ADA/USDT : ATH Options, How to trade now ? BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Hello everyone 😃
ADA has broken 0.25$ resistance zone and now it's moving to ATH resistances.
For now we expect a retest on lower support line which is near to Ichimoku cloud and EMA 50 support line.
Main Target is 0.32$ above it we will take another long to ATH.
🔴 Below 0.23$ will change Direction. Whole market is in Over Bought zone... Watch for it !
📍 It could Grow from current point.
Attention : this is not a financial advise we just try to help people on their own vision.
HAVE A GOOD DAY
- Helical_Trades
Howtomakemoneytrading
TRADING TIME FRAMES COVERED!Hi all,
I know i am abit late with the video feature but better late than neverrrr!
In this video i have covered the key trading time frames and the things you should be looking out for.
What would you like me to cover? leave your comments below and i will get back to everyone! :)
Bitcoin - Find battleground, get clues, make decision.Looking at the 4 Hour timeframe It is clear that we are in the middle of this downtrend channel and BTC is obviously following it, this channel has a top and it has a bottom, you can see that we are at the bottom right now and we are looking to close the third candle under the 200MA which is not good. Nothing here says that we are going up, volume is also going down on the daily timeframe. To be clear, you never want to jump in at the bottom of a downtrend channel, you want to do that on an uptrend channel, that would be a really good scenario, but that is not the case right now.
So once again after falling BTC is caught between overhead resistance (the 200MA) and a simple downtrend line (the green one). If BTC crosses below that green downtrend line it will fall into the white support line which is very strong, if it crosses that line down we are falling for quite a bit until we hit 7K area.
Let's keep an eye on this action but the clues are there for you to see.
Hitting the "Like" button is like a tip, please don't forget to do so after reading.
NOW, THE LEGEND;
Support trendlines are green
Resistance trendlines are Red
Horizontal support lines are white, the thicker the stronger the support
50 Moving Average is yellow
200 Moving Average is white
THE TREND: Going Down, we have not made a new higher high
THE OUTLOOK: Expected to go down, unexpected if it goes up.
The Gold Method IchimokuThe Gold Method – Ichimoku
My New E-book, The Gold method – Ichimoku, is now available!!! This is the most complete publication that I have done. The first several chapters, explain in great detail, my methodology. The next 20 Chapters is a step by step, day by day application of the methodology for varying real-life market conditions.
I will explain and you will see, as there are tons of screenshots, how each step of the methodology is progressed through. The end result will be knowing the best pair to trade, direction and specific entry and exits.
You will be presented with high probability set-ups with good to great risk reward ratio and equally important when there are no high probability trade set-ups.
Included with the purchase of the E-book is the following:
1) The Book itself…duh
2) Unlimited email support.*
3) The excel spreadsheets, for all pairs, that I use to help document my trades.
4) And most important, 4 Sessions in my training room, where we will work in live market conditions from 1:45 am est., to 4am est., on Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.**
The Purchase price is $54.95, which unfortunately is non-refundable as the material and training are proprietary. As I am sure you can understand, once you have it, there is no way to get the genie back in the bottle. Because of that, I would urge you, before, you purchase my Ebook, to look at my trading posts and make sure for yourself that this is for you.
Moreover, this is not a novice book, it does require basic trading knowledge.
As most of you know, I combine Strength and Weakness, Correlation and Multiple time frame analysis with Ichimoku concepts. The result of which are High probability (85% or better) set-ups with good to great risk reward ratio (3-1 or better).
I am not interested in the amount of trades, just the quality. If you want to just hit buttons and place trades, this is not for you. If you want to generate consistent income read on…
To purchase the book please remit $54.95, via Paypal, to FXGold54@gmail.com
Please use the same email you want the Ebook and Bonus material sent to. Please note that the material and training room invitation will only be sent to that e-mail address (unless you advise otherwise in advance).
Sincerely,
Allen S. Gold
Lead Trader for FXGold, L.L.C.
How to be a Successful Forex trader Segement 12Ichimoku Daily Levels:
The ichimoku Daily levels are like stone walls. price hits them and stops. As you can see above price came down to the Daily Kejun Sen (black line) at 1.63258 and reversed.
You could have placed a buy order at that level with the following parameters:
Entry: 1.6325
Sop: 1.6295
Risk = -30 pips
profit target = 1.6403 (the daily Senkou B)
Reward = + 73 Pips
RRR = 2.43 - 1
that trade would have hit the Profit target for + 73 pips
with a draw down of 19 pips
You could then take a stop and reverse trade at the Daily Senkou B
which would have been good for + 42 pips with a drawdown of only 5 pips.
Although the daily Ichimoku levels are very powerful, the only issue is the amount of trades.
Moreover, I would point out that you only want to trade the level the first time and reaches it.
hope you guys like the post.
Also I would like to thank everybody who has pre-ordered my new book which will be published this Monday September 30th.
Those who have pre-ordered, will be receiving their copy tomorrow afternoon ( Friday September 27).
In fact, from all the support I have gotten while working on the book has made me even more precise and focused resulting in one of my best performance months ever.
Accordingly, I felt compelled to give a little love in the book to everybody who has pre-ordered the book, because it has in fact raised my game.
I can't wait to work with each and everyone of you and assist you in becoming professional traders.
warm regards,
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex trader Segment 11Contingencies:
Plan for the worst and have contingencies. As was I preparing for today’s trading session, I lost my internet. But I had a contingency in place.
There are 3 main issues traders can face, in addition to the market.
1. You can lose Power,
2. You can lose internet,
3. Your computer crashes
It is prudent to have contingency plans in place for all the above as they usually happen at the worst possible time.
Power: A good quality back-up will solve this problem and although 99% of the time it does nothing, when you lose power you will be ecstatic you have it.
Internet, Although Internet has become more reliable, it still goes out as mine did today. I have on more than a few occasions driven to the 24/7 McDonalds to use their wi-fi in the middle of the night. However, most newer phones will allow you to use the phone as a Wi-fi Hotspot or better yet, tether it directly to your computer. That is what I did today and was able to trade.
Computer issues. A good reliable, well maintained , computer is a must for the professional trader, it is your life blood. Not only should you run diagnostic and cleaning programs on a regular basis, you should blow out your computer at least every 3 months. It is absolutely amazing how much dirt/dust accumulates inside. In addition to maintaining your trading computer, you need to have a back-up, it can be an older computer and it does not need to have all the “bells and whistles” as your main computer but enough to run your essential trading programs.
I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me.
Stay Green my Friends :)
Allen
I am now accepting pre-orders for my book. As one of the Bonuses, I am providing 4 days of live training (limited to 10 traders per session) and those who pre-order, will receive priority placement. The cost of the book is $54.95 and will be available September 30. If you interested please send me an email to FXGold54@gmail.com
HOW TO GRID TRADE: Keys To Your Lamborghini (A to Z Tutorial)Science Has Proven That Reading This Education Post Will Either Put You To Sleep or Put You On Your Path To That Lamborghini.
Let's Start From The Beginning... (Print this entire tutorial as a reference)
WHAT IS GRID TRADING?
Grid trading is a type of trading, typically managed by a dedicated Grid Bot.
In a nutshell, you select a range, you divide your range into equally spaced buy/sell grids (like trip wires, sorta).
As prices zigzag up and down, your “trip wires” trigger buys and sells catching profits for you incrementally all along the way!
If you start your grid as the market ranges sideways (which is 70% of the time) or when it is in a gradual upward ranging trend (15% of the time) then you are going to make money most of the time.
Your goal in grid trading is to have price zigzag within your grid range as long as possible with a price exit from your grid out the top.
About 15% of the time the market will ranging downwards but worry not, many times even if price exits the bottom of your grid, you may still earn a profit or at worst, have a minimal loss.
Grid Trading requires far less skill and less management than most other types of trading -PLUS- it has far less risk.
Many grid traders make better returns from grid trading than they do with any other trading strategy.
Can you lose money grid trading? YES, but with a little knowledge losing money is hard. A consistent grid trader is a winning trader.
BIGGEST BENEFITS OF GRID TRADING?
It reduces your addiction to chart watching.
It allows you time to eat, sleep drink and be merry.
It allows you to exploit trading opportunities around the clock
It allows you to manage your risks without emotions
It allows you to follow a predefined trading pattern that often beats the ROI (Return on Investment) you're getting from other hands-on trading strategies.
It allows you to trade with less concern about price direction.
It may be a faster way to that Lamborghini everyone is always talking about!
WHAT DO YOU TRADE EXACTLY?
You may trade any cryptocurrency pair. For example, if you have QUOTE currency in USD (or USDT) you would use that to buy a BASE currency (like BTC) within your grid range.
It all starts with an initial investment to get the ball rolling
Then your BOT will buy or sell an equal amount at each grid line
Buy and sell gridline "hits" are replaced with new limit orders gridline-by-gridline as you go along.
Buy and Sell fees are whatever your selected exchange charges (over 25 exchanges are available).
HOW DO YOU EXIT OR QUIT A GRID
If prices exit out the top, you take your money and run! 100% profit.
If prices exit out the bottom, give yourself a little wiggle room but you can pre-set a stoploss. Sometimes your earlier grid gains will equal or exceed any loss your stoploss might incur... like magic!
Many grid traders only trade assets they don't mind holding (like BTC or ETH) and thus never use a stoploss.
Remember: It is far better to take a smaller loss and move your grid to a new range than to get stuck in a coin you do not want to hold.
HOW MONEY DO I NEED TO GRID TRADE?
$100 would be a good start on the lower end.
$1000 (or more) would allow you to run multiple grids simultaneously (which is a good idea).
Regardless, you must follow good money management rules and avoid over investing in any one grid. 5% max of your investment capital per grid and never more than 50% of your capital across all grids will keep you in the game so you can maximize your profits.
Remember, the Wright Brothers were NOT shooting for the moon at Kitty Hawk. They merely want to get off the ground!
10 REASONS MOST TRADERS ARE NOT GRID TRADING?
1) It's a macho thing.
2) It seems too easy.
3) It seems too good to be true.
4) They've never heard of it.
5) They don't know how to automate the strategy.
6) They love watching charts all day, drawing and re-drawing their Elliot Waves.
7) They paid big money for a signal service and are waiting for the big winning signal.
8) They are waiting to catch the next blast off TO THE MOON!
9) They tried umpteen other strategies and are now flat broke.
10) They thought grids were a side dish often served with bacon and eggs.
12 QUICK TIPS FOR STARTING
1) Open a grid bot account to assist with your automation requirements.
2) Connect your bot to your preferred exchange.
3) Start with a cryptocurrency you trust (BTC , ETH or a top 10 coin) . Something you'd be ok holding (HODL) if worse came to worse.
4) Wait for a market where you expect or anticipate sideways or slowly upward ranging price action. Use my indicators to help you nail winning grid areas.
5) Keep your total grid range (lowest grid to highest grid) within 4% to 8%.
6) Select a grid count that renders your grid spacing (distance between each grid line) to a space comparable to typical zigzags you see in recent price action. Typically a .5% to .6% spacing between gridlines (as measured on your Tradingview chart) is a good place to start.
7) After your settings are enter in your bot, click the BACKTEST button. Double check settings, make tweaks, backtest again until you are happy.
8) Invest MINIMALLY on your first few bots (say $100 or something you can afford to lose) . Think of your first grid bot as a "learning experience."
9) Set a stoploss below your grid (there is a setting within the bot for this). If you don't mind holding the coin if prices temporarily drop, then you can forego a stoploss.
10) Don't dream of riches, instead anticipate all goes well and you get a rather healthy ROI (better than a bank and perhaps better than your trading results/ROI using other non-grid strategies).
11) If your first bot does not go well (worry not, remember the first time you tried to ride a bicycle?) . Review what happened and try again. 3%, 5%, 8% gains might be just around the corner. Many people following my strategies are achieving 20% or more in gains over average 3 to 20 day periods.
12) Give your bot time to "do its magic" (perhaps 3 days, a week or longer) ... as long as prices are within your range, you can leave your grid up and running. Move your grid if price range changes.
HOW DO I LEARN MORE?
1) Review my related IDEAS and TUTORIALS (linked below)
3) Explore my GRID INDICATORS (linked Below)
HOW DO I AUTOMATE MY GRID STRATEGY?
Explore further help and links at the bottom of this tutorial.
PLEASE HIT THE LIKE BUTTON (and follow me... lots of great stuff in the works!)
As always, I appreciate your support. Please share with others.
ENJOY!
Dan Hollings
Master Crypto Grid Trader
Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas.
@ DanHollings on Tradingview.
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 10Correlation:
Correlation is a key concept and can make the difference between both winning trades and losing trades as well as good trades becoming great trades.
As those who follow me know, I trade almost exclusively the GBP pairs. Ideally, we want to see all the pairs moving in the same direction. That is a great sign that not only will the trade be successful but that there will be a big move. If there is a correlated directional move, there is a high probability that it will be a big move day. When that happens, once the trade is 1xRisk, we can move the stop to flat and let it run to the profit target.
When the pairs are mixed, we have to be more cautious. If they are evenly split, 3 bullish and 3 bearish, we can take the first breakout trade, but not pullback trades. Once that trade is + 1xRisk, we can close ½ our position and move the stop to flat. This is how we make money on not so good days.
Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this past week were great examples of correlated directional moves. While Thursday, was a split day where at the European open 3 of the GBP pairs were bullish and 3 were bearish. The GBP pairs sold off first allowing for a decent gain in GBPCHF and then rallied.
If you master Correlation, your trading will go to the next level.
I hope you enjoy this post post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me.
Stay Green my Friends :)
Allen
I am now accepting “pre-order” commitments for my book. I am not asking for any money now. But for those who pre-order, they will receive a priority for one of the bonuses that I am providing. The cost of the book is $54.95 and will be available September 30. If you interested please send me an email to FXGold54@gmail.com
WHO I AMHey Guys, you have seen my posts here for awhile. I just did an interview with Apiary Fund this past Wednesday, which was well received, so I figured I would post the link here:
www.youtube.com
Apiary fund is an Awesome opportunity for traders to learn and then trade the fund's money after you qualify, If you would like more information, either shoot me a message or just google Apiary fund. Also if you consider joining, I do get a rebate, which i am willing to split (you have to use my referral link)
Additionally, my new publication on how I trade is in the works and should be released the first week in October. it will provide a detailed, step by step (with plenty of screenshots) explanation of how I work through my methodology on a day by day basis. it will show how my trade-sets up develop under different market conditions as well as, and just as importantly, when I stay out of the market (like today).
I would appreciate feedback/questions and if you be kind enough to hit the "like" button
Stay Green My friends and Have a Great weekend :)
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 9 How many Trades do you need?
I am often asked or advised that I should post more trades and/or have a signal service. This brings me to how many trades do you need. Understand, that enjoying the lifestyle that trading affords is always something you want to strive for. Do you want to be strapped to your computer for 8-12 hours a day? where is the fun in that?
if you have read my trade set-ups they are all designed to be high probability set-ups with Good to great RRR. However, there are only so many of those per day and I prefer to take the very best set-up there are. I risk 2% of of my capital per trade, always looking for at least a 3-1 RRR (meaning I am risking $1 to make $3). Simple math, If i net 2 winning trades per week, that is a 12% gain !!!
As I often ask traders, "if you could make 10-12% per week but could only take 2 trades would you do it?" the answers always surprise me, from outright no, to yes but I would hate myself, to sure but i would trade on the side (point of question goes over head...lol). As a professional trader, your purpose is make Money, PERIOD!!! it is not to hit buttons.
when reviewing your trades, are there low probability set-ups that you could eliminate?
Are there trades where the RRR is less then 3-1, eliminate those ad see where you would be?
I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :)
Stay Green my Friends :)
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 8Trading before News
News is a fact of Forex trading and while their are several ways to trade the Actual release and it's aftermath, today I want to focus on trading before the News. Understand that the decision to enter the market before News is a conscious one and you don't have to do it. Prime examples are days where interest rates, for a currency you contemplating trading, or Non-Farm payroll are being released. if you intend on trading before news, you must determine whether you are going to stay in the trade during the release or get out. Personally, I usually do not trade on UK interest rate days because the market, at some point, tends to go flat ahead of the release. I certainly do not want to be in the market at the time of the release. The reason is simple, I have no control!!
My methodology is based upon high probability trades with tight stops (20-30 pips). Having a position on at the time of the release gives up both my probabilities and my stops.
there are 3 possible outcomes:
1) if the release comes out against me, I'm toast, I will take a hit 3 to 5 times what I plan on (as most of you know slippage will cause the stop to be disregarded and or executed at the extreme of the move).
2) it comes out as expected, the trade may be okay but the market may whipsaw and with an expected widening spread, might get taken out anyway.
3) if the news comes out in my favor, I may still get taken out by either a quick whipsaw or widening spread or a combination thereof.
How can we make an informed decision on whether to trade or not to trade. In the last segment I talked about documenting and reviewing your trades. I use my documented trades to make my decision. This week, the UK had News releases on Tuesday, Wednesday and Today. On prior occasions, my trades set-ups were not effected by UK employment and retail sales (Tuesday and today's releases) so I opted to trade on those 2 days. yesterday (Wednesday) UK CPI was being released and historically my trades set-ups did not work, so I did not trade yesterday. (which was a good decision).
The last thing you want to do is be in a trade ahead of news and "Hope" that the news bails you out. Far too often I have been bit by that bug. Please don't find yourself in that position.
Just wait their are plenty of opportunities. In the next segment I will discuss how many trades do you need.
I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :)
Stay Green my Friends :)
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 7Trade Review and Documenting
Most successful traders review and document their trades, unfortunately, alot of new traders do not. "what's done is done, can't change it...." while that is true, you can, and imho must , learn from them.
Each afternoon, whether I take a trade or not, I review the market and my potential set-ups, executions, and trade completions. I firmly believe reviewing your trades can help determine what went right, what went wrong and how to improve.
Moreover, I track 2 valuable pieces of information, for me at least, which is DD (drawdown) and PP (Pip potential).
If you follow my trades, you will know that I trade the same set-ups, over and over again...almost boring. You will have also noticed that I use a set pip stop loss and profit target. I can do this because I have documented, literally, thousands of my trades and I have determined statistically, where a trade reaches the point of no return. Understand that I risk 2% of my account on each trade. which means that the tighter my stop loss, the bigger my return will be. And as weird as it may sound, the occasional loss, using a tighter stop, does not matter as it easily covered by the successful trades.
The screenshot above is how I documented Monday's trade in GBPCHF. It was Type 1 trade that was triggered on the breakout. I used a 25 pip stoploss and risked 2% of my account. Once the trade was up +25, I closed 1/2 my position and moved my stop to flat (I actually got +27.4). By doing that, I banked a 1% gain for the day, with no further risk. The trade continued to go my way but found support, retraced slightly, and I closed the remaining 1/2 for +54.8 pips. Very conservative trade management for sure but I ended up banking 3% on this trade. I will take that any day of the week :)
I print the screenshot as well as save it under both trade type and in an all screenshot folder. I review the past week on Saturdays and a full month upon the month's conclusion. I also periodically review them to look for any trends or things that I may have missed.
Moreover I track trades in an excel spreedsheet, that I will attempt to attach a screenshot of. This allows me to compile and easily access my data.
I hope you enjoy this post and find it helpful. I would appreciate if you"like" it and follow me :)
Stay Green my Friends :)
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 6Measuring Success and Goals
As a Professional trader, you have 1 goal...Make money!!
That said, traders like to measure their success differently. Some use pips, some use wins v. losses, personally I use daily return. Understand my focus is on generating income and my mantra is "keep stacking positive days"
Imho, using pips to measure success can be misleading, I know of traders that will brag about making 300 pips, when they traded 10 micro lots for a 30 pip move. Obviously, the same could have been accomplished by trading 1 mini lot for the same 30 pips. Don't get me wrong, breaking your position down has a strategic purpose, if you have multiple profit targets or another reason to do so just understand that it was a 30 pip move and not a 300 pip move.
Win/Loss Ratio can also be deceiving. if you have an inverted (negative) Risk Reward Ratio (RRR) then win/loss ratio means nothing. You most often see this with advertisement's for EA's where the claim is 95% win rate, or something along those lines, and then you look at the trading history to find out the profit target are small 2-5 pips and the stops huge 75-100 pips. Again, don't get me wrong win/loss ratio is important as long as the RRR is not wildly inverted...(Scalpers for instance will often have a negative RRR but usually not more then 1-3).
Which brings me to daily % return, which, imho, is the best way to measure success. it is the the great equalizer. For example, if I told you Trader A makes, on average $500 a day, while Trader B makes $200, you might say that Trader A is a better Trader. However, if I then told you that Trader A has a $100K account while Trader B only has a 10K, that clearly changes things because now you realize that Trader A although making more money is only generating .5% per day while Trader B is generating 2%. Big difference.
Moving forward, Trader B's account will increase to the point where he will surpass Trader A's account. Hence why, imho, measuring success in daily, or weekly, % return is the best way.
All this leads me to Goals. I am often asked "what should my goals be" and this is the most loaded trading question there is. I say that because it does not matter what I can do, or what any other trader can do, it only matter what YOU can do at Your Current Skill Level . Psychology in trading is so important and permeates all aspects of it. Knowing what other traders can generate can be disheartening, even if, you are a good trader!
I feel the best goals a trader can have are 1) a daily/weekly % return that their current skill level permits and 2) constantly working to improve. It is number 2 that is most important. Their are so many ways to improve one's trading. More precise entries, better exits, smaller stops, larger profit targets, better trade selection, better money management, and the list goes on and on.
Reviewing and documenting your trades is so important in this process (and will be the topic of my next educational post). Today, for instance, I did not have a valid set-up, so I did not trade!
Understand I get up at 1;15 am est., everyday and start analyzing the market. I am up and I am ready to trade, however, their are times when it is better not to. As you know yesterday, we hit on 2 Solid trades, their is no reason to give any money back on a bad trade. I'm greedy that way...lol
I hope this post is informative and helps. If it does, I would appreciate if you "like" it and follow me :)
Stay Green my Friends:)
Allen
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segement 5Methodology v Strategy
Some traders use the words interchangeably, I do not.
A strategy is a set of conditions that signal you to enter the market, for example, A moving average crossover, RSI going into oversold/overbought and then reversing, Divergence, etc. and combinations thereof.
A Methodology, on the other hand, is a systematic approach to the market that a trader does on a daily basis. It is this process that leads to trade set-ups. The following is how I approach the market each day:
First, I do a top down analysis starting with the monthly moving to the daily and then the 60 min Timeframe.
Second, I do a strength and weakness analysis of each of the following currencies AUD, CAD,CHF, EUR,GBP,JPY,NZD and USD. From this I derive their relative strength from the previous day. This gives me a) A directional bias and b) the best pair to trade (Strongest v weakest)
Third, in the hour before the European open, I analyze the 60 min chart, primarily focusing on how they correlate with Ichimoku theory.
Fourth, I drop down to the 15 min chart, which what I trade off of. I look for top down alignment on each pair. The pair with the best alignment is the one I will trade.
Fifth, using Ichimoku and alignment, I either confirm, or change the directional bias from strength/weakness analysis.
Sixth, I mark the most recent Support/resistance, which I call the Asian box.
Seventh, From all of the above, I now have the best pair, direction and usually both a breakout entry or pullback entry.
Eighth, correlation, I look for all of the same currency to move together, For instance this morning, as shown in the chart above, only GBPAUD was a Buy breakout, while all the other GBP pairs were sells. Hence the reason I did not post or take the GBPAUD trade. (which would have gotten about 10 pips before crashing).
Ninth: Execute, collect your money, go to the Beach.
If you like this idea, please push like and follow me, it motivates me to post ideas more often.
Stay green my Friends
Allen
Strategy Builder - What can we do with it ?Hi y'all
After publishing this Strategy-Builder-Crypto-Single-Trend-Plots/ I got asked a lot of questions privately challenging me to showcase what a more advanced version can do (please see in this idea what it can do)
I use a custom algorithm and that's the whole point of the tool. You can define yours and it will be truly YOURS.
In this case, I added secondary signals to allow me to enter more often because it suits my psychology and capital and this configuration mixed with the m30 timeframe allows to :
- only take trades with STRONG trends - I'm not interested in < 10% move with this algorithm
- avoid many fakeouts due to low timeframes
To give a bit more details, I'll trade only the diamond and the first or sometimes second triangle signal of a given bullish/bearish sequence. As explained here Strategy-Builder-Crypto-Single-Trend-Plots/ , if in front of a resistance/support, I'll define a pullback in the indicator and track the signal via alert (why staying in front of the charts seriously)
Also I'll exit a position when a trend signal (those small red and blue labels) in the opposite direction will appear. This will invalidate a potential loosing position and will allow me to exit with a small loss
Quick FAQ
What is the winning rate ?
Depends of your configuration and psychology. Even with the good signal, if you buy a resistance without analyzing, no indicator/bot/god will help
Without being focused and rigourous, win rate is negative ... but with a bit of determination, you'll explode your own track record and will showcase to your contacts how great of a trader you are
Is it time consuming to find a configuration ?
YES quite a bit at the beginning but once done... it's done. In a few hours/days you'll get a first proper version
See what I mean ? You won't have to monitor the charts too much anymore and track visually the convergence of all your indicators leaving completely exhausted/stressed at the end of the day
You can even publish your signals to brag on Tradingview/Twitter/Facebook/Instagram/...
Are there any other benefit(s) ?
Well you're a bit greedy to ask me this friend but yes ... you'll understand after using it. You'll find configurations you wouldn't be able to think of without this tool
It will help enhance your analysts skills and give you a new perspective... the perspective of ALGO TRADING
Why did you make it ?
I made it for me to trade cryptocurrencies and being using it for over 4 years. I optimized it constantly for the last 4 years (we should be at the version 376 on Tradingview now). I wanted to remove the noise from Twitter and be only focus on TA as I'm convinced that TA will tell you everything you'll need to know
Some friends asked me to try it and now they're only trading with it because it freed them so much time. And they can create their algorithm for all assets class for all timeframes (scalping, intraday, swing) and matching their capital and psychology
So... I'm sharing it with the community and hope you'll like it as much as my small community likes it
Please shoot in the comments or in the indicator comments any question that you might have. For more personal question, shoot me a DM. I'll try to reply within a day
Enjoy my dear apprentice algo traders
Dave
How to Be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 4Trade Identification
How many times have you "Missed" a trade. Once traders have a trading plan, they spend their time looking for set-ups. I would urge to take the next step which is Trade identification. I am not talking about clicking on a chart and seeing if your set-up is there. You want to be able to look and a chart and project what it can do and determine if market action will create a tradable set-up. This morning, as you can see on the chart above and my posted trade idea, when I was analyzing GBPNZD, I did not have a valid trade set-up. Specifically, although Price was below the Daily and 15 minute Kijun-Sen, as well as the cloud, it was above the 60 minute Kijun-Sen...which makes it a no-trade for me. However, I understand and recognized that if price closed below the 60 Kijun-Sen, I would have a valid Type 2 Set-up. I was able to post as such and better yet able to Bank some profit :)
Most traders study price action but they do not forward think what the market can do. Thinking about what the market can do (up, down, sideways), and then applying that to your trading methodology to determine trading opportunities will, imho, greatly enhance your trading skills and you will enjoy watching the market play out the way you predicted (and so will your Bank account)
I Hope this helps, stay Green my Friends
Allen
PS If you like this education material, please push like and follow me, so i will post more :)
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3DCCS Disease:
CCS Disease is a disease many new traders are afflicted with and it can be fatal!! CCS disease is short for "constantly changing strategies". Certainly, I firmly believe that a trader must find a trading strategy that fits both their personality and the time they have to trade. However, once you find a strategy that you like, imho, you must back test the heck out of it!!. Figure out how it responds to different market conditions, is it a strategy that can only used when the market is in a range or trending, can be used before news, after news. How big of a stop is needed, How far will it run... trade parameters are essential but more importantly, Build confidence in your strategy. without the confidence that your strategy will work, you leave yourself susceptible to the psychological terror the market can cause.
I have tried alot, probably well over a 100 strategies in my trading career. the truth is that if I would have properly back tested then and stuck with them I would have been successful sooner. if you test a strategy and it has an 75% win rate (which is pretty damn good), that still means you will lose 25% of the time. Unfortunately, it does not mean that out of 100 trades your first 10 won't be losses and which point you give up and move on. Been there, done that. So I would urge you to back test your strategy so you have at least 100 trades and then forward test the strategy for at least 100 trades before you change.
I hope this Helps, stay green my Friends
Allen
** The Above chart is an example of how I document my trades-- every trade. I also use a spreadsheet to keep track of the data.
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3CBACK TESTING CONT.:
High probability set-ups
To be a consistently good trader, you must trade in a consistent manner.
As those of you who follow me and review my trade idea’s know, they are the same, almost boring. You see Type 1 (Shown above) or Type 2 trades all the time and they look all the same. EXACTLY!!! That is what you need.
If you have taken (either live or back tested), and documented, the same set-up numerous times, you can develop a statistical basis for the probability of that trade type’s success. IMHO, this is a critical element to achieving long term Success. I believe, if you know statistically, the probability of a trades success then you will be more confident in it and allow it to play out. Moreover, if you have a method that is not quite up to snuff, then get rid of it. I would urge you to be more selective in your trade process and only look for trades that you know, through your back-testing, have a high probability of success. This is Quality over quantity.
Stay green my Friends
Allen
** The Above chart is an example of how I document my trades-- every trade. I also use a spreadsheet to keep track of the data.
How to be a Successful Forex Trader Segment 3BBACK TESTING CONT.:
Picking up from my last Educational post, Segment A...
Pip Potential (PP) is a key component for me as it allows me to statistically determine how far a trade will run. In all my trades, I want, at the very least, a 3-1 risk to reward ratio (RRR). Basically I want to make $3 for every $1 I risk. Please understand and, this is very important to long term success, if you use a 3-1 RRR, or better, you can have a win rate of approximately 35% and still be profitable. YES, only 35% and still be Profitable!!!
That is how you stack the odds in your favor :)
Determining how far a trade is likely to run can be done a number of ways, you can use the daily ATR, pivot points, support/resistance or, as I do statistically. Any way you do it, you NEED to do it. Unfortunately, I know several traders who get into trades without thinking about where they are going to get out and that is problematic in the long term. (I always reference the long term because that is where you need to focus on, not 1 trade but rather 100 or 1000 or 10K trades...that is how your trading success will be determined).
All off the above can be revealed through back testing :)
If you think about your maximum draw down you can determine your stoploss, similarly, if you determine how far a trade will, probably, run you can determine your profit target. Combine the 2 and you have your Risk to reward ratio (RRR) and from that you can determine, if you should even take the trade. Personally, I never, ever, buy into resistance or sell into support. it may turn out to be a great trade but for me the Risk outweighs the reward.
I hope this helps and please comment and ask questions or even make suggestions as to a topic you would like me to address.
In my next post, I will cover how to determine High probability set-ups.
Allen
How to be a Succesful Forex Trader Segemnt 3ABACK TESTING:
Some traders find it helpful other do not.
Back-testing is, imho, the most critical part of trading
Back-testing the proper way, although arduous, provides incredibly valuable data. It is the Ditch digging of trading but well worth it.
I have come to embrace back testing and reviewing my trades religiously and in this day and age of automation, I have found it best, for me at least, to go back to 2am est (when I start trading and scroll forward bar by bar looking for my set-ups, my entries and my exits. In fact, I spend more time reviewing and planing my trades than I actually spend trading. While this method is not for everybody and it is time consuming, I firmly believe it is well worth it for the following reasons:
First and foremost, it builds confidence in your trading methodology. Seeing how your trades set-up, execute and finish while observing what the market does will allow you to stay in a trade when it is either taking heat or going your way because you will have "seen" it before.
Second, it will allow you to build a statistical base for your trades. For me the 2 most important pieces of data that I look for are 1) DD (drawdown) and 2) PP (Pip Potential). This has allowed me to determine how much of a stop I usually need (point of no return for a trade) and how far the trade will run.
DD, the Draw down, I find this information most useful as my position size is based on my stoploss. For example, I risk 2% of my capital per trade, so if my stoploss is 10 pips I can use a position size 10 times larger than if my stop was 100 pips. Obviously, the bigger position size the more bang for my Pips I am getting.
I hope this helps and please feel free to comment and ask questions,
I will continue this topic in my next post.
Allen
How To be a Successful Forex trader Segement 2Have a Trade Plan
Although most traders figure out pretty early on that they need a trade plan. They don't always know how to formulate it or what should go into it. Although a Trade plan can be go very much in depth, I will discuss what, imho, are the most critical components:
First and foremost, it must fit YOU!! Any trade plan must fit how YOU want to trade as well as the time you have available to trade. when I first started trading, I wanted to be a scalper. However I had a day job which prevented me from trading the London and US sessions, so I had to trade the Asian Session, which is, for me anyway, not very conducive to scalping. So I developed a methodology that would trigger during the Asian session and usually hit it's profit target (or stop loss) during the London session. It was for the most part a set and forget strategy that I was comfortable with. I would urge any trader to find a methodology that they are comfortable and confident with and go from there.
Second, A trade plan must give you exit targets, both good (Profit target) and bad (stop loss). I put this ahead of Entries because, I believe it is more important to understand both the risk and reward of a trade BEFORE you are in it.
Third, Entry conditions, what ever your strategy is, you want to have a consistent way to trigger your trade.
Fourth, the trade plan has to be repeatable. When you get to point where your trading is boring, that's is when you will the most productive. For example, in the chart above I have my "Type 1" trade, which I absolutely love and that is what I look for. If you look at my past posts, you will see that there are a lot of them and they are, after awhile, boring except that they generate MONEY!!!
Fifth: Your trade plan should include a daily review. what worked?, what didn't? how can you improve? the illustration above is how I document my trades on a daily basis.
I hope this post is helpful.
In the next segment I will address back testing
Allen