Simplify Market Neutral Equity Long/Short ETF Analysis 10/16/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/16/24 I have no open positions in NYSE: EQLS
Simplify Market Neutral Equity Long/Short ETF
EQLS is a market neutral ETF with equal weighting long and short positions. The fund selects long and short positions based on valuations as well as qualitative factors.
The fund has a 9.5% yield, which is quite impressive for returns in a market neutral way. Capital appreciation in this fund is unlikely and it will perform best during large stock market drops. For me, I see EQLS (and alternatives in general) as an asset allocation decision to lower draw-downs and earn a return that is uncorrelated with market moves.
As long as you understand the risks and downsides of alternatives and are willing to accept a slightly lower return in order to stabilize your portfolio EQLS is one of the better options.
I will be coming out with more research for free here so give me a follow if you enjoyed.
Hedgefund
XRP Entering another 175 Week cycle. $220 EOY ExplainedRed projections is 2014-2017 price action. We take that entire cycle place it at the end of the prior 8 week cycle which week of 11/9/20 and get projections.
As new cycles begin that's where the red projections start price inverts the most at the start as we see and begins to slowly line up and the inversions slow down and line up the closer we get to entering a new cycle which we see.
This repeating price action & inversion it's simply predetermined algo based price action "its a a booked market place" it's masking movement but we can see it's lining up again as we enter the pump the inversions slowing fading and now price is lining up which indicates significant price movement is close.
"News is the excuse for the moves" - NeverWishing
-We have settlement approaching.
-Ripple IPO.
-Feb 7th 24 Congress wants to regulate Stable coins & the need for clear rules and federal regulatory oversight.
This is just naming a few events but the main focus is to remember the only digital asset with legal clarity in the United States is XRP. It has obtained a unique legal status being the only altcoin to enjoy such certainty. XRP is the only digital asset other then bitcoin with legal clarity in the U.S
-Neverwishing
Long term holding, hedge fund manipulation detectedIt is part of the sell-out part from the RA Capital group. Derek DiRocco from RA Capital Group stepped down from the Board and in that part, this led to the SEC filing showing RA just sold 1 million shares (label in red circle). The RA capital group still has a lot left to sell but it seems they are withdrawing from the company. The next guy coming up is Kan Chen who is from Qiming Venture. The Qiming Venture has a similar size compared to RA Capital but it shows the influence of China over the CNTB company decision. The CNTB initially was thought to be focused on the China market with their CBP-201, but after the Simcere contract, it seems that they would be the spear targeting the US market running under the China influence. This does not sit well with many US investing companies which led to mass selling from the US Venture Capital company. Still, besides the complicated politics, CNTB is a good buy for under $7 because it has good results and a very bright future if its products hit the market after phase 3. It is a long-term holding (5 years). Eventually, after their products make a profit and hit the market, their market cap would be huge, unless they file bankruptcy due to poor decisions from voting or anything else. That is often not how Chinese companies run so it would be a long-term investment. I think CNTB is among the top 20 biotech stocks for startups.
This is not financial advice and please be responsible for your own investment decision!
GOLD : Benefits of Investing in GoldOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been an inconsistent inflation hedge, but there may still be benefits to holding a small amount of the yellow metal in your portfolio. Gold has historically had a low or even negative correlation to both stocks and bonds, suggesting it offers value as a tool of diversification.
Gold prices held up pretty well during the Covid-19 pandemic market sell-off in early 2020, for example. From Feb. 1 to April 1 in 2020, the S&P 500 declined 23% while the price of gold dropped less than 0.1%.
Demand for gold from investors, central banks, jewelers and tech companies is also growing. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand increased 12% year over year to 2.189 tons in the first half of 2022.
Depending on your individual goals, there are several easy ways to invest in gold. Investors can buy gold bullion, physical bars or coins that can be kept in a safe or bank.
You can also buy physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that hold gold bullion on investors’ behalf. The most popular gold ETF is SPDR Gold Shares (GLD).
Investors looking to speculate in the gold market can trade gold futures contracts. These contracts provide significant leverage, allowing investors to control large quantities of gold with a relatively small amount of money.
Finally, investors can buy shares of individual gold stocks or a gold mining ETF. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) holds a diversified basket of 54 gold-related stocks, including Newmont Corp. (NEM), Barrick Gold Corp. (GOLD) and Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV).
Conclusion : GOLD IS SAFE HEAVEN TO INVEST IN IT .
Postive Gamma for Everyone!!!This weeks update on hedged equity funds sees all the funds flip positive gamma.
Forecast for following week is:
Lower volatility = Smaller Distribution.
Positive Gamma Exposure across broader market = Smaller Distribution.
Slow melt up. Approx ~0.4% a day if GEX stays positive in the following week.
JHEQX
At the top of the call range. Nearly identical pattern tracked the entire previous quarter.
As a result of JHEQX being supportive, the vix recedes back to mean reverting.
Another vol compressing pattern formed. A Mirror to the previous one except without as much volume compression.
VIX still has room lower as fears of BTC contagion subside.
All hedged equity funds are now positive gamma.
JHQDX
JHQTX
Long On USDJPYGood day, I am long on FX:USDJPY ; because of the china and US news and as the news in Taiwan Develops, I believe the USD will strengthen against the JPY.
Position
Entry 1- $130.558
Entry 2- $130.472
SL- $130.306
TP- $131.750
RR
8.34
Risk
0.12%
15.6 P
$20
Reward
1.00%
120 P
$100
Confluences
Volume
Asian Killzone low
Supply & Demand
78.6% fibo
Weekly support Resistance
PYPL: Can Hedgie change fortunes?PayPal
Short Term - We look to Buy at 78.86 (stop at 71.88)
Activist hedge fund Elliot Management reported to have increased stake. Price jumped 6% in premarket. Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. We look to buy dips. Further upside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 99.79 and 104.00
Resistance: 100.00 / 123.00 / 154.00
Support: 75.00 / 60.00 / 40.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
PINS: Activist could change fortunes?Pinterest
Short Term - We look to Buy at 18.86 (stop at 16.57)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines with hedge fund Elliot Management reported to have taken 9% stake in the social media company. The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Support is located at 18.00 and should stem dips to this area. We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 24.90 and 27.00
Resistance: 25.00 / 28.00 / 36.00
Support: 17.00 / 12.00 / 6.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’ ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
You May Be Having a Bad Day, but Not as Bad as Bill AckmanTrading stocks is tough, don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. Even the best have nightmare days. Today’s example would be billionaire Bill Ackman, CEO, and founder of Pershing Capital, a notorious hedge fund. With an MBA from Harvard Business school and 20 years in the business, he is a real pro. His fund generated approximately 70% returns in 2020 alone. This is remarkable considering this firm currently holds about $20B in assets under management.
At the start of the year, Netflix was down significantly from its highs. Ackman took this opportunity to accumulate shares, approximately 3.1M shares worth over $1B. The stock pulled back for roughly+20% gains. He looked like a genius.
However, yesterday after the bell, Netflix announced its quarter one earnings. It was not pretty. In this report, the company exceeded earnings expectations by 20% BUT it was their first-time instance of subscriber loss which was roughly 200,000. The company expected to add over 2M subscribers in this period. As a result, the company tanked roughly over 30%.
Quick Math
Invested = $1.1B (3.1M @~370)
Current = $685M (3.1M @~222)
Single Day Loss = $387M (3.1M @ 125)
Total Loss = $435M
So if you are having a bad day, you probably are not having as bad of a day as Bill Ackman, who has lost almost half a billion worth of his and his client’s money. This is a friendly reminder that even the pros have massive down days. Additionally, just because a security’s price has decreased significantly it doesn’t mean it can’t keep going down. #TrendIsYourFriend. Learn from other mistakes.
On another note, Howard Hughes Corp. ($HHC) filed a 13D, an SEC form required for ownership beyond 5%, which revealed that Pershing Square Capital owns 25% of the company. Should be interesting how this stock plays out in the near future.
Bitcoin Backlash, Time for Short Scalp?Weekly Time-frame
The EU seems ready to finally pass its regulatory framework on Crypto with a vote expected on Monday. However, there are concerns that, as the draft stands, it would effectively ban Bitcoin and Ethereum in the Union. -Zycrypto
This news is currently a Bearish news maybe that is why the Bitcoin nosedive on Monday. We are still expecting a massive pump from $37,500 or $37,100. Awesome Oscillator (AO) is bearish opening a Red Volume in the negative.
1D Time-frame
We are trying to get back inside the ascending triangle which is Bullish. Our entry at $37,800 yesterday got triggered and currently in profit. Right now we are having a Bearish Saucer, Crypto greed and fear index is now in #23 which is supper bullish for us, liquidated long position reached $138M. Now it can go up.
4H Time-frame
Once we break $38,543.32, we can expect more to the upside and make it the next support, price target will be $39,837, $41,131, $42,732 $44,000 for Bitcoin. AO is still Bearish, last level of resistance is $39,231 once broken we can expect more to the upside.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Crypto And Stocks Long Term Trading Strategy.....Hello my Dear Fellow Traders!
Today i'm Going to show you a strategy which i personaily use in my long term crypto or stocks investment. for this strategy you should not use any kind of leverage at all. Because it is a long term trading strategy so trading with any kind of leverage can be harmfull for your account.
In this strategy we are going to use only one indicator which is known as EMA(Exponential Moving Average). We are going to use 2 EMA. 200 period moving average and 20 period moving average.
when 20 period ema cross 200 ema from down to up side its and indication that in the long term momentum is changing and you should by but wait for the price to close above 200 ema then enter your buy trade and repeat the same process to generate the sell signal as well like when the 20 ema cross 200 ema from above side and give closing beneath the 200 ema sell.
Remember that when you enter in a trade you should atleast hold your trade for 30% but you can also trail your stop loss with price, using this same strategy i even had made more then 80% of profit in a single trade. but keep in mind that process need time and you have to have a good patience level in your self if you want to get a big piece from the market.
i hope that you will like my strategy and back test it and analyze it for better result because it has a 80% win ratio.
Thank you so much.......................................
DAX40 M15 analysisCurrently market is creating higher highs and higher lows. We have identified a "Trend Trap" that needs to be taken out. And market needs to fill the imbalance before expanding upwards.
We got the following confluences to enter on this trade!
1. Higher Time Frame Bullish Bias
2. Lower Time Frame Bullish Bias
3. Bullish Market Structure
Our entry point is also well calculated, as there is a very high chance that price will come down to grab the liquidity below the marked trendline area, and when it does market is also going to fill the imbalance area that we have indicated in the charts. Our entry is just above the imbalance area.
Hope you guys liked our idea!
GBPJPY M15 PROJECTION AND ANALYSISWe saw price tapped h4 imbalance and instantly rejected, we came to m1 to find our most of the confluences, when we got that we instantly entered from m1 imbalance, it can be a signal as well
Confirmations:
1. Higher timeframe bias,
2.lower timeframe entry and
3.structural shift.
USOIL AnalysisTVC:USOIL
Currently running shorts on USOIL as explained, to the allow me to go long on oil risk free when we get down to the low areas.
Rather than sitting on your hands and waiting for price to get somewhere, trade it.
Expose yourself to the fact that anything can happen. What if I sit on my hands for a week, waiting for oil longs and we just keep dropping lower? Then I have just waisted time, missed opportunities and been stopped out on longs. Don't do what most retailers do, be smart!