NasDaQ's New Highs & Next MoveNasdaq pushed up pass July's highest price last week. We want to keep an eye on it this week to see if there will be more buys to push price higher.
The only thing that can invalidate this setup is if the inside bar's or past sellers attempt to push the market down fails.
What do you think will happen next? Will the buyers keep price going or will the sellers come in strong?
*I love doing these videos so like the video and boost it to let me know if you like them too.*
Howtotrade
Learn 2 Essential Elements of Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss how trading is structured , and I will share with you its 2 key milestones.
Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following.
1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy.
For example, you can have a following trading plan:
you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis,
you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern.
You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level.
Here is how the trading setup would look like.
In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit.
2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately.
The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules.
Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan.
It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization.
Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening.
And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry.
Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene.
In such situations, many traders break their rules, they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding.
The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline.
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Gold XAUUSD Intraday Signal 06-11-23R3 LRS 2018-23
R2 MRS 2003-08
R1 HRS 1988-93
S1 HRB 1978-83
S2 MRB 1968-73
S3 LRB 1953-58
These are the Supports and Resistances for the Intraday based on H1 Fibo levels combined with larger time frames SNRs.
FOR DETAILS ON HOW TO AND WHERE TO TAKE AN ENTRY. PLEASE VISIT MY PROFILE TO GET THE VIDEO LINK FOR FREE
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
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How to Improve Trading ResultsHey, traders! The market is bullish now and let's talk about how we can improve our results in all cycles of the market. There are several factors that can enhance your trading results: your system, psychology, risk management, hobbies, the right environment, and healthy habits. Working on these variables will undoubtedly bring you closer to your trading goals.
However, there's another factor that is often overlooked, and that's income unrelated to trading. It's essential to discuss this.
Relying solely on trading income, especially in the early stages, can create unnecessary pressure. Diversifying your income sources will allow you to approach the trading process more consciously.
I know many profitable traders, and almost all of them have additional income sources, such as paid communities, educational endeavors, businesses, real estate, or traditional jobs. No one relies solely on trading.
Why does this happen?
First and foremost, your knowledge about the market doesn't always translate into profits. You might make a quick buck by speculating on an illiquid asset that suddenly skyrockets, but this approach won't bring consistent profits in the long term.
Lucky traders often give back their gains and end up with nothing. Smarter traders invest in assets that generate income regardless of market conditions and their psychological state.
Diverse income sources can provide a sense of security and confidence in everyday life and when making trading decisions.
Having a bad trading month? No problem. Losses can be covered by income from other areas. Your basic needs can be met with steady income, while trading serves its primary purpose — long-term capital growth.
Since I diversified my income sources (one of them being this channel), my trading results have significantly improved. The pressure has eased, and the quality of my trades has increased.
Now, I'm not tied to my charts for 40-hour workweeks. I trade when I want to. Trading has transformed from a pursuit of profit to a search for opportunities. I only enter a trade when I see a genuine opportunity.
Take today as a starting point. You probably have some source of income that covers your basic needs. I understand it might not be the most glamorous income, and you might want to improve your quality of life right now.
Don't rush to give it up in favor of trading, even if you're confident in your trading skills. Take your time and establish an additional source of stable income. Look at trading as a springboard to help you reach your goals faster. Don't put all your capital in one place. Think about the future and develop multiple income streams. Increase your profits and enhance your emotional well-being.
You can have a deep understanding of trading concepts, but when your life depends entirely on trading, it can be challenging to apply that knowledge due to immense pressure.
80% of your success in trading comes from psychology and risk management. You need a strong mental state to open quality positions without overwhelming yourself.
The best way to achieve this state is to make trading "one of" your income sources, not your "only" income source.
The Art of False Breakouts + RSI: COMPOUND! 📉🚀Trading is an intricate game of psychology, and understanding false breakouts can be the key to success. Let's delve into COMP, where false breakouts played a pivotal role in recent price action. 📉🚀
Closer look to Fakeout :
Deconstructing False Breakouts
False breakouts are like crafty illusions, luring traders into making premature decisions.
COMP, a cryptocurrency known for its volatility, recently demonstrated how these maneuvers can shake the market.
From False Bottom to False Top
COMP first tricked traders with a false breakdown from the lower range, inducing panic.
But as if by sleight of hand, it quickly shifted gears, delivering a false breakout from the upper range, catching many off guard.
Trading Wisdom: The Lesson Here
The case of COMP underscores the need for cautious trading, especially in volatile markets. Recognizing false breakouts can help you avoid unnecessary losses.
Strategies involving stop-loss orders and thorough research can be your shield against these tricky moves.
Conclusion: Mind the Illusions
COMP's recent shenanigans emphasize the significance of identifying false breakouts. This knowledge can give traders a substantial advantage and help them navigate the turbulent waters of crypto trading.
📊 Trading Strategies | 🧠 Psychology | 📈 Price Action | 💡 Insights | 🌐 Cryptocurrency
❗See related ideas below❗
Share your thoughts in the comments! 💚📉💚
Trading Secrets Revealed: Mindset Shift from Beginner to Expert
In the today's post, we will discuss the evolution of a mindset of a trader as he matures in trading.
✔️Beginner
For some unknown reasons, beginners assume that a couple of educational videos and books about trading is more than enough to start trading successfully.
They believe that they got a comprehensive knowledge and that very few things remain to learn.
They start trading, but quickly realize that their knowledge is not enough to make even small gains.
✔️COMPETENT
After practicing a couple of years, traders come to the conclusion
that they know everything in that field. That they learned, tested and tried all concepts and techniques that are available.
They consider themselves to be the experts in the field BUT
for some unknown reasons, these traders still are not able to trade profitably.
✔️EXPERT
After many years of learning, training and practicing, eyes finally open.
Traders realize how limited is their knowledge and how much more there is to learn.
While they already have the skills to trade in profits, they understand now that even the entire life is not enough to learn all the subtleties of trading.
And here is a little lifehack for you:
if you are a beginner, embrace a mindset of an expert.
Start from realizing how little you actually know and how much more there is to know, that will help you a lot in your trading journey.
The Triangles. With Real-Life Examples.Today, let's back to fairly good known triangle shapes: Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending and Broadening Triangles.
Triangle chart patterns provide valuable insights into market dynamics, representing a battle between buyers and sellers within a narrowing price range. These patterns are often categorized as continuation or neutral patterns indicating that the price is likely to continue its existing trend after the pattern completes.
1. Symmetrical Triangle:
A symmetrical triangle occurs when the slope of the price's highs and lows converge, forming a triangular shape. This pattern signifies a period of consolidation, with lower highs and higher lows indicating a balance between buyers and sellers. As the slopes converge, a breakout becomes imminent, although the direction of the breakout is uncertain.
To take advantage of a symmetrical triangle, we can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows, prepared to ride the price in the direction of the breakout.
2. Descending Triangle:
In contrast to the ascending triangle, a descending triangle consists of lower highs forming the upper line, with a strong support level acting as the lower line. Sellers gain ground against buyers, and in most cases, the support line eventually breaks, leading to a continued downward move.
To trade a descending triangle, we can set entry orders above the upper line (lower highs) and below the support line, prepared for a potential breakout. However, it's important to note that in some instances, the support line may hold, resulting in a strong upward move.
3. Ascending Triangle:
An ascending triangle features a resistance level and a slope of higher lows. Buyers gradually push the price up, testing the resistance level. This pattern often signals a breakout to the upside, as buyers gain strength and attempt to break through the resistance.
To trade an ascending triangle, we can set entry orders above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows, ready for a potential upward breakout. However, it's important to remain open to movement in either direction, as sometimes the resistance level may prove too strong.
4. Broadening Triangle:
Now, let's dive into the intriguing Broadening Triangle, also known as a Megaphone Pattern. This pattern stands out due to its expanding price range, creating a unique visual pattern on the chart.
The Megaphone Pattern consists of a series of higher highs and lower lows, causing the price range to widen over time. This pattern reflects increasing volatility and uncertainty in the market, with both buyers and sellers actively participating.
To approach Triangle patterns effectively:
1️⃣ Pay attention to the pattern's boundaries: Identify the upper trendline connecting the highs and the lower trendline connecting the lows. These trendlines define the range of price movement within the pattern.
2️⃣ Watch for breakouts and reversals: Triangles often precedes significant price movements. We can look for breakouts above the upper trendline or breakdowns below the lower trendline as potential trading opportunities.
3️⃣ Confirm with additional indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or tools to validate your trading decisions. Consider using indicators like moving averages, oscillators, or volume analysis to confirm the pattern's potential direction.
Remember, trading the Triangles requires careful analysis and risk management. It's important to consider the overall market context, fundamental factors, and other technical signals to make informed trading decisions.
Wishing you successful trading journeys guided by these fascinating patterns! 🚀📈✨
Would You Buy Or Sell GBPUSD? Potential Pullback?GBPUSD is presenting a nice move back up to the upside as long as it can stay above the last low.
Now of course you may see things differently and thats perfectly fine because price is definitely bearish overall.
Let me know what would you do. In case you're wondering what I'd do, watch the video and let me know your thoughts after watching it.
Be sure to share, like, and follow for more. ❤️
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes
In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid.
1. No trading plan 📝
That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan.
It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan.
Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly.
2. Overtrading 💱
That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains.
Same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be.
However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable.
3. Emotional trading 😤
There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions.
The second option is the main pick of the newbies.
The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure.
And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections.
4. Having no patience ⏳
Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem.
However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level.
Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits.
5. Greed 🤑
Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game.
It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are.
The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle.
Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision.
6. Big Risks 🛑
Why to calculate lot size for the trade?
Why even bother about risk management?
These are the typical thoughts of the newbies.
Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big.
I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade.
Never ever risk big, especially if you just started.
Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade.
Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss.
However, the ones that I listed above at the most common
and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money.
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📈 Charting Lesson: What do I even look for in a chart?!Full-time trader here. Sharing some knowledge for free . If this helps you, show some love: follow me for more and like this idea. 👍
Why do I need a chart anyway?
First, we need to convince you of why you need a chart. No problem. Let's say you're a fundamental analysis investor. The stock has to make sense. The stock has to last forever. It needs to be a growth stock. Let's say... NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA is a good example over the last few years. Now that you found a good candidate, when are you going to buy? At an all-time high? At an all-time low? One share a day? One share a week? No. Buying a stock without looking at the chart is like driving with a blindfold. Don't do it.
Pull up a chart.
Observe past price action.
Try to find a trend.
Plan your entry.
Do this even if you're going to hold for 20 years.
When I pull up a chart, what do I look for? I just see a bunch of lines.
Let's first make sure you are looking at the correct view. On the top left corner of your screen, you'll see your user icon. Next to it is the ticker. Next to it is the interval. Next to THAT is the chart type. Make sure you select "CANDLES". Not "hollow candles". Here's how it should look:
Mine may look a bit different because I changed my theme. But the candles is what we care about.
Now the juicy part.
Support and Resistance are Key Reversal Levels.
When you open a chart, the first thing you want to do is look for areas where the price has reached in the past and reversed or got rejected or bounced. For example, every time SPY reached 443.37 in the chart above, it reversed. Let's call this a, "key level".
If the price is ABOVE that key level, the line is called SUPPORT.
If the price is BELOW that key level, the line is called RESISTANCE.
Using the horizontal line tool, make sure you have these key support and resistance levels on your chart. Try to ONLY buy near support and sell near resistance.
If the stock is choppy, do your best. If you can't, skip it and go to another stock. There's thousands!
Stocks, Currencies, and Cryptos Move in Trends. Up or Down.
Next, try to find a "trend". A trend is something where if you connect the dots, the price jumps right from that straight line.
Pull out your trendline tool and try to connect some dots. Don't go through any candle bodies. Going through wicks is okay. It's actually recommended.
Three touches are required to make a valid trendline. If you see only TWO touches? Is the price going TOWARDS the trendline if you were to extend it? There's a good chance it's going to head towards that TL and bounce! Good job. You found a good trade potential.
Identify Reversal or Continuation Patterns.
Look for known patterns. In the example above, there is a "head and shoulders" pattern. This is a bearish reversal pattern.
Know that not all patterns will come true.
It's good to know the overall signal the market is giving.
If every trader sees it, it's likely not going to happen.
In the above example, a looming H/S pattern is scary given already bad economic conditions and recession/ inflation worries. In this case, the market may be trying to tell you something.
Understand that these patterns are not just nice-looking drawings on a chart. They work because they display some sort of buyer/ seller psychology.
I will post more examples of known patterns on my TradingView profile soon. Be sure to follow if you want to learn more.
If you benefitted from this, you are welcome to follow me, comment any questions, or share this with your friends. Good knowledge should be free. I'll post more insight soon. Thank you for reading and for your continued support. 👍
GOLD BUY OVERSOLD SCENARIODear Ziilllaatraders,
We are now placing a buy, because of the big decreas in in gold value. We think OANDA:XAUUSD has been oversold over the speculation of a rate hike. We are down-trending but in this scenario we will place a BUY.
Feel free to ask any questions and leave a like.
Stay healthy and wealthy.
Greetings,
Ziilllaatrades
Learn What Time Frame to Trade
If you just started trading, you are probably wondering how to choose a trading time frame . In the today's post, I will go through the common time frames , and explain when to apply them.
1m; 5m, 15m Time Frames
These 4 t.f's are very rapid and are primarily applied by scalpers.
If your goal is to catch quick ebbs and flows within a trading session, that is a perfect selection for you.
30m, 1H Time Frame
These 2 are perfectly suited for day traders.
Executing the analysis and opening the trades on these time frames,
you will be able to catch the moves within a trading day.
4h, Daily Time Frames
These time frames are relatively slow.
They are mostly applied by swing traders, who aim to trade the moves that last from several days to several weeks.
Weekly, Monthly Time Frames
These time frames reveal long-term historical perspective and are mostly used by investors and position traders.
If your goal is to look for buy & hold assets, these time frames will help you to make a reasonable decision.
📝When you are choosing a time frame to trade, consider the following factors :
1️⃣ - Time Availability
How much time daily/weekly are you able to sacrifice on trading?
Remember a simple rule: lower is the time frame, more time it requires for management.
2️⃣ - Risk Tolerance
Smaller time frames usually involve higher risk,
while longer-term time frames are considered to be more conservative and stable.
3️⃣ - Your Trading Goals
If you are planning to benefit from short term price fluctuations you should concentrate your attention on lower time frames,
while investing and long-term capital accumulation suite for higher time frames.
Time frame selection is nuanced and a complex topic. However, I believe that these simple rules and factors will help you to correctly choose the one for you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
How to trade TRover of 80% market is TR so we have to know how to trade it.
sign of TR
shadows, tails, overlap, confusing
weak legs
Multiple Returns
when TR start? after BO a trend line
now how we can trade this monster?
you have to put your orders after a top or bottom.
because hunting is normal in this area.
now let's go on chart!!!
Gold xauusd signal intraday 21-09-23R3 LRS 1944 - R2 MRS 1938 - R1 HRS 1932
S1 HRB 1933 - S2 MRB 1927 (SMC Demand Area) - S3 LRB 1921 (Sma200)
SELL> 1938 – 1944 – 1950
BUY> 1914 -- 1921 – 1927
FOLLOW UP
D1 On support Sma44/1926 Sma200/1925
W1 On support Sma44 / 1915
MN 38.2% / 1903 Macro Fibo at strong Support
OBSERVATIONS:
Bull flag in D1 TF forming provided the long wick on head is awaited to be filled. You can call it liquidity grab, imbalance etc etc. But Gold will test 1953 one more time. Another long wick on the head pierced the descending trend line of W1 TF and the price will go for it. Although it will be difficult to carry on above it. Yes this time three entry points as the range will be widening. Good luck. There is more to listen.....
Mastering Crypto Trading with Fixed Volume Range Profile 📊🚀Fixed Volume Range Profile (FVRP) is a powerful tool for crypto traders seeking deeper insights into market dynamics. It allows you to visualize price and volume data in a unique way, helping you make informed trading decisions. In this comprehensive guide, we'll walk you through the fundamentals of using Fixed Volume Range Profile for trading cryptocurrencies.
Understanding Fixed Volume Range Profile (FVRP):
FVRP is a graphical representation of price and volume data within specific price ranges. It divides the trading range into equal volume intervals, providing a snapshot of where most trading activity occurred. Key elements of FVRP include:
Price Range: The trading range under consideration, typically from a few hours to several days.
Volume Intervals: Equal-volume increments within the price range.
Profile Bars: Vertical bars representing the volume distribution at each price level.
How to use it ?
1. You need to open any stock/crypto/indices that you want .
2. Look at screenshot to open this tool 👇
3. Attach first point to the start of impulse (Highest point before trend change) and second to the end of impulse (Lowest point of impulse) . Or identify biggest trading volumes in a range 👇
Some more samples 👇
Using FVRP for Crypto Trading:
Now, let's explore how to utilize Fixed Volume Range Profile for crypto trading:
1. Identifying Key Levels:
Start by selecting the cryptocurrency and the specific timeframe you want to analyze.
Plot the FVRP on your chart. This will create profile bars within the specified price range.
Pay attention to areas where the profile bars are the tallest or thickest. These represent high-volume nodes and are crucial support/resistance levels.
2. Trading Signals:
High-Volume Nodes: When the price approaches a high-volume node, it often acts as strong support or resistance. Look for potential buy/sell signals near these levels.
Gaps: Gaps between profile bars indicate a lack of trading activity in that range. Breakouts from these gaps can signal strong price movements.
3. Combining with Other Indicators:
To enhance your trading strategy, consider using FVRP in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD.
Confirm your signals with multiple indicators to reduce false alarms.
4. Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk.
Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance to your stop-loss.
5. Monitoring Market Sentiment:
FVRP can provide insights into market sentiment. For example, a concentrated volume node near a resistance level may indicate strong selling pressure.
6. Backtesting:
Before trading with real capital, practice using FVRP on historical data to refine your strategy.
Conclusion:
Fixed Volume Range Profile is a valuable tool that empowers crypto traders with a unique perspective on market data. By identifying key support/resistance levels, gauging market sentiment, and combining FVRP with other indicators, you can make more informed trading decisions.
However, remember that no single tool guarantees success in trading. Always approach the market with caution, practice risk management, and continuously educate yourself to stay ahead in the ever-evolving world of crypto trading. 📊💹🚀
The Descending Channel Pattern 📈🐂Understanding the Descending Channel Pattern:
The descending channel pattern is a price pattern that forms on a chart over an extended period. It consists of two parallel trendlines: an upper trendline that connects the lower highs and a lower trendline that connects the lower lows. These trendlines create a descending channel that slopes downward.
Key Characteristics of the Descending Channel Pattern:
Slope: The channel slopes downward, indicating a gradual decline in price over time.
Support and Resistance: The lower trendline serves as support, and the upper trendline acts as resistance. Prices typically move within this channel.
Duration: Descending channels can persist for weeks, months, or even longer, making them suitable for long-term trading strategies.
Trading the Descending Channel Pattern:
Here's how you can effectively trade the descending channel pattern in Bitcoin:
Identify the Pattern: Begin by identifying a clear descending channel on the Bitcoin chart. Look for multiple touches on the upper and lower trendlines.
Entry Point: Consider entering a long (buy) position when the price approaches the lower trendline, which acts as strong support. This is often an optimal entry point.
Stop-loss: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline to manage risk. If the price breaks below this support, it could signal a trend reversal.
Take Profits: Set your take-profit levels near the upper trendline, which acts as resistance. This is where you can consider selling your position to lock in gains.
Confirmation: Look for additional confirmation factors, such as positive news developments, strong trading volume, or bullish indicators, to increase your confidence in the trade.
Gold xauusd intraday signal 20-09-23R3 LRS 1942 - R2 MRS 1938 (SMC Supply Area) - R1 HRS 1934
S1 HRB 1930 - S2 MRB 1925 (SMC Demand Area) - S3 LRB 1920 (Sma200)
SELL> 1938 - 1944 - BUY> 1930 - 1926
FOLLOW UP
D1 On support Sma44/1926.58 Sma200/1923.89
W1 On support Sma44 / 1915
MN 38.2% / 1903 Macro Fibo at strong Support
OBSERVATIONS:
The golden cross mentioned yesterday is established. All of the supports in larger time frames are working strong and creating virtual supports in smaller TFs. However W1 descending trend line and Sma44 has formed a neutral symmetrical triangle. Breaking any of them will determine price action for the next week.NOTE:- LISTEN TO THE END, I OFTEN SPEAK MORE THAN WHAT IS WRITTEN HERE. THERE ARE TIPS FOR THE FUTURE PERSPECTIVE.
Guide: SMA and RSI for Trend ReversalsWelcome, traders! In this comprehensive guide, we'll explore a long-term trading strategy that leverages two powerful technical indicators: the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). By the end, you'll have a solid understanding of how to use these tools to identify trend reversals and make informed trading decisions with a focus on the bigger picture. 📉📈
Educational Objectives:
Understand the concept of long-term trading and its benefits.
Learn how to use the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify trends.
Master the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for spotting overbought and oversold conditions.
Combine SMA and RSI for a comprehensive long-term trading strategy.
Recognize key points of trend reversal for well-timed entries.
📌 Part 1: The Foundation of Long-Term Trading
Long-term trading focuses on capturing significant price movements over extended periods.
It requires patience, discipline, and the ability to ignore short-term noise.
📌 Part 2: Understanding the Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is a trend-following indicator that smooths price data to reveal the underlying trend.
The 200-day SMA is particularly useful for long-term analysis, indicating the overall trend direction.
An upward-sloping 200-day SMA suggests a bullish trend, while a downward slope indicates a bearish trend.
📌 Part 3: Mastering the Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the speed and change of price movements, helping identify overbought and oversold conditions.
An RSI above 70 suggests overbought conditions and a potential trend reversal.
An RSI below 30 indicates oversold conditions, potentially signaling a trend reversal to the upside.
📌 Part 4: Combining SMA and RSI for Long-Term Trading
Look for confluence: Confirm trend reversals when the 200-day SMA aligns with RSI overbought or oversold signals.
A bearish signal could be an overbought RSI crossing below the 200-day SMA, signaling a potential downtrend.
A bullish signal might be an oversold RSI crossing above the 200-day SMA, suggesting a potential uptrend.
📌 Part 5: Identifying Points of Trend Reversal
Key points to recognize trend reversals include:
Divergence: When the price makes new highs or lows but RSI doesn't, it signals a potential reversal.
Crossovers: Pay attention to the 200-day SMA crossing above or below the price chart.
Volume: Increasing trading volume often accompanies trend reversals.
🚀 Conclusion:
Long-term trading can be highly rewarding, but it requires a deep understanding of market trends and the right tools. By combining the SMA and RSI indicators, you gain a powerful strategy for identifying trend reversals and making well-informed trades with long-term potential. Remember that no strategy is infallible, so always employ proper risk management techniques and continuously refine your trading skills.
❗See related ideas below❗
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. 💚🚀💚
4 Classic Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know
In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument.
1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern
Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within.
Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market.
Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest.
Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag.
Target - the next key resistance.
Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated.
2️⃣Ascending Triangle
Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously.
The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline.
Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD.
Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal.
3️⃣Falling Wedge
That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern.
The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time.
Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge.
Stop loss is strictly below its lows.
Target - the next key resistance.
GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend.
You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary.
4️⃣Horizontal Range
Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend.
The price starts consolidation, then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel.
Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal.
Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend.
Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally.
The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits.
Bitcoin's Recent Battle with Fibbonaci🛡️Hey there, crypto enthusiasts! Let's take a closer look at the recent Bitcoin pump that didn't quite take off as expected. It turns out, we encountered a significant resistance level at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement on the Fibonacci retracement tool. 📊💡
🌐 The Fibonacci Fascination: Before we delve into the recent action, let's touch on the golden tool of technical analysis – the Fibonacci retracement. It's a tool that helps traders identify potential support and resistance levels on a chart based on the Fibonacci sequence.
💰 The Golden Ratio: In this case, we're talking about the golden Fibonacci retracement, the 0.5 level. This level is often seen as a crucial point on the chart. When an asset like Bitcoin retraces to this level, it can act as either strong support or resistance.
📈 The Recent Pump: Bitcoin recently experienced a significant price pump, and many were hopeful that it might lead to a substantial rally. However, the price action encountered resistance right around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
🛡️ The Battle at 0.5: This level represents a critical point where traders and algorithms make decisions. It can be a make-or-break point for a potential bullish run.
📊 Fibonacci in Action: To use Fibonacci retracement, simply select the tool on your trading platform, and then click on a significant swing low and drag to a swing high. The tool will automatically plot the retracement levels, including the golden 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
📚 Fibonacci Tips: When using Fibonacci retracement, keep these tips in mind:
Look for confluence with other technical indicators.
Consider it a tool in your trading toolbox, not a standalone strategy.
Combine it with your overall trading plan and risk management.
Remember, while Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool, it's not foolproof, and market dynamics can change rapidly. Stay informed, stay adaptable, and keep honing your trading skills. 🔄📈
Role of Risk Management in Trading and How to calculate riskThe Foundations of Solid Risk Management 🛡️📊:
Risk management in trading involves a series of strategic decisions aimed at minimizing potential losses. It revolves around understanding the risks associated with each trade and employing measures to mitigate them. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, risk management remains a non-negotiable aspect of sustainable trading.
👍 Pros of Effective Risk Management:
Shields your trading capital from significant losses.
Provides a structured framework for decision-making.
Fosters discipline and rationality in the face of market fluctuations.
👎 Cons of Neglecting Risk Management:
Exposes your portfolio to undue risks that can lead to substantial losses.
Increases the likelihood of emotional decision-making driven by fear and greed.
The Emotional and Financial Benefits of Risk Management 🧘♂️❤️:
Effective risk management isn't just about preserving your financial resources; it's also about maintaining emotional equilibrium. When traders implement robust risk management strategies, they reduce the psychological stress and anxiety that often accompany trading. This enables traders to make more logical decisions, avoiding impulsive actions triggered by heightened emotions.
Calculating Position Size and Setting Stop Losses 📈🛑:
Two key elements of risk management are calculating the appropriate position size and setting stop-loss levels. These practices are integral to controlling the amount of capital at risk in each trade. By determining the position size based on a percentage of your capital and setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, traders ensure that no single trade can significantly erode their account balance.
Comparing Potential Losses and Gains for Different Risk Management Scenarios 💹📉:
Let's explore how the 2% rule affects potential outcomes for different risk management scenarios:
Risking 2% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $20 (2% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Limited to $20 per trade
Potential Gain: Can vary, but the focus is on maintaining risk control
Risking 5% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $50 (5% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Larger at $50 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher, but the risk of significant losses is elevated
Risking 10% of a $1000 Deposit:
Maximum Risk per Trade: $100 (10% of $1000)
Potential Loss: Considerably larger at $100 per trade
Potential Gain: Higher compared to 2% risk, but risk of capital depletion is significant
How to calculate your position size ?
You can easily calculate risk directly in TradingView using the built-in calculator!
Choose the direction of your position - long or short.
The next step is to set up according to your deposit and risk per trade.
After that, simply drag it onto the chart in line with your stop loss and take profit (more on this in the upcoming article), and it will automatically calculate the position size for you!