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Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis: 1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ): - The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal. - As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum. 2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures: - Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea. Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers. - The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal. 3. Liquidity Zones in Play: - HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone. - 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown. - This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement. 4. Breakdown Entry and Structure: - Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase. - Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs. - Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Key Takeaways: - This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move. - By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals. Educational Insights: - Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context. - Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements. - Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries. - Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
EUR/USD shorts to take key levels of liquidity belowI am expecting EUR/USD shorts this week as the Euro tends to align with the pound. overall from my HTF analysis the euro is bearish but we can expect price to retrace in order to further push down. However, this week we see one of two options, price either pushing up to take the ASH created from market open before continuing in the downtrend from the 45min supply. The second option price will push up to the 4h supply, validating the 2h demand that lays below ensuring price pushes up which will be it's HTF retracement before price overall comes to the downside. we will see how price plays out this week from market open and its intentions will become slightly clearer on Monday and we will then better understand if price is ready to make its retracement or price wishes to continue down further.
Short
by JamelCapital
XAU sells to push lower?We have surprisingly been seeing a steady ongoing short of Gold over the past weeks and anticipate it to continue pushing lower to the downside. We have two scenarios that could play out this week: Scenario A being price pushes down taking the ASL from last week and reacting from the daily demand zone to push up. However, I don't believe that this will have gold pushing past the previous high but rather grabbing liquidity in order to continue in it's downtrend. Scenario B we see market open price may validate the CHOCH to the downside before taking the ASH and the consolidation that's created pools of liquidity to both the upside and the downside and reacting from the 3H supply zone and continue melting taking liquidity from below that has been building up over the past months.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JamelCapital
NZD/USD Insight: High-Probability Targets for the Week AheadAnalysis: From the HTF Weekly Chart, NZD/USD highlights critical price action after a long-term sell-side liquidity raid at the equal lows. A recent bullish candle close above the last down candle and the swept lows suggests potential upward momentum, confirming a likely retracement or continuation higher. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Target: - Buyside liquidity at 0.60364 (minimum target). Potential Reversal Zones: - Bearish breaker at 0.61600, reinforced by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 0.61077, making this breaker a high-probability resistance zone. Downside Potential: - If price reacts at the bearish breaker, anticipate a move lower targeting sell-side liquidity at 0.57720, which aligns with the higher timeframe structure. Price dynamics will heavily depend on how price reacts to intermediate levels, particularly the bearish breaker and its confluence with the FVG. Conclusion: - Short-term: Expect price to reach 0.60364. - Medium-term: A reaction at 0.61600 could lead to a reversal targeting 0.57720. - Always trade with confirmation at these key zones.
Long
by INSIDER_INTEL
2
Understanding ICT Bullish Mitigation BlockA Bullish ICT Mitigation Block is a concept from Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. It forms at the end of a bearish trend when the price reaches a strong bullish institutional reference point, such as a bullish order block or breaker block. Formation: It occurs when the price fails to create a lower low in a bearish trend and instead reverses to shift the market structure to the bullish side. Identification: Look for a price level where the market attempted to break lower but was halted by significant buying pressure. Trading Implications: This area can serve as a strong demand level, from which the price can rally further stronger because of short traders exit and long traders enter at the same area. Multi Time Frame Analysis: Higher Time Frame - H4 Lower Time Frame - M15 Institutional Framework: Price Expansion (MMXM Buy Model) Institutional Reference Points: Bullish Mitigation Sell Side Liquidity (SSL)
NSE:HUDCOEducation
by chartology369
DXY: High-Probability Retracement SetupThe DXY has been forming higher highs, signaling bullish momentum. Currently, the market appears to be making a short-term retracement into a daily bullish order block (OB) at 105.174, which aligns with a high-probability setup, further supported by a fair value gap (FVG) just above it. Confirmation of this retracement transitioning into expansion will occur if a daily candle taps into the OB and closes above the PD array. If this scenario unfolds, the next target is the buy-side liquidity (BSL) at 108.060, marking a significant level for potential upside momentum. Keep an eye on the daily closures for validation, and always align entries with confluences for optimal risk management.
TVC:DXYLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
long idea on $HFTHaving followed this coin for more than 120 days, the dynamics are weak, but the minimum we set for my birthday will not be updated (in my opinion, with a higher probability), the local picture is weak and the global one is similar to the accumulation of the asset. Since they have already given a correction from $0.44 (more than 30%), I think this is a good opportunity to take a closer look at new positions. This coin has quite high risks, but the ratio of 1 to 10 is generally not bad
Long
by MyTechNAz
This Completing Transformed My Trading (RESPECT & DISRESPECT)The idea of RESPECT and DISRESPECT completely transformed my ability to effectively read price action and trade profitably. ICT teaches about Premium/Discount (PD) Arrays. There is a lot of bickering and debate as to which of these PD Arrays are better. I'm here to build a case for the idea that they are all equally effective, and are just reference points on a chart to build a trade idea around. To me, it boils down to: Which levels are being RESPECTED or DISRESPECTED? That's it for me, that's what made it all click. That is what helped me stop worrying about every little level on the chart. Once you have a high time frame (HTF) narrative and draw on liquidity (DOL), you know which PD arrays you want to see respected and disrespected. Coming up with your HTF Narrative is also based around what levels are being RESPECTED or DISRESPECTED. I hope this video can give you an a-ha moment like it did for me.
Education
by Tradius_Trades
Exploring GBPCAD's Current Markdown PhaseTraders, pay close attention! The GBPCAD pair is currently showing clear signs of entering the markdown phase within a distribution pattern. 🇬🇧🇨🇦 In the context of the Wyckoff distribution, the markdown phase is a crucial stage where the price undergoes a controlled decline after prolonged accumulation. This phase often signifies a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Observing the GBPCAD chart, you'll notice a gradual downtrend in prices with intermittent consolidations. This price action suggests that smart money, which accumulated positions during the accumulation phase, is now distributing their holdings. Key indicators, such as decreasing trading volumes and consistent lower highs, align with this markdown narrative. Traders should be cautious of potential breakdowns below key support levels as they can accelerate the markdown process. It's essential to stay vigilant during this phase. Smart traders may consider shorting opportunities, while others might tighten stop-loss orders on existing long positions. Remember, successful trading is about adaptability and reading the market's language. Stay tuned for further insights and updates on GBPCAD as we navigate this intriguing markdown phase. 🚀📉 #TradingAnalysis #GBPCAD #MarkdownPhase #MarketInsights
by GMthepipgod
Thursday BTC Analysis (07/20/2023) - Weekly BTC Analysis Welcome to the first episode of our weekly BTC analysis, where we carefully examine the market to identify the most likely setup that could unfold. Over the past few weeks, the market has been confined within a tight range, with prices fluctuating between 31,500 and 29,500. Despite several attempts to break out on both the upside and downside, none have been successful so far. Currently, the recent price action seems to be tilting towards a potential breakdown rather than a breakout to the upside. This observation raises caution as the lack of significant positive momentum, despite positive news and uptrending traditional markets, suggests that BTC might face downward pressure. Notably, even amidst positive developments in other markets, BTC has remained sideways throughout this period. If these events fail to push the price higher, there is an increasing likelihood of a downward move towards the 28,000 mark. Additionally, we need to consider the impact of options expiring on Friday, which has tended to be bearish three out of the last four weeks. As we are already at the bottom of the range and the increased volume from these expirations may contribute to a potential slide down towards 28,000. If the options give a lot of selling pressure. Thank you for taking the time to read our analysis, and we look forward to sharing more market updates and trade ideas in our upcoming episodes. Don't forget to follow us for regular insights and updates!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn20377300
HTF XAUUSD Idea I Would Entertain Hello Traders, High Time Frame OANDA:XAUUSD analysis/idea i would entertain. Narrative: 1) HTF ICT market maker buy model to sell model. Anticipating the beginning of the new "Buy-Side" of the Curve. 2) HTF Relative Equal Highs Liquidity Pool @2070.00 (HTF Draw On Liquidity) 3) Price traded into discount range. 4) Price showings signs of reversal at HTF discount PD array 5) Price showing signs of reversal (Previous daily highs being traded through). 6) July - August gold metal seasonal tendency is Bullish. 7) ICT SMT divergence between XAUUSD & XAGUSD. HTF - High Time Frame
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RishiRudani
2