Goal and Predictions for November 2019I believe that DOGE has the potential to hit AT LEAST $0.0028 during the month of November, and I believe the low shouldn't go too far if any below $0.0024. I am looking for it to stay around $0.0026 between pops or drops. Overall, I am looking for DOGE to stay fairly bearish this month
High
Trading Journal on GBPJPY for intraday 29 Oct 2019Hi everyone,i try keep updating my journal analysis for better and better understanding in market behavior.
This is my analysis on Intraday for pair GBPJPY.
During Asia Session price try to test and take liquidity at highest yesterday price at 140.243 and go down for for almost 40 pips and failed to make new low which is indicate price want to retest latest high and yet failed to make new high and during London open market- seller enter market at high price and go down for 63.8 pips and reject at low monthly candle at 3 Dec 2018 at price level 139.495 and go up due to several low impact news.
Trading Conclusion
1)Price failed to make new high from previous high(140.259).
2)Price go down to take find high liquidity and reject at low monthly candle 3 Dec 2018.
3)Price will try to test new high for today at 140.300 and 140.500-140.600
4)or,Price fail to break today high and try to make new low 139.350 and 139.050
5)H4 chart shown that price failed to make new low and looking for uptrend for coming week.
Anyone feel free to comment and review my analysis for better understanding in market behavior.
Thanks for Like and comment.
SHI Long, Buy, HighMy new buy play with 1:5 R/R
This one can be one of those with huge growth potential, but...let see what next Q has to say. For now, my play will be with just 500 shr and 1:5 R/R
BTC Flippening: Roadmap for 8K, 12K, and beyond.This sort of sums up all the targets being called out from on high, but in a way that combines fractal flipping, chart patterns, and waves. We were all expecting something big on September 11, but nothing happened. Or maybe BTC flipped again. The flip traces sort of a mirror image of previous prices.
Looking at a chart patterns site, it was intuitive to visualize how well the broadening bottom pattern would fit the BTC flip hypothesis. It would form a symmetrical fractal ending on December 24, repainting previous big moves in crypto. The points are not random. They fall on the Friday of each week. Why Friday? Because that's payday, when the weekend starts. Friday is the day stock options expire worthless for 90% of retail traders. It's a day when institutions have taken that money and moved markets many times before.
It seemed necessary to predict prices going low enough to take out stops, and then bouncing up for a bull trap before committing to larger down moves. Expect the unexpected in the short term. And then zoom out to see how it all fits.
Institutions and CFDs seem to enjoy painting obvious daily patterns like these on charts for their trading educators to stand on. They entice undisciplined speculators to open margin accounts for 100x wreckage on small moves. The tops and bottoms coincide with support and resistance levels extrapolated from previous price action and are not set in stone. But it would be interesting to see how many are hit.
And there is still plenty of room for doombear barts in the holiday aftermath with their jaunty 1-2K predictions.
30 Min Chart Swing Trade XBTUSDHey Peeps
I outlined the very recently formed support at around 8293-8226. We had two bounces off there. I don't see it dropping below this region and closing. The resistance is as outlined, 8429-8462. We need volume to break it. Volume is on its wayinvalidate the support/resistance. down as you can see. Play these zones with caution. Think about stop loss placement, if you place it to tight, you will be stopped out. Place it within parameters that would
I would also like to leave with a bit of advice I stumbled across. It has greatly impacted my style of trading. If you are planning to close a position because a trade isn't going your way, immediately open a trade in the opposite direction. This way, you will be able to catch market movements and be profitable. Also, you won't be too hasty to pre-emptivley close a winning position.
Note: this is the 30 min chart. You can dive further into a 15 min chart to seek more zones for scalping.
Let me know what your swing/pivot points are.
SPY - Daily - Bearish engulfing stick after dojiNotice the bearish engulfing candlestick today, after the doji yesterday? I believe that means we are going back down to retest the green line I drew in the 295 area. We just made new highs, but could not close above the highest close level set in July. I do not believe this sell-off will be anything more than simple profit taking after this nice rip up after breaking through consolidation. More or less, I think this will be just a breather ... UNLESS, negative trade war news comes out.
As always, the trade war is determining the technicals right now. If negative news comes out between now and the new round of talks in October, I think we will bust through that green line and make a move to test a double top pattern. If that happens, look out below!
I'm overall bullish based on technicals, but bearish to start next week. I positioned my account appropriately yesterday and today to survive the profit taking.
BTCUSD Potential Falling Wedge? Bullish short term ?Hello Traders,
Update on BTC, Bullish in the short term time frame ?
We could be forming a falling wedge, which typically is a bullish pattern.
Points to consider
- Overall there is a bull trend on the 240
- Strong support Zone at .382 Fibonacci
- Resistance at .50 Fibonacci with EMA's in conflunce
- Tightening Price action
- Volume noticeably dropping
- Stochs showing upwards momentum
- RSI testing support
BTC can break bullish in the short term if this indeed is a Falling Wedge with a potential target at around $14,222.00, Volume is dropping which is a strong indication that a breakout coming...
What are your thoughts?
Speaking of thoughts, here's some food for thought :)
"Why do you think unsuccessful traders are obsessed with market analysis? They crave the sense of certainty that analysis appears to give them. Although few would admit it, the truth is that the typical trader wants to be right on every single trade. He is desperately trying to create certainty where it just doesn’t exist.” – Mark Douglas
Finding Bitcoin Cycle Bottom Using Fibonacci ToolIn this post, i'll share a tool which helps you find Bitcoin's market cycles bottoms, it is the Trend Based Fibonacci extension.
You don't need to understand what this tool is to know how to use it, but if you want an explanation here is a video.
www.youtube.com
First start by laying the trend at the market top, then count from there the next 3-4 lower lows, lay the trend, and extend the fibonacci tool part to the next closest lower high.
That's it! Now you just keep an eye out on those levels.
An important Note
These levels are to be used as areas to determine where to buy or sell and not specific price point . This is too help you find a better entry on average and potentially not miss the next run up.
AUDUSD Buy IdeaD1 - Pair broke and holds above the critical key level 0.7020.
As long as the uptrend line holds, we can look for buys with bullish evidences.
H1 - If you want to be more aggressive you may then wait for the price to break above this dynamic resistance and then you may start looking for buys with bullish evidences.
If you want to be more conservative then wait for the price to break above the high shown in the chart, you may then start looking for buys with more bullish evidences.
S&P New All Time Highs - Risky BuyS&P New All Time Highs - Risky Buy
The Emini and S&P 500 made a new all time high again today, leading many to believe this market is still strong. In some ways it is, but it is more important to realize it is also in a bull flag trading range. This makes it a risky place to buy up here. This is where strong bulls who bought lower will start looking to take profits, and strong bears will start looking to sell for a move down.
Why is it risky to buy now? There is only a 40% chance of a measured move up based on the height of the trading range. And the risk needed to enter now is large (below the bottom of the trading range). There is at least a 50% chance of a test down soon, back into the range. The middle of the trading range is a magnet and will likely get tested before the bull trend continues. Furthermore, if the bears are soon able to create a strong reversal bar for the large wedge, it could increase the probability to 60% for two legs down. If there is a quick and large move up in the next few weeks, it would likely act as a climax and final flag reversal, increasing the likelihood of a sell off.
Dont think just because there is no reversal yet that the market cant or wont sell off. Look at the past two sell offs from this area. They began from bull bars (Jan 18 two bar reversal), or small inconspicuous bars (Sep 18 doji to outside bear bar). But the follow through was strong and fast. Of course, this does not mean a shorter term trader cant buy and make money. Day traders can do many things investors do not or should not. But as far as a long term investment, this is simply not a safe one to buy at the current price level unless you are willing to sit through a deep pullback and scale in. And if you are - why not just wait and buy then?
If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions
Overall view of NAS100 and US markets - Update of July 1stPrices were subjected to a bear pressure after settling on the all-time high resistance zone . Without any follow-through, the US markets quietly recovered and reached the @7800.00 target for the second time. In fact, after the G20 meeting this weekend and the set of agreement resulting from it, the odds that NAS100 keeps a bullish momentum are high.
Possible targets: @7900.00 (+1300pips or 130points which is around the all-time high) and @8000.00 (+2400pips or 240points).
Advice: Stay bullish and buy at any low point while we don't break the 7600.00 bottom level.
What exactly do traders mean when they say "local high"You've probably heard the term used in a sentence somewhere, for example, "I'm now looking for divergence on the one hour chart of bitcoin because a local high has been established"
Well this snap shot shows how a local high for an hourly time frame is established. The top of the wick (the highest point reached as of late) is at $13880 and soon after you see a candle trading below the low of that candle ...
If you're interested in learning more, subscribe to my youtube channel : "Kick Back Time"
If I start to recieve subsbribers I will be encouraged to make instructional videos there, going into greater in depth knowledge and detail
I will be adding to this post to show more examples
CERN Stalls at New HighCERN has shifted sideways after a breakaway gap by High Frequency Traders followed by a momentum run upward. CERN has now shifted sideways, which can provide a strong support for another momentum run.