounds from EMA50 and the support zone**, it could attempt another rally towards **$3,005 and beyond**.
### **📌 Trading Implications:**
✅ **Bearish Breakdown:**
- Sell below **$2,974** with targets at **$2,950–$2,920**.
- Confirmation comes from increased volume on breakdown.
✅ **Bullish Reversal:**
- If price holds above EMA50 and **breaks $2,990**, it could **retest ATH at $3,005+**.
- Strong buying interest could push gold to **$3,020–$3,050** in a risk-off environment.
### **🔎 Conclusion:**
📊 **Gold is at a critical level**—watch for a **breakout or breakdown** confirmation. A confirmed **H&S breakdown** could signal a retracement, while a **bounce above EMA50** keeps the **bullish trend intact**. 🚀💰 #XAUUSD
XAUUSD|LONGHello to all traders. I hope you stay more disciplined to your trading rules this week. The price has reached a global high, so the main bias is bullish. However, after identifying resistance levels with Fibonacci, I expect a pullback first, then a potential rise at the support zone. Watch how the price reacts to support and resistance lines, and wait for your entry signal in lower time frames. This analysis is just my personal view.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Correctional Movement Ahead?
After a test of 3000 psychological level, Gold looks overbought.
Analysing a 4H time frame, we can spot a completed head & shoulders pattern.
A bearish movement will be confirmed with a breakout of its horizontal neckline.
If a 4H candle closes below 2978, we can expect a retracement much lower
at least to 2955.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.