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EURUSD 20 - 24 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - FOMC WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting and now price is targeting the CHoCH and the liquidity areas. 3. Price currently within a Weekly Supply (FLIP) Zone which could be the zone to continue down. But it's not a high probability one as price didn't sweep any liquidity after the Bearish iBOS and most probably this supply zone will fail and we will sweep the Liquidity above it to the next and extreme supply zone of the bearish INT Structure. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift above the INT High. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Be mindful that price OF is so bullish and most probably this INT high will fail as it will be the Liquidity on the Weekly and we could tap into the Daily supply above to start the pullback and maybe the bearish of Daily/Weekly structure. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish 2. Bullish Swing continuation happened as expected and we created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we are expecting a pullback and first sign will be a CHoCH. We did a CHoCH but it was only a Sweep of Liquidity and even the 15m didn't close below the Structure. 3. After reaching the Daily/4H Supply, price started to show some reaction. The CHoCH that happened just confirmed the INT High and it was only Sweep of Liquidity due to the aggressive bullish move. Currently we have a Bullish iBOS and again we are expecting a Pullback which could start from the current 4H Supply or i prefer to Sweep the Liquidity above the Weekly supply and we will be starting a nice pullback to the 4H Swing and it could evolve to a Weekly / Daily bearish continuation. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 13 - 17 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - CPI WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 13 - 17 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg. Price didn't tap it yet and was close to it and started to move down. Possibly that price had pulled back and in the continuation down which i don't prefer. Instead i prefer that price is targeting the Liq above the Flip zone for better move to the down side. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish OF Bullish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation. Price swept the Liq above the Daily Flip zone and and didn't tap the Weekly/Daily supply zones yet. The pullback after sweeping the liq is currently in progress and price could pullback to the daily demand before continuing up. I don't like price to deeply pullback as it's for me a sign of weakness, but f we did pullback deep i'll watch how price will develop to continue bullish if possible. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish INT Bullish OF Bearish 2. After a BOS we expect a pullback, As we did a CHoCH on the 4H and iBOS on the 15m the pullback started and tapped into a 4H Demand Zone. Price had swept the Liq below the 4H zone and we could be now targeting the previous high formed. Failure to break the previous high will put us in a deeper pullback within the 4H Bullish structure. Always will let the LTF (15m) to guide me. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
BREN - VELOCITY PLAYI have a position October 27, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk pivot point 2. The stock offers the first buyable base after an IPO 3. It skyrockets huge >300% immediately after it went public 4. High relative strength, outperforming the general market 5. The stock is moving on its own universe, marching to its own drummer 6. Volume dries up during the pause 7. Big volume on the breakout Flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 30% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This is a power play type of setup, where velocity begets velocity. I like to see if it can hold up and move higher from here.
BLong
by rifqonr
EURUSD 6 - 10 Nov 2023 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 6 - 10 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish Last week we had bounced nicely continuing the pullback after the iBOS and we are currently approaching a Weekly Supply/Flip Zone. 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting, price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF turned bullish to facilitate the Swing pullback and most probably we will continue bullish till we sweep Liq on the lift which reside below the Weekly and Daily Supply zones before we see bearish continuation. 3. Weekly/Daily supply zone and the extreme of the bearish INT Structure which could provide a short opportunity if we are going to react from these zone. Let's watch LTF to guide us for potential shorts. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bullish INT 2. As expected, price continued bullish and did a bullish BOS after sweeping the Liq from the previous Swing lows. After a BOS we expect a pullback, but be mindful that all TFs are bullish in Structure or OF so most probably that bullishness will continue. Will be looking for pullback to start once we tap into the Weekly/ 4H Supply zones that is price is approaching currently. Will wait for LTFs to guide for maybe the Swing pullback is starting. 3. 4H Demand zone could hold the price to continue up after sweeping liquidity on the left. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 30 Oct - 3 Nov 2023 Weekly Analysis - FOMC/NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 30 Oct - 3 Nov 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish. 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount. 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting, price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish after reaching the daily flip zone. Expectation is that we will continue the bearish OF but be mindful that the pullback will start at anytime. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bullish INT 2. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback and a CHoCH is the first sign that the Swing pullback maybe starting. Price pulled back to almost to the swing extreme and we would expect the 4H swing low to hold and we will target the weak Swing High. 3. 4H extreme demand is the last zone for price to mitigate if it failed at current price to continue up. This is the last option for longs for the current bullish swing. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
bearish retest of top rangeThings are moving fast. Too fast. The last time things moved this fast was before a big blowout. Looking to get in to a 1x short over the next weeks depending on how chart looks. Maybe we see a wick up on the next monthly candle and then retrace? Good luck everyone, good luck to the people who are buying this to hold for longer. It's not back sorry this is not how bull markets start or are being made, .. this is the first lower high and everyone who is still holding this ponzi or still desperate enough to trade this day by day and follow altponzis gets exited. If youre in a rush to make money youre in a rush to lose money. patient.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ellyn2121
EURUSD 23-27 Oct 2023 Weekly Analysis This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 23-27 Oct 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bearish INT 2. INT Low is confirmed after a fractal CHoCH and we are now in the INT Bearish structure pullback phase. Demand is holding and Supply is failing which means that the INT Pullback is still active and we may reach the INT Extreme Supply zone. But be mindful that the swing is bullish and we maybe targeting the Weak Swing high. 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs. And current PA is showing that demand zones are holding well and we are targeting the Weak Swing High. 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting and yesterday price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish so we don't have confirmation yet that we are starting the pullback for the recent Bearish BOS 3. As on the weekly, price swept Liq and tapped in a weekly demand zone but we didn't mitigate the daily demand zone below 4H Chart Analysis 1. Bullish Swing Bearish INT 2. INT Low is confirmed after a fractal CHoCH and we are now in the INT Bearish structure pullback phase. Demand is holding and Supply is failing which means that the INT Pullback is still active and we may reach the INT Extreme Supply zone. But be mindful that the swing is bullish and we maybe targeting the Weak Swing high. 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs. And current PA is showing that demand zones are holding well and we are targeting the Weak Swing High. 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
SGER - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today October 12, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry 2. The stock went up >300% in less than 8 weeks 3. A fractal of small cup with handle during the pause 4. The pause has less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Strong close with huge volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment 8. Theme: Power Play setups work fine thus far The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 35% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This stock is so strong, a Power Play on top of a Power Play. I like to see some follow-throughs in the upcoming days.
IDX:SGERLong
by rifqonr
AMMN - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today September 29, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point 2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Good close and decent volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 36% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This is a Velocity Play of a current IPO stock. I expect to see some positive price action in the upcoming days.
ALong
by rifqonr
EURUSD 16-20 Oct 2023 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 16-20 Oct 2023 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Weekly 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the iBOS we expect pullback, price tapped into Liq and a demand zone which showed a nice reaction that the pullback of the internal bearish structure maybe starting but still the OF is bearish 3. Potential flip supply zone to continue the INT bearish structure and Swing bearish leg But be mindful that the INT structure doesn't have IDM and the zone/CHoCH could be used as IDM and we will be in the Swing Discount 4. Extreme supply within the bearish INT structure with Liq below it. A potential zone located in the Swing premium for continuation down Daily 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish 2. After BOS we expect a pullback CHoCH will be the first sign of maybe pullback is starting and yesterday price did a CHoCH confirming INT Low formation. OF still bearish so we don't have confirmation yet that we are starting the pullback for the recent Bearish BOS 3. As on the weekly, price swept Liq and tapped in a weekly demand zone but we didn't mitigate the daily demand zone below Daily 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish 1. Swing Bullish INT Bearish 2. Price swept Liq from the previous INT low and broken and closed above the high forming another iBOS 3. Price made a Bullish Swing BOS and we expecting after a break of structure a Swing pullback As price turned bearish, and reached EQ, our expectations now that Demand zones in Discount will provide a good opportunity for longs 4. Daily and 4H Supply zone that current price action is targeting and could provide reaction for shorts opportunity using Entry Model with LTF confirmation 5. Price could be targeting the Liq. below the 4H previous INT Low above the 4H extreme demand zone for longs
by Amr-Sadek
BTC: BIG PICTURE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow. Welcome to this important BTC update. BTC is ranging between FWB:25K -$30k for more than 200 days and currently, it is trading around $26.7k level. Now, one of the biggest questions in everyone's mind is where we are heading after these 2 years of the bear market. I'll try to explain in this post. BTC made a low of $15.5k last year in Nov. month and Imo we won't see that level again. As you know halving is after 6 months and before that, we might see a drop up to FWB:23K -$24k (as you see in the chart). Perma Bears wants a new low or big crash before the halving and Perma Bulls wants a continuous pump from here but IMO market maker disappoint both of them. I'm betting on a move towards $ 23.5k-$ 24.5k zone and then a move upwards (for a new uptrend). Mind it that a wick can even go below $23.5k however weekly candle close will likely happen within this zone itself. What do you think about this? Share your thoughts in the comment section. Hope this chart helps you to take better trade decisions. Thank You!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by CoreCrypto1
PANI - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today September 25, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry point 2. The stock is up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. Corrected the least during the pause, less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. High alpha stock with a low standard deviation 6. Good close on the breakout The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 36.7% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. I'm still trading small with a pilot position until I see some trades work out fine.
PLong
by rifqonr
1
KAYU - POWER PLAYI bought my positions today October 6, 2023 The reasons: 1. Low-risk entry with a crisp pivot point 2. The stock went up >100% in less than 8 weeks 3. VCP characteristics during the pause 4. The pause has less than 25% correction 4. Volume dries up as a sign of less supply coming to the market 5. Good close and Huge volume on the breakout 6. A high alpha stock with a low standard deviation 7. One of the leaders in this market environment The flaw: The market is still in a hard-penny environment with only 31% of total stocks above the 200-day MA. This stock is so strong, a Power Play on top of a Power Play. I like to see some follow-throughs in the upcoming days.
KLong
by rifqonr
SPX / USD - JOURNAL - ACTIVE SERIESThis is an ACTIVELY managed BLOG CONTRIBUTION, which will be UPDATED DAILY with comments and trade ideas. | This way, I generate a SERIES for you, where you, as a reader, can - ACTIVELY - learn from the analyses, decisions, & interactions | In the following analysis, I highlight a possible SHORT / LONG scenario in the > $FX:SPXUSD < We focus on the technical KEY points and KEY areas which will be relevant in the next hours & days. The highlighted scenario is supported by the higher timeframes, which we are ACTIVELY monitoring in an existing post. This can be found under the following name: " SPX / USD - HTF JOURNAL - WEEKLY SERIES " (Listed under this post at "RELATED IDEAS") As soon as the temporary direction of the price emerges, I will update the post accordingly, with entries, stop-loss & take-profit levels. How do I save an idea so that I receive a notification when it’s updated? MARKED POINTS OF INTENTION (POI) We are at a superior "Point of Interest", which are the "Higher Low" from 2020 (1.06359) & the "Higher Low" from 1991 (1.06030). We are at a superior "Point of Interest," which is the "Lower High" from 2022 (4325.2). This point will almost certainly be fought over in the "medium and smaller time intervals" (intraday and day) and plays a decisive role in the following direction of movement. (SHORT) Should this point be successfully broken, then the next approach target would be the "Higher High" from 2023 (4194.2). (LONG) If the market can recapture these levels, then the next "HTF Resistance Level", the "Higher High" from 2023 (4463.4), will come into play. In the smaller timeframes, a consistent momentum rise can be seen, which, however, does not have a heavy weighting in the valuation because we get a new "NEWS event" almost every day this week. For this reason, it becomes very volatile in the market, and every day it requires a re-evaluation. # Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = LONG & SHORT Z - Don't let the noise blind you; recognize its face and use it for yourself - Z | ZielIstDieAutarkie | If this idea and explanation have added value to you, I would appreciate a COMMENT or BOOST very much. Thank you and happy trading! Z
OANDA:SPX500USD
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
EUR / USD - JOURNAL - ACTIVE SERIESThis is an ACTIVELY managed BLOG CONTRIBUTION, which will be UPDATED DAILY with comments and trade ideas. | This way, I generate a SERIES for you, where you, as a reader, can - ACTIVELY - learn from the analyses, decisions, & interactions | In the following analysis, I highlight a possible SHORT / LONG scenario in the > FX:EURUSD < We focus on the technical KEY points and KEY areas which will be relevant in the next hours & days. The highlighted scenario is supported by the higher timeframes, which we are ACTIVELY monitoring in an existing post. This can be found under the following name: " EUR / USD - HTF JOURNAL - WEEKLY SERIES " (Listed under this post at "RELATED IDEAS") As soon as the temporary direction of the price emerges, I will update the post accordingly, with entries, stop-loss & take-profit levels. How do I save an idea so that I receive a notification when it’s updated? MARKED POINTS OF INTENTION (POI) We are at a superior "Point of Interest", which are the "Higher Low" from 2020 (1.06359) & the "Higher Low" from 1991 (1.06030). These points are just fought over in the "higher time intervals" (day or week) and are decisive for the following movement direction. (SHORT) If these two points are successfully broken, then the next approach target would be the "Higher Low" from 2023 (1.05160). (LONG) If the market can hold these levels, then the next "HTF Resistance Level", the "Lower High" from 2022 (1.07868), will come into play. In the smaller timeframes, a consistent momentum rise can be seen, which, however, does not have a heavy weighting in the valuation because we get a new "NEWS event" almost every day this week. For this reason, it becomes very volatile in the market, and every day it requires a re-evaluation. # Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = LONG & SHORT Z - Don't let the noise blind you; recognize its face and use it for yourself - Z | ZielIstDieAutarkie | If this idea and explanation have added value to you, I would appreciate a COMMENT or BOOST very much. Thank you and happy trading! Z
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
6
DXY / USD - JOURNAL - ACTIVE SERIESThis is an ACTIVELY managed BLOG CONTRIBUTION, which will be UPDATED DAILY with comments and trade ideas. | This way, I generate a SERIES for you, where you, as a reader, can - ACTIVELY - learn from the analyses, decisions, & interactions | In the following analysis, I highlight a possible SHORT / LONG scenario in the > TVC:DXY < We focus on the technical KEY points and KEY areas which will be relevant in the next hours & days. The highlighted scenario is supported by the higher timeframes, which we are ACTIVELY monitoring in an existing post. This can be found under the following name: " DXY - HTF JOURNAL - WEEKLY SERIES " (Listed under this post at "RELATED IDEAS") As soon as the temporary direction of the price emerges, I will update the post accordingly, with entries, stop-loss & take-profit levels. How do I save an idea so that I receive a notification when it’s updated? MARKED POINTS OF INTENTION (POI) We are at a superior "Point of Interest", which is the "Higher Low" from the year 2000 (105,560). This point is just fought over in the "higher time intervals" (day or week) and is decisive for the following direction of movement. (LONG) If this point is successfully broken, the next target would be the "Higher High" from 1989 (106,560). (SHORT) If the market cannot conquer this level, then the next "HTF Support Level", the "Higher High" from 1999 (104,880), will come into play. In the smaller timeframes, a consistent momentum loss can be seen, which, however, does not have a heavy weighting in the valuation because we get a new "NEWS event" almost every day this week. For this reason, it becomes very volatile in the market, and every day it requires a re-evaluation. # Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = LONG & SHORT Z - Don't let the noise blind you; recognize its face and use it for yourself - Z | ZielIstDieAutarkie | If this idea and explanation have added value to you, I would appreciate a COMMENT or BOOST very much. Thank you and happy trading! Z
TVC:DXY
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
2