We are on the verge of a MACD sell signal on the VIX , after the VIX crossed the 30 mark. A sell signal occurs when the histogram crosses below the zero line or when the MACD curves cross from top to bottom. According to the logic from my book "Hedging mit Optionen: Crashsicher handeln", this constellation signals a calming of the market situation. With the...
One night, the monkey was monkeying as usual, jumping up and down, left and right, holding his fingers straight out of his head as if they were horns of a fearless bull. The Owl watched carefully, one eye skeptical, the other sarcastic. "What do you think you are doing?" said the wise owl. "I am hedging with BTC against a market crash," said the monkey, who didn't...
It has stopped making Lower lows on hourly Frame with TL broken however a bearish kind of flag is also observed. On indicators some bullish divergence is witnessed. As always i am sharing both trade plans which will be the safest entry and exit in terms of profit taking. Trade with discipline please.
NYSE:AG MCX:SILVER1! AMEX:GDX TVC:GOLD It takes zooming out at least 20 years to feel good about buying gold or silver, traditional inflation hedges. It's been a boring asset class since the Federal Reserve began its most recent monetary experiment, but as we all know, the piper will get paid. Regardless - silver (shown) and gold are hinting at cycle price...
Gold H4 The zone we had marked this weekend before market open seems to be seeing some sort of consolidation/resistance. I'd be looking for signs of price rejection between current price and $1800/oz. Pending orders for $1800 short could be a good consideration.
It seems like we have a complete B as an expanding flat, and a reversal impulse. I'm waiting for a correction to take a short trade. I'm planning to hedge my trade around 1740. My target is 1920 for the completion of the higher degree correction.
Boeing has had five straight quarters of negative-- and steadily worsening-- free cash flow per share. Current FCF per share over the last 12 months: -$34.15. Book value is also negative at $-31.04 per share. Frankly, you're buying liabilities when you buy this stock. Boeing's share price has risen despite one disaster after another. The latest is that a bunch of...
It seems like the 4th wave is in the making, and if this is the case, the next wave should be the C. That's why I want to take a long trade. The last low can be the end of the wave B, and it looks like we have a reversal structure. Now, I'm waiting for a small trade setup over the yellow trendline to place a pending order.
My forecast is more upside for a complete regular flat before the next downward impulse. That's why I want to take a long trade and hedge it around 0.618. If my weekly forecast is accurate, the next wave should be a quite big downward impulse for a few thousand pips. To take a long trade, I need a correction over the yellow trendline. Then I'll place a pending...
Update to ABNB Trade Setup: This trade popped nicely today after several days of consolidation. I am expecting a small pullback sometime this week and so set up the following weekly collar: 10 SEP 21 $170/$157.50 for $0.35 credit: Sold to Open the 10 SEP 21 $170 Call Bought to Open the 10 SEP 21 $157.50 Put Next week if the trade closes between that collar I...
The market is unstable, and that can be attributed to the uncertainty surrunding BTC. So, in order to profit no matter what, I'll be shorting some coins that show the most potential for a loud downfall and going long on BTC, which doesn't really look like it will grow further in the short term BUT has limited potential for a downfall. So if the bulls start...
It seems like a correction is in the making between the orange lines after the daily upward impulse from 1.063. Currently, the B wave should be in the making. So, my expectation is the C wave for a complete running flat. But, before that impulse, it looks like more downside is more likely. That's why I want to take a short trade to hedge it at 1.16200 where we...
What to do in the next 6-9 months with existing risk factors? Educate yourself to come to a conclusion. Do not blindly follow "experts". In the current situation we are facing several risks to the stock market. I listened to a lot of so called experts. They tell you what sounds great, what you want to hear. Most of them get paid for being on the show even it is...
It seems like the 4th wave is in the making. The last low can be the end of the B. If so, the B wave is an expanding flat. Since it's an expanding flat, we may see more downside, but I like the bounce-back as a reversal impulse. I'm waiting for a correction to place a pending order. At the end of the 4th wave, I may hedge my trade, or book my profit.
When the market reached a (new) All Time High earlier today I wanted to get some short Delta in my positions. I learned my lesson during the 'recent unpleasantness' bottom of 7/19 that being all net long puts one at risk of volatility in a portfolio... even if the positions themselves individually remain strong and profitable. This morning's volatility setup a...
My main forecast is a correction and more downside. That's why I want to take a short trade, but it can be a good idea to take a long for hedging. Now, I'm waiting for a small bounce-back to have a bottom to set my SL. When I have it, I'll place a pending order over the last top. 0.93150 is the Fib confluence level, where I'll hedge my trade.
A correction should be in the making, and it looks like we have a complete B wave. That's why I want to take a long trade. I'll hedge my trade at the end of the C and then book some profit.
Not ready yet! Watch for a double-bottom divergence on RSI/MACD. That will trigger a massive increase in volume to push us up above the handle. A break above the rim is confirmation. I'm personally interested in allocating 5% of my portfolio to this anticipated move in light of US/global monetary/economic conditions. Looking for a BUY signal around 1550 give or take.