Highprobability
Bullish Gartley on S&P 500 for Trend Continuation!Hey guys,
just a quick update for the S&P 500 which closes right into the 127,2 % Extension area and therefore completing a bullish Gartley Pattern.
I do not trade this one personally but thought it would be quite interesting to post this for you guys... When everyone is thinking about more downside, this is a nice pattern to go long and do the opposite.
Stops have to go below X.
Have a great week
Felix
Countertrend! Wait for a little longerIt might very well be that Price will retrace after this recent impulsive Swing-Breakout.
But... there is a more significant Swing-High Resistence waiting above + the RRR will be much better.
Knowing that ABCD like movements often set up exactly like this:
1. Impulsive move "though" Highs/Lows
2. Some wedge or triangle consolidation
3. Another impulsive move for +/- the same length than the first move
If price does not retrace significatnyl and then continues rallying into the next red area I'll be definately looking for a countertend trade
The end is coming John Snow! Or is it here already?Looking at the daily we see the the major swing highs come at the same price levels whereas the major swing lows are coming higher forming some kind of triangly.
The firs swing low went as low as 88.6% of the the upmove. The second swing low is now resting at support at the 78.6% of the consecutive upmove. Price might bounce of here already however if it continues falling it may run into a stronger support of:
ABCD (1.27% extention of AB)
Major Swing Low Support
Outer Uptrendline
Same Fibonacci Retracement level 88.6% as previousely respected
Ideally I'll be looking for the RSI to break out of the trendline, previousely being oversold and left oversold + Candlestick or simple price pattern on lower timeframe. As this is a countertrend trade and the USD is sold off heavily at the moment by hedge funds I would not shoot for a very large target. Try betwee 1,5 & 2.5 - Reward for 1 Risk
Full outlook. Elliot wave & other technicals analysesLooks like price is about to complete an Elliot-Wave #5 before it might reverse into a 3 wave downtrend move. The 1.3250's look like a decent area of multiple resistance for countertrend traders to take short entries.
Break down of the 1.3250:
*Uptrend channel - Price first overshot the channel then undershot. Which leads to the believe of a weakening of the uptrend.
*Projection of 100% of wave 1 & wave 3 end in this price area
*Other Fibonacci extension levels that typically act as R&S cluster around this area
The more traders you have on your side the higher is your POP, Probability of Profit
Paired with a Risk to Reward of 1 to 2 or even 3 makes it a valid trading opportunity.
*Disclaimer: Reference is made to the disclaimer under lorbeerinvesmtent.com Please apply risk management before taking action upon a tip.
Looking for High Reward low Risk Trend Trade?Classic buying retracement strategy. Price runs into a 61,8% Fib resistance right at minor swing resistance levels.
The previous swing low "break down" (pink support lines) indicates an intact downtrend.
As of statistics I assume a 25% chance of profit and a 35% chance of loss. With a 2,5:1 Reward to Risk Ratio its a good deal.
Daily Bat Pattern with H & S Support at previous structure!Hey folks,
I've found a bullish Bat Pattern on AUDNZD Daily Timeframe. I do not trade based of the daily timeframe but thought this one might be interesting to share with you guys. There is also a potential Head and Shoulders Formation which makes it even more interesting. If we break the neckline of the H&S then there are potentially more traders looking to go long this pair.
As always,
Trade your plan!
Cheers, Felix
Multiple Argument short entryPrice started to form what could become a H&S - Pricepattern
On the 60M we see that the second Shoulder comes in form of Double Top. Not yet confirmed since the SwingLow of the DT is not yet broken but price gave us a CandlestickPattern on the second top. Since we are at major Resitance of higher timeframes I see an edge on the trading diection => short wich could complete the H&S and then privde further opportunity.
1. Short on speculating on a neck break of the H&S
2. Long on candlestick pattern at Support on the 60M, speculating that price bounces back to the neck line
3. Short again on the neck line speculating on a continued trend
4. Second short entry possibility on ShouldersRessitance
H&S for entry and Bat for directionLooking at th daily we see a completed BatPattern. The daily is too big for most traders however so they leave it off the radar.
If you move to a 240M TF you see that price is about to form a H&S Pattern which may serve as entry signal and orientation for Target and Stop Loss orders