Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area (maximum of wave C).Dear colleagues, I suppose that the upward movement is not over yet! The price is forming Multiple Zigzag. I expect the price to reach the support area at 79.00, having finished wave X, after which I expect the upward movement to continue at least to the resistance area - the maximum of wave C at 83.00.
I do not recommend entering short positions! We are looking for a good entry into a long position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellenatrade
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area at 2222.710. Dear Colleagues. I suppose that the price will continue its upward movement. After the strong news background, we have to redraw the waves. I think that the wave starts the ascending wave 3. The nearest target is the resistance area at 2222.710.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part 3. Motive Waves - Leading & Ending Diagonals.👩🏻💻Welcome to the 3nd lecture on Elliott Waves!
➡️In this lecture, I will talk about the Leading and Ending diagonals as the primary and most common variations of impulsive waves. We will also touch on the Expanding diagonal, which occurs significantly less frequently. Earlier, we covered the general concept of impulse and its structure. Now, I will specifically discuss the variations of impulses and, namely, for waves "1", "5", as well as corrective waves "A" and "C".
➡️Let's start with variations for the first wave in the impulse and correction. This is the Leading diagonal. This structure may remind you of an ascending triangle, and essentially, that's what it is. The first wave itself implies that before this, we were moving in the opposite direction. So, if wave 1 is ascending, it means there was a certain descending movement before it. And it's obvious that in this descending movement, sales prevailed. Thus, reversing the price in the opposite direction may not be so easy. In such cases, when it's not easy, we get not a sharp 5-wave impulse but a Leading diagonal, where conditional buyers, as it were, chew their way upwards.
➡️Next, of course, there is correction and further growth. The Leading diagonal can also be encountered in wave a of correction "ABC". And here, the logic remains the same since the correction goes in the opposite direction of the trend; we have significant support for demand. In our example, this is an ascending trend. Therefore, we don't get a sharp impulse, but gradually, and squeezing, which forms the structure of the Leading diagonal.
➡️As you already understand, waves "2" or "4" also have a correctional structure "ABC", where "A" can also be a Leading diagonal. And then, you can encounter the Leading diagonal in wave "1" and in wave "A", and since they reverse the direction of movement, the structure is not formed like a sharp impulse but more like an ascending triangle in the case of wave "1" and a descending triangle in the case of corrective wave "A".
➡️Moving on to the Ending diagonals. You can get them in wave "5" and wave c in the corrective structure "ABC". Here the principle is similar, as you might have guessed, to the case of wave "5". We see how the ascending movement fades, as if the buyers no longer have the strength to move the price, impulsively upwards, I remind you, we are considering an example of an ascending trend movement.
➡️You can encounter the Ending diagonal in wave "5" and wave "C". It turns out everything is quite logical and simple. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. Wave "1" starts the impulse, and wave "A" starts the correction. In turn, wave "5" completes the impulse, and wave "C" completes the correction.
➡️Well, now we need to understand the rules for the Leading and Ending diagonals to determine them correctly.
➡️Now let's look at the rules separately for Contracting diagonals!
📍 Rules 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "3" is always shorter than wave "1", wave "4" is always shorter than wave "2", and wave "5" is always shorter than wave "3" (1 > 3 > 5 and 2 > 4).
📍Going forward in time, a line connecting the ends of waves 2 and 4 converges towards with the line connecting the ends of waves "1" and "3".
📍 Guidelines 📍
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" (only for the Leading diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" ends beyond the end of wave "3" or does not reach the end of wave "3": truncation (only for the Ending diagonals).
📍In the contracting variety, wave "5" usually ends at or slightly beyond a line that connects the ends of waves "1" and "3" (Ending beyond that line is called a throw-over).
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll talking about the Corrective Waves - Simple - Sharp Corrections.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to resistance area at 1.09819.Dear Colleagues, price is in an upward movement of wave 3 of higher order and I expect wave 3 of lower order to start now. All indications are that the upward movement is not over yet.
I expect the price to test the support area at 1.08638 and then continue the upward movement at least to the resistance area at 1.09819.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to target is the area of 39297.Dear colleagues, despite the fact that the price is in a downward movement, I believe that the five-wave movement has not been completed. I expect that the price will not update the minimum of wave 4 38463, but will approach it, and then the upward movement in wave 5 will begin. The nearest target is the area of 39297.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 85.00.Dear Colleagues, price has reached the minimum acceptable target of 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94 and now I assume that wave C will be equal to wave A. This is quite a risky forecast, so I recommend to take risks and enter with a risk of no more than 1-5% of your deposit.
My target is in the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 85.00.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 61.8% Fibo 82.94.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. At the moment we are witnessing a combined correction and I expect wave B to end at 79.99, after which I expect the upward movement to continue in wave C to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to 38.2% Fibo lvl 2100.Dear Colleagues, Recent events have affected the price and gold was breaking records, but I was waiting for an opportunity to profit from the correction. I still suppose we can do it, because I saw a big wave 1, which means I expect a big correction to the 38.2% Fibonacci 2100 level area.
Before this move, a high update to the 2175 resistance area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
📍Part #2, Elliott Waves: "Motive Waves - Impulse".👩🏻💻 Welcome to the 2nd lecture on Elliott Waves.
So, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that price behavior follows a wave structure, with three waves being impulse waves and 2 being corrective waves. It can be said that these 5 waves look like the image above.
➡️For example, let's take an upward impulse, where the impulse refers to all these five waves. We observe the first wave of growth, then the second wave is corrective to the first, meaning the second wave is specifically a correction for the first wave. Next, the third wave is a growth wave, the fourth is corrective for the third, and the fifth wave concludes the impulse. Following the completion of the impulse or the five-wave sequence, a correction occurs in the form of A, B, C.
➡️This entire structure is fractal, meaning that if our upward impulse has three waves, and they are also impulse waves, such as the first, third, and fifth, and as impulse waves, as we already know, consist of five waves, then each impulse within this larger five-wave sequence has the same structure of five waves. Furthermore, in the correction A, B, C, waves A and C also have a five-wave structure, but more on that in the next lessons.
➡️If you ask about the timeframes to work with waves, I would say that the 1-hour timeframe is the threshold below which it is not recommended to consider the structure!
Next, I will describe the basic rules and regulations concerning impulses in the form of pictures, which are convenient to save and use as a hint when analyzing charts.
➡️Now let's consider some rules that are mandatory for all impulse movements.
Rules
An impulse always subdivides into five waves.
Strong guidelines
📍Wave A almost always will alternate with wave B. Alternation can be expressed in two ways:
1) In the type of correction: sharp/sideways or vice versa
2) In the presence of extension: in waves 2 and 4 of the impulse, two sideways patterns are possible, but only one of them will have an extreme beyond the peak of the previous wave.
📍Wave 4, as a rule, significantly violates the channel formed by the subwaves of wave 3.
📍As a strong norm, no part of wave 4 should enter the price territory of wave 1 or 2.
📍As a strong norm, the peak of wave 4 should not extend beyond the doubled channel constructed from the peaks of waves 1, 2, and 3, while the midline of the channel will serve as the minimum achievable target.
📍Second waves of impulses tend to go beyond the previous fourth wave. When using this norm, the previous fourth wave serves as the minimum target.
📍Sometimes wave 5 does not move beyond the end of wave 3 (in which case it is called a truncation).
📍Often, waves 1 and 5 of the impulse form impulses, but more often they alternate in the type of motive waves: if wave 1 is an impulse, expect wave 5 in the form of a diagonal, and vice versa. Less commonly, waves 1 and 5 form diagonals, but in this case, alternation will be expressed in the form of a pattern: contracting/expanding.
So there are also many other lesser indications, but they are too numerous and less frequent.
Therefore, I recommend that we focus on the main ones for the time being.
📣This concludes the lecture on impulse waves. Save the images and practice.
Next week I'll start talking about the Leading and Ending diagonals.
🔔 Links to other lessons in related ideas. 🔔
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area 81.85. Dear Colleagues, price has strongly updated the low, completing wave 2. I suppose that the price can still make a small correction, but I put the target in the same place as last time - resistance area 81.85.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to wave 1 top area 39275.89.Dear colleagues, the price has made wave 2 and now I expect the beginning of the movement in wave 3. I assume that the price will rise to the target of the wave 1 top area 39275.89. This is the first minimum target for wave 3.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): long to 1.10241 (Wave 3).Dear Colleagues, I suppose that price has not completed the upward movement. Having analyzed by wave analysis I suppose that the price is in the senior wave 3 and junior wave 1. I suppose that 2 options are possible:
Either the price will renew wave 1
Or the price will correct in wave 2 to the range of 38.2-50% Fibonacci levels (1.08999), then it will start the upward movement in wave 3 (1.10241).
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): long to 100% Fibo lvl 1.09866.Dear colleagues, I suppose that if the price has started such a movement, we should take advantage of it! I suppose that all this movement is wave 3. This means that the target is at 100% of the Fibonacci extension level of 1.09866. The price may make a small correction to the area of 1.08576.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area of 2100.Dear Colleagues, the price is showing a strong upward movement and I saw a five-wave structure. Now wave 3 is coming to an end and I expect a correction in the form of wave 4. I expect the price to reach at least the support area of 2100.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | USD/JPY (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 151.320.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the price will still renew the high and continue the upward movement to the target of 100% Fibonacci extension level 151.320. This will be wave 3. And before that a correction of wave 2 to the area of 149.750 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to support area 38604.Dear colleagues, the price rushed upwards and did not update the low 38045. This means that wave 2 has long been formed and now the formation of the upward wave 3 is underway. But we are observing a price gap, and as we know, the gap is usually closed. Besides, it does not violate the wave structure in any way.
So I suppose that the price will close the gap and reach the support area 38604.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo lvl 81.85. Dear colleagues, earlier I wanted to write a forecast with a deep correction, but after reviewing the data I suppose that the price will go higher. I assume that it will be wave 2, but for now I expect a small correction to the support area of 78.88. Then I expect an upward movement to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 81.85.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to 61.8% Fibo lvl 1.07715.Dear Colleagues, it is obvious that the price has made a strong upward momentum. I suppose that this movement is wave 1. At the moment I expect that the price will make a corrective movement of wave 2 to the area of 61.8% Fibonacci level 1.07715.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to 50% Fibo lvl 2060.Dear Colleagues, price made a strong upward movement last week, and now I suppose that price could make a new high, but the main direction of the forecast is a corrective movement to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 2060.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 80.00.Dear Colleagues, The price is trading in a small range and I suppose that the price will update the local high of 79.50 and reach the resistance area of 80.00.
But before this movement a correction to the area of 50-61.8% Fibonacci level 77.45 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | USD/CHF (4H): Short to 100% Fibo lvl 0.86885.Dear Colleagues, I suppose that the downward movement to the area of 100% Fibonacci extension level 0.86885 will start soon. This will be the anticipated wave 3, which may go even lower.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area of 1984.Dear colleagues, I am still of the opinion that only short positions should be considered. The price has gone far up and it means that there is an opportunity to get into positions more favorably. I expect that the price may reach the resistance area of 2043.580, after which the long-awaited movement to the support area of 1984.
Perhaps the price will not update the maximum and will go straight to the target.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | USD/JPY (4H): Short to support area of 149.115.Dear Colleagues, price has made a strong move and I suppose that it will end at these levels. After the five-wave movement, I expect the price to decline to the support area of 149.115.
It can happen already from current positions, but I hope that the price will update the maximum and complete wave 5.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!