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SPY DEC 30 400/ JAN 6 397 DIAGONAL CALLWe've been selling off since December 13th so this strategy is going to be used more as a hedge just in case we get a year end rally to the upside. It's been basing the last five days in this 380 area and may be setting up to push higher in the short term. NO stops, I'll be set up for max loss and less than 1% risk of entire portfolio. My target of 400 was determined more as a psychological level. End of the year even number. It may not get there by end of next but I'll watch this throughout the week next week. If this decides to go lower, I'm set up for max loss so I'll just move on to the next trade. If this stays in the 380 area all next week I'll have the 397 strike until the 6th. If this goes higher, I'll close this out once it get tos 400. It may not want to get to 400 by next week, maybe 395? I'll have to watch this throughout the week next week to see if I wanna close this before. If this gets to 400 by the 30th, I'll close out the entire combo and move on. If this stays below 395 by Dec 30th, I'll want to hold on to my 397 strike until Jan 6th.
AMEX:SPYLong
by MMOTA_
1
How To Prepare For Rising PricesA blog article discussing how inflation is impacting family budgets, what it means for household budgets in the US, and some basic strategies people can use to help manage by RobinhoodFX Robinhoodfx. Intro In recent months, we've seen inflationary pressures building in the U.S. economy. Prices for key commodities like crude oil and agricultural products are rising, and wages are starting to creep up as well. All of this points to one thing: higher prices for consumers in the months ahead. How can you prepare for rising prices? Here are a few tips: Know where your money is going. Track your spending for a month or two so you have a good understanding of where your money goes each month. This will help you identify areas where you can cut back if necessary. Make a budget and stick to it. Once you know where your money is going, it's time to create a budget that ensures you're spending wisely. Be realistic in your assumptions about inflation and make sure your budget can withstand a bit of financial volatility. Invest in yourself. Inflation erodes the value of assets like cash and bonds, so it's important to invest in assets that hold their value or even increase in value over time. One great way to do this is to invest in yourself through education or job training that will make you more valuable in the workforce. Stay disciplined with your spending. When prices start rising, it's tempting to spend more freely since "everything is going up." But if you want to stay ahead of inflation, it's important to keep your spending under control and focus on essential purchases only What is Inflation? Inflation is the rate of increase in the price of goods and services over time. It is measured as the percentage change in the consumer price index (CPI) or producer price index (PPI). Inflation can be caused by a variety of factors, including excess money supply, government spending, and global factors such as commodity prices. Excess money supply is when there is more money in circulation than there are goods and services to purchase. This can happen when the Federal Reserve prints more money or banks lend out more money than they have on deposit. Government spending can also cause inflation if it exceeds tax revenue. When the government spends more than it takes in through taxes, it has to print more money to cover the deficit. This increases the money supply and can lead to inflation. Global factors such as commodity prices can also affect inflation. For example, if the price of oil rises, this will likely lead to higher prices for gas and other products that use oil as an input. How Do Inflation Rates Affect Prices? Inflation rates can have a significant effect on prices, particularly over the long term. When inflation is high, prices tend to rise, and when inflation is low, prices tend to fall. In general, higher inflation rates mean that consumers will pay more for goods and services, while lower inflation rates mean that they will pay less. How Does Inflation Affect Prices? Inflation is the rate at which the prices of goods and services in an economy increase over time. The main drivers of inflation are changes in the demand for goods and services, and changes in the supply of money. When there is more money chasing after fewer goods and services, prices go up. The opposite happens when there is less money chasing after more goods and services; prices go down. What Does This Mean for Consumers? For consumers, inflation can have both positive and negative effects. On the one hand, rising prices can erode the purchasing power of their incomes, making it difficult to afford basic necessities or maintain their standard of living. On the other hand, inflation can be beneficial if it leads to higher wages and salaries; as long as wages grow at a faster rate than prices, consumers will be better off. What Does This Mean for Investors? Investors need to be aware of how changes in inflation might affect their portfolios. For example, investments in Treasury bonds become less attractive when inflation is high because the fixed payments on these bonds lose value relative to other investments that offer higher Rising Costs: Why are They Happening Now? There are a number of factors that are causing prices to rise in the United States. The most significant factor is the increasing cost of labor. Wages have been rising steadily for the past few years, and this is putting pressure on businesses to raise prices in order to cover their increased costs. Other factors that are contributing to rising prices include the increasing cost of raw materials, such as oil and gas, as well as transportation costs. These costs are being passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for goods and services. inflation is also playing a role in driving up prices. The Federal Reserve has been keeping interest rates low in an effort to stimulate economic growth, but this has led to higher inflationary pressures. As prices start to increase, Americans will have less purchasing power and will be forced to cut back on spending. The rising costs of health care are also putting upward pressure on prices. The Affordable Care Act has led to increased demand for health care services, which has driven up prices. In addition, the aging population is requiring more medical care, which is also contributing to higher costs. All of these factors are leading to rising prices across the economy. American consumers will need to brace themselves for higher prices for goods and services in the months and years ahead. How Everyday Consumers Can Best Prepare for the Potential Impact There are a few things that everyday consumers can do to best prepare for the potential impact of rising prices in the U.S. First, it’s important to be aware of what’s happening in the economy and how it might affect your finances. Second, make sure you have an emergency fund in place in case prices go up unexpectedly or you lose your job. Third, consider ways to cut costs so you can save money. Finally, invest in yourself and your career so you’re prepared for any changes that might come. The Ramifications of Higher Unemployment and Lower Employment Rates Unemployment and lower employment rates have a number of ramifications. Perhaps the most obvious is that fewer people are employed and earning an income. This can lead to less spending, which can in turn lead to less economic activity and slower growth. Additionally, when people are unemployed or underemployed, they may have difficulty meeting their basic needs, which can lead to increased stress and anxiety levels. This can also result in social problems such as crime. Additionally, unemployment can have a ripple effect on businesses, as they may have to lay off workers or cut back on hours/wages. Lastly, high unemployment rates can lead to political instability. Solutions to Fighting Inflation Inflation is a major concern for Americans and it is on the rise. Luckily, there are steps that you can take to prepare for rising prices and protect your finances. One of the best ways to fight inflation is to invest in assets that will hold their value or appreciate over time. This includes investing in stocks, real estate, and precious metals. These investments will increase in value as the cost of living goes up, giving you a buffer against inflation. Another solution to fighting inflation is to create a budget and stick to it. This will help you keep track of your spending and make sure that you are not overspending on items that are likely to increase in price. Additionally, saving money each month will give you a cushion to fall back on if prices do start to rise rapidly. There are many other solutions to fighting inflation, but these are two of the most effective. If you are concerned about rising prices, take action now and start preparing for the future. Conclusion If you're worried about rising prices in the United States, there are a few things you can do to prepare. First, start by evaluating your spending and see where you can cut back. Then, make sure you have an emergency fund in place so that unexpected expenses don't throw off your budget. Finally, keep an eye on inflation rates and invest in assets that will hold their value over time. By following these steps, you can protect yourself from rising prices and maintain your financial stability.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDEducation
by RobinhoodFX
Theta Machine - 12/07/2022THETA MACHINE UPDATE No New Trades Today I want VIX and IV to go higher so we can collect extra premium...if not tomorrow, by Friday I will increase the cost basis to +500, and Theta will be around $150/day. Overall POP = 84% POP = Probability of Profit *Next Week volatility can spike as we will have CPI (Dec 12) and FED (Dec 13). With that said, I will probably hedge with Micro Futures. *Quick TIP if you want to hedge your portfolio> +50 Delta = 1 /MES (Micro) +500 Delta = 1 /ES (Mini) My Delta Beta Weight now is around 100, so In order to hedge I need to Sell 2 Micro Futures (2x /MES)
CME_MINI:ES1!
by IronMan_Trader
1
MH Indicator on GBP/USD Vs. EUR/USD: Intra-day case study5-trade days (26th October 2022 to 01st November 2022), the MH (Market Hedge) Indicator was used to spot the Buying/Selling opportunity in the most correlated currency pairs of the World. In case of pairs trading one asset (GBP/USD) is bought/sold and simultaneously the other asset (EUR/USD) is sold/bought. In Currency trade, the most widely used leverage is 1:100, however, in the present case study, the leverage ratio was kept 1:50 (to be safer). Results: ROI was 57.26% in total of all the trades closed as encircled in the Chart. Out of the total 20 closed trades, only one was closed with losses (only $ 1.67 USD), highest profit from one trade was $ 7.38 USD, closed at 8:30 pm on 28th October 2022. Hence, you may assume the Risk-Reward ratio as 1:20 (0.05). Happy trading with MH Indicator Team, InvestSystemic
by InvestSystemic
Silver & Gold. Long? Short?Remain neutral/bearish on gold & silver until the US10Y, DXY, & Fed Funds Rates tops. This is the first time since the de-pegging of USD/Gold (in 1975) that interest rates & the USD have been rising. This creates an extremely tough environment for gold & silver to significantly rally being under pressure from high dollar & rising interest rates. Despite strong headwinds, there are many tailwinds as well that will lead many commodities prices higher such as, the clean transition, & the dollar (usd) devaluing. Chart: FED FUNDS Rate = Blue Line
TVC:SILVER
by brandonmattis
Gold - a hedge against inflation?"Gold is a hedge against inflation!" You must have heard that. Everyone has. That's textbook doctrine. But, in reality, is it? how has gold behaved since we have really started talking about inflation? Inflation has continued to rise, but gold has continued to...fall. I saw a youtuber interviewing people around Wall Street asking them for advice with one young, well dressed man says to "buy gold!" But gold actually works just like anything else. You buy it, price goes down, you lose money. Gold is not behaving the textbook way. It is not acting like a hedge against inflation. It has not been a good place to store money when inflation is high. We are currently 23 weeks into a downtrend. Price looks like it will continue down because Gold closed well below a very strong support. Gold is EXTREMELY tradable. And, it should be traded. It's not a good place for parking money right now, but it is a great place to trade. However, I do feel that the current trading environment is tricky, money can be made and is being made. Where will price go? I think there is potential for price to go to 1300 or 1200. I think from that point, there could be a bottom and a bullish run up to around 2000. This is just my opinion and idea. But, what will gold do? While there is inflation, you can come out on top having a good trading plan. All the best to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Shanktown
Gold & Silver - Best Investment Options in a RecessionWhen the stock market takes a nosedive, people tend to flock to safe investment options such as gold and silver. As a result, these precious metals tend to see an increase in demand during economic downturn, as well as following them. This makes sense because there are many advantages that come from investing in gold and silver during turbulent times. They’re non-correlated assets with low correlation to other asset classes, which makes them ideal for those who want to diversify their portfolio. Moreover, both of these commodities have inherent value. Even if the economy tanks and stock prices plummet, gold and silver will always be worth something – which isn’t true for stocks or most other financial assets. Gold is a safe haven in times of recession Gold’s role as a safe haven in times of recession can be seen in both the 2001 and 2008 global financial crises. When the US and many other countries were experiencing recessions, gold’s price increased. This is because many investors use gold as a defensive investment. In fact, many financial advisers recommend that one should own at least 10% of their portfolio in gold during economic downturns. When other investments such as the stock market aren’t doing well, it’s nice to have a backup that will still hold its value. Contrary to popular belief, gold’s performance isn’t tied to the health of the US economy. In fact, gold tends to do better during times of economic instability. This is because the precious metal is seen as a safe haven when the rest of the economy struggles. Performance of Gold during 01 & 08 Gold pays dividends Yes, We know what you’re thinking. But in a literal sense, gold pays dividends. If you own physical gold (not just certificates), you can actually sell it to a gold refiner and receive cash. While doing this won’t earn you a passive income, it will allow you to turn your gold into money. Because gold has a relatively low interest rate, it’s not a good idea to invest in a gold-backed financial instrument. However, some companies mine gold, and you can buy shares in these companies. Essentially, you will be receiving dividends from these companies, some of which are large global firms. While there are a few gold stocks worth investing in, most aren’t worth the risk. This is because many companies that mine gold are risky, unstable investments. That said, some gold stocks pay large dividends, making them a good choice for investors who want to earn passive income from their investments. Our projections for Gold Minning ETFs Barrick Gold (NYSE:GOLD) Gold is a hedge against inflation As we mentioned earlier, gold is a hedge against inflation. What this means is that when inflation rises, gold’s value tends to increase. In the United States, consumers have experienced inflation in the past. In fact, inflation rates have been steadily rising since 2009, and they show no signs of slowing down. As the Federal Reserve continues to increase interest rates, consumers can expect to see more inflation in the near future. As a result, it’s a good idea to hedge against inflation by investing in gold. While inflation makes it difficult to pay off debts, it’s actually a good thing for gold investors. That’s because a little bit of inflation is actually good for gold prices. Silver is also worth considering during recessions Like gold, silver is a precious metal. During recessions, silver tends to increase in price, and it’s often a good investment choice for people who want to diversify their portfolio. Silver has several advantages over gold, making it ideal for some investors. For one thing, silver is less expensive than gold. That makes it cheaper to buy and sell. Silver is also more plentiful than gold, making it easier to find and mine. While both gold and silver are great investment options, silver also tends to do better in times of economic instability. DXY Conclusion All in all, there are a number of reasons that gold and silver are the best investment options during a recession. Both of these commodities have inherent value, unlike stocks and many other financial assets. Furthermore, they’re non-correlated assets that are less likely to be affected by economic downturns than most other assets. During times of economic instability, demand for gold and silver increases, causing their prices to rise. This makes them ideal for investors who want to diversify their portfolio without incurring too much risk.
TVC:SILVERLong
by EQTSHARES
How to Calculate the Delta of a HedgeHere I've gone into the options calculator and got the 1% difference in delta for the Hedges I write about. For this hedge (JHQTX) The delta at strikes are as follows: SPX goes down 1% 4030 - 0.0616 3990 - 0.17 Dealer Needs to Sell 0.108 of delta To calculate how much that is for this strategy. Delta * Price * 100 shares * # of Contracts 0.108 * 4030 * 100 * 7000 = $304,668,000 to buy or sell for 1% move in SPX. Since the funds hedge is currently in negative gamma territory, the hedging flows will flow with the market (sell the rips, buy the dips). This is the smaller of the 3 funds. I updated the big one last night because Fridays decline brought it closer to volatility zone, but is still providing supportive flows (sell as SPX goes up and buy as SPX goes down) The big fund (JHEQX) delta flows currently look like this. SPX goes down 1% 4047 - 0.66 4007 - 0.53 Dealer Needs to Buy 0.13 of Delta per 1% move down SPX Delta * Price * 100 shares * # of Contracts 0.13 * 4047 * 100 * 46000 = 2,420,106,000 to buy or sell for 1% move in SPX. For now, even with the smaller fund expiry in 2 days, the big funds delta hedging flows cancel out its impact and adds supportive hedging flows greater than 7x of the expiring small fund. These flows change rapidly as implied volatility rises or falls. So any 1% change today is likely to be different than 1% change tomorrow. The next set of charts I will chart how higher or lower volatility changes effect these dynamic hedged deltas. —— DISCLAIMER — The delta numbers are approximate based on an options calculator and may not be accurate as brokers buying/selling. This information is intended for educational purpose only. I chart these funds to learn the strategies and effects on the market. If you see a mistake please point it out. Thanks for reading.
SP:SPX
by SPYvsGME
8
XAGUSD Spot Silver LONG - Reversal from Double BottomOANDA:XAGUSD Spot silver put in a triple top in early March into early April on the daily chart. It then descended over the next three months in what may end up being the leading side of a cup and handle pattern into a bottom about July 13th. Spot silver then rose a bit over the next five weeks and now has retested the bottom now forming a double bottom. Relative strength was gradually decreasing over this time while underneath its Ichimoku cloud. However beginning about July 15th, the relative strength began increasing and is now above the cloud. The leading cloud edge to the right is red and rising. This is a hint of bullish divergence perhaps forecasting the reversal is in progress. That said, I see spot silver reversing to an uptrend which could also be the right side of a cup and handle pattern underway. If formed a cup and handle pattern suggests bullish continuation. I see this an an excellent swing long setup with potentially 40% upside.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
How a 17 Billion Fund Hedges DeltaJHEQX - 17 Billion Fund - Delta Hedging Flows Today, I’m breaking down the hedging flows of the JHEQX strategy I have been following. The idea is simple. Large fund means you know the dealers position on the trade. Since they remain delta neutral, one can anticipate if the dealer will be buying or selling delta as the price moves up or down. POSITIVE GAMMA (Supportive) Dealer will Buy SPX / Futures during a decline and Sell SPX / Futures during a Rally. When the trade is Positive Gamma it acts as a supportive force for the markets. As the price of SPX moves down near the put strikes, the strategy delta hedging will flip negative. NEGATIVE GAMMA ( Volatility ) Dealers delta hedging will move in the same direction as the market. Sell lower, Buy higher. When the trade is negative Gamma it increases volatility in the market. DELTA GRAPH The delta graph represents the rate of change and direction this strategies deltas will move. You can see today (Aug 28) the curve is muted and doesn’t change quickly. Inversely, the deltas rate of change accelerates the closer to expiry the options get. How does that help? For one, you know where the strategy moves from a positive to negative gamma (is volatile or supportive). Two, you can anticipate the magnitude of volatility or support.
SP:SPX
by SPYvsGME
2
XAGUSD BULL SETUP OANDA:XAGUSD XAG is shown of the daily chart. has long-term resistance at 24.39. At present, it has been trending on an arc with may represent the downward slope of a cup and handle pattern. Moreover, a Hull Moving Average over 90 days shows a good pit to the price action. The RSI candles confirm the price action with low strength at price lows then an inflection to gain strength and vice-versa. XAGUSD had a triple top in mid-March to mid-April and now appears to be setting up a double bottom. The Hull Moving Average is now on an uptrend as is the trend arc line. as potentially the upside of the cup in the cup and handle is forming. I see a swing trade long with adds whenever the price action touches or crossing the hull moving average, the arc line and /or low RSI on the oscillator.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
Bitcoin The Trend Is Your Friend? Resistance Ahead.We're a couple weeks away in to seeing if we will break out of our sloping resistance we've formed since November 10th which officially marked the top of the bull market and start of the bear market. Ideally we would want to be holding above $24,000 to continue the uptrend we started since June 18th. If we can not successfully break out of this downtrend there's a strong likelihood that we fall back below a sub $20,000 Bitcoin. We will know something by the end of September. Between $19,000 - $24,000 is the range we've been trading since June. A lot of price interaction and support around the $20k - $21k price range on the visible range bars.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by peacefuljustin
$RDBX a market hedge? 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management Today my team entered Redbox Entertainment $RDBX at $5.70 per share. We set an automatic stop loss at $5.45 which would be a - On our other platform we entered with a small entry at $3.46 on Thursday last week (Private message us for details). It would've been our quickest trading view gain if we had posted it on here which is a bummer. Our goal is to show you guys where we believe the money is about to flow so we apologize for not alerting anyone on here. We believe that it could run tomorrow as well and reap even wider gains, so we wanted to give you guys the heads up before it departs for good. We feel confident in that stop-loss, but if it does then we will be taken out of the trade and suffer a small loss. If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
RLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
7
MANA- Market is weak, we need to HedgeMANA is my selected Short for the day. Close to 1.0860 Resistance it's ideal (to me) for a short position with SL over 1.10 At the same time check my previous posts/ideas for my other set-ups and most importantly look at this: Mondays are Red🩸 Ends are Weak💤 Yet we Rise✔️ We might as well have patience and yes: the market will most likely continue to rise but not on a straight line. DYOR and learn how to trade: it does pay out eventually. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
Short
by FX_Professor
2