Bitcoin price have just brought us a massive confirmation about concluding the first nominal 40W cycle after a major nest of lows that we had in the fall 2022. Phasing analysis suggested us to wait for this cycle conclusion, that is bringing us now to the deciding phase of the first half of the major 36 month wave. You can see on the picture that the Valid Trend...
this is a short to short-midterm EW opinion. Bulls and bears are pretty balanced between 27800 and 26 700, that's why we could going on bounce down n up. We have lower highs and lower lows which forms the bearish channel. imo the next 7-14 days we will have a clear direction downside but BTC is always good for a surprise. EWaivers know, it all comes down to where...
Using hurst cycles Basic trade idea using hurst cycle, the methodology used on his cycletic course
Hello everybody. The situation develops dynamically. Expected correction seemed to be less serious than expected. But - the paranoid people leave longer. We have concluded 10D cycle without going further into lower values. The upper trend that is underlying has pushed the chart upwards, which led to update of waves' phasing. For this moment we expect to see...
BTCUSD Hurst Cycles intraday Using method phasing analysis it give us at jan 11, 16:00 utc -3 an posible low of 5 Day cycle
Recent confirmation of leaving the bottom of 40W cycle behind has started fast pace of raise for BTC and other important altcoins. As drawn on the chart we have got first estimation of local target, mid way of the bull run that has started just now. By extending moving averages of recently confirmed cycles, we estimated the point where bitcoin should top off and...
Although BITFINEX:XRPUSD showed some impressive gains latest month, it is clear we are approaching a cool off period now. On the chart, its more than clear we have a major 24W cycle ruling the price movement of this crypto. we have topped at the middle of this cycle at $0.55, but recent days confirmed we are approaching a local low, which may be quite dramatic...
So we got it finally! After today 10W Valid Trend Line break - we are 100% sure that the major bottom of 40W and all shorter cycles (20W, 10W, 5W, 20D, 10D) is the past We will be watching closely next week, shortly should we get first estimation for some new target. Good luck!
Today we saw a very dramatic decline in the #BTC value. Interestingly it occurred precisely at the date we had had marked expected as 'nest of lows' date to happen - lows of many synchronised bands up to 10M - 20M cycle. Whatever the drop value is going to be - we should not expect any longer drama drop imo. However the highway up might be strong and fast;] We...
Bitcoin price have broken the Valid Trend Line for 10W (80D) cycle. The 17,500 low of 26.06.2022 is very probable to be also a bottom for 20W. However we still have 40W bottom cycle to be confirmed to start assuming that 17,5K might have been the major bottom. Phasing analysis suggest the major bottom is still due but the answer will come within next 2 weeks. We...
We are moving closer to the expected bottom of 3rd harmonic (13M) of the major 40M wave. Although we have seen some bounce, we seem to have already broken Valid Trend Line for a short 5W and 10W waves, the VTL of longer bands like 20W and 40W wave have not been broken yet. We will be looking forward to have both 20W and 40W Valid Trend Lines broken - the...
A spectral analysis for Short Term Bitcoin Cycles. It looks like if it follows very close Hurst Cycles with only a small deviation
***IN REFER TO MY PREVIOUS ANALYSIS ...I thought that it was a good idea to republish it as chart was not clear in my previous Analysis...I have now enlarged chart and added some more information...hoping its more clear now- Even if we do not have a lot of datas on Bitcoin using what we have we can see the following patterns : - October 8th 2010 a 10 years...
20 weeks cycle's analysis. 1/Achieving the minimum of past 3 bullish 20 weeks cycle is around 4522 (whether it's relevant or no is beyond my knowledge & this idea) 2/Achieving the minimum of the past 3 bullish 20 weeks cycle is around 5.26.2021 & Maximum 8.12.2021 "Time wise"
Screenshots related to idea: Hurst Exponent curling up : Contracting Historical Volatility Percentile on BTC Futures along with positive drift over a few days: Clear positive correlation with price and HVP on lower time frames.
The Historical Volatility Percentile is currently contracting, at levels close to 0. Whether we will see it go to 0 and see the indicator flash is not certain, but likely since values of 0 and 100 are the most occurring. Once the value of the Hurst exponent is starting to trend > 0.5, we will see that HVP contraction is complete and expansion has begun. From...
What happened? Weekly candle wicks down to 124.00 level it was respected and price rejected support, bouncing out of the 40 week cycle trough. Whats going to happen? never know but what we know from the cyclic phase analysis is that price is currently in a bullish phase until July 7th where the bearish phase is expected to begin gaining momentum. Whats happening?...