Dash Forming a falling wedge near the bottom of a channel.So here's a trade setup that I have been looking at since mid September.
Dash in a falling wedge at the bottom of it's channel that it's formed over it's entire lifetime with a massive 100%+ measure move.
The recent pump and dump had me worried that it may have already played out but the pattern is still there and this is hard to overlook.
My Targets:
Buy zone between 75 and 50
(Anything below 50 is a no trade zone.)
Take Profits: 108 and 220 then maybe hold some with something to the affect of a trailing stop loss to see how high you can ride a potential new cycle.
If we don't breakout immediately i don't see us going much lower than 55 dollars.
I think now would be a good place to look for massive upside.
Dash is most certainly looking clearly upwards more so than ETH which looks confused at the moment.
Heikin
Heikin-Ashi CandlesA new candle type that I think I prefer to use because it does a better job showing trends and potential reversals than regular candles. If nothing else its another tool to help other than the usual indicators I use. I am going to start posting more educational material. We can all get the same team and help each make more money.
The formula for these candles are:
Close 1/4 (Open + Close + Low + Close)
(Average Price of Current Bar)
Open 1/2 (Open of Previous Bar + Close of Previous Bar)
(Midpoint of the previous bar)
High = Max (High, Open, Close)
Low = Min (Low, Open, Close)
BTC Road to 20k - V4: Trend reversal on the daily?
The red trendline is a key level, if we drop below 11k, most likely will see lower lows for the next few weeks.
Most recent doji showing indecision, could lead into a reversal or more down trend. Watch the 1,2,3,4 hr charts for hints for the next daily.
If the next daily candle printed is green, put on your moonboots - 13k and beyond.
This is not investment advice. Counter trading me is a good strategy :D
CHFJPY ShortI feel this market is set to continue it's downtrend as it approached significant resistance it began to turn down. This would be continuing to trade the trend and take the path of least resistance.
If the current candle closes red then I will be shorting the market with a stop 10 pips above the recent high.
My take profit will be towards the recent lows initially but I will continue to ride the market until it looks set for a significant pull back.
EURCHF LongI have taken a long position on this market as it has broken out from the downtrend and and there is good RSI Divergence on the lows. It is now making higher highs and higher lows so I have entered on the most recent pullback once the market looked set to continue.
My Stop is 10 pips below the recent low and my take profit is at the previous high.
AAPL breakout to >177AAPL has been seemingly complacent while others have rallied for nearly three weeks. While great for iron condors, it has been flying low on the radar for those looking for growth. Support has been established and the stars are lining up. Fundamental issues have been priced in and a brief rally at earnings proved that. We're about a day away from a breakout to 177 with 180 in sight. Buckle up. NASDAQ:AAPL
EOSUSD 12 Hour Chart - 60 Days Past & Future. Overall Summary:
Overall the last 60 days (from the 15th of December to the 15th of February) were neutral to bullish and I am bullish for the next 7 days. It is worth noting, that the market sentiment has driven the bullish price action in the last 7 days, rather than specific price action worthy news from the security itself.
Detailed Summary:
This chart uses 12-hour Heikin Ashi Candlesticks with a custom trend bar indicator, Bollinger Bands, 4 MAs (20, 50, 100 & 200), RSI & MACD.
Heikin Ashi candlesticks are great for trend and swing trading. Heikin Ashi means ‘average’ in Japanese because these candlesticks ‘average out’ price action vs traditional candlesticks that are based on OHLC (Open High Low Close). By averaging out price action this candlestick style reduces ‘noise’ and generates a much smoother chart pattern. This is helpful for trend traders as it is easier to identify the key trend in the market and to ignore smaller price volatility.
During the last two months, the price has ranged by $1.29, opening at $2.66 and closing at $3.65. The price has increased over the period which is a reversal of the long term price trend.
Moving Average are also used on this chart to help identify major areas of S&R and general price trend action. I prefer to use simple Moving Averages on the 12-hour time frame. The 200 MA is red, the 100 MA is orange, the 50 MA is yellow and the 20 MA is green. The choice of colours helps me to read the chart and see if price action is bullish or bearish. For example, if the red is on top and the green is on the bottom, it is clearly bullish. It is also important to note that the longer the Moving Average period, the stronger the support and resistance.
During the last two months the price has flipped the 50 and 100 day from resistance to support, with the 200 confidently pierced in the last week. The key Support area is $1.6 & 2.2 and key Resistance areas are $3 and 5. I forecast in the next week that price will try and test the $5 resistance before a significant retracement to the $3 area.
Bollinger Bands are the two blue bands that ‘wrap’ around the security’s price. The top and bottom are two standard deviations away from the Moving Average. If the market becomes more volatile, the bands widen and vice versa. Historically 90% of the price action occurs with the Bollinger Bands, as the price oscillates around an equilibrium. There it helps us identify where the price is in the oscillating cycle so that we can identify entry/exit points and major price changes (on the 10% chance when price breaks through the Bolling Bands).
During the last two months, the Bollinger Bands have contracted by $0.54 from $1.33 to $0.84. The decrease in the Bollinger Bands width was due to decreased price volatility during that period. The wicks broke through the upper band on 13 12-hour candles, lower band on 13 12-hour candles and stayed within the bands on 94 12-hour candles. I forecast in the next week that the Bollinger Bands will increase and the overall trend is bullish.
Volume is a key indicator that I use to understand past, current and possibly future price action. Unfortunately, a majority of the exchange volume is fake ‘wash’ trading so it is important to rely on data from reliable exchanges like Binance and BitFinex. Volume that supports price recent action helps strengthen my belief in a specific trend.
During this period volume has decreased in convergence with the recent price action until the 8th of February when it has broken out. On a longer-term time frame, the volume is around the 20MA volume line and trending down. I forecast in the next week that the volume will increase and this will support an increase of the price.
The RSI is a popular momentum based oscillator that helps us identify what stage in the security’s oscillation cycle it is most likely at. So after identifying the key market trend, we can then apply the RSI to forecast future moves in price action (in terms of velocity and magnitude). This indicator is useful determining entry and exit points, for trend traders like myself, it is used on longer time frames as it is much more reliable. Most of the significant price action occurs around the 30 and 70 areas and ideally what we are looking for is a divergence between the price action and the RSI.
During the period the RSI decreased touching the 30 line twice before a bullish failure swing. A bullish failure swing is when: RSI drops below 30 (considered oversold), then RSI bounces back above 30, then RSI pulls back but remains above 30 (remains above oversold) and finally the RSI breaks out above its previous high. In the last week the RSI has crossed the 70 line twice and is now heavily outbought at 88, and ATH for the last 6 months.
I forecast in the next week that the RSI will decrease and this indicates a weakening of the uptrend and a consolidation of the price.
The MACD is a popular trend following momentum indicator that can help identify a security’s momentum, trend direction, and duration. is a popular trend momentum indicator that can show us a security's overall trend. The core assumption of this indicator is that a security’s price oscillates around an equilibrium. Therefore by looking at the relationship between different MA calculations, we can identify what specific stage a security may be of its oscillation cycle. This is why we have two lines, the first is called the MACD (26 - 12 MA) and the second is called a Signal line (9 MA). We also have a Histogram (MACD-Signal Line), which is the 1st thing I look at. Finally, there is the Zero line, which is basically when the 26 and the 12 MA are equal. The MACD, that combines several indicators, is worth watching when one or more of the following happens: crossovers (MACD/Signal/Histogram and Zero line), convergences/divergences between price and rapid changes.
During this period the MACD the line crossed below the Signal line (on the 25th of December) which was a bearish trend. The MACD then the line crossed below the Zero line (on the 12th of January) which was a bearish trend in convergence with the price consolidation. The MACD oscillated around the zero line for several weeks of price consolidation. But on the 8th of February the MACD crossed both the Signal line and the Zero line rapidly and has since approached 6 month ATHs.
I forecast in the next week that the MACD will decrease and this indicates a weakening of the uptrend and consolidation of the price.
References:
Heikin Ashi summary - www.investopedia.com
Moving Average summary - www.investopedia.com
Support and Resistance summary - www.investopedia.com
Bollinger Bands summary - www.investopedia.com
Fake exchange volume summary - www.blockchaintransparency.org
RSI summary - www.investopedia.com
MACD concise summary - www.investopedia.com
Tron TRX Daily Heikin Ashi MA BB RSI MACOverall Summary:
Overall the last 7 days (from the 25th to the 31st of January) were neutral and I am bearish for the next 7 days. After a two month uptrend, and the issuance of the BitConnect Token (BTT), I believe that we will see a significant medium term down trend.
Detailed Summary:
This chart uses daily Heikin Ashi Candlesticks with a custom trend bar indicator, Bollinger Bands, 4 MAs (20, 50, 100 & 200), RSI & MACD.
Heikin Ashi candlesticks are great for trend and swing trading. Heikin Ashi means ‘average’ in Japanese because these candlesticks ‘average out’ price action vs traditional candlesticks that are based on OHLC (Open High Low Close). By averaging out price action this candlestick style reduces ‘noise’ and generates a much smoother chart pattern. This is helpful for trend traders as it is easier to identify the key trend in the market and to ignore smaller price volatility.
During the last week the price has ranged by $.05, opening at $0.26 and closing at $0.26. The price has peaked over the period at 0.31 and the declined but is still in continuation with the long term pattern.
Moving Average are also used on this chart to help identify major areas of S&R and general price trend action. I prefer to use simple Moving Averages on the daily time frame. The 200 MA is red, the 100 MA is orange, the 50 MA is yellow and the 20 MA is green. The choice of colours helps me to read the chart and see if price action is bullish or bearish. For example, if the red is on top and the green is on the bottom, it is clearly bullish. It is also important to note that the longer the Moving Average period, the stronger the support and resistance.
During the last week the price is closest to the 20 Moving Average and during this period it has trended around the 20 Moving Average. The 200 Moving Average is currently acting as resistance while the 50 Moving Average is acting as support. The key Support area is $0.21, 0.18 and 0.13 and key Resistance areas is $0.35. I forecast in the next week that price will test the next support area.
Bollinger Bands are the two blue bands that ‘wrap’ around the security’s price. The top and bottom are two standard deviations away from the Moving Average. If the market becomes more volatile, the bands widen and vice versa. Historically 90% of the price action occurs with the Bollinger Bands, as the price oscillates around an equilibrium. There it helps us identify where the price is in the oscillating cycle so that we can identify entry/exit points and major price changes (on the 10% chance when price breaks through the Bolling Bands).
During the last week the Bollinger Bands have contracted 0.01 by $ from $0.07 to $0.06. The decrease in the Bollinger Bands width was due to decreased price volatility during the last week. The wicks broke through the upper band on 2 daily candles, lower band on 0 daily candles and stayed within the bands on 5 daily candles. I forecast in the next week that the Bollinger Bands will increase and overall trend is bearish.
Volume is a key indicator that I use to understand past, current and possibly future price action. Unfortunately a majority of the exchange volume is fake ‘wash’ trading so it is important to rely on data from reliable exchanges like Binance and BitFinex. Volume that supports price recent action helps strengthen my belief in a specific trend.
During this period volume has decreased in divergence with the recent price action. On a longer term time frame, the volume is below the 20MA volume line. I forecast in the next week that the volume will increase and this will support a decrease of price.
Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator show volume by price as a horizontal histogram for the charts visible range. This provides additional insight over traditional volume indicators that are only based on time. By clearly seeing what volume occurred at specific price levels, I can more easily identify key areas of S&R. Two key things to identify are the: POC (Point of Control) which is the price level with the highest volume for a specific period, and the VA (Value Area) which is where 70% of the volume occurred. While VAH (Value Area High) and VAL (Value Area Low) are also worth noting.
During the period the VPVR POC was at 0.28 and the VA occurred between 0.26 and 0.28. Overall, the volume profile is bearish and is in convergence with price action.
The RSI is a popular momentum based oscillator that helps us identify what stage in the security’s oscillation cycle it is most likely at. So after identifying the key market trend we can then apply the RSI to forecast future moves in price action (in terms of velocity and magnitude). This indicator is useful determining entry and exit points, for trend traders like myself, it is used on longer time frames as it is much more reliable. Most of the significant price action occurs around the 30 and 70 areas and ideally what we are looking for is divergence between the price action and the RSI.
During the period the RSI decreased by 9, from 65 to 56 and it is in divergence with the recent price action. It has demonstrated a bearish failure swing is when the RSI rises above 70 (considered overbought), RSI drops back below 70 then RSI rises slightly but remains below 70 (remains below overbought) and finally RSI drops lower than its previous low.
I forecast in the next week that the RSI will decrease and this indicates a decrease of price.
The MACD is a popular trend following momentum indicator that can help identify a security’s momentum, trend direction and duration. is a popular trend momentum indicator that can show us a security's overall trend. The core assumption of this indicator is that a security’s price oscillates around an equilibrium. Therefore by looking at the relationship between different MA calculations, we can identify what specific stage a security maybe of it oscillation cycle. This is why we have two lines, the first is called the MACD (26 - 12 MA) and the second is called a Signal line (9 MA). We also have a Histogram (MACD-Signal Line), which is the 1st thing I look at. Finally there is the Zero line, which is basically when the 26 and the 12 MA are equal. The MACD , that combines several indicators, is worth watching when one or more of the following happens: crossovers (MACD/Signal/Histogram and Zero line), convergences/divergences between price and rapid changes.
During this period the MACD has decreased in divergence with the recent price action. The MACD line crossed below the Signal line (on the 30th) which was a bearish trend in divergence with the price action. The MACD histogram crossed below the Zero line (on the X) which was a bearish trend in divergence with the price action.
I forecast in the next week that the MACD will decrease over the next week and this indicates decrease of price.
References:
Heikin Ashi summary - www.investopedia.com
Moving Average summary - www.investopedia.com
Support and Resistance summary - www.investopedia.com
Bollinger Bands summary - www.investopedia.com
Fake exchange volume summary - www.blockchaintransparency.org
RSI summary - www.investopedia.com
MACD concise summary - www.investopedia.com
BTC 4 Hr - Heikin Ashi, MA, BB, RSI +Overall Summary:
Overall the last 7 days (9th - 16th of January, 2018) were bearish and I am bearish for the next 7 days.
Bitcoin is trading in the $4000 to $3500 range during the last week, 81.7% down from the ATHs, with a market cap of $63 billion. The chart indicates a continuation of the current down trend. The price is closest to the 20 MA with a trend towards the 200 MA. The volume has decreased over the last week, which is supporting the current price action. The RSI decreased in convergence with the recent price action, a bearish signal. Finally the MACD decreased in convergence/divergence with the recent price action, a bearish signal.
Detailed Summary:
This chart uses 4 hour Heikin Ashi Candlesticks with a custom trend bar indicator, Bollinger Bands, 4 MAs (20, 50, 100 & 200), RSI & MACD.
Heikin Ashi candlesticks are great for trend and swing trading. Heikin Ashi means ‘average’ in Japanese because these candlesticks ‘average out’ price action vs traditional candlesticks that are based on OHLC (Open High Low Close). By averaging out price action this candlestick style reduces ‘noise’ and generates a much smoother chart pattern. This is helpful for trend traders as it is easier to identify the key trend in the market and to ignore smaller price volatility.
During the last week the price has ranged by $500, opening at $4000 and closing at $3600. The price has decreased over the period which is a continuation of the long term price trend. From the 11th to the 14th we experience consecutive spinning tops and spinning dojis, indicating low volume and major indecision in the market.
Moving Average are also used on this chart to help identify major areas of S&R and general price trend action. I prefer to use simple Moving Averages on the 4 hour time frame. The 200 MA is red, the 100 MA is orange, the 50 MA is yellow and the 20 MA is green. The choice of colours helps me to read the chart and see if price action is bullish or bearish. For example, if the red is on top and the green is on the bottom, it is clearly bullish. It is also important to note that the longer the Moving Average period, the stronger the support and resistance.
During the last week the price is closest to the 20 Moving Average and during this period it has trended towards the 200 Moving Average. The 200 Moving Average is currently acting as resistance while the 20 Moving Average is acting as support. The key Support area is $3300 and key Resistance areas is $3600. I forecast in the next week that price will test the next support area.
Bollinger Bands are the two blue bands that ‘wrap’ around the security’s price. The top and bottom are two standard deviations away from the Moving Average. If the market becomes more volatile, the bands widen and vice versa. Historically 90% of the price action occurs with the Bollinger Bands, as the price oscillates around an equilibrium. There it helps us identify where the price is in the oscillating cycle so that we can identify entry/exit points and major price changes (on the 10% chance when price breaks through the Bolling Bands).
During the last week the Bollinger Bands have contracted/expanded from $X to $X. The increase/decrease in the Bollinger Bands width was due to increased/decreased price volatility during the last week. The wicks broke through the upper band on 2 4 hour candles, lower band on 10 4 hours candles and stayed within the bands on 32 4 hr candles. I forecast in the next week that the Bollinger Bands will increase and overall trend is bearish.
Volume is a key indicator that I use to understand past, current and possibly future price action. Unfortunately a majority of the exchange volume is fake ‘wash’ trading so it is important to rely on data from reliable exchanges like Binance and BitFinex. Volume that supports price recent action helps strengthen my belief in a specific trend.
During this period volume has slightly decreased in convergence with the recent price action. On a longer term time frame, the volume is in convergence with the long term trends. I forecast in the next week that the volume will decrease and this will support a decrease of price.
The RSI is a popular momentum based oscillator that helps us identify what stage in the security’s oscillation cycle it is most likely at. So after identifying the key market trend we can then apply the RSI to forecast future moves in price action (in terms of velocity and magnitude). This indicator is useful determining entry and exit points, for trend traders like myself, it is used on longer time frames as it is much more reliable. Most of the significant price action occurs around the 30 and 70 areas and ideally what we are looking for is divergence between the price action and the RSI.
During the period the RSI decreased to 38 and it is in convergence with the recent price action. It is demonstrated a bearish failure swing is when the RSI rises above 70 (considered overbought), RSI drops back below 70 then RSI rises slightly but remains below 70 (remains below overbought) and finally RSI drops lower than its previous low. No it is demonstrating a bullish failure swing is when: RSI drops below 30 (considered oversold), then RSI bounces back above 30, then RSI pulls back but remains above 30 (remains above oversold). I am watching to see if it bounces and breaks above the previous high, it am doubtful. I forecast in the next week that the RSI will decrease over the next week and this indicates a decrease of price.
The MACD is a popular trend following momentum indicator that can help identify a security’s momentum, trend direction and duration. is a popular trend momentum indicator that can show us a security's overall trend. The core assumption of this indicator is that a security’s price oscillates around an equilibrium. Therefore by looking at the relationship between different MA calculations, we can identify what specific stage a security maybe of it oscillation cycle. This is why we have two lines, the first is called the MACD (26 - 12 MA) and the second is called a Signal line (9 MA). We also have a Histogram (MACD-Signal Line), which is the 1st thing I look at. Finally there is the Zero line, which is basically when the 26 and the 12 MA are equal. The MACD , that combines several indicators, is worth watching when one or more of the following happens: crossovers (MACD/Signal/Histogram and Zero line), convergences/divergences between price and rapid changes.
During this period the MACD has decreased in convergence with the recent price action. The MACD line crossed below the Signal line on the 9th which was a bearish trend in divergence with the price action at the time, but 24 hrs later price followed suit. The MACD line crossed below the Zero line on the 10th, which was a bearish trend in convergence with the price action. The histogram crossed above the Zero line on the 13th which was a bullish trend in divergence with the price action. I forecast in the next week that the MACD will decrease and this indicates a decrease of price.
References:
Heikin Ashi summary - www.investopedia.com
Moving Average summary - www.investopedia.com
Support and Resistance summary - www.investopedia.com
Bollinger Bands summary - www.investopedia.com
Fake exchange volume summary - www.blockchaintransparency.org
RSI summary - www.investopedia.com
MACD concise summary - www.investopedia.com