still figuring out the moves? PEPPERSTONE:HK50
HSI:HSI
Happy Friday everyone!
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The Hang Seng fell 39 points or 0.2% to end at 19,241 on Thursday after trading modestly higher in the morning, with eventual losses in financials and property.
Is the news helping? News is distraction. 😂
4H chart
Both MACD & KDJ are on the divergence.
MACD - remained at bearish zone, line still arcing. But crossing up. Good sign.
KDJ - remained in bullish green zone, indicating uptrend signal.
Cross-checked with broader tf chart - D chart. It's still at oversold zone ,below 80 for KDJ and MACD below zero level.
1H chart the Index is dancing within very narrow range for today.
Support : 19130 (if breaks then next 19070)
Resistance :19375 (if breaks then 19450, then 19650)
MACD - closing to touch zero line trying to breakthrough but with the red histogram it looks likely dipping down.
KDJ - in bearish zone. It may be divergence signal that on the oversold area and could see a rebound.
For day trade: Same strategy, sell at resistance (19371); buy/TP at support (19070 strong support level; then 18910). Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator.
Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan!
Sticktoyourplan follow your trading strategy.
Trading to make pocket money isn't that challenging and it can be boring but you can make it fun and zen with it.
Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵 to let the results realized. It can be a winning trade or losing trade, it doesn't matter. We are aiming for long horizon; as we are not gambling or speculating.
Rememeber to allocate some of your gained pocket money for long term assets investment.
Is end of the full trading week for 2025.
Got your trade plan ready for 2025, or are you still figuring out your moves?
Think of it like prepping for a wild night out—plan your entry, know your exits, and avoid getting caught in the wrong crowd (aka bad trades).
Share your ideas and goals with fellow market party animals, hype each other up, and sharpen your skills with regular practice. Let’s make this trading year a VIP experience!
Happy Trading Everyone!
Hang Seng HSI
HK2359 Bullish Wave 3In the second half of 2024, the stock accumulated energy and cooperated with the policy to make a beautiful rise, and then fell back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line and fluctuated repeatedly. I believe the next wave of rise is coming!
I will buy intraday, the yellow line is the support level, about 51.1 (this is a relatively safe entry price), and the first target profit stop level is 72.45 (Fibonacci retracement line 1.000)
I am very optimistic about this stock. When there is a decline, I will give priority to replenishing positions at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement line instead of leaving the market quickly
Hang Seng Index H1 | Falling to overlap supportThe Hang Seng Index (HKG33) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,905.23 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 19,540.00 which is a level that sits under a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 20,522.59 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
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HSI Index Falls Amid Disappointing Chinese Economic DataHSI Index Falls Amid Disappointing Chinese Economic Data
On Tuesday, Hong Kong's HSI index (traded as Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) declined, erasing gains from the previous session due to worsening market sentiment following the release of disappointing Chinese economic data for November. As reported by the media:
→ China's export growth slowed to 6.7% year-on-year, falling short of the forecasted 8.5%, according to a Reuters survey. This marks a significant deceleration compared to the 12.7% growth recorded in October.
→ Additionally, Chinese imports contracted, decreasing by 3.9% year-on-year in November, further deteriorating from the 2.3% decline seen in the previous month.
These figures have heightened concerns about the state of China’s economy, with consumer demand remaining weak amid the potential for tariff increases under the Trump administration.
Technical analysis of the Hong Kong HSI Index chart (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) reveals that price action throughout 2024 has established an ascending channel (illustrated in blue).
Notably:
→ The median line of the channel has previously acted as a "magnet" for price (highlighted with a blue oval), typically indicating equilibrium between supply and demand.
→ However, as marked with an arrow, it has recently acted as resistance, turning the price downward this week.
This sharp shift in sentiment suggests that the HSI index value (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) could retreat to the previous consolidation zone between the 19,000–19,700 levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Hang Seng Index Primed for a 20% RallyThe Hang Seng Index is rebounding off its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level following an ABC correction, a classic technical setup indicating a potential trend reversal. This bounce suggests the beginning of the next bullish wave, with the potential to climb by up to 20%.
SHOCKING! 40% tariffs on Chinese imports!According to a survey of economists by Reuters, the U.S. is considering imposing nearly 40% tariffs on Chinese imports early next year. Such measures could slow the growth of the world’s second-largest economy by 1%. Economists polled by the publication, both Democrats and Republicans, believe these changes will trigger massive disruptions in the U.S. and global economies, surpassing the impact of the trade wars during Trump’s first term. They warn this could ignite a “global trade war.”
During his presidential campaign, Donald Trump promised significant tariffs on Chinese goods as part of his “America First” trade policy. These potential tariffs, much higher than the 7.5%-25% rates of his first term, come at a vulnerable time for China’s economy, which is grappling with a prolonged real estate slump, debt risks, and weak domestic demand. Most economists predict Trump will impose the tariffs in early 2025, with an average estimate of 38% and projections ranging from 15% to 60%. These tariffs are expected to reduce China’s economic growth in 2025 by about 0.5-1.0 percentage points.
What could Trump’s policy lead to?
Chinese indexes: Chinese stock indexes like #ChinaA50 and the Hang Seng Index (#HSI) are expected to face downward pressure.
Chinese corporations: Key sectors such as electronics, automotive, and textiles—heavily reliant on exports to the U.S.—are likely to suffer the most. Major Chinese corporations, including #Alibaba and other leading players, could see their stock values decline. U.S. Indexes: American indexes like #SP500 and Dow Jones (#DJI30) might experience short-term volatility. Tariffs will raise costs for U.S. companies dependent on Chinese supplies, such as those in tech, automotive, and consumer goods sectors—companies like #Apple, #Tesla, and #Nike may face increased production costs. This could reduce profitability and potentially lead to stock corrections.
In the long term, however, the U.S. might benefit from the trade war, as it could boost domestic production, positively impacting American manufacturing stocks. FreshForex analysts predict a growth phase to begin in late Q1 2025 . At the same time, on November 14, investors sharply increased short positions in Asian currencies following Trump’s tariff announcements.
Heng Seng seeks rally from 61.8% fib level (7th time this year)This is purely observational, but today I noticed that Hang Seng futures have risen from a 61.8% Fibonacci level six times this year. And as the rallies have landed anywhere between 6.5% to nearly 50%, it is worth noting that it is trying to rally from it a seventh.
A 3-day bullish reversal pattern formed on Monday (morning star formation) and the daily RSI (2) was oversold on Friday. Bulls could seek dis back towards the 61.8% in anticipation of a leg higher to 20k or 20.5k over the near term.
MS
HANG SENG Patience until December for a long term buy.Hang Seng (HSI1!) made a massive bullish break-out in September as it broke above the February 2021 Lower Highs trend-line, effectively ending its Bear Cycle. This month (October) saw it getting rejected not just on the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
This is a key rejection as in almost 30 years, every time the price got rejected on the 0.618 Fib, it recovered on the 3rd (1M) candle after. As a result, December will give a buy signal based on this historic price action, so have patience and take a multi-month buy then.
In most of those cases, the index rebounded to the previous High, so our Target will be 30975. Notice also that the 1M MACD is rising off a Bullish Cross. When formed below the 0.0 mark, this has also been a massive buy signal.
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China A50, riding the PBOC stimulus IF the monetary stimulus keep pushing Chinese stocks, we could be building a new impulse to retest the 16,500 area. If broken, it could speed up to 20,500 points.
What I find positive: lots of shorts still pressing the price to the downside, that could be gone if the price squeezed to the upside.
What I find negative: movement has been too fast, no rise-consolidation-rise patterns.
For confirmation, breakout above 14,500 (upper Mogalef band)
Markets collapse: investors flee China!The Chinese stock market is experiencing a sharp decline following a strong rally in recent weeks. On October 8, the Hang Seng Index (#HSI on FreshForex) plummeted by 9.56%, reaching 20,893 points.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks Chinese stocks traded in Hong Kong, dropped even further — by 10.9%. The CSI 300 Index of mainland China, which started the day with an 11% gain, ended with a nearly 8% loss.
The main reason for the drop is growing investor dissatisfaction with the lack of new economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government. Expectations were high, especially after the National Development and Reform Commission's press conference, where economic support was promised but no concrete actions were provided. This has heightened uncertainty in the market.
What has been done previously:
- In late September, the Chinese government announced plans to strengthen economic stimulus, promising fiscal injections and support for the real estate sector.
- The People's Bank of China lowered reserve requirements for banks, freeing up 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) for the market.
- There are plans to lower mortgage rates and the down payment for second-home purchases to a record low of 15%.
Bottom line: The market is waiting for action. Given the history of sharp declines in the Chinese market, such as in 2015 when the CSI 300 Index lost 40% in two months, the Chinese government cannot afford a similar outcome and may direct efforts to strengthen investor confidence. Since mid-September, #HSI has experienced a steady bullish trend, and our analysts believe these trends could repeat.
Hang Seng Index (HSI) Drops Nearly 10% TodayHang Seng Index (HSI) Drops Nearly 10% Today
As shown on the Hang Seng Index chart (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen), prices have fallen by almost 10% since trading began today, and the session is not over yet.
According to Reuters, bearish sentiment was driven by uncertain statements from Chinese officials regarding economic stimulus measures. This has raised doubts in the stock market about Beijing's ability to steer the world’s second-largest economy out of its most severe downturn since the global pandemic, aiming to achieve 5% growth.
Additionally, the decline may have been accelerated by a cascade of long position closures, which were opened in mid-September when the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) was in an upward trend.
Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen):
→ The upward trend (marked in blue) is still intact, although the price is now near the lower boundary, posing a real risk of a break.
→ The price failed to hold above the 22,700 level, which could act as future resistance.
→ Support may come from the psychological level of 20,000 points and the September 30 low near 20,630.
It’s possible that the lower boundary of the blue channel and the support area between 20,000 and 20,630 could help bulls offset some of today's significant decline. However, for a sustainable continuation of the upward trend on the Hang Seng Index chart (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen), the market will need clear evidence of economic stimulus from Chinese authorities.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Is a Hang Seng Revival on the Horizon?The Hong Kong Index has faced challenging years since reaching its all-time high in 2018.
The downtrend accelerated in 2021, bringing the index to a low of around 15,000.
The subsequent reversal aligned neatly with horizontal resistance and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that the bears were not finished yet.
Indeed, 2023 also saw a continued downtrend.
However, and this is crucial, the index did not make a new low. Instead, the decline halted at the strong 15,000 support level.
In early 2024, a significant break above the falling trend line was observed at the end of April. The correction that followed confirmed the broken trend line, suggesting that this breakout is genuine and indicates a long-term shift in trend.
September began with a higher low, followed by a powerful surge above the 20,000 level for the first time in over a year.
This sequence of events suggests the potential beginning of a long-term bull trend, with the possibility of the index reclaiming the 23,000 level by 2025.
For those looking to initiate a long-term buy position, there are two key levels to watch: 19,500, the former resistance level, and 18,500, which now serves as strong support.
CHINA GOING FOR IT! Until Christmas? #BlowoffTop and Recession!Breakout and retest for RSI, China breakingout after 6 long years.
This will have implications on every market, they were waiting for the FED to pull the trigger and now they can go. Game on!
#JD is going, Commoditties will go for it, except #oil maybe.
But more important, #Bitcoin will have the #BLOWOFFTOP I was looking for.
That´s the News GOODS...
The BAD News is, Recession or Crisis after it. December or March 25´as late.
Shares of Chinese Companies SurgeShares of Chinese Companies Surge
As evidenced by today’s Hang Seng chart (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen), this stock index has risen to a yearly high.
Bullish sentiment in the market is bolstered by promises from China's top leadership, including President Xi Jinping, to achieve the growth target for 2024 and to halt the decline in the real estate market.
Bloomberg News reported that China is considering injecting up to 1 trillion yuan of capital into its largest state lenders to enhance their capacity to support the recovery of the Chinese economy. This proposal is part of broader stimulus measures launched by the People’s Bank of China earlier this week.
Technical analysis of the Hang Seng index chart (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) indicates that the price is making a significant upward reversal:
→ This month, the price broke above the trendline (marked in red), which dates back to 2021.
→ Evaluating the angles of decline (indicated by grey arrows), it is evident that the rate of downward impulses has been consistently slowing over time, indicating exhaustion of selling pressure.
→ Price action in 2024 provides grounds to construct an upward channel (shown in blue). It’s possible that the upper boundary could be reached by the end of the year.
Let’s remember that we established a long-term upward channel in January of this year, and today’s price action on the Hang Seng (Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) confirms its relevance.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
HANG SENG Strong sell opportunity on recurring fractal.Hang Seng (HSI1!) closed below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday for the first time in a month and confirmed the rejection of August 30. That was a Lower High within the established Channel Down pattern that started on the May 20 High.
This Channel Down is so far following a similar structure with the one that covered the entirety of 2023. The August 30 rejection was in fact also done on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level after a -17.30% decline.
If this sequence of events continue to follow the April 17 2023 rejection, we should be expecting the new Lower Low to be formed on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is exactly on that level at 15700.
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Hang Seng bulls eye retest of 18kWe'll admit that the Hang Seng does not have the most bullish of structures among APAC indices, but it continues to defy bears with a break of key support. And if sentiment for global indices picks up as we suspect, it could pave the way for another cheeky long for Hang Seng bulls.
The index has seen three failed attempts to break beneath 17500 since late June. Sure, we saw one daily close below it, but the move was mostly reversed on Monday. A bullish divergence is also forming on the daily RSI (2), hence the bias for another crack at 18k minimum - a break above which brings the June and July highs around 18,400 into focus.
Yet as the 4-hour chart shows prices paused at the weekly pivot point with RSI (2) overbought, we'd prefer to wait to see if prices retrace within Monday's range before seeking longs. This could help improve the reward to risk ratio for bulls whilst prices hold above last week's low, with 18,000 and 18,400 in focus for upside targets.
Hang Seng _ Wedge Pattern forming, Target 1_(20694), T2_(29000)Long Term Analysis : "Wedge Pattern" forming in "Hang Seng" and down trendline is "Breakout". So market move to Bullish Trend, wait for if Retest or Trend Continuation. And the 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement price (20694), 2nd Target is Wedge Pattern Top is 29000.
After Reach the Wedge Pattern Top (29000) expect Breakout the Pattern.
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
Hang Seng Index: Home Stretch 🏁The HSI has risen slightly since Friday, which we interpret as part of the internal substructure of the turquoise wave 4. We therefore expect further sell-offs. However, it is not far to our turquoise Target Zone between 18,341 and 17,899 points. Within this range, the index should place the low and turn upwards. Subsequently, a determined rise above the resistance at 19,772 points is on the agenda, which completes the magenta-colored wave (1). Accordingly, long positions could be opened within the Zone, with stops placed around 1% below the lower edge. Should the price fall significantly below the lower edge, this will set in motion our 38% probable alternative scenario, which implies further setbacks with the magenta wave alt.(ii).
A Han Seng Index Trade Early Monday morning Hello everyone,
The markets are slightly ruffled lately and there is an opportunity to short HS50 on Monday.
Trend:
W1: Up
D1: Down
H4: Down
Moving Average:
Below the Daily MA
H4 pointing downwards
Pattern:
Gartley on M15
Strong resistance at 16450.
Target is 16000
Double top on H1 and lots of divergence
Stop loss of 40 pips and a target of 120.