JOHNSON & JOHNSON Excellent confirmed sell signalJohnson & Johnson (JNJ) gave us the most optimal buy entry on our last call (April 17, see chart below) and easily hit our 157.50 Target:
Having been rejected early in September exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Down and now establishing price action below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is a confirmed sell signal and the start of the Channel's 5th Bearish Leg. The RSI Lower Highs are common on all previous Channel tops.
Our Target is 141.00, which is on the Internal Lower Lows trend-line (formed by the last 2 Lower Lows) and still above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
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Health
ELI LILLY Always a solid buy below its 1D MA50.Eli Lilly (LLY) broke on Friday below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 09. As the stock trades within a long-term Channel Up since the March 01 2023 bottom, every time the price was below the 1D MA50, it didn't stay for long, thus providing the most effective buy entry.
Even though it could dip some more as with July's decline (only such case though out of 6 corrections), as long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we expect the Channel Up to be extended.
The initial Higher Highs were closer to the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, the last one however was exactly on the 1.0 Fib. As a result, we will take a more conservative Target on that trend-line, thus turning bullish now and aiming at $1100 by the end of the year.
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UNITED HEALTH forming a bottom.United Health (UNH) gave an excellent dip buy opportunity last time (March 29, see chart below), with the price even breaking above the long-term Resistance Zone eventually:
The price has since entered a Channel Up pattern with the price now below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having already topped and attempting to form a new Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern.
Like the previous one in June, this bottoming process can take another 3 weeks, so we will time it accordingly and target 675.00 (+21.00% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs).
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CVS - CVS Health: If the stock drops a few points, I'll be buyiIf the stock drops a few points, I'll be buying very heavily...
CVS and WBA are in the same sector. And both have been decimated. CVS, however, is doing better. And they're paying a dividend.
Target, at least +10%.
Trading at 70% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 9% per year
Earnings grew by 140% over the past year
DIVIDEND = Pays a high and reliable dividend of 4.75%
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 20%
HIMS EARNINGS CHART, DO BULLS HAVE ANY UPSIDE REMAINING? Short answer, yep.
LOTS.
Longer answer, this is a key price zone.
Take a look back at the chart as a whole.
It almost looks like it wants to hit 12.5 tomorrow and GAP up earnings.
Hard to say for sure because it's not a stock I watch often.
BUT, it's flashing some bullish signals.
Good luck!
Investors Await Q1 ReportKey arguments in support of the idea.
▪ UNH stock has come under pressure from a series of adverse events,
though Q1 earnings may improve investor sentiment regarding further
UNH business growth potential.
▪ A good moment for buying, both fundamentally and technically.
Investment Thesis
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) engages in the provision of health insurance,
software, and related consulting services. UNH is the largest provider of
healthcare plans in the US.
In Early 2024, UNH’s Stock Came Under Pressure from Several
Adversities at Once . First, it is a cyberattack on Change Healthcare
services, that led to a temporary freeze on payments from medical
organizations. At the time of finalizing this report, UnitedHealth informed
that services were restored, and that it did not expect big implications for
financial results. However, market participants fear a one-time negative
impact on profitability in Q1 2024.
Shortly after the cyberattack, it was reported that the US Department of
Justice had initiated an antitrust investigation for examining the strength of
relationship between UnitedHealth’s insurance and medical business
divisions. The impact of the investigation is uncertain, and we do not
believe it to influence the stock in the short term.
Investors Were Disappointed by CMS’ Final Decision on Medicare
Advantage (MA) Payment Rates. On April 2, MA plan rate rises for 2025
compared to 2024 became finally known. The payout rate remained at the
proposed level of 3.7% y/y, disappointing investors looking for a bigger
increase. This caused a negative market reaction: UNH, the largest player,
ended the April 2 trading with a 9.3% drop. Some other major stocks
reacted that day accordingly: HUM (-13.4%), CVS (-7.2%), ELV (-3.3%).
The worsened MA business revenue expectations for 2025 are already
reflected in prices. However, the Optum segment’s organic growth
(OptumHealth, OptumInsight, and OptumRx) remains a strong point of the
Company and may support its Q1 2024 results that will be released on
April 16.
Expectations for Q1 Report. We think that investors will be focused on the
guidance for 2024. Management’s confirmation or improvement of the
existing guidance could dispel investor worries. Besides, we expect a
detailed commentary on the impact of the cyberattack and the MA rate
decision on financial results.
Now Is a Good Time to Buy. The P/E NTM ratio has decreased to 15.8,
which is lower than the Company’s all-time average of 18.8. The RSI has
dropped below 30 points, signaling a likely reversal. We consider UNH
shares’ current weakness as a good opportunity to buy, assuming that (1)
the impact of the approved MA 2025 rate is already reflected in prices, (2)
the cyberattack will have a one-time insignificant implication for UNH, and
(3) there is still a high demand in the MA market, and UNH remains the
largest and growing provider of healthcare plans.
The target price for UNH over a 2-month horizon is $495, which
corresponds to P/E NTM of 18. We recommend Buying and setting a
Stop Loss at $415.
Gaxos Acquires Rights to AI-enabled TechnologyGaxos.ai Inc., ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) a pioneering force in artificial intelligence (AI) applications, has announced a significant strategic move to bolster its presence in the health and wellness sector. The acquisition of rights to AI-enabled technology from the top biohacking app, Ultiself, marks a pivotal moment in Gaxos' journey towards revolutionizing the human-AI relationship.
Unlocking Enhanced Customization and User Experience:
The integration of Ultiself's proprietary technology into Gaxos Health's ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) product offering signifies a leap forward in personalized health solutions. By harnessing the power of AI, Gaxos aims to deliver unparalleled customization and efficiency to meet the evolving demands of modern consumers. This strategic move is poised to accelerate the development of Gaxos Health's AI-enabled application, paving the way for innovative diet, nutrition, and tracking capabilities.
CEO's Vision for Innovation:
Vadim Mats, CEO of Gaxos.AI, underscores the significance of securing the rights to this cutting-edge technology. With a focus on delivering value to customers and stakeholders, Mats envisions a future where Gaxos ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) redefines the human-AI relationship across diverse sectors, including health, wellness, and gaming. The commitment to leveraging AI solutions underscores Gaxos' dedication to addressing critical aspects of human well-being and entertainment.
Collaborative Integration Process:
The integration process between Gaxos ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) and Ultiself teams has commenced immediately, highlighting a collaborative approach to ensure a seamless transition. With both teams working in tandem, Gaxos endeavors to leverage Ultiself's technology to its fullest potential, driving innovation and enhancing user experiences. The synergy between Gaxos and Ultiself sets the stage for groundbreaking advancements in AI-enabled health solutions.
Gaxos.ai's Vision for the Future:
Gaxos.AI ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) isn't merely developing applications; it's pioneering a paradigm shift in the human-AI landscape. With a steadfast commitment to redefining health, longevity, and entertainment through AI solutions, Gaxos sets its sights on transformative innovation. The expansion into health and wellness represents a strategic pivot towards addressing fundamental human needs and shaping the future of AI-driven technologies.
Technical Outlook
Prior to the news, ( NASDAQ:GXAI ) stock surged by a whopping 50.38% trading above its 200-day Moving Average with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63.54.
AMN: Bullish Divergence at the 0.786 RetraceAMN after the Bearish breakdown of the 3 Falling Peaks seems to be trying to form a bottom around the 0.786 Retrace with Bullish Divergence on the MACD and RSI. I am uncertain if it will result in the stock making a significantly higher high, but I do think it could at least come back up to test the resistance that sits at around the $70 area esepcially if the IWM and Small Cap Indexes continue to rally.
Hologic: Holding Above 200-week SMA Inside of a Cup with HandleHologic is currently Consolidating within the potential handle of a Bullish Cup with Handle pattern and is holding above the 200-week Simple Moving Average. If this pattern plays out successfully, the measured move target would take HOLX up to around $118. n addition to the technical pattern, HOLX seems to be improving its balance sheet on an annual basis, consistently increasing Assets while decreasing Liabilities and Debts. Overall, this stock seems like a stronger stock within the health sector.
Walgreens: Quarterly Bullish Piercing Line at PCZ of Bullish BatThere is a Bullish Piercing Line at the PCZ of a Bullish Bat that is visible on the Quarterly time frame. We also have MACD and RSI Bullish Divergence to go along with it as well as Increasing Volume. This could be the start of something big for the price action and I speculate that shares of Walgreens could rise up to around $58 over the coming months.
Analysis of CVS Stock Trends: A Parabolic Turn on the HorizonFashionable Analysis of CVS Stock Trends: A Parabolic Turn on the Horizon
Introduction:
In the realm of financial fashion, CVS stock is set to make a stylish entrance with a parabolic turn, showcasing a strong formation on the 4D timeframe. This trend is marked by the elegant falling wedge pattern and the chic double bottom overlapping patterns, following a dose of impactful news related to drug patents.
Technical Analysis - CVS Stock:
The 4D timeframe reveals the graceful formation of a falling wedge pattern, signifying a poised parabolic turn in CVS stock. This pattern, complemented by double bottom overlapping formations, is a testament to the stock's resilience, especially against the backdrop of recent drug patent news highlighted on CNBC ( www.cnbc.com ).
Price Targets and Corrections:
The first take profit target stands confidently at $76.78, offering investors a lucrative moment to capitalize on the impending parabolic turn. Following this peak, a correction to approximately $71.07 is expected, providing a brief pause for market adjustments.
Strategic Entry and Second Take Profit Target:
Wise investors can strategically enter the market around $71.07, anticipating a second take profit target at a stylish $82.44. This forecasted move aligns with the rhythm of the stock's recent patterns, emphasizing the importance of timing in the world of financial fashion.
Historical Elegance:
Tracing CVS stock's journey since April 2019, a period marking the middle of the pandemic, unveils a remarkable rally. The stock gracefully formed a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4Day timeframe, echoing a sense of resilience and adaptability. The rally continued, reaching its peak around February 01, 2022, before gracefully correcting until October 25, 2023.
Future Projections:
As the music of the market plays on, further continuation of this trend is expected. The forecasted trajectory anticipates a new level of elegance for CVS stock by the end of 2024, reaching a poised $106.97. This future projection exudes confidence and sets the stage for CVS to make a bold statement in the financial fashion world.
In the intricate dance of stocks and patterns, CVS is poised to captivate investors with its upcoming parabolic turn and a tale of resilience, gracefully crafted on the canvas of market trends.
UNITED HEALTH Buy signal to complete the Cup pattern.United Health is on a green (1w) candle despite the general market sell-off.
This is technically due to the longer term pattern which is shaping up to be a Cup/ Arc, that remains to be seen if at the end of it will give a Handle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 553.00 (bottom of Resistance Zone 1 which was initially formed on April 11th 2022).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) is rising with a Bullish Cross last seen in July and despite being bullish over 0.00, it is still underpriced.
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UNH: Complex Bearish Head & Shoulders /Hidden Bearish DivergenceUnitedHealth Group has formed this Complex Head and Shoulders pattern on the weekly time frame and has formed two layers of MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence. The most recent action we got on this stock was a weekly bearish engulfing candle, and now we're expected to see it come down at least to about $300, which would be very bad for the Dow Jones Industrial Average as UNH is the top weighted holding of the index.
CAH: Bearish Crab with PPO Confirmation on the WeeklyCardinal Health has traded up to a Macro Supply Line which happened to align with the BAMM Target of a Bearish Crab and from there we formed MACD Bearish Divergence and got the strongest form of PPO Confirmation, as a result I now expect that we will begin a very deep retracement back down similarly to how Strongly CVS has responded to its own topping pattern which can be seen in the Idea Below:
AmerisourceBergen Corporation: Bearish 3 Drives 1.618 Entry #2I entered a bearish position on ABC at the 2.618/1.272 confluence zone a bit ago and since then it's gone up to the 1.618 of this 3 Drives pattern. I think it will be worth entering one last time as we are on the way to confirming a Bearish Harami at these levels, which would later result in Bearish Divergence on the weekly if it begins to play out.
RJV: $0.066 | Health is an Investment for Serious Players a collective data for best practices to a better and productive life
no biggie just experts on a mission to reverse aging or extend ones life
float: regulated 6.x%
liquidity: $1M +-25% for accumulation allocation
driver: goertzel
handler: kollapalli
narrative: AGiX's flasghip App in the Ecosystem
strategy: dca in the next 100 days and sit towards Unicorn Levels
designated dealer: bitget & mexc
ABBV Long-term buy confirmedAbbVie Inc. (ABBV) opened today much higher than the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is a strong enough buy signal on its own. Coupled however with the fact that the rebound was achieved on the Higher Lows trend-line that started way back on the COVID (March 23 2020) market bottom, it makes it an even stronger one. In fact on a 2-3 month basis, this is the most optimal buy signal an investor can have.
As you see on this 1D chart, the stock had 4 Higher High touches during that period and the only time the price broke above the Channel Up was on February 16 2022 the break-out of which peaked on April 08 2022. With the help of the Fibonacci Channel levels we can see why the price stopped where it stopped. In fact we also see the important role of the median (Fib 0.5). Based on the above, we expect a new Higher high around the $180.00 price mark.
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CVS: 3 Falling Peaks, Bearish Dragon, at PCZ of Bearish Alt-BatWe do also have Bearish Divergence on the monthly and some of the lower timeframes but the stucture looks the smoothest on the 2 week. We have Confimed the Bearish Dragon Breakdown and are working on confirming the 3 Falling Peaks Pattern if we Break Below $86.78
$JNJ: Heartline Rejection Targeting 38.2%-61.8% RetraceJohnson & Johnson has rejected the Heartline of the Equidistant Channel while showing Bearish Divergence on the MACD and RSI and as a result i now think it will be heading for a minimum .382-.618 Retrace and i will be playing it via monthly put options.
CVS | FINALLY Time to Enter | LONGCVS Health Corporation provides health services in the United States. The company's Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary, and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services. It serves employer groups, individuals, college students, part-time and hourly workers, health plans, health care providers, governmental units, government-sponsored plans, labor groups, and expatriates. Its Pharmacy Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions, including plan design and administration, formulary management, retail pharmacy network management, mail order pharmacy, specialty pharmacy and infusion, clinical, and disease and medical spend management services. It serves employers, insurance companies, unions, government employee groups, health plans, prescription drug plans, Medicaid managed care plans, plans offered on public health insurance and private health insurance exchanges, other sponsors of health benefit plans, and individuals. This segment operates retail specialty pharmacy stores; and specialty mail-order, mail-order dispensing, and compounding pharmacies, as well as branches for infusion and enteral nutrition services. The company's Retail/LTC segment sells prescription and over-the-counter drugs, consumer health and beauty products, and personal care products; and provides health care services through its MinuteClinic walk-in medical clinics. This segment also distributes prescription drugs; and provides related pharmacy consulting and other ancillary services to care facilities and other care settings. As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 9,900 retail locations and 1,200 MinuteClinic locations, as well as online retail pharmacy websites, LTC pharmacies, and onsite pharmacies. The company was formerly known as CVS Caremark Corporation and changed its name to CVS Health Corporation in September 2014. CVS Health Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, Rhode Island.
Are Health Savings Accounts Worth Your Time? Absolutely.When you're well, sometimes it is difficult to imagine things suddenly taking a turn for the worse. 1.5 years ago, I was as healthy as could be. I thought medical problems were for other people, my checkups always came up roses.
Then I fell ill with an autoimmune neurologic condition, likely autoimmune encephalitis, and I wish I had opened a Health Saving's Account (HSA) the day I turned 18. Funny how life teaches you those lessons.
So what is an HSA?
An HSA is an investment account whose contributions are tax-deductible and withdrawals are tax-free if used for medical expenses. This type of account is only available for those with high-deductible plans health plans. The IRS defines a high deductible health plan as: any plan with a deductible of at least $1,400 for an individual or $2,800 for a family. Literally ripped that last sentence straight out of google. Sue me. If you're uninsured, you're out of luck.
So for those who have high-deductible health plans, it's a way to not only save for sudden health catastrophes, but also to grow your wealth. With Fidelity, there is no limit to what asset class you can partake in. Other HSA's may have limitations, acting more like savings accounts.
When you make a contribution, that money is tax-deductible (so you're investing with "pre-tax dollars"), and will never, ever be taxed if used to pay for a medical expense. But what if your investments have gone down and you have to sell to pay for medical bills? Hint: don't. You can reimburse your own medical bills with NO time limit. That means you could pay $1,000 for surgery using a cash-back credit card (or whatever payment method), wait until your money grows in your HSA, then reimburse yourself tax-free in 30 years. That is, if you kept the receipt ;)
By budgeting, like using YNAB, it's easy to keep track of medical expenses and reimburse yourself tax-free when it makes the most sense. Or, if you prefer, you can invest in more conservative instruments. Like CD's, which are paying as high as 4.7%. Or you can treat it like an actual savings account and enjoy Fidelity's 2.21% APY on uninvested cash.
So for those keeping score:
-Contributions are tax deductible
-Medical expenses are tax-free when you liquidate your investment(s) to cover them, which you can do retroactively with no time limit
-Growth and trading within the account is tax-free (unless you live in CALIFORNIA or NEW JERSEY. Don't ask me, but you will be taxed on trading like you would an individual brokerage account)
-You can withdraw your funds like you would an individual brokerage account at 65 (that is, you'll be taxed but not penalized)
There are pretty hefty penalties for non-medical withdrawals before you're 65: up to a 20% penalty and ordinary income tax on capital gains. Not pretty, so don't put money into an HSA that you'll need for other things.
In addition, there are yearly limits to how much can contribute. For 2023, it's $3,850 for an individual plan, $7,750 for family plans. You can alternatively roll funds over from an IRA into an HSA (but not the other way around).
I opened one today with Fidelity and will max it out every year. I use YNAB to budget, so I can keep track of my health expenses for 2023 easy peasy. It's always best to plan for the worst.
Thanks for reading, and best of health to you.
InTheMoney