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EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 Weekly Analysis - NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback. Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure. More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase. 3. 4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. 4. As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback. We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low. If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 Weekly Analysis – US Rates/FOMCThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 18-22 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. In order for me to consider that the INT Structure Pullback is over, i need to see at least a Bearish CHoCH. So will be watching the Daily Demand Zone for possible continuation up to target he HP POI (Daily/Weekly Supply) or a Bearish CHoCH for me to start looking for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish / Continuation Phase Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High. Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
4
EURUSD 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 Weekly Analysis – US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 11-15 Mar 2024 W11 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Price swept the Liq above the Weekly demand and now targeting the Liq below the Weekly Supply for bearish continuation. Expectation will be after reaching the weekly supply is to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expected a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing Bearish continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS. After iBOS we expect a pullback and as expected price reached the supply zone above the Swing EQ, also sweeping the Liq above the Supply zone which could initiate an INT Pullback for the Bullish INT Structure. CHoCH will be the first sign for the INT Structure Pullback. 4. Be mindful that we were ranging for a period of time and price just broke that range with momentum. Most probably we will have a deep pullback phase to the daily supply before we can initiate the 4H Bearish continuation phase. Keeping my bullish bias till i see solid evidence with 4H bearish break of structure to confirm the 4H Continuation phase is starting. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 4-8 Mar 2024 W10 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 4-8 Mar 2024 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expected a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing Bearish continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be over after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
CELESTIA (TIA)Celestia is a project I am keeping a close eye on and is one of my favourite picks for the next 12-18 months. "A modular data availability network making it easy for anyone to launch their own blockchain without needing a validator set. Modular blockchains specialize and optimise to perform a specific function instead of one blockchain doing everything. The specialization of these new modular blockchains allow for breakthroughs in scalability, flexibility and interoperability enabling developers to build blockchain applications for mass adoption." This new way of approaching blockchain development and the appeal to users will no doubt make TIA a very valuable token. Having only released in Q4 of 2023 Celestia is yet to experience a full Bullrun and is currently looking to target it's ATH that was set just over one week ago. Since price discovery is not too far away this is very bullish for the token, the lack of any previous resistance areas, traders who are looking to get back to breakeven to sell their position do not exist as everyone who has invested is in profit during price discovery. In terms of HTF entries the 4H 200EMA has consistently proven to be strong support in all of TIA's history. We recently bounced off of this level which coincides with the 0.75 line while breaking the LTF downtrend soon after. TIA hasn't seen the double digit price moves that other altcoins have experienced over the weekend but it looks like we could see that this week. I would like for price to continue within this channel working up to the local high. Clear invalidation would be the loss of the 0.75 level as that would be under the 4H 200EMA as well as out of the bullish channel, price would have to be accepted at this level and not just a flash crash wick. Naturally a lot of the altcoin markets strength is tied to BTC maintaining's its strength too so any early signs that BITCOIN is weakening would also apply to TIA.
by ProR35
EURUSD 26-1 Mar 2024 W9 Weekly Analysis - US PCE/GDP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 26-1 Mar 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Daily Bearish Swing we reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone and formed a bearish iBOS confirming the Swing Pullback is over and we are Pro Bearish Swing and starting the Continuation Phase targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the iBOS we expect a Pullback. After mitigating the Daily Demand zone we formed a Bullish CHoCH which confirmed the INT Structure Pullback Phase started. Expectations is set now for the INT Structure Pullback Phase to continue to the INT EQ up to the Daily/Weekly Supply. But be mindful that the Swing continuation can continue at any time. There is no HP POI for Shorts up to the Daily/Weekly Supply Zones. IMO Price could continue up to sweep LIQ from the INT Momentum Phase that leaded to the iBOS before we continue down. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started. 3. After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback. Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback. We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH. Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price. As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario. Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 Weekly Analysis - EU CPI/PMI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Pullback 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. Price confirmed a Bearish iBOS and this signals the Swing continuation phase. 3. After the iBOS we expect a Pullback. Price is currently within the Daily demand on the left which is partially mitigated and approaching a Weekly Demand Zone which could provide reaction to facilitate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback. Bullish CHoCH will confirm INT Low and INT Structure Pullback maybe starting. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish INT Pullback Phase 2. After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback. As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation. Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High. Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 12-16 Feb 2024 W7 Weekly Analysis - US CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 12-16 Feb 2024 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pron Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached INT Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. We still in the Daily Pullback Phase and price reached the last Daily demand zone. As Swing is Bearish, Expectations that there is a high probability that we will take the Strong INT low. On the Flip Side (Bullish) we could hold the current Demand/INT Low to target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price had mitigated the adjusted Supply zone. OF is bearish in the INT structure pullback Phase and is so corrective in nature. (Supply in Control) 4. Price mitigated the Daily Demand and failed to break the Strong INT Low (Micro pips below). Is it a Sweep of LIQ? In order to confirm the Sweep, i need to see at least a Bullish CHoCH. 5. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Swing Discount / Possible LiQ Sweep 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS failed to continue Bullish and we changed to Bearish INT Structure which means that the Swing Pullback Phase is not over. We are also within the 4H Swing Demand/Discount so keep in mind that at anytime the Swing Continuation could start. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. Bearish momentum still active with a Bearish iBOS. With the current series of bearish INT Structures, there is a HP that the 4H Swing Low will go as there is no much demand zones and the current demand is fully mitigated and every move up is just a sell opportunity. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback. Price failed to close below the 4H Low which could be a sweep of LIQ. As per previous days analysis, i was waiting to see at least a bullish CHoCH in order to see a possibility of a Pullback of the 4H Bearish iBOS and the 4H Swing is still Holding. From the Fractal CHoCHs happening after Sweeping the LiQ below the 4H Swing Low showing that demand in control. We are currently in the Pullback Phase of the Bearish iBOS and expectations to continue Bullish till the INT Structure EQ and maybe extending to the INT Extreme Supply. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 5-9 Feb 2024 W6 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-9 Feb 2024 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ (Pro Swing + Pron Internal) 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and we are currently targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. We still in the Daily Pullback Phase and price reached the last Daily demand zone. As Swing is Bearish, Expectations that there is a high probability that we will take the Strong INT low. On the Flip Side (Bullish) we could hold the current Demand/INT Low to target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price had mitigated the adjusted Supply zone. OF is bearish in the INT structure pullback Phase and is so corrective in nature. (Supply in Control) 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bearish In Swing Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS failed to continue Bullish and we changed to Bearish INT Structure which means that the Swing Pullback Phase is not over. We are also within the 4H Swing Demand/Discount so keep in mind that at anytime the Swing Continuation could start. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. Bearish momentum still active with a Bearish iBOS. With the current series of bearish INT Structures, there is a HP that the 4H Swing Low will go as there is no much demand zones and the current demand is in mitigation and every move up is just a sell opportunity. After the iBOS we would expect a pullback and the current CHoCH is the INT High. So either price engineer a new CHoCH or it will target the INT High (i Doubt we have catalyst for that this week). I'll be waiting 15m to align bullish to play the 4H iBOS pullback if possible. Other wise waiting for better Short opportunity from the 4H Supply. Lets wait for the LTF to guide us. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 29-2 Feb 2024 W5 Weekly Analysis - EUR CPI - US FOMC/NFPThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 29-2 Feb 2024 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ INT Extreme 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. We still in the Daily Pullback Phase and price reached the last Daily demand zone. As Swing is Bearish, Expectations that there is a high probability that we will take the Strong INT low. On the Flip Side (Bullish) we could hold the current Demand/INT Low to target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price had mitigated the adjusted Supply zone (Was mapping only the Inside Bar) that caused the bearish CHoCH and continued down. Current PA is so corrective and doesn't have any momentum. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS. This Bullish iBOS indicates that the 4H Swing Pullback had finished and we are starting the 4H Bullish Swing Continuation Phase to target the Weak 4H Swing High. But be mindful that the OF is so bearish in the Swing Pullback Phase and Demand is not holding and we see momentum. And with the Daily Bearish Swing there is a high probability that we will continue down. So be cautious with the Bullish Structures as it could be only Fake-Out. More price development needed with the current PA. 3. Bullish INT Structure after mitigating the 4H/Daily demand Zones. As we are starting the Swing Continuation Phase, this INT Structure Low is the last structure point to hold for the 4H Swing Continuation Phase. We have seen that Price swept the LIQ below the Strong INT Low and created a Bullish CHoCH but still Supply in Control. If the last demand created from the LIQ sweep failed and we confirmed a close below the INT Low, My expectations will be that the Daily Swing Continuation in Play and we will take the Current 4H Swing low and Daily INT Low. This week is so volatile as we have EUR Zone GDP and CPI also USA FOMC and NFP. So be cautious this week. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
HTF Markup 29-2 Feb 2024 W5 - XAU, DXY, GBP, JPY, AUD, NAS, BTCThis is a Weekly post for several pairs showing HTF Markup only using Smart Money Concept (SMC) on Weekly, Daily and 4H Time Frames. Feedback will be highly appreciated. U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY Weekly: Daily: 4H: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: British Pound / U.S. Dollar – FX:GBPUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen FOREXCOM:USDJPY Weekly: Daily: 4H: Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar FOREXCOM:AUDUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H: US Nas 100 OANDA:NAS100USD Weekly: Daily: 4H: Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD Weekly: Daily: 4H:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 Weekly Analysis - EUR Rate DecisionThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 22-26 Jan 2024 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ INT Extreme 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Price managed to get out of the range and approaching a Daily demand zone. We didn't mitigate it yet but price is bouncing up from the Swing EQ. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish OF Bullish In Discount 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged. OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing. Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not. 3. Swing extreme 4H demand and Daily for possible continuation to the upside. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
XAU/USD 15-19 Jan 2024 Daily analysis-> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. -> Has reached EQ. (internal continuation phase) As price has reached 50% EQ there is a high probability price will target weak internal high. Currently price has reached below the 50% (discount) and internal EQ buyers stepped in. Price printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming buyer interest. Expectation: Price to target weak internal high. Current demand zone to be respected. In the event the demand zone is not respected and price prints a bearish CHoCH (indicated) price will most likely target previous low.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15-19 Jan 2024 Weekly Analysis This is my weekly analysis for XAU/USD: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. -> Did not reach EQ. As price has not yet reached 50% EQ and price is still in pullback phase in the premium swing/internal, therefore, I would be looking to short. Price has rejected the Weekly weak Swing High but respected the weekly strong internal high. Price wicked in excess of Weekly Swing high but failed to close above. This presumably was to sweep liquidity above the strong internal high. Bullish pullback following bearish iBOS now most likely complete and will target weak internal low. Bearish CHoCH will be the first indication that sweep of liquidity of internal high is confirmed bearish swing pullback has initiated. As mentioned last week, request to LTF's would be to shift bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
1
EURUSD 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 15-19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low. 3. With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from. Still the OF is Bullish within the Pullback Phase and the Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign to confirm the Bearish continuation from the Weekly Supply. Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bullish Reached Extreme 2. Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in, the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS. For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low. But currently the INT Structure still Bullish so there is also a possibility that we can still continue up. Following the recent INT Structure, Price swept LIQ from the recent Daily Demand zone and reached the INT Structure EQ where we can expect demand to step in and target the Weak INT High. Lets wait to see more price development and LTF to guide us. 3. Previous week PA was ranging within the INT Structure EQ. Crossroads now for price. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish Reached EQ 2. Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback. After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH. Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones creating Bullish CHoCHs. Still the OF is bearish within the Swing Pullback phase and the current PA is ranging, but as it's the pullback phase we would expect a Swing bullish continuation from current area or from the Swing extreme. With the latest Bullish CHoCH, if the demand holds, we could see a Swing continuation to target the current INT High. If demand fails i would expect price continuing to the Swing extreme. Lets wait for LTF confirmations and price development. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek