9988 | Alibaba - Wave Analysis | Inverted H&S TFW Target +100%Wave analysis and chart pattern projection:
> A possible valid inversed head & shoulders pattern in weekly timeframe, potentially 2-wave correction and rebound to retest the neckline resistance for a strong breakout.
> TP Inverted H&S @ 1.618 and 2.0 fibonacci +100+%
> MACD doubled bullish divergence signal golden cross above baseline indicating bullish move.
Hang Seng HSI
Stock- MON: HSI Trend Status w/ 21 yrs backtesting, week11
2023, week 11
HSI: at 19,161
According to the latest market update, the Hang Seng Index ( HSI ) is still not in a upward trend, with a current long close at 19,161 points.
Use backtesting to evaluate and make objective trading decisions. - PresentTrading
#HSI
Hang Seng bounced strongly! Is the China bull back?Something bullish is happening in China, potentially primarily due to the reopening and all the liquidity injections by the PBoC. China never raised rates while slowly adding liquidity to markets. We saw a significant capitulation when Xi became emperor for life by removing everyone that could potentially cause trouble to him from the CCP, as well as when we first saw the first sanctions on China by the US. It's clear that the US and China are in a cold war, and the US will keep imposing sanctions on China... Many of which might come back to bite it. Now there is talk about capital controls, yet China holds many US bonds and has been part of why inflation stayed low for so long. Of course, China has many issues, but so does the US, and what they both have in common is that they will have to print a ton of money.
What's critical here is that the Hang Seng has been trending lower for a while, especially since China started taking 'back' Hong Kong, but then started bottoming around peak China fears (never reopening + Taiwan invasion). For now, an invasion seems unlikely, and all the concerns about capital controls could not have the result everyone thinks they will. The market is incredibly oversold, and Chinese investors may be forced to repatriate their capital and start investing there.
''The Hang Seng Index can be used as a bellwether for markets worldwide. If the gain in Hang Seng holds, that would be a bullish indicant for markets worldwide. If the low is violated, that would suggest continued decline in other markets as well. We say this because the late January and early February market peaks were a worldwide phenomenon. Stocks, Bonds and Commodities all peaked in tandem, suggesting a shift in the underlying perception of the fundamentals from one of continued growth and declining inflation to one of slower growth or recession accompanied by persistent inflationary pressures.''
Milton W Berg CFA
@BergMilton
I agree with Milton, and to me, this looks special. First, HSI bounced right at the Yearly pivot. The bounce came to a massive rally from the lows, which swept the double top, hit resistance, and had a decent pullback. The bounce straight into the monthly pivot, which usually acts as a magnet. So we have gone from pivot to pivot very quickly. When looking at CN50, we get an extra confirmation that something bullish is happening. Again, massive rally, significant pullback, bounce at support, reclaim yearly pivot, a break above the monthly pivot, slight pullback, and sit right above the monthly pivot. Technically both look bullish to me.
Only a close of 2% below the recent lows would make me think that the market is about to keep going lower. Until then, I assume that both these markets are in a bull market and that China isn't as uninvestable as many make it seem to be. Of course, if you are a US investor, you shouldn't be investing in China, but for most of the rest of the world, China seems fine (for now). They keep getting cheap oil from Russia, they are politically stable (nobody to go against Xi), won't invade Taiwan anytime soon (based on what they saw in Ukraine), and Japan also kept printing and didn't raise rates (capital flows into China)
Hang Seng: Wait for It… ☝️Hang Seng is still busy in the magenta-colored zone between 20 867 and 18 707 points. On the one hand, the index has slowed the descent and could very well have completed wave (4) in magenta by now, readying itself to take off. After all, the requirements for the current movement’s conclusion have already been met by touching at the magenta-colored zone. On the other hand, Hang Seng still has got some room to expand wave (4) a bit deeper and could indeed make use of the whole magenta-colored zone. As soon as this low is established, though, the index should turn upwards and climb above the resistance at 22 798 points. However, there is a 36% chance that Hang Seng could develop wave alt.A and alt.B in turquoise first, the latter leading it out of the magenta-colored zone. In that case, wave alt.C should push the index back down into this area, where it should finish wave alt.(4) in magenta as well before moving northwards again.
HSI potential for bullish continuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HSI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 19926.48, where the overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 18660.47, where the overlap resistance and 23.7% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22700.85, where the recent high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HSI potential for bullish continuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HSI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 19926.48, where the overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 18660.47, where the overlap resistance and 23.7% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22700.85, where the recent high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HSI potential for bullish continuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HSI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 19926.48, where the overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 18660.47, where the overlap resistance and 23.7% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22700.85, where the recent high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
HSI Potential for Bullish Continuation towards recent highLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HSI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 19926.48, where the overlap support and 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 18660.47, where the overlap resistance and 23.7% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22700.85, where the recent high is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Trading and Investing in HSI Followers of mine know that I am pretty bullish on HK/China stocks , ETF since last year and I have been slowly accumulating once there is a pull back.
Yesterday, FED's decision to raise rates by 25 basis points go well with the market and the stock market reciprocate in kind ! I believe the Hong Kong market will follow this rally as well in addition to the booming tourists coming from China and also the exports business of China !!!
HSI Potential for Bullish Continuation Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for HSI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 19926.48, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 18814.83, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22523.64, where the previous swing high and liquidity hotspots are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Hang Seng: Just do it 💪The chinese Index isn't kidding around when it comes to fulfilling those New Year's resolutions and is using all its power to climb all the way North. We're expecting the Hang Seng to rise further into the turquoise target zone to complete the red wave (3). After completion, the course should fall back into a correction in order to finish the red wave (3). In case the Hang Seng can't carry on with its recent upwards pulses, we're expecting it to drop below the support line at 18 917 points. This would indicate the activation of our alternative scenario with a chance of 27%.
HSI Anticipating lower high Weekly Analysis, looking for a lower high compared to 22565 with Weekly Hidden Bearish Divergence on both RSI & MACD
Using retraces for entries, tight stop at the .786 in case of possible reversal and full position at the .886
If you agree or disagree with the setup, please let me know and explain ! We're all here to learn and grow off each other!
HSI bias upside with 22k resistance10th Dec 2022
One month ago, I did mention to check on the Nov candlestick whether did the price closed above 18k.
Since Nov monthly candle closed above 18k, it is a good sign for HSI to recover and it closed near to my target of 20k last Friday.
Next resistance: 22k/23k.
Hong Kong Stock Index (The rebound is in the making)Hong Kong Stock Index (14 Nov 2022)
HK index is in the pull back phase and I reckon it shall continue for quite some time.
18,000 is a good strong resistant but the pull back down shall be mild.
The nearest strong support is 16,000 and it shall go higher and higher again.
19,000~20,000 will be the strong resistant region. Then, we will talk about what's next.
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HSI heading SouthHang Seng Index rebound should have finished around 19500. Stochastic is overbought and the rebound is still below 60 week moving average
which means the downtrend have not been changed. Property market, and the lack of factory order in China, should still hit Hong Kong economy
Next year, most of the Economy will fall into recession, even Taiwan Central Bank is expected major economies will fall into recession in 2023https://www.cbc.gov.tw/tw/cp-302-156071-41d1b-1.html