HTF
VOPAK. Two week TF. Very nice range. Having a look at the two weekly TF we see a lovely trading range with PA bouncing nicely between low 30's heading towards the 50's, this has been here since 2010. Indicators on this TF look bottomed and riddled alive with bullish divergence. MFI trending upwards contrary to the price, likewise fisher and MACD. We are also watching closely for a bull cross on the MACD. All situated nicely in the demand zone. As always DYOR.
Galapagos is it time to buy ? DYOR NFAHealthcare has been getting slapped as of late but there are some fine investment opportunities. Galapagos is one I have been keeping an eye on. It has formed a broadening wedge on the long term and holding nicely on the support line. Fisher on the monthly frame has crossed up and MACD is showing signs of levelling off. LTF, day especially is showing signs of a nice bottom.
XRP - DailyUpdate on the downside bias for crypto in general, currently tapping into a bearish trendline.
Also a potential fibonacci in play with the 78.6% retracement lining up with the resistance.
Rejection at resistance would also create a head and shoulder formation, for another confluence.
Eyes on XRP rn, dont think we will break above the $1.30 region for now but can always be proved wrong.
HT/USDT capitulation bottom 2021HT/USDT IS TOKEN Huobi Exchange which got dumped really hard when it stopped serving chinese customers. But price held the lows of june and made sweep with a wick but didn't closed any HTF candle below those low and made multiple divergence on multiple time frames. Also the sell volume got absorbed. In my opinion it will rally back upto 14$ and if it breaks resistance may aim for ATH levels.
Bitcoin: The final bossBitcoin has recently finally broken out of the 42-30k range with a nice price increase afterwards. Currently facing HTF resistance @48-50K, we brake this big resistance we could see new ATH's. If we get rejected hard we are back inside the range of 42-30k again and we consolidates some more.
Bullish scenario: Weekly closes above 20W and hold it as support
Bearish scenario: Rejection and lose the 20W
Both scenario's are not that bad if you look at it as an investement perspective.
BTC - Weekly Short TradeCurrently at 78.6% fibonacci retracement, should this hold on the higher timeframes I would expect a downturn from here.
Lower timeframes look good, Daily closes on or around the retracement around $57K is what im expecting.
This could be pricing in some negative news coming in soon, around the 15th - 18th October with the US Government running out of money.
GBPJPY - 4-8 Oct Weekly PlanGBPJPY - 4-8 Oct Weekly Plan
Monthly:
With Sept close bearish below recent monthly support at 151 and Monthly resistance from April 2018 at 150.50, I would expect more down side continuing the current bearish pressure.
Weekly:
Previous weekly solid bearish close confirms the bearish pressure on GBPJPY and any pullback failing to create new high and get rejected from recent resistance. Looking for this weekly candle to have more to the down side continuing the previous week bearish momentum. A weekly close below 149 needed to confirm a solid bearish momentum and a deep fall is under the way.
Daily:
Bearish structure is respected every time we have a bounce from 149 with a LH formation which confirms the bearish momentum we are in since we reached yearly high at 156.
A range is established and became clear on GBPJPY at 153 range high and 149/148.50 as range low. A break of that range needed to have a clear direction away from the current range that is shrinking every month.
Friday daily close is solid bullish bouncing from 149 support, still early for looking for longs until we have a HH/HL formation on daily. Every bounce from support is for me an opportunity to look for shorts are resistance areas as long we don’t have a HH formation.
News:
No major news for GBP this week, some for JPY. But the main is NFP on Friday. So be cautious for moves prior to NFP day in preparation/anticipation/ repositioning of big players.
Note:
I was watching GBPUSD lately for correlation with GBPJPY, GBPUSD broken a HTF structure and looking now if it did hold below 1.36 for a deep move to the down side which I think it will be the trigger for GBPJPY for breaking 148.50 for a deep move.
Daily Chart:
GBPJPY
GBPJPY 19 - 24 Sept Outlook and Trade PlanGBPJPY 19 - 24 Sept Outlook and Trade Plan
Structure:
Weekly closed Solid Bearish
Daily Solid Bearish LH/LL
4H Bearish (First break of bullish structure)
Nothing major changed from last week outlook except that we managed to close below 151 after we formed HH last week but failed to hold the bullish structure and on Friday we had formed LH on 4H after retesting the broken structure.
My Trade Opportunities:
If we managed to respect the broken range low and price forms resistance below 151.20, i'll be comfort for shorts below 151.00 targeting the lows created any may be continuation.
If we failed to stay below 151.20 and price start holding above, i'll stand aside till we clear and hold above 153 as price failed since July to close above.
News:
FOMC and GBP Rate decision week. So map your news times and try not to hold trades during news time.
Wishing all a good trading week!
GBPJPY
GBPJPY 13 - 17 Sept Outlook and Trade PlanGBPJPY 13 - 17 Sept Outlook and Trade Plan
Structure:
Weekly closed indecision in range
Daily Bullish
4H Bullish
We had formed HH on Friday, and currently we are retesting last 2 weeks range.
My Trade Opportunities:
If we managed to respect previous week range, I'll be comfort for longs above 152.20 targeting recent highs and possible continuation.
If we failed to respect previous week range low, I'll be comfort with shorts on resistance formation below 151.40 putting in consideration 151 level as a critical level to watch reactions once reached.
News:
GBP is having very important news on Tuesday, Wednesday and Friday. So map news time on your chart.
Wishing all a good trading week!
4H Chart:
GBPJPY
Possible High Tight Flag set-upIMINT (Spotlight stock market Sweden) made a breakout from a cup and has since the low of the cup risen almost 90%. This is just below the ideal minimum of 100% of a high tight flag set-up. The pole of the flag was formed in 8 weeks with good volume on the way up. The flag is currently forming and is in its third week with so far significantly lower volume than during the rise. Current correction in the flag is around 15%. I currently see two possible entries.
Entry 1:
By checking with the daily graph there is a small top at 73 on the first of september. If price rises above this point on good volume an early entry could be possible.
Entry 2:
If price breaks the high of the flag 76.8 on good volume this presents a clear entry.
I'm already in this stock since the breakout from the cup and I'm looking to add at a breakout from the flag. I do not have a set price target but will instead let price, volume and moving averages guide profit taking.
EURUSD HTF forecastHi guys. The HTF price action to me is looking very bullish. That said, to generate the momentum needed to get there- we'll need a few pullbacks along the way. If you know how to trade the lower timeframes then these counter-trend pullbacks could offer up some great risk to reward potential. If you don't, perhaps sticking with the HTF trend here might suit you best. Either way.. keep putting in the work! no one else is going to do it for you ~Momentum
GBPJPY 30 Aug - 3 Sept Outlook and Trade PlanIt's NFP Week!!
1- Monthly structure still holding bullish and bouncing from 148.50 level. We are having 3 bearish candles since reaching year high at 156. This causing GBPJPY any up move is treated as a pullback until we have a close above 153 for the bullish momentum continuation.
2- Weekly is ranging between 148.50/153.40 with previous weeks are showing bearish structure within the range. Until we have a close above 153, GBPJPY will be bearish and any up move will be treated as pullback. Previous week was bullish but failed to close above 151.50/67 which is previous support, a close above it can give a nice push to retest 153.
3- Daily structure still bearish after reaching yearly high with LL/LH formation. Last support formed looks to be a double bottom which pushed price to retest above 151 and barely closed above it. Friday push failed to close above the recent resistance at 151.40. Until we have a daily close above the recent resistance, another push to the down side will be in play. A close above 151.40 will give a nice push to retest 152 with consideration to 151.67 the Weekly and daily support level currently acting as resistance.
I’ll be looking to the following:
Long: a support formation above 151.40 targeting 151.67/152
Short: A close below 150.50 will confirm the bearish momentum continuation for a retest to 150/149.50
News:
Its NFP week on Friday, so expect the unexpected till Friday
GBP: Wednesday and Friday will have important news
JPY: Monday and Tuesday will have important news
HTF LONG - 0.6969 ETHBTC coming at yaCombination of fractal behavior and 3 years of consolidation is about to send Russia to the moon. Let's aim for that top trend line resistance. I know what the drawing says, but 0.6969 or 0.69420 ETHBTC is about where we should end the run.
Next major correction... late July after a DeFi summer. Perhaps a sell the news event when EIP1559 comes out? Maybe the market sells on Ethlon Musk buying into $ETH after PoS, expecting him to talk shit about it a week later on Twitter. Can we rule anything out at this point?
Following this as my guide until there's a major deviation.
BTC price reversal: comparisonThis could be nothing. Perhaps too simplistic, but the recent rally ending in May looks eerily similar to this recent run. Comparing 1D between FEB and MAY with 12h between July and now. No Elliot/Wyckoff stuff here, simply annotating the tops for comparison. Apart from the price forming a very similar pattern, notice how the volume on both is decreasing and how similarly RSI is printed below their respective waves on both timeframes.
I'd be looking for one or all of these to happen on the 12h in the next days/weeks:
RSI crashing below 50
Break in market structure - forming a lower low
RSI failing to break back above 50 - failing to re-establish the uptrend
Forming a lower high (D) (ideally after LL is formed)
If this would play out, it would support my previously shared long-term view on the weekly.
XRP - Weekly SellsComplete bias for this pair, this fib has played out so far from the first retracement to $1.60 - $1.70
After retracing to the 61.8% & 78.6% retracements we saw the -27 extension hit around $0.58.
We have now seen another pullback this time to the 38.2% retracement,
Solid candle closes at this level on the HTF (Weekly), I am expecting this to hold up with the help of the trendline.
What goes against this bias is the PayPal news that came out today.
I have taken a % off the table and am happy if we continue higher or reverse from here.
The target of $0.30 - $0.20 is possible with the help of the -61.8% extension and the trendline on the HTF.
GBPJPY 23-27 August Weekly outlook and Trade PlanGBPJPY
1- Monthly looking heavily bearish and the close of this monthly candle will be very important for the bullish structure as if we closed below 151 this will be a confirmation for break of structure.
2- Weekly solid bearish close 2 support levels 151.50 and 149.70 confirming bearish momentum continuation. Currently GBPJPY is at the weekly range low since March 21 which is a critical zone that price always bounce from. A close below that range will confirm that the bullish trend is over and we could be preparing for a deeper correction to the down side, also that close will lead the monthly candle to confirm break of bullish structure. On the other side, a support formation above the weekly low will be a counter trend trade opportunity for longs on anticipation that the previous rejections from the weekly low are still in play for a move to the up side that is limited to 151/151.50 for the current bearish momentum continuation.
3- Daily structure continuing the bearish momentum that was built up during every bounce from a new low created. A resistance formation below the weekly range low will be required for shorts targeting 147.40. A higher support formation above 149.65 will be required for any pullback to 151/151.50.
Currently I’m looking for the following opportunities:
1- Possible longs on support formation above Weekly lows targeting 151/151.50
2- Possible shorts on resistance formation below weekly lows targeting 148.30/147.40
News:
This week we have important news for GBP only on Monday by 9:30 and JPY on Wednesday and Friday. Map your news time in your daily plans.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Chart: