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NKE: Early reporting stocks set the tone for earnings seasonNIKE is reporting earnings today AFTER the market closes. How the stock behaves will help determine how to trade this earnings season as we can begin to determine which of the HFT algorithms are being used and the expectations of the pro traders on how they are managing the pre-news they receive ahead of the retail crowd. Currently there is no viable pre-earnings run setup. The stock is bouncing around the previous all-time high area, without breaking to the upside. HFTs have been in this stock on earnings report days in the past. The report needs to be very positive this time. The next few charts I use for analysis will be about studying these very early reporting companies and the HFT algo reaction. Stay tuned…
NYSE:NKE
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
BA: Speculative at New All-time High with Contrarian Long-term POnly 2 of the DJIA components are currently at new all-time highs: BA and PG. Boeing gapped and ran up on earnings news with a boost from HFTs and buybacks. Currently, the number of shares held by institutions is dropping. Vanguard, Blackrock, Price T Rowe, State Street, Capital World Investors, Northern Trust, all giants of the Buy Side, have lowered held inventory in recent months. The stock is at a speculative price as smaller funds buy heavily and buybacks of up to $14 billion move price up. Whether this will be a good strategy for BA this year remains to be seen. The chart is the Long-term Trend Monthly chart showing the severity of the speculative buying. Also you can see the Cycle chart pattern using the DPO indicator with a failure to trough V shape. Volume shows a steady decline as well. These are contrarian indicators to what price is doing.
NYSE:BAEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
NTAP Earnings: Short-term Bottom, HFT, Pro Traders, BuybacksNetApp is a Data Storage company for Cloud Technology. The Financial Services Industry is reporting a huge increase in Cloud Services usage that is starting in 2019 after a very conservative interest in Cloud Based Storage and services. This could potentially help NTAP complete this short term bottom and begin a new business cycle for the next couple of years. NTAP topped around $88 and declined to a low of about $56 before starting this first attempt at a bottom. HFTs are likely to be targeting this stock tomorrow as it reports its earnings. NTAP technically has stopped just below resistance for a completion of bottom. It is technically in a sideways pattern at this level. BOP shows HFTs were the drivers for the stock to drop in price to the short term bottom low of $56. BOP is not yet showing any quiet accumulation. Some pro traders are in the mix. The stock may also be under buyback mode as well.
NASDAQ:NTAPEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
INTC: Earnings, 5G and HFT Gap RiskIntel is moving rapidly to capture the 5G market, along with Verizon. This was discussed in detail in our recent annual Virtual Course, this time on Emerging Displacement Technologies for the Next Decade. INTC stock has been struggling at a support level, not moving down much but also without a strong pre-earnings run as many blue chip companies enjoyed. The reason is there are some institutions selling, as seen in rotation patterns and other institutions buying in accumulation patterns. Hence, the trading range pattern on the daily chart. For now the sellers have more dominance, but that can change. The Earnings report is due today after the market close. HFTs are likely to be all over it, which means there is gap risk, and they will trigger either way on earnings news.
NASDAQ:INTC
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
NFLX: Pre Earnings Run The speculative gains of what we call a “pre earnings” run ended ahead of the market open on Friday. Netflix is reporting an increase in the number of users but had a decline in revenues, which is a worrisome pattern that is occurring in many big-name companies thus far—many banks and the early tech stock reports. NFLX was being sold on the professional side ahead of Friday's open and was down about 3% in the premarket. How and IF the HFTs trigger to the downside on the earnings news this week will tell us what to expect for other stocks with similar earnings to revenues numbers for the 4th quarter of 2018.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Earnings for C, Citigroup Bank: HFT Gap ExpectedCitigroup reported ahead of open today which indicates it hoped that the market open would inspire buying of its shares of stock. HFTs are set to trigger on earnings news. How it might gap depends on the algorithm focus, retail crowd reactions, retail broker expectations, and the triggers set ahead of open. C has the same negative divergence as AAPL has on the weak “rally run” up after bouncing off of technical support levels best seen on a weekly chart. Today’s chart is a daily chart to show that the run is weak and poised for a potential gap.
NYSE:C
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
AMZN: News from India Could Help Complete the Top After a BounceAmazon was in the pre-market news today. India has put heavy restrictions on the e-commerce retailers, AMZN and WMT and others. The ruling affects many products that Amazon sells. India’s rules will bar retail e-commerce companies from engaging in an exclusive partnership with a seller. This could hurt Amazon’s expected revenues from India. This dominant e-commerce company hit Market Saturation in many of its primary global markets and was relying upon massive growth from Indian customers as a new revenue source. This new ruling from the Indian government changes Amazon’s plans abruptly. The stock is in a topping formation that has still not completed yet. The stock dropped through support levels and then rebounded in a bounce up along with most big-name companies yesterday. HFTs are likely to react to this news soon. Support levels are shown as black lines in the attached weekly chart.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
SBUX: Shift of Sentiment Pattern Leads Gap Up to PlatformSBUX has now confirmed the gap gains by holding well above the trading range highs. This provides very strong support for the stock to continue moving upward. This daily chart of the stock shows a Shift of Sentiment™ Pattern with the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. The shifting pattern begins with the common gap down by HFTs in June and then the VWAP automated selling by the smaller funds to the final low. Then, the stock moves in a typical Dark Pool Pattern out of the low. Pro traders and HFTs gap the stock up in November on earnings news. Another platform is developing now above that gap which establishes more support at this level.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
ISRG: Topping Formation Risk for Selling Short PotentialIntuitive Surgical Inc., under the Medical Instruments and Supplies industry, has had strong growth over the past 3 years but it is now facing the risk of a topping formation. The topping pattern is near the phase where a completed top could occur and then downside action would include sell short professionals and sell short HFTs. Support doesn’t kick in strongly until the stock reaches the 240-250 area, which is below the 50% loss of most companies thus far in the bear market. Many firms have already lost 50% or more off their all-time high values. ISRG can shift sideways and stay there to pattern out the excessive speculation, but the technical pattern is setting up more like a risk of a top formation at this moment in time.
NASDAQ:ISRG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
DE: Earnings Stock of the Day Deere & Company is one of the last to report earnings of the Dow 30 components today. High Frequency Trading firms (HFT) focus on blue chip earnings reports. DE is holding above the topping completion level for now but remains in a volatile trading range. All black lines on this weekly chart were drawn in the last quarter. Bounce support areas are defined in red. Although farm and construction equipment (mostly construction equipment) has been in high demand over the past couple of years as the US economy enjoyed its final expansion mode, that demand has declined since early this year. Deere is dependent upon construction cycles. Construction Cycles are dependent on the Real Estate Cycle, which is trending down to trough. Many real estate companies are finding it very hard to unload inventories of homes and commercial properties.
NYSE:DE
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
HD: Earnings Stock of the DayAlways a late reporting company, HD reported today before the market opened. HFTs were ready to gap the stock in the direction the algos perceived earnings. The chart patterns were setting up for a negative reaction. The stock is in the lower area of its trading range that has similarities to the S&P500 index chart's trading range pattern. Flow of Funds indicators show heavier than normal outflow of money from this stock. That means selling is rotation or distribution by Dark Pools.
NYSE:HD
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Earnings Stock of the Day: VERIVERI is reporting earnings today and was chosen to remind traders that IPOs are not usually profitable. It is very rare to have a company that IPOs with high profits and revenue. Therefore, IPOs are generally speculative as this stock was. It IPO’d around the summer of 2017 and ran up for a month to a new all-time high. Retail investors and smaller funds drove price upward due to HFT activity and the encouragement of financial advisors. AccumDist shows smaller funds buying speculatively, creating the momentum run of August into September. HFTs created the huge black engulfing candle at the peak. Smaller funds and the retail crowd “bought on the dip” and have lost a lot of money since then. Preferred Clients sold into the speculative gains. It is now near the low that should provide stability to the downtrend and eventually commence the bottom formation. There is no bottom yet as there is no Dark Pool Buy Zone™ yet. There are no major companies reporting today. It is all small to mid-cap companies. Earnings Season is in the final days of reporting.
NASDAQ:VERI
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Earnings Stock of the Day: ESNTEssent Group LTD is in the Financial Services Sector under Specialty Finance. This is a relatively new industry that is going to have growth in the next decade as more specialty finance services companies go to IPO. The opportunities come from Cloud Technology’s second phase of new displacement technologies, such as Artificial Intelligence. ESNT is working on a bottoming formation after a correction from a recent high. It attempted to fill the gap down caused by HFTs gapping the stock in April of this year. The rectangle on the chart is when this stock had potential for a watchlist candidate as a Shift of Sentiment™ pattern occurred. The stock peaked and topped in 2018. The pattern is still at risk for more downside and is not a watchlist candidate at this time, but it is reporting earnings today. The stock must complete this bottom formation and then challenge the previous highs to resume an uptrend. That will take time.
NYSE:ESNT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
WMT Bottom Facing All-Time High and Trade WarsWMT has been in a bottoming formation most of this year. The big gap up was HFTs taking advantage of those who trade on earnings news. Notice how quickly profit-taking follows. The all-time high is strong resistance. Walmart is one company that is stating it will face revenue and earnings problems due to the Trade Wars and new Tariffs on the Chinese goods it imports. Since this is a discount retail store, the tariffs will eventually force the company to either find another country to import goods from or raise the cost of its imported goods, which is a far more likely scenario. That means US consumers who buy products from Walmart will start to see an increase in the cost of any products or goods imported from China. This could take effect as early as this holiday season. WMT may try to delay some cost increases until next year, but the increase in import costs will be passed onto consumers at some point.
NYSE:WMT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Longterm view on S&P 500Kinda cluttered, these are areas I'm paying attention to, depending how the market enters those zones I might think about taking a long/short position. Some fun facts: - Fiat currencies get stronger in market corrections, since people are selling whatever they can for dollars/fiat. - Approximately HALF the volume on the US equity markets is generated from high-frequency trading. If I understand this correctly that means half the volume traded on markets is just a reflection of the other half. That's very precarious. - Approximately %60 of bank loans within the developed world are against real estate that already exists, ie mortgages, not for construction or business startups or whatever. Non productive assets. Kinda makes you second guess the whole mantra behind things like QE. - Despite unprecedented levels of monetary easing, money velocity has plummeted and yields are scarce. There is no happy ending here. I'm not too keen on the SPX being able to hold this upward 45 degree angle its been on, I expect a crisis/correction towards 1500 at some point. I'm not a permabear but a major change needs to occur within the design of our financial system for the world to continue running, and that won't come without some volatility. These endless loans/debts simply cannot be repaid. The central banks need inflation and they're gonna get it through permanent money creation/debt monetization. This'll probably play out between now and 2020.
FX:SPX500Short
by pjlbtv