Copper Futures HG1!
#COPX Copper miners ETF reclaims support and now heading higherNice reclaim of the broken horizontal and channel support on the COPX Copper miners ETF. Looks like we're headed back to the top of the years trading range at 41.80 which is an approximate move of 12% from current levels. Dr Copper being a proxy for global growth is always a positive for global markets.
COPPER: Long term sell signalCopper is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.350, MACD = 0.033, ADX = 19.471) as it is at the top of the 2023 Channel Down, but having failed to cross over it, opens the way for a big decline in the first quarter of 2024. As you can see the Channel Down that started last January looks very similar to the one in 2012/13. Both emerged after a Global peak and then rejection to an oversold 1W RSI bottom.
It is very interesting how similar the ranges are, both Channel Down bearish legs have been around -18.50%. We are turning bearish on the most optimal technical level and aim for another -18.50% decline (TP = 3.2500) or up when the 1W RSI gets oversold (under 30.000).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Copper ~ Help Me Obi-China, You're My Only Hope (2H)CAPITALCOM:COPPER chart mapping/analysis.
Copper - off its October lows, yet still contending with global macro headwinds & China's difficulty in shaking off its deflationary economic funk..
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Prelim trading range = ~3.93 - ~3.73.
Under bearish pressure from 38.2% Fib rejections.
Bullish reaction to China/macro economic news = bounce off lower range of parallel channel (green) + 200SMA confluence support / break above 38.2% Fib / break above ~3.93 upper trading range.
Bullish extension target(s) = 50% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
Bearish reaction to China/macro economic news = break below ~3.73 lower trading range / lower range of parallel channel (green) / break underneath 200SMA, becoming dynamic resistance.
Bearish extension target(s) = 23.6% Fib / lower range of descending parallel channel (light blue).
COPPER Correction to accelerate lower.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) 1.5 months ago (October 24), we caught the most optimal bottom buy signal:
The price action didn't only hit our Target but also broke above both the January 18 2023 Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The rejection that took place on Monday though, is giving rise to a new Falling Wedge pattern with the current Bearish Leg on full display. The bearish signal is already confirmed as the 1D MACD has completed a Bearish Cross, and so far the sequence is very similar to the August 01 rejection.
As a result, we are bearish on Copper, looking to take advantage of today's green 1D candle and short near the closing in anticipation of being close to the peak. Our short term Target is 3.6100, which is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, a symmetrical level where the price bounced on August 17. Selling can only be extended if the green Support Zone breaks.
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COPPER 06/12Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves at Daily Demand Zone. Its Rejecting from the Resistance Level to make its Impulse Again. Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Breakout of the Lower Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Retracement
Copper 30/11Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Correction in Short Time Frame. Making Impulse in Short Time Frame and " C " Correction in Long Time Frame. We have Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame.
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout or Rejection of UTL
Leveraging the AUDUSD Strength Amidst USD WeaknessThere has been an opportunity that has emerged due to the recent fluctuations in currency values and the growing demand for copper exports to China.
As you may be aware, the USD has been experiencing a period of weakness, while the AUD has shown signs of strength. This presents an advantageous situation, as we can leverage the stronger Australian dollar against the weaker US dollar.
In light of this, I propose that we explore the possibility of exporting copper to China. With the AUDUSD exchange rate in our favor, we can maximize our profits by capitalizing on China's increasing demand for copper.
China, being one of the largest consumers of copper worldwide, offers a lucrative market for our manufacturing. By exporting copper to China, there is a growing demand and take advantage of the current exchange rate of AUDUSD.
🧽 Mister Poper. Meet The Cleaner Of Your DreamsCopper price continued to provide negative trades affected by the frequent stability below the additional barrier at 3.7280, to manage to reach some negative stations by touching 3.6100.
Also, RSI stochastic continues to provide the negative momentum to allow us to suggest forming new negative waves to attack the additional support near 3.5000 followed by monitoring its behavior to manage to confirm the upcoming trend.
The expected trend: Bearish
COPPER Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Wave at Lower Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame and it will Complete its " 5th " Corrective Wave at Demand Zone or Daily Descending Trend Line at Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it complete its " 5th " Corrective Wave and Reject
Copper 26/10Pair : Copper - CU
Description :
Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves and it will make its " 4th " Wave at Fibonacci Level - 38.20% / 50.00%. Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Formed " wxyx " Corrective Wave and will make its " z " wave at Daily Descending Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks UTL / LTL and Retest
COPPER Channel Down bottom buy opportunityCopper (HG1!) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the June 29 low and since 5 days, it entered the 11 month Support Zone. The 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, which has been a buy signal the previous 2 times within the Channel Down.
Every bearish sequence in 2023 has seen a rebound that hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This is good enough for us to buy and target 3.7600 (0.618 Fib).
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Copper: Jump off! 👟The copper price has reached the lower edge of the pink trend channel within the turquoise target zone between $3.59 and $3.51 and has already shown a reaction to this line. Now, a far-reaching rise should occur, beyond the resistance at $4.19. There, the magenta wave (B) should then be finished and it should transition into sustained descents to the green target zone between $3.08 and $2.59.
COPPER - CU 20/10 MovePair : Copper - CU
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Breakout the Upper Trend Line and making its Retracement in a Corrective Pattern " Bearish Channel " in Short Time Frame. Completed Impulse and Correction " ABC "
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks and Retest UTL
Copper Next Move Pair : Copper CU
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line to Complete its Corrective Waves " ABC " after Impulsive Waves. Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Lower Trend Line after " B " Wave
Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks Bullish Channel or Rejects from Upper Trend Line
HG - COPPER FUTURES - BULLISH - LONGWill be looking at long positions for instrument for the following reason.
• It is approaching a point of Major support in the ranging pattern looking back 3 months.
• This is a long-term long swing for me looking forward at least 2-3 months, but it might happen sooner with the recent volatility in the market.
• Looking to catch a long trade of the rejection from the support zone.
o I would need to zoom in to get a better entry point, once price rejects from the support zone.
• Also, I have been studying the Elliott wave patterns, and the 5th wave is usually the point of a major trend reversal.
• Also, there is the formation of the falling wedge pattern which adds to the confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Of course this is purely a technical approach.
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management**
Copper: A little further 🤏The price of copper is now falling further and further after initially rising on Thursday. This development is in line with our primary scenario as we expect the low of the magenta wave (x) to be a bit lower in the turquoise target zone between $3.59 and $3.51. Only when it's placed, the price can rise above the resistance at $4.19 and build wave (B) in magenta. A drop to the green target zone between $3.08 and $2.59 should follow from this point.