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Hongkong

Hang Seng: Symmetrical Golden/ Death Cross. Long term Buy SignalHang Seng has been devastated by the recent negative geopolitical climate, reaching in August the 24,900 1W Support. The rebound that followed on 1D was rejected near the Lower High trend line (dashed) and 1D MA200 (orange line) thus keeping 1W bearish (RSI = 43.695, MACD = -309.550, Highs/Lows = -317.3100). We have had a Death Cross formation on that bottom and interestingly enough it is symmetrical with the Golden Cross in March. Since we already tested the 1W Support there are more probabilities now to resume the uptrend and reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (currently at 28,200) like Hang Seng did on its 2019 top. Anything above that will be bullish towards at least 30,200 (2019 High). If however by any chance the index dip again to the 1W Support (the 2018 bottom was at 24,500) then that would be an even stronger long term buy signal towards the 33,500 ATH. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
TVC:HSILong
by InvestingScope
TRADERSAI - A.I. POWERED MODEL TRADES for Today, WED 09/04Its All About Hong Kong this Morning! The Hang Seng was up significantly overnight on the news that Carrie Lam has announced that she was scrapping the controversial extradition law. US indices are up in sympathy. “How long would this last?” is the question on everyone’s mind, but the indices are shooting up for now. Given that nothing has changed with respect to the trade war, and the economy, it would be prudent to take this “rally” with a grain (or, cup, if you will) of salt. Our models continue to sport the agile-and-nimble trading theme today. Read below for our models’ trading plans for the day. tradersai.com NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #china, #tradewar, #recession, #yields, #tariffs #hongkong
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
US and China make back room deal on Hong Kong?Just want to update on the USDHKD peg idea I spoke about awhile back. A bit controversial I know, but I gave reasons on why this is likely to happen. Hong Kong does not have the US Dollars to maintain the peg. The PLA marching into Honk Kong may be what breaks the peg. Looking at the chart, you can see where the buyers are stepping in. We are seeing buyers at the 7.83500 zone indicated by the long wicks. Buyers are still there. Just this analysis indicates that perhaps we will be seeing this break of the Peg. I am hearing from sources that there has been a deal between the US and China behind the scenes. That the CCP will allow President Trump to sell the trade war as a minor victory for the US...meanwhile the Americans will give the CCP a carte blanche when it comes to what they do in Hong Kong. If they decide to send in the army, the US will look away. This is what I am hearing. The 4 hour chart can also give us a short signal if we do break below the mentioned zone. We have had a nice uptrend, and now a range displaying 2/3 market structures. On a side note, I just watched the documentary "Banksters" on Amazon Prime which is about HSBC , Hong Kong and China. It really explains what is REALLY going on in Hong Kong currently. There was a twitter rumour that was substantiated by many solid minds including Kyle Bass, about the PBoC needing to borrow money from HSBC to maintain the Yuan where it is at. The HSBC President was fired and other high up executives were fired. Rumours have it that the CCP will look to control HSBC ...the documentary gives evidence about this already happening in 2017.
Long
by Uncharted-FX
1
Forex News: Hong Kong’s 11th Week of ProtestForex News – Hong Kong’s biggest-ever street protest has come to its 11th week, and more are joining the calls for a resolution. Last week, Hong Kongers took out their money from ATMs. The goal was to prove the city was more than just a cash cow. The movement has further escalated the instability due to the protests. The city’s currency has also suffered. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said that he was “concerned” about the probability of a violent Chinese crackdown. Last week, he seemingly tied up the US-China trade discussions to the HK protests, calling for a humane resolution. Trump added that he would talk to Chinese President Xi Jinping and urge him to negotiate directly with protesters. The protests have crippled the city’s currency due to the instability. Such a situation will apparently continue until one of the sides give in. According to certain reports, China is moving its troops to Hong Kong to intervene. HK police, meanwhile, claimed that their forces were enough without China’s intervention More on FinanceBrokerage
Long
by Financebroker
Hong Kongers want Massive WithdrawalsFX News – As the protests in Hong Kong continue, people are trying out something new to fight back. Protesters are calling for massive ATM withdrawals, taking out as much money as possible from their banks. They could also change their currency into US dollars to protect their own assets. The goal is to send the People’s Republic of China and HK Chief Executive Carrie Lam a message. And that message is this: Hong Kong is more than just a city with cash. According to the student who started the “Cashout HKD to USD,” the people have already withdrawn over HK$70 million. According to this student, the tactic would work because Lam and the PBOC “care much about the economy.” The protests have been going on for nearly 11 weeks. FX News: the Demands of the Protesters The movement, according to the student, demands five things from the Hong Kong government. The first one is to completely withdraw the extradition bill, not just suspend it. The bill, which has initially been the center of the protests, would allow extradition to China for criminal offenses. For the Hong Kongers, this would allow the authoritarian China greater control over democratic Hong Kong. The second demand is to retract the proclamation that the protests were riots. Third, pull out the criminal charges against protesters and investigate police abuses toward them. Fourth is to dissolve the Legislative Council by administrative order. And lastly, implement the dual universal suffrage. Put simply, this would allow Hong Kongers to vote on their leaders without having to ask China’s permission. Meanwhile, other activists voiced out concerns over Hong Kong’s currency because of the instability. This is where the rationale of converting their currency into the US dollar comes into play. The goal is to maintain value in US dollars and other foreign currencies. This is among the biggest protests in the recent history of Asian countries.
Short
by Financebroker
S&P500/AUD falling down from Trump Within the past couple days, President Donald Trump proposed a new tariff of 10% for the $300 billion dollar Chinese imports. This new tariff will take action on September the 1st. Markets to keep a watch from this impact include the following; SSE:000001 HSI:HSI ASX:XJO All of the above index's will have the most impacts. I believe trump has made this tariff increase, in order to seek more profits and to encourage more manufacturing within the united states than China. This is only the beginning with trump mentioning that he could increase them well beyond 25%, this will impact all markets. With the new increase on tariffs, it is to be considered that Consumer Price Indexes from the markets above WILL be affected in some way. This includes NASDAQ:AAPL to increase the price of IPhones and other Apple products. This increase also impacts commodities such as gold. Car manufacturing will also be effected. To conclude, keep an eye out for the above markets and to watch the media regarding Trump and Xi.
ASX:XJOShort
by bailey707
1
Hong Kong to break US Dollar Peg?What a week so far. This week we saw the USDCNH break above the 7.00 level, something I have mentioned in my posts for Bitcoin strength. China has said this was normal, due to tariffs and fundamental reasons, while President Trump and the US Treasury think it is an act of currency manipulation. I have spoken about the US and China trade war on my blog. China is in it for the long game. They will be patient for a weaker US President from the Democrat side. They know the US stock markets are President Trump's Achilles Heel. He needs them up to win re-election ('Keeping America Great"). If markets continue to tumble it will be President Trump who is forced to the trade table to take a China dictated deal. China does not need to worry about elections. So as the Yuan devalues, Chinese money is running into Gold and Bitcoin as mentioned in my previous posts. All governments are devaluing their currencies. New Zealand just cut rates 50 basis points yesterday! Mainland China has been coming down hard on Hong Kong, attempting to get rid of the British Law. This is a way to stop money leaving from China (generally money from mainland goes to Hong Kong and then from there to Australia or Canada etc) and was also a way for China to get away from tariffs by shipping from Hong Kong (not under tariffs). Hong Kong is in trouble. It is the most expensive city in the world with a large real estate bubble and there are some credit and debt problems there now. If you listen to Kyle Bass, he has said that Hong Kong has used 80% of their US Dollar reserves to maintain the peg under 7.85. Will this peg be broken? Many think so. They are running out of US Dollars and not in the best position to buy more Dollars. If the Chinese army does march into Hong Kong, which is probable, expect the HKD peg to break. Probably will peg to the Yuan. As Kyle Bass has said, shorting Hong Kong is the best play right now. Many hedge fund managers have spoken on this as well. Shorting the Hang Seng and the Hong Kong Dollar are ways to play this trade. Why will China march into Hong Kong? If the people are up in arms due to Yuan devaluation, and the Chinese Communist Party feels threatened, they will go to war. The CCP will not give up control over China. War is the best way to unify the people and also blame others for domestic problems. When all else fails, they take you to war. When this peg breaks, I expect MORE Hong Kong money to run into Bitcoin and Gold and Silver. So I am still bullish on Bitcoin but remember, as discussed previously, it is all about CHINESE MONEY.
Long
by Uncharted-FX
5
Hang Seng to continue Lower?Not the textbook example of a head and shoulders pattern on the Hang Seng, but nonetheless showing us a transition from higher lows (uptrend) to now lower highs (downtrend). I wouldn't really want to trade equities given world equity markets are remaining poised for the Federal Reserve rate decision...but I do like the break, and if we can confirm the retest here with a close below 27980 it would have my attention. The 27400 zone is a potential first profit target. China has come out saying they will not accept the protests in Hong Kong. They want things to cool down. If you follow my work, I have said China wants more control over Hong Kong (mostly getting rid of British Law) because it is a way for people to get money out of the country (also through Bitcoin as well), but also a way for Mainland China to get away from US Tariffs. Hong Kong is not targeted by Tariffs so Mainland can export from Hong Kong.
OANDA:HK33HKDShort
by Uncharted-FX
Hong Kong HSI Stock Index (It can go alot higher)View On Hong Kong Stock Index (15 July 2019) We just had a big intraday rollercoaster in the Hong Kong stock index. If it closes near the top region of 28,580, we can say it is a very bullish sign. It shall easily retest 28,880 regions soon. DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading. Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
OANDA:HK33HKDLong
by SonicDeejay
Hong Kong HSI Stock Index (Recession? What recession!)View On Hong Kong Stock Index (25 June 2019) We had a good run up and now it is on the decisive region of 28350 to 2850 0 regions. Watch the current region closely. Once it breaks that region. it shall go UP fast and furious. The positive outcome of G20 may be the answer. Let's see. DYODD, Our trade analysis may not suitable to intraday (or) short time frame trading. Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account. Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment". Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
OANDA:HK33HKDLong
by SonicDeejay
HSI (Hang Seng) - Market Crash Cycles | Indices | Macro Trends*Please support this idea with a LIKE if it helps you. Thanks! More details about me in my signature. HSI has been labeled within a Sub-Millennium degree wave 4 (blue), which has been unfolding ever since the 2007-2008 Recession. Structure - Expanding Flat Formation Oct 2007 peaks and down until Oct 2008 bottoms - Grand Super-Cycle wave a (red) Oct 2008 bottoms and up until Nov 2010 tops - Super-Cycle wave (a) (purple) Nov 2010 tops and down until Feb 2016 lows - Super-Cycle wave (b) (purple) Feb 2016 lows and up until present times - Super-Cycle wave (c) (black) Super-Cycle wave (c) (black) Pattern - Ending Diagonal Sequence - 5-Wave Sequence, with Cycle Waves I II III IV V (black) decomposed as Primary A-B-C (blue) Current PositionCycle Wave III (black) Next expected swing Bearish sequence in Primary B (blue) Market Crash Forecast Support granted at or around the 28000.00 mark and then a bull run towards the 33000.00 levels, where the Grand Super-Cycle Wave b (red) is expected to complete. Grand Super-Cycle Wave c (red) would reflect the next Larger Degree Recession. Structure change Breach of the lower trend-line of the Ending Diagonal could reflect the fact that the Market Crash already started.
INDEX:HSI
by EW4X