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Headandshouldersformation

10 Year wants 5%...at a minimumDo you really need to ask if interest rates have topped out? Head & Shoulders patterns at tops and bottoms are generally spot on...this Inverse H&S pattern occurred at a bottom, clearly broke out from the neckline and just wants 5%...at a minimum. "Don't fight the Fed" The Fed is not going to pivot to the downside anytime soon...why would they? What makes anyone think this is on the horizon? Here are the 3 things Powell stated would need to happen for a pause (not a pivot ) at Jackson Hole: 1. Lower Growth 2. Softening Labor Market 3. Inflation on pace to 2%. 2022 Q2 vs. Q3 GDP came in positive and much stronger than expected, Jobs reports remain hot and inflation isn't anywhere near 2%. So at this point, we can't even check off any boxes for a possible pause in rate hikes let alone a pivot . In addition, Powell hasn't really wavered in his statements since Covid, he's been pretty straightforward, so why would he all of a sudden change his behavior?
TVC:US10YLong
by Vixtine
10
Trading with Head and Shoulders patternUsually the head and shoulders pattern perform at the end of channel up as a sign of a reversal trend. In this chart, we can see channel already broken on October 23, but the right shoulder has not fully performed yet. To trade with this pattern, we have a several conditions : 1. Wait for right shoulder to completely perform to touch neckline at 1.0530. As long as right shoulder not higher than head , this pattern is still valid. 2. After we have a perfect right shoulder, we need one candle full to break down the neckline as bearish confirmation . 3. Usually broken neckline will bounce at previous support to retest neckline . This is the right moment to enter short position 4. Best stop loss position is above right shoulder, as long as the risk reward ratio is still above 2 5. Head to neckline are equal to neckline to target (AB=CD). So in this sample we have 1.0361 as profit projection note : consider this pattern as failure , If step 1 to step 3 failed to perform  
Education
by AzrulAzir
SPY- Bearish- UpdatePosting another quick update here on the SPY as a lot has transpired in financial markets over the past few months, yet buyer and selling continue to dictate the price action in my opinion. On the 4-hour timeframe, the SPY is oversold and has formed a bullish ABCD Elliot wave, while also holding a falling wedge within a bearish megaphone. On the daily timeframe, the SPY has formed a bearish head and shoulders (Pictured Below) and has broken below its 200-day SMA. The weekly timeframe depicts two bearish megaphones as well, with the SPY having held within the larger of the two since November of 2021. Just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on in the interim, along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones, staying hedged, and staying cash. --Previous Charts Attached In Description -- SPY Daily Timeframe SPY - Daily - Bearish - Head and Shoulders (Bearish) - Broke Below the 200-day SMA - Sitting on the Covid-19 Trendline Support SPY 4-HOUR Timeframe - Oversold on the RSI - Bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern - Falling Wedge Within a Bearish Megaphone - Sitting on the Covid-19 Trendline Support --Previously Charted--
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
🔥 FTM Bouncing From Bear Market SupportIn my most recent FTM analysis I looked at a long-term head & shoulders pattern. My initial analysis stated that I was waiting for confirmation of the break out with an entry of 0.16. The entry has never been reached, so no entry has been made. FTM saw a significant bounce over the last few days, bouncing over 35% from the lows. Seeing that the bear market support held, I'm now looking for more potential upside, naturally helped by a bullish Bitcoin. Target at the 2023 highs, stop below the most recent local low. I'm expecting a minor retracement in the coming days, will make an entry there.
FLong
by FieryTrading
7
HTF Bullflag, LTF H&SHowdy - Quick idea here for potential short term and long term setups. We are in a weekly uptrend and recently saw our first signs of weakness by a double top and neckline retest. The next moves will decide whether we continue our bullish performance or continue to see struggle from buyers at this level. Bullish Bias: On the weekly, we broke out of a strong bull trend line and approached our swing low. We had a strong bounce (indicating strong support and additional liquidity). We are seeing a potential bull-flag and approaching the top of that down-trend line. Even if we don't break out on this attempt, this is still a longer-term possibility. If we break out of resistance line with force, we can see price continue up to retest the 2.000 psychological level. Bearish Bias: On the MTF (2HR), if we reject the upper trend line, we can see a drop toward 1.7500 liquidity or at minimum a neckline retest. This is where we might see our H&S play out to propel us toward that demand zone.
by ReigningTrades
EURAUD I Potential upside Hello,Traders! . . . . . EURAUD is trading in an uptrend on the weekly and a downtrend on the daily. 1.6640 structure daily high was recently broken and created a new high at 1.6703. The price has pulled back to the neckline area and showing rejection from 1.6557 support. If this support holds, price will likely continue to the upside to retest 1.6700 zone. LONG! Trade safe and good luck! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
1
SQ-Potential Scenarios to Watch for Over The Next...Head and shoulders pattern identified on the weekly chart. I will be watching for a break or retest of the 52 week low or a break and hold above 47.50. A break below the 52 week low would confirm that market participants want to take the stock lower. However, a break and hold above 47.50 would confirm that participants are interested in taking the market higher. On a lower time frame (specifically the 4H chart), data shows price broke below the .618 fibonacci retracement level and retested (see image below). The stock could potentially move lower being that it retested the . Furthermore, price rejected the same level three times on the 1H timeframe. Something else that should be pointed out here is the daily chart shows an increase of sellers over the last three trading sessions. *Side note -Interestingly, SQ is in the price area it was at the beginning of COVID-19. A break below the 52 week low may cause price to retest the low from April 2020. Should price reach the low from April 2020, we should watch to see if price finds support or breaks down further.
NYSE:XYZ
by MrALtrades00
🔥 FTM Head & Shoulders: Peaking Into The AbyssFTM has been one of my favorite tokens during the bull-run, but has lost nearly all of its value over the last two years. In its current state, it's one of the weakest big alts. In my eyes, there's potential for more bearish price action in the future. I think that FTM can fall as far as 0.03 USD. Consequently, this would be my ideal area to step in for a long-term position. I'm waiting until the price closes below the neck-line of the pattern before making an entry.
FShort
by FieryTrading
16
H&S and Dark Cloud Cover indicate short term bearish reversal?Heidelbergcement's future not looking good amid a raising interest rates environment for real estate promoters. Technical analysis: Bearish A Head and Shoulders pattern could be underway since Sep 2022 and once the stock has reached a double ceiling level at 77.50€. Besides, a Dark Cloud cover was formed on Friday 29th of September in the right shoulder and today's candle seems to be confirming the candlestick pattern prophecy, which would lead us to first support level ranging from 68.5-70.5€. Beyond analysis and POV: Bearish and Bullish The fact that Vonovia has frozen 60.000 apartments that were supposed to be built now also indicates a reduction of materials' demand to build houses and perhaps other real estate promoters have come up with the same decision. This means, less materials needed for now which could potentially affect Heidelbergcement's profits in the near future. However, the ISM Manufacturing PMI came better than expected for September (actual 49, exp. 47.7 prev. 47.6). This means, any short-term bearish reversal could not last long. Fundamental analysis: All bullish considerations The debt level is considered satisfactory with a net debt to equity ratio of 32.8%. Earnings Payout to Shareholders is 26%. P/E ratio = 7.5 while industry average is 9.1.
XETR:HEIShort
by alexinve
$US500 SP500 forecast.Here's what I'm looking at. I still think $4100 is on the table for a bottom. Reason being, there's multiple levels of confluence there. 1) If you take the AVWAP from the Jan 2022 highs, it comes to around $4100 2) It's a horizontal level 3) It's roughly the measured objective of the Head and Shoulders break down 4) It's also coming in around the 0.618 fib level. Of course there will be levels of support along the way, one being the current $4260 area. This $4260 area is also a confluence of support with 1) It's a horizontal level on the weekly 2) The 200EMA on the Daily chart 3) The AVWAP from the recent March 2023 lows. Either we see a bounce and recovery from here ($4260 area) or if we break lower we'll see 4100. For now, I still think $4100 may be the low for this correction.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by HaseebKhan_90
AVGO and SOXS Preparing to Move BigSOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish Head and Shoulders neckline as seen here: If things go as I expect them to, we will see AVGO open the week to aggressive downside with minimum overall targets as deep as 50% below current prices.
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by RizeSenpai
4
How to Head and ShouldersGreetings, Financial Enthusiasts! 🌟 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜 The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-known chart formation in technical analysis. It indicates a reversal from a bullish to a bearish trend, usually at the end of an upward trend. Key Points: - Head and Shoulders: Chart pattern signaling trend reversal. - Formation: Three peaks on a baseline - two lower outer peaks and a higher middle peak. - Bullish to Bearish: Suggests a shift from an upward trend to a downward one. - Applicability: Seen on all timeframes, suitable for various traders and investors. - Entry Levels: Easily identifiable, aiding in trade implementation. Why It Matters: The Head and Shoulders pattern provides traders with a visual representation of a trend reversal. It's widely used due to its simplicity and applicability across different timeframes. The Pattern: - Formation (Market Tops): 1. Left Shoulder: Price rises, forms a peak, then falls. 2. Head: Price rises again, forming a higher peak. 3. Right Shoulder: Price falls again, then rises but forms a lower peak than the head. - Formation (Market Bottoms): 1. Left Shoulder: Price falls, forms a trough, then rises. 2. Head: Price falls again, forming a lower trough. 3. Right Shoulder: Price rises again, then falls, forming a higher trough than the head. Neckline: - For Market Tops: Connect the low after the left shoulder to the low following the head to create the neckline. - For Market Bottoms: Connect the high after the left shoulder to the high after the head to form the neckline. Trading the Pattern: - Wait for the pattern to complete before trading. - Entry when price breaks below the neckline (tops) or above it (bottoms). - Stops placed above the right shoulder (tops) or below it (bottoms). - Profit targets calculated based on the head-to-shoulder difference and added (bottoms) or subtracted (tops) from the breakout level. Why It Works: - Sellers enter as price falls from its peak, reducing aggressive buying. - The neckline marks a point where traders exit positions, driving price toward the target. - A lower right shoulder (tops) or higher right shoulder (bottoms) signals a trend shift. - Profit target assumes forced exits by those in losing positions. - The neckline prompts many traders to exit, pushing price towards the target. - Volume analysis helps confirm patterns; expanding volume (bottoms) shows increased buying interest. Pitfalls: - Waiting for pattern completion may require patience. - Not all patterns lead to successful trades. - Profit targets aren't always reached. - External events can disrupt patterns. - Patterns can be subjective; traders should define their criteria. The Head and Shoulders pattern, though not foolproof, provides a structured approach to identify and act on trend reversals.
Education
by Vestinda
21
GBP/USD - Clear Head and Shoulder Long or Short term playTime Frame: - Weekly & Daily for analysis - 4 Hour for execution Trend: Currently in a LTF uptrend within a HTF pullback - Weekly = Down - Daily = Up This one is fairly simple and straight forward but what makes it such a good opportunity is its’ potential of being the reversal pattern in a massive trend reversal. As I mentioned in more detail in my last post, we have extremely strong Points of Interest (POI) below that will be acting as demand once price reaches them. We’ve been in a strong uptrend (pullback of a higher time frame downtrend) and this blue trend line has acted as strong support, 3 times now, directing the pullback rally. Important: Each of these points of support are also holding massive amounts of liquidity that buyers and sellers both want to take advantage of. Meaning, both sides would have a field day an opportunity to take control and make large moves if we reached these levels (likely sellers would be more in control as they would be continuing the overall HTF trend). Because of this it is extremely important to take profits as you cannot be sure which demand zone could hold a reaction. If this H&S on the 4 hr/daily chart can bring us out of this trend line, there is a ton of liquidity for a larger H&S to form (meaning this H&S I highlighted would be just the head of this larger H&S). In that case, there is a ton of liquidity on the already built left shoulder to take us down to mitigate the demand below. Trade Plan: Stop Loss: Above neckline (for shorter term play), above right shoulder (for longer term play) Take Profit 1: Closest unmitigated demand zone below = 2.06 R:R Take Profit 2 & 3: Lower demand zones – only with larger H&S formation = 6.5+ R:R Thank everyone who views this and takes any benefit from it. I am on a journey to becoming the best 4X trader I can become and love to bring my fellow traders along for the ride. As always, feel free to like, comment, and message with any questions, comments, feedback, concerns, or GOOD VIBES! Happy Trading! FourXTrader
Short
by ReigningTrades
3
HPQ: Bearish Head and Shoulders, Diamond, Dragon, and BAMM ComboHewlett-Packard, after making five macro waves up, has formed a Bearish Structure that can only be described as being a hybrid between a Diamond and a Head and Shoulders pattern, and along with that, it is also a combination of a Bearish Dragon and Bearish BAMM. All of this is happening after HPQ faced rejection off of the PCZ of a Bearish Crab going into its 5th wave. Here is a screenshot of the zoomed out chart that showed the biggest macro wave structure that is on the chart and where all of this is happening:
NYSE:HPQShort
by RizeSenpai
🔥 Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Forming? Patience For BearsAfter bouncing off the bottom support, Bitcoin seems to have regained short-term bullish momentum. In this analysis I want to discuss the potential H&S pattern that BTC is forming in the near term. My longer-term view is still bearish, but that doesn't mean we can't get a bounce here and there. In my eyes, there is a potential for BTC to move further up. The odds are against the bulls at this point, but there's still a chance that this pattern will play out. The 30k-31k area is going to be key. Not only because of the number, but also because it's the April'23 high. Would be a perfect bearish entry. Do you think this pattern will play out? Share your thoughts in the comments 🙏
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
14
How to trade head and shoulder pattern? As a forex trader, it's essential to have a robust arsenal of technical analysis tools at your disposal. One of the most powerful and reliable chart patterns you can use is the "Head and Shoulders" pattern. This pattern is prized for its ability to signal potential trend reversals, allowing traders to make informed decisions and capitalize on market opportunities. In this comprehensive guide, we'll delve deep into the Head and Shoulders pattern, breaking down its components, identifying its variations, and learning how to trade it effectively. Understanding the Head and Shoulders Pattern The Head and Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend, signaling a potential change in market direction from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks, with the middle peak (the "head") being higher than the other two peaks (the "shoulders"). The pattern typically unfolds as follows: 1. The Left Shoulder - The left shoulder represents the first peak after a strong uptrend. - This peak is typically followed by a minor retracement, creating the first trough. 2. The Head - The head forms after a brief rally from the left shoulder's low point. - It represents the highest peak in the pattern and usually exceeds the previous peak. - After reaching this peak, the price retraces again, forming the second trough. 3. The Right Shoulder - The right shoulder is the third and final peak in the pattern. - Like the left shoulder, it is lower than the head and forms after a minor rally. - The right shoulder's high is followed by a retracement, creating the third trough. Key Characteristics of the Head and Shoulders Pattern To effectively identify and trade the Head and Shoulders pattern, it's crucial to understand its key characteristics: 1. Symmetry - The left and right shoulders should be roughly symmetrical in terms of height and width. - The head should be the highest point in the pattern. 2. Volume - Volume plays a vital role in confirming the pattern. - Volume should generally decline as the pattern forms and then increase as the price breaks below the neckline (more on this later). 3. Neckline - The neckline is a trendline drawn horizontally connecting the low points of the left and right troughs (the shoulders). - The neckline serves as a critical level of support. A breach of this level confirms the pattern. Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern Trading the Head and Shoulders pattern involves two main steps: identification and execution. Identification: 1. potting the Pattern: Begin by identifying a well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern on your forex chart. 2. Volume Confirmation: Ensure that volume decreases as the pattern forms and increases upon breaking the neckline. 3. Neckline: Draw a neckline connecting the lows of the left and right shoulders. Execution: 1. Entry Point: Place a short trade when the price breaks below the neckline. This serves as a signal that the pattern has confirmed. 2. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Set a stop-loss order above the right shoulder and a take-profit order based on your risk-reward ratio. 3. Risk Management: Be mindful of risk management, and never risk more than you can afford to lose on a single trade. Variations of the Head and Shoulders Pattern While the classic Head and Shoulders pattern is powerful, variations can offer additional insights: Inverse Head and Shoulders: - An inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a potential bullish reversal. - It comprises three troughs with the head being lower than the shoulders. - The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline. Complex Head and Shoulders: - Complex variations may have multiple heads or shoulders, making them harder to spot. - Despite their complexity, they follow the same principles of confirmation through neckline breaches. Conclusion The Head and Shoulders pattern is a valuable tool in the forex trader's toolkit. By mastering its identification and execution, you can gain a competitive edge in the market. Remember that no pattern is foolproof, and risk management remains paramount in forex trading. As with any technical analysis tool, it's essential to combine the Head and Shoulders pattern with other indicators and analysis methods for a well-rounded trading strategy. So, start practicing, keep refining your skills, and always stay informed about the latest market developments to become a successful forex trader.
Education
by forexorbit