Holly Frontier Corporation Bullish divergence on Weekly and Daily Weekly To be precise, it’s not a pure divergence. Prices dit not really go lower then the previous bottom. But in light of the global market recovery and the hard hits that the Energy sector went through, it is likely that it will at least pullback during these bullish developments we’re seeing...
With the epic collapse in oil prices, time to take a look at the refiner. $HFC has caught our attention as the stock is on the verge of a breakout. HollyFrontier Corporation (NYSE:HFC) is a refiner that owns 457,000 barrels per day (BPD) of Mid-Continent, Rockies, and New Mexico transport fuels refining capacity and 15,600 BPD of lubricating oil refining...
"Refinery stocks are not ripe just yet, especially with crack spreads as weak as they are. We're already seeing three of the top four holdings in CRAK begin to roll over, including Marathon, Velaro, and Holly Frontier. Phillips 66 is the outlier. We continue to wait for CRAK to reach to range bottom with a confluence of crack spreads. If refiners continue to...
will recover or give up. Long idea short risk.
$MPC has an excellent long term uptrend signal at play here. If not long you should average in over 3 days at least, risking a drop to 43.42, or 3 daily average ranges down. Targets are 89.66 and potentially up to 143.09 in the long run, to be hit by or before Q4 2019. My mentor, Tim West has been adamant about $MPC's strengt, and so far he's been right. This...
PBF is tracing a downtrend, sadly, since it didn't bottom at the recent low...I had to take a loss on my recent entries, and I'll wait for it to hit the lower targets to reenter. My idea is perhaps to short put options at the target, and either get assigned, or get profit from the premium on expiry. Either way, it's a great trade if we take the long...
If oil takes a significant dip overnight, I will be short MPC. I don't think there is any fundamental to support this stock to the upside anyways, so I am shorting calls. Plus I am not much of an options buyer unless to trying to hit a home run. The blue line represents options expiration day. These are 4h bars. Important to note that NOT all refiners are...
Look guys, this is the same Fib retracement that has HELD since the Jan-Feb selloff. Do not take my word for it. Look at my previous predictions, load the new data, and see how much money was made. MPC has had a history of bucking the market. When SPX was down 2%, this was down 7%. When SPX was up 3%, this was up over 8.5%. This is a lower liquidity, higher...
No reason to hold anything over the weekend unless you have to. Something smelly about the markets. I can feel the SPY wanting to sell. MPC rallied up testing 37.00 fib level. It tested that level and it did not breach. The chart indicates overall bullish. It has/is building a nice $35 floor for itself. THE MODEL HAS NOT BEEN RE-DRAWN AND MPC IS TRADING PER THOSE...
I'll let the chart speak for itself. The chart was drawn prior to today's open.
If you went bullish on calls per my previous post, you are enjoying a nice pop today. My time horizon is longer so I am holding until $38.75 (the next fib level). The MA just crossed and I want that to marinate for a few sessions. You should be just playing with house money now if you bought the day or day after I posted. This is technicals-only trade devoid of...
Get em while they're cheap! You might find cheaper premiums on HFC as they nose-dived yesterday, but MPC has stronger fundamentals IMO. And a reminder like always, MPC has a history of bucking the market the market: SPY. In regard to fundamentals, this is an oversold reaction to MPC and other refiners' posting losses for Q1 2016. We all knew the refining...
Please compare this to my previous post where I had drawn the Fib retracement. I have redrawn this to capture the double bottoms. I was not sure if it could break out from it's previous fib level and so far this previous retracement model is holding up. I have said this many times, but will say it again. MPC has a history of bucking the market and is doing so...
Today's was the first breakout for MPC from the fib retracement. It is topping out back to the January lows. This MAY be a point to where the trade switches from fundamentals before it trades off of something technical. Just general discussion. I sold today. Please comment.
into earnings in the morning it is falling back after retracing over 38.2% of the AB=CD, options looking for $1.10 move by Friday