Possible H&S Forming – It’s All About the News NowOANDA:XAUUSD
📉 Watching closely: Possible Head and Shoulders formation developing on the 4H and 1H charts
As of April 24, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the shorter timeframes (4H and 1H), which could indicate a reversal setup. While multiple scenarios are still in play, the price action around the $3368 level will be crucial.
If price fails to break above this resistance in the near term, it could suggest weak bullish momentum and open the door for a pullback toward and possibly below the neckline around $3250 .
🔔 Key Economic Events – April 24
08:30 EDT – Durable Goods Orders MoM
Forecast: +2.0%
Personal outlook: Numbers might come in weaker than forecasted.
Durable goods orders are a solid gauge of industrial demand. Weaker-than-expected numbers would likely weaken the USD and could offer some upside pressure on Gold.
10:00 EDT – Existing Home Sales
Forecast: Lower than previous.
As a key barometer of consumer confidence and economic stability, lower-than-expected figures could also put pressure on the USD, potentially providing Gold a short-term bullish impulse.
📊 Potential Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Weak economic data → USD weakens → Gold spikes above $3400
If both data points disappoint, we could see a rally in Gold, possibly breaking the resistance and invalidating the H&S pattern.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (Preferred H&S Scenario)
Strong data → USD strengthens → Gold falls below $3200
While less likely, if economic data comes in stronger than forecasted, Gold could see a significant drop, forming the right shoulder and breaking the neckline – confirming the Head & Shoulders reversal.
Scenario 3 – Sideways Movement
Neutral data + Tariff talks in focus
In the absence of impactful data or if figures come in as expected, Gold might consolidate sideways. Ongoing developments around US-China tariff negotiations could dominate sentiment, delaying or nullifying the H&S pattern entirely.
📉 Market Sentiment Snapshot
US stocks are rallying on optimism around tariff reductions
Trump administration signaling potential easing of China tariffs
➡️ Gold under pressure as risk-on sentiment rises
📍 Conclusion
Keep an eye on the $3368 level and $3250 neckline. Short-term moves will likely be dictated by today’s economic releases and the evolving trade narrative. A confirmed break below the neckline would validate the bearish H&S scenario with potential downside toward $3200 and below.
👉 Stay nimble and trade the reaction, not just the forecast.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Headshoulders
Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners█ Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most widely recognized and reliable patterns in technical analysis. And today, I am going to teach you how to use it as efficiently as an experienced trader would.
Learning to spot and trade this pattern can be a great asset in your tool belt —whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies.
The Head and Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern in technical analysis that signals a potential trend change.
⚪ It consists of three peaks:
The Left Shoulder: A peak followed by a decline.
The Head: A higher peak formed after the left shoulder, followed by a decline.
The Right Shoulder: A smaller peak resembling the left shoulder, followed by another decline.
When these peaks form in a specific order and the price breaks below the neckline (the line connecting the two troughs between the shoulders), it indicates a bearish reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend.
█ What about Bullish reversals? Don’t worry — there's good news!
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the bottom of a downtrend and signals a potential reversal to the upside. By recognizing the pattern early, you can position yourself for a high-probability trade with a clear entry and exit strategy.
█ How to Identify a Head and Shoulders Pattern?
I truly believe the best way to learn any trading strategy is to keep it simple, away from the “technical” jargon unless absolutely necessary. We’ll do the same with this strategy.
Despite its varied usage, you can break it down into four simple steps:
1. Look for the Left Shoulder
The first part of the pattern forms when the price rises , creating a peak. Then, it declines back down to form the trough . This creates the Left Shoulder of the pattern.
Example: If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) rises from $85,000 to $90,000, and then declines to $87,500. This is your Left Shoulder.
2. Spot the Head
The second part of the pattern is the Head . After the Left Shoulder, the price rises again , but this time, it forms a higher peak than the Left Shoulder. The price then declines again, creating a second trough .
Example: Continuing with Bitcoin, after the price dropped to $87,500, it rises to a new high of $95,000 before dropping back to around $90,000. This $95,000 peak is the Head, which is higher than the Left Shoulder.
3. Find the Right Shoulder
After the decline from the Head, the price rises again, but this time, the peak should be smaller than the Head, forming the Right Shoulder . The price then starts declining again, and this is where the neckline is formed (connecting the two troughs).
Example: Bitcoin then rises from $90,000 to $92,000 (lower than the $95,000 peak). This forms the Right Shoulder, and the price starts to decline from there.
4. Draw the Neckline
The neckline is drawn by connecting the lows (troughs) between the Left Shoulder and the Head, and between the Head and the Right Shoulder. This is your key reference level.
█ How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
Once you've spotted the Head and Shoulders pattern on your chart, it’s time to trade it. And yes, it did need a separate section of its own. This is where most amateur traders mess up - the finish line.
1. Wait for the Neckline Breakout
The most crucial part of the Head and Shoulders pattern is the neckline breakout . This is when the price breaks below the neckline, signaling the start of the trend reversal.
Example: After the price rises to form the Right Shoulder at $92,000, Bitcoin then drops below the neckline (around $90,000). This is the confirmation that the pattern is complete. The price of BTCUSD is likely to continue downward past the 90k mark.
2. Enter the Trade
Once the price breaks below the neckline, enter a short position (for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern). This is your signal that the market is reversing from an uptrend to a downtrend.
3. Set Your Stop Loss
Your stop loss should be placed just above the right shoulder for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern . This makes sure you are protected in case the pattern fails and the price reverses back upward.
Example: Place your stop loss at around $93,000 (just above the Right Shoulder at $92,000) on BTCUSD.
You can also try one of these strategies I have used in the past:
⚪ Conservative Stop: Place the stop above the head (for bearish H&S) or below the head (for bullish iH&S) for maximum safety.
⚪ Aggressive Stop: Place the stop above the right shoulder (for bearish H&S) or below the right shoulder (for bullish iH&S) to reduce your stop size.
⚪ Neckline Reclaim Invalidation: Exit the trade if the price reclaims the neckline after breaking it. This could be an indication of a false positive/invalid pattern.
4. Set Your Profit Target
To calculate your profit target, measure the distance from the top of the Head to the neckline and project that distance downward from the breakout point.
Example: The distance from the Head at $95,000 to the neckline at $90,000 is $5,000. So, after the price breaks the neckline, project that $5,000 downward from the breakout point ($89,800), which gives you a target of $84,800.
5. Monitor the Trade
We’re in the home stretch now, people. This is the 9th inning.
There’s only one job left: keeping an eye on any retests or contrarian moves.
As the price moves in your favor, you can scale out or move your stop loss to break even to lock in profits.
█ What makes H&S strategy an all-time classic?
It’s simple. It works.
This pattern works because it reflects a shift in market sentiment:
In a Head and Shoulders pattern , the uptrend slows down as the market struggles to make new highs, and then the price ultimately breaks down, signaling that the bulls have lost control.
In an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , the downtrend weakens as the market fails to make new lows, and the price breaks upwards, signaling a bullish reversal.
⚪ Here are a few points to remember as a cheatsheet for Head and Shoulders patterns:
Wait for the neckline breakout to confirm the pattern.
Set a stop loss above the right shoulder for protection.
Project the price target using the height of the head for a realistic profit goal.
Always monitor the trade for any signs of reversal or false breakouts.
Mastering this pattern can be a game-changer for any trader, but like any tool, it’s only effective when combined with other indicators, strategies, and a solid risk management plan.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
USD/CHF: Selling the Head & Shoulders BreakdownSpotted a clear H&S pattern on USD/CHF 15m chart!
Selling at 0.8826 with stop above 0.8844.
Target: First 0.8815, then possibly lower to the -0.27 Fib level.
The neckline break looks solid and we're still in the channel. Risk-reward looks good here.
What do you think? Are you bearish on USD/CHF too?
#USDCHF #Forex #TradingIdea
The Head and Shoulders Pattern: How to TradeHello, Traders!
Have you ever noticed price action forming three peaks, with the middle one standing taller than the others? If so, you’ve spotted the head and shoulders pattern, one of technical analysis's most well-known and reliable reversal patterns. Whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or crypto, the head and shoulders chart pattern can provide high-probability setups for both bullish and bearish trades. But is the pattern of the head and shoulders bullish or bearish? The answer depends on its structure.
Let’s dive into what a head and shoulders pattern is, how to identify it, and how to trade both the classic and inverse head and shoulders patterns effectively.
What Is a Head and Shoulders Pattern?
The head and shoulders trading pattern is a reversal formation that signals a shift in trend direction. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder – A price rise, followed by a temporary decline.
Head – A higher peak, followed by another drop.
Right Shoulder – A lower peak that struggles to reach the height of the head, signaling weakness in the trend.
Neckline – A support level connecting the lows of the left shoulder and the right shoulder. The breakout below this level confirms the reversal.
The head and shoulders stock pattern typically appears at the top of an uptrend, indicating a potential trend reversal to the downside.
Is the Head and Shoulders Pattern Bullish or Bearish?
The classic head and shoulders pattern is bearish, which usually signals that buyers are losing strength and sellers are taking control. Traders use it to identify potential downtrends and short-selling opportunities.
However, the reverse head and shoulders pattern, also known as the inverted head and shoulders pattern, is bullish and might signal the start of an uptrend.
The head and shoulders candlestick pattern is considered to be most effective when combined with volume analysis—high selling volume at the neckline is thought to confirm the breakdown.
Head and Shoulders vs. Other Reversal Patterns
The head and shoulders chart pattern is one of the most reliable reversal formations, but how does it compare to others?
Head and Shoulders vs. Double Top – The head and shoulders pattern includes three peaks, while a double top has only two.
Head and Shoulders vs. Triangle – Triangles are continuation patterns, while the head and shoulders candle pattern signals reversal.
Final Thoughts: Why the Head and Shoulders Pattern Matters
The head and shoulders trading pattern is considered to be powerful for identifying trend reversals. Whether you’re trading a head and shoulders, a pattern bullish setup with an inverted head and shoulders pattern, or a bearish reversal with the classic formation, mastering this strategy can improve your trading accuracy.
So, traders, have you used the head and shoulders chart pattern in your strategy? What’s your success rate with it? Let’s discuss it!
Chart Patterns That Keep Showing Up (Are Traders Predictable?)In the grand theater of financial markets, traders often fancy themselves as rational actors, making decisions based on cold, hard data. Yet, time and again, their collective behavior etches familiar patterns onto price charts, as if choreographed by an unseen hand (the Invisible Hand?)
All across the world economy , markets trade in patterns. The trick is to spot those patterns before they unfold.
These recurring formations, known as chart patterns, are a testament to the predictability of human psychology in trading. Let's rediscover some of these enduring patterns, exploring why they persist and how you can leverage them.
🚿 The Head and Shoulders: More Than a Shampoo Brand
Imagine a market trend as a partygoer who's had one too many. Initially, they're lively (the left shoulder), then they reach peak status of euphoria (the head), but eventually, they slump with one last “let’s go party people” (the right shoulder). This sequence forms the Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Traders spot this pattern by identifying three peaks: a central, higher peak flanked by two lower, similar-sized peaks on each side. The neckline, drawn by connecting the lows between these peaks, becomes the critical support level. A break below this line suggests the party's over, and it's time to exit or short the trading instrument.
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish, resembling a person doing a headstand—a strong sign the market's ready to flip.
Ready to hunt down the charts for some Head and Shoulders? Try out the Head and Shoulders drawing tool .
⛰️ Double Tops and Bottoms: Déjà Vu in Trading
Ever experience déjà vu? The market does too, in the form of Double Tops and Bottoms. A Double Top resembles the letter "M," where the price hits a high, retreats, and then tests that high again before declining. It's the market's way of saying, "I've been here before, and I'm not going higher."
The Double Bottom, shaped like a "W," occurs when the price drops to a low, rebounds, and then retests that low before rising. It's akin to the market finding a sturdy trampoline at support levels, ready to bounce back.
These patterns reflect traders' reluctance to push prices beyond established highs or lows, leading to reversals.
⚠️ Triangles: The Market's Waiting Game
When traders are indecisive, prices often consolidate, forming Triangle patterns. These come in three flavors:
Ascending Triangle : Characterized by a flat upper resistance line and a rising lower support line. Buyers are gaining strength, repeatedly pushing prices up to a resistance level. A breakout above this resistance suggests bullish momentum.
Descending Triangle : Features a flat lower support line and a descending upper resistance line. Sellers are in control, and a break below support signals bearish continuation.
Symmetrical Triangle : Both support and resistance lines converge, indicating a standoff between buyers and sellers. The eventual breakout can go either way, and traders watch closely for directional cues.
Triangles epitomize the market's pause before a storm, as participants gather conviction for the next move.
Feel like looking for some triangles on charts? Jump straight to our easy-to-use Triangle Pattern drawing tool .
🏁 Flags and Pennants: The Market Takes a Breather
After a strong price movement, the market often needs a breather, leading to Flags and Pennants. These are short-term continuation patterns that indicate a brief consolidation before the trend resumes.
Flag : Resembles a parallelogram sloping against the prevailing trend. It's like the market catching its breath before sprinting again.
Pennant : Looks like a small symmetrical triangle that forms after a sharp move. Think of it as the market pitching a tent before continuing its journey.
Recognizing these patterns helps traders position themselves for the next leg of the trend.
🧠 The Psychology Behind Pattern Persistence
Why do these patterns keep appearing? The answer lies in human psychology. Traders, despite access to vast information, are influenced by emotions like fear and greed. This collective sentiment manifests in predictable ways, creating patterns on charts.
For instance, the Head and Shoulders pattern emerges because traders, after pushing prices to a peak, become cautious. Early sellers take profits, causing a dip. A second rally (the head) attracts more participants, but if it fails to sustain, confidence wanes, leading to a sell-off. The final attempt (right shoulder) lacks conviction, and once support breaks, the downtrend ensues.
Understanding the emotional drivers behind these patterns allows traders to anticipate moves and strategize accordingly.
🎯 Using Patterns to Your Advantage
While recognizing patterns is valuable, it's crucial to approach them with a discerning eye:
Confirmation is Key : Don't act on a pattern until it's confirmed. For example, in a Head and Shoulders, wait for a break below the neckline before taking a position.
Volume Matters : Volume often validates a pattern. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong participation.
Contextual Awareness : Consider the broader market context. Patterns can yield false signals in volatile or news-driven environments.
Risk Management : Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected moves. Patterns suggest probabilities, not certainties.
🧬 The Evolution of Patterns in Modern Markets
In today's algorithm-driven trading landscape, one might wonder if traditional chart patterns still hold relevance. Interestingly, even sophisticated trading algorithms (those used by hedge funds and investment managers) are programmed based on historical patterns and human behavior, perpetuating the cycle.
Moreover, as long as markets are driven by human participants, emotions will influence decisions, and patterns will emerge. The tools may evolve, but the underlying psychology remains constant.
🤗 Conclusion: Embrace the Predictability
In the volatile world of trading, chart patterns serve as a bridge between market psychology and price action. They offer insights into collective behavior, providing traders with a framework to anticipate movements.
By studying these recurring formations, traders can align their strategies with market sentiment, turning the predictability of human nature into a trading edge.
What’s your go-to technical analysis pattern? Are you and H&S trader or maybe you prefer to trade double tops? Share your approach in the comments!
GBPCHF - Head and Shoulders SetupHello traders,
On the daily timeframe GBPCHF has been consolidating in a range. Now it is at the resistance level of the range and so we should be looking for shorting opportunities.
On the lower timeframes, the 4H and 2H, it has formed a head and shoulders pattern which is a great reversal pattern.
Add to this the RSI divergence which in many occasions foreshadows the change in trend.
I will be entering when we get a close below the neckline on the 2H timeframe.
Be Careful Now!Crypto Trading Fam,
It's time for me to put out a note of caution. I have been bullish but a few days ago while doing my video, I spotted this pattern mid-session, hoping I would be wrong. Looks like I was not. The H&S pattern has now formed. This means we have an 85% probability that we'll drop to our next support of 75k. Yikes!
Now, 15% of the time a H&S pattern can fail. We can only hope this will be the case. But while hoping, prepare your SLs. Could get ugly for those alts!
✌️ Stew
EUR/USD's Déjà Vu: Ready to Ride the Next Wave?So, here’s the deal with EUR/USD – it’s throwing out a pretty juicy head-and-shoulders pattern. If you’re not familiar, just think of it like this: the market is literally shrugging its shoulders, and when it does that, it usually means it’s getting ready to slide downhill. And guess what? We’ve seen this exact move before... twice. 📉
Pattern Repeat: Déjà Vu, But Profitable
Flashback 1: Way back on the left side of the chart, there was a head-and-shoulders (that’s like the market’s favorite I’m-outta-here move). It shrugged its shoulders, and then – boom – dropped about 400 pips. Nice little payday if you were ready for it.
Flashback 2: Middle of the chart, same thing. It pulled another head-and-shoulders, neckline broke at around 1.0920, and down it went about 350 pips. It’s like clockwork – see a shoulder, expect the floor to drop soon after. 🕰️
Now, Let’s Talk About This Current Setup
We’re seeing another head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the right side. And here’s the fun part: if it follows the same pattern as the last two, we’re in for a similar ride.
Neckline Level: This one's got its neckline (the line where we know things could start falling fast) around 1.0740. And look – it’s already cracked below that. This means we’re potentially heading towards our next target.
Targets 🎯
Alright, so where’s this going if it drops? Here’s the roadmap:
First Stop: 1.0460 – This level’s like a speed bump. If price respects it, we might see a little bounce, but if it doesn’t, the road is wide open for more downside action. 🚗💨
Next Destination: 1.0175 – Think of this as the next major support level. Historically, every time EUR/USD has done its head-and-shoulders thing, it didn’t just stop at the first target. Nope. It kept on trucking, usually another few hundred pips. So if you’re looking for a bigger move, this level’s worth watching. 📉
Ultimate Bear Zone: 0.9650 – Now, if we’re talking about a full-blown trend continuation, then 0.9650 is the jackpot. That’s where things could get seriously interesting. But hey, let’s not get ahead of ourselves – let’s take this step by step. 🚀
How to Play This 🕹️
If you’re looking to trade this, here’s the game plan:
Entry Point: If the price slides down to 1.0460, that’s a prime spot to watch. If it hesitates here and starts bouncing, you might see some action going back up a bit – maybe a chance to reset or take some off the table if you’re short.
But if it breaks through 1.0460 like it’s not even there? Buckle up for 1.0175.
Stop-Loss: Look, head-and-shoulders has been reliable here, but we still need to protect ourselves. Set a stop above 1.0550. Worst case? You cut your loss if the market decides to play tricks.
Profit Goals: Go for 1.0460 first, and if things are looking spicy, aim for 1.0175. And if we’re really riding this bear wave – there’s that 0.9650 ultimate bear zone waiting at the end. 🐻💰
Quick Recap
EUR/USD is giving us a déjà vu setup with this head-and-shoulders action. This pattern has been on point the last couple of times – each breakdown led to big drops, so history’s on our side. If this one plays out similarly, 1.0460 is the first floor, 1.0175 is the basement, and 0.9650... well, that’s where we hit the goldmine if the bears take over completely.
Keep it simple. Watch for those levels, manage your risk, and let’s see if EUR/USD does what it’s done before. You know what they say – the trend is your friend... until it’s not. 😉
Put Your Speculators On!This head and shoulders pattern could be just pure speculation at this point. In fact, let me reword that.. this IS speculation based on the fact that I missed the lows and psychologically, I'm really hoping this comes back to shore so I can get back on the boat with everyone else.
I do however do my technical analysis in advance and set alerts at levels like you should do and if it plays out then great if not there's always the opposite idea too. We move onto the next one.
For now though what I'm looking at is BITGET:ADAUSDT.P has closed the daily candle back inside the value area high ( VAH ) of the range they just left. I am now in a waiting game to see what happens with the second candle close but we just had a 7.5% drop from that value area high (white dots) and the weekly level.
The purple line is the previous Monthly VWAP (volume weighted average price) which when you go down to a lower timeframe it's actually touched (Just doesn't look like that here).
The yellow line is the previous Weekly VWAP which we had confluence with at the weekly level and the value area high and also back tested a couple of hours ago.
The blue bars are to show the 21% from the top of the head down to the neck of the head and shoulders pattern and then a repeated 21% from the neck to complete the pattern right into a point of control ( POC ) from a very high timeframe, I'm talking years.
If we start to lose some levels here like $0.35ish and back test it, I'll probably just wait to lose the POC and then see if we get the drop down into that area of confluence below at around $0.26.
I'm far too broke to be gambling so I'd rather wait and reward myself with a little bit of patience, who knows, it could just happen quickly but “Uptober” isn’t starting off that well so far.
I won't be looking for any long trades unless we can reclaim that weekly level and value area high. Targets would be the weekly level above with confluence from the high timeframe value area high and anchored VWAP from the all-time high (Green line).
This is not financial advice. This is just an idea and some slight education to put out there for anybody that's feeling a little bit lost about what they're seeing on the charts.
The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!!
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal.
-According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with around 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit.
-More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken.
-A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases.
-However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%.
-The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, neckline breakout, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary.
-It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses.
__________________________________________________________________
Head and Shoulders:
Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading:
-The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways:
- Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading.
- In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern.
- It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal.
- The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary.
- Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly.
In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses.
_____________________________________________________________________________
NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!
Hello everyone The Wolf of Zurich has detected a possible "head and shoulder" on Nvidia, which would bring the price down to around $42.
I have also drawn a trend line that you absolutely must watch!
The level to watch is around $98-98
Here, watch your Fibonacci levels as well as your exponential mobile means
Have a nice day everyone
Some information to know about Nvidia:
Nvidia, the world leader in graphics chips and AI, is enjoying a flourishing situation despite a recent drop in its stock price.
Here is a summary of its current situation:
-Dominant position in the AI market
Nvidia occupies a quasi-monopolistic position in the field of chips for artificial intelligence. Its GPUs, especially the H100 series, are essential for the development of cutting-edge AI systems and are selling at high prices around the world.
-Stock market performance
Despite a recent 9.53% drop in its share price, Nvidia has posted an impressive 120% increase since the beginning of the year and nearly 400% over 3 years. This one-off drop does not seem to worry analysts, who still see significant growth potential.
-Technological innovations
Nvidia recently presented its new Blackwell GPU architecture, with the B200 and GB200 processors. These chips promise performance multiplied by 5 compared to the previous generation in the field of AI. The company also reassured investors by announcing that it had resolved the production problems initially encountered.
-Future Outlook
With its dominance in AI training chips and its comprehensive software ecosystem, Nvidia appears well positioned for continued growth. The company continues to innovate and strengthen its position in the AI market, which suggests a positive outlook for the future.
Beginner Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders, Double Tops and MoreWelcome to the world of chart patterns—the place where every price action tells a story. And if you read it right, you might just walk away with profits. In this Idea, we explore the immersive corner of technical analysis where chart patterns shape to potentially show you where the price is going. We’ll keep it tight and break down the most popular ones so you’d have more time to take your knowledge for a spin and look for some patterns (risk-free with a paper trading account ?). Let’s roll.
Chart patterns are the market’s version of geometry paired with hieroglyphics. They might look like random squiggles at first, but once you learn to decode them, they might reveal where the market is headed next. Here are the mainstay chart patterns everyone should start with: Head and Shoulders, Double Tops, and a few other gems.
1. Head and Shoulders: The King of Reversals
First up is the Head and Shoulders pattern—an iconic, evergreen, ever-fashionable formation that traders dream about. Why? Because it’s a reliable reversal pattern that often signals the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one.
Here’s the breakdown: Imagine a market that’s been climbing higher. It forms a peak (a shoulder), pulls back, then rallies even higher to form a bigger peak (the head), only to drop again. Finally, it gives one last weak attempt to rise (the second shoulder), but it can’t reach the same height as the head. The neckline, a horizontal line connecting the two lows between the peaks, is your trigger. Once the price breaks below it, it’s time to consider shorting or bailing on your long position.
And yes, there’s an inverted version of this pattern too. It looks like a man doing a handstand and signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. That’s Head and Shoulders—flipping trends since forever.
2. Double Tops and Double Bottoms: The Market’s Déjà Vu
Next up, we have the Double Top and Double Bottom patterns—the market’s way of saying, “Been there, done that.” These patterns occur when the price tries and fails—twice—to break through a key level.
Double Top : Picture this: The price surges to a high, only to hit a ceiling and fall back. Then, like a stubborn child, it tries again but fails to break through. That’s your Double Top—two peaks, one resistance level, and a potential trend reversal in the making. When the price drops below the support formed by the dip between the two peaks, it’s a signal that the bulls are out of steam.
Double Bottom : Flip it over, and you’ve got a Double Bottom—a W-shaped pattern that forms after the price tests a support level twice. If it can’t break lower and starts to rally, it’s a sign that the bears are losing control. A breakout above the peak between the two lows confirms the pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
3. Triangles: The Calm Before the Storm
Triangles are the market’s way of coiling up before making a big move. They come in three flavors—ascending, descending, and symmetrical.
Ascending Triangle : Here’s how it works: The price forms higher lows but keeps bumping into the same resistance level. This shows that buyers are getting stronger, but sellers aren’t ready to give up. Eventually, pressure builds and the price breaks out to the upside. But since it’s trading, you can expect the price to break to the downside, too.
Descending Triangle : The opposite of the ascending triangle, this pattern shows lower highs leaning against a flat support level. Sellers are gaining the upper hand and when the price breaks below the support, it’s usually game over for the bulls. But not always—sometimes, bulls would have it their way.
Symmetrical Triangle : This is the market’s version of a coin toss. The price is squeezing into a tighter range with lower highs and higher lows. It’s anyone’s guess which way it’ll break, but when it does, expect a big move in that direction.
4. Flags and Pennants: The Market’s Pit Stop
If triangles are the calm before the storm, then flags and pennants are the pit stops during a race. These patterns are continuation signals, meaning that the trend is likely to keep going after a brief pause.
Flags : Flags are rectangular-shaped patterns that slope against the prevailing trend. If the market’s in an uptrend, the flag will slope downwards, and vice versa. Once the price breaks out of the flag in the direction of the original trend, it’s usually off to the races again.
Pennants : Pennants look like tiny symmetrical triangles. After a strong move, the price consolidates in a small, converging range before breaking out and continuing the trend. They’re short-lived but pack a punch.
Final Thoughts
To many technical analysts, chart patterns are the best thing the market can do. The secret code, or however you may want to call them, they can give you insight into the dealmaking between buyers and sellers and hint at what might happen next.
Whether it’s a Head and Shoulders flashing a trend reversal, a Double Top marking a key resistance level, or a Triangle gearing up for a breakout, these patterns are essential tools in your trading garden.
So next time you stare at a chart, keep in mind that you’re not just looking at random lines. You’re reading the market’s mind from a technical standpoint. And if you know what to look for, you’re one step closer to cracking the code.
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.
1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$.
2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range.
Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$.
3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$
The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels .
However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$.
Be careful
GOLD → if the neckline breakshello guys.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The price action is forming an "Inverse Head and Shoulders" pattern, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder clearly marked. This pattern typically indicates a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The neckline of the pattern is located around the resistance zone at approximately $2,534.
Breakout Potential:
The price is currently trading near the resistance zone (neckline). A breakout above this level would confirm the pattern and could lead to a strong bullish move.
If the breakout occurs, the target of the pattern is set around the $2,555 level, representing a substantial upside potential.
Support Levels:
The key support level is near $2,495, which aligns with the head of the pattern. A break below this level would invalidate the pattern and may lead to further downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Resistance: Around $2,534.
Target of Pattern: Around $2,555 if the breakout is confirmed.
Potential Trading Strategy:
Consider entering a long position upon a confirmed breakout above the neckline ($2,534), with a target around $2,555.
Place a stop-loss below the right shoulder or the head of the pattern to manage risk effectively.
Overall, the chart suggests a bullish setup with a potential breakout above the neckline that could lead to a significant upward move. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern supports a bullish outlook as long as the price remains above key support levels.
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BTC → a signal to get a long positionhello guys.
as you can see btc made a Head and shoulders pattern and the neckline broke up!
so we can expect the $65802 area touched!
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Friday 23, N.Y Gold & USDX: Very very interesting...See charts!
Happy Friday guys, I was tired & late getting into the Asian session earlier. But as soon as I locked-horns with my 42" monitor I saw that Gold & Silver were in a mild upside rally. I soon took a long position & recommended one for you in Silver which was rallying stronger than gold.
The gold price struggled at resistance from 2490 to 2500, not strong resistance at 2490 but volume is always lighter in the Asian session. We quickly booked a profit, I am hoping you did as everything happened so fast in a Long trade which only lasted 40 minutes or so. What happened next? Plz read on below.
I saw that price kept getting rejected at the 20 EMA on the lower-time-frame. I decided to go Short & I recommended a very small lot-size Sell-stop below where price was I think from memory my Sell-stops were around 2489 or thereabouts. Next, I distracted myself on another project on the 'hotcopper' forum with a bullish lithium company I am very heavily invested in called Raiden Resources RDN is the ticker, if you want to check it out, I will never sell Stock trades but this thing is looking good, but you google the stories on Raiden Resources if you wish.
So, I had no Stops on my Short because I generally do not like Stops because I find 9 times out 10 the Market-Makers will hunt your stop down so that Mr & Mrs Market-Maker make their big fat wealthy private bank clients wealthier. Maybe that's a bit harsh, but I often wonder.
So the Gold price found support because I took my eye off the field & forgot to book profits and the Gold price started to properly find support and some strength above 2490.
Guys, that is enough on that. Look what concerns me in Friday trading are these bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns & on multiple timeframes. We are still about 0.31% from the trigger line & look they probably won't play out today, but what about next week? If the USDX does turnaround next Monday & it certainly could do that because it is very oversold on the Stochastics. However, the path of least resistance for the USDX is further down because it's below its moving averages & how many bloody times do we go Long & then close out of the trade & look at a higher-time-frame & exclaim to ourselves, 'I am an idiot the trend was down / the path of least resistance was down - Why did I go Long'. I used to do it all the time when I was a very green, greedy & gullible trader. Well I still get greedy!
I will monitor these H & S's on the ASDX.
I see where the boss speaks today, The Fed Chair, Mr Powell at 10am Eastern Time USA & Canada and we also have another chat from FOMC member Bostic. My feeling is that Mr Powell has maybe felt a bit anxious lately & he may give our market a bit of a boost today by reiterating the theme of interest rate reduction(s) next month which of course will bode well for Gold & Precious Metals in general.
Further on the Economic Calendar today, we have Building Permits at 08:30am & then New Home Sales at 10am, the latter having a bit more weight and bearing on our trading. Unless you are looking to Short the Gold price today, with our 2 speakers hopefully talking up an interest rate reduction & if the other 2 mentions on the economic calendar come in a bit bearish then this will be poor or the USD but more than likely supportive of the Gold price and getting back above 2500, which I think is where the 50EMA sits on the 1 HR Chart.
So recapping, my feeling is that today will be bullish for Gold depending on New Home Sales mostly but Mr Powell's endorsements rate reductions for the US economy commencing next month will shrug off any bearishness in the Gold price.
In addition to the Head 'n' Shoulders patterns for the USDX (see the 1st set of charts), I have scouring Precious Metals searching for other H & S's patterns so I will be posting these charts so that you have a road-map for the possibility of taking these H & S trades which are predominately bullish ones, I will post these below very soon & I have tradingview alerts set for when price gets near the neckline.
Cheers,
Chris
Bulls HnS's Prec.Metals below. Plz-read-Friday Gold Commentary!
There are some bullish Head 'n' Shoulders patterns today in Precious Metals.
1st up see charts for Palladium XPDUSD. This is a bullish H & S's on multiple timeframes. 5m played out earlier in Asian session but we still have setups on the 1HR, 2HR and 4HR charts.
If Mr Powell gives the market the boost and shot-in-the-arm that I think he will today because I am guessing he has been a bit on edge lately like a trader who just lost 30k in a day. I am hopeful we will get a good run today Long in precious metals. Mr Powell speaks at 10am Eastern USA & Canada.
Be aware that some of these setups have already retested and others have not, but I will do my best to guide you through it with an alert if Entry becomes noticeable to me in the charts later. This is of course if you are a newer trader. I know most of you are experienced.
BTC → if breaks up get a long positionhello guys.
let's dive in BTC!
1. Pattern Recognition:
Left Shoulder: The first peak formed before the head.
Head: The highest point in the pattern, showing a peak above the shoulders.
Right Shoulder: The final peak, which is lower than the head but roughly in line with the left shoulder.
2. Key Levels:
Neckline: The blue line around $57,571.68 marks the support level that connects the lows from the left and right shoulders.
Breakout Zone: The chart highlights a yellow resistance zone just above the current price. If Bitcoin breaks above this zone, it could lead to a bullish breakout.
3. Bullish Scenario:
Upside Potential: If the price breaks above the yellow resistance zone, the next target could be around $62,343.58. This would confirm the pattern and signal a potential continuation of the upward trend.
4. Bearish Scenario:
Failure to Break: If the price fails to break above the resistance zone, it could result in a pullback to the neckline of around $57,571.68 or lower.
Summary
Pattern: Head and Shoulders identified on the 15-minute chart.
Neckline Support: Around $57,571.68.
Resistance Zone: Key area to watch for a breakout just above the current price.
Bullish Scenario: A break above resistance could lead to a move towards $62,343.58.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to break resistance might lead to a drop back to the neckline or lower.
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment