Opening (IRA): IBIT May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 35.79 debit.
Comments: Laddering out a smidge here, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.79
Max Profit: 1.21
ROC at Max: 3.38%
50% Max: .62
ROC at 50% Max: 1.69%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
IBIT
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 28th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.91 debit.
Comments: Adding, but at lower delta and at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.91
Max Profit: 1.09
ROC at Max: 2.48%
50% Max: .55
ROC at 50% Max: 1.24%
Opening (IRA): IBIT April 17th 41 Covered Call... for a 39.93 debit.
Comments: Adding to my position at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.93/share
Max Profit: 1.07
ROC at Max: 2.68%
50% Max: .54
ROC at 50% Max: 1.34%
Will generally look to take profit, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
BlackRock and ONDO Pioneer Real World AssetsBlackRock has initiated strategic expansion into the Real World Assets (RWA) sector, with preliminary allocations to its BUIDL fund signaling active preparation for tokenization initiatives. Supporting evidence includes documented transactions, which underscore early-stage operational readiness for asset digitization. A detailed analysis of these deals can be found below.
Concurrently, the upcoming crypto summit, featuring participation from a White House representative of ONDO, highlights growing institutional and governmental engagement with digital asset frameworks. This development suggests alignment between public-sector policy and private-sector innovation, reinforcing the potential for regulatory advancements in tokenization.
Such coordinated activity underscores a broader trend toward integrating blockchain-enabled solutions into traditional financial infrastructure, with industry leaders and policymakers collaboratively exploring scalable applications of decentralized technologies.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
BlackRock & BitcoinA giant's journey into the world of blockchain!
This post highlights how BlackRock's balance sheet and profits have changed since the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF. The data is collected from the Arkham platform. The information will be updated periodically.
28.02.2025
Current balance: 577.9K BTC
Total Profit: +11B USD
This rapid growth underscores BlackRock's confidence in bitcoin's long-term potential and signals a new era of institutional growth. Take a look at the chart to see the trend of balance sheet growth since the ETF's launch. Will BlackRock continue to grow Bitcoins? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Data has been verified through Arkham Intelligence. Updates will follow.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th.
Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this).
And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet).
I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above.
Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill.
Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets.
So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy!
Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR-$2B CRYPTO ETF BETGOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET
(1/8)
Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! 🚀💸
(2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT
• Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total
24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B)
3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M)
49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M)
• Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total
7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M)
200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M)
(3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO
• First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly
• Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets 🏦
(4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO
• CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️
• They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs
• Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets
(5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS*
• SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future
• Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? 🤔
• Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets
(6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG*
• The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs
• Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? 🚪
(7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push?
1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen 🚀
2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone 🤔
3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 21st 49 Covered Call... for a 47.32 debit.
Comments: Adding to my positions at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.32
Max Profit: 1.68
ROC at Max: 3.55%
50% Max: .84
ROC at 50% Max: 1.78%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call should my take profit not be hit.
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 21st 52 Covered Call... for a 49.83 debit.
Comments: Back into IBIT, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 49.83/share
Max Profit: 2.17
ROC at Max: 4.35%
50% Max: 1.09
ROC at 50% Max: 2.18%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 21st 48 Covered Call... for a 46.14 debit.
Comments: Adding to my current position at strikes better than what I have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 46.14
Max Profit: 1.86
ROC at Max: 4.03%
50% Max: .93
ROC at 50% Max: 2.02%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my TP is not hit.
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 21st 50 Covered Call... for a 47.78 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.78
Max Profit: 1.22
ROC at Max: 2.55%
50% Max: .61
ROC at 50% Max: 1.28%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out the short call in the event take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): IBIT February 28th 49.5 Covered Call... for a 47.52 debit.
Comments: High IV/IVR. Back into IBIT on a little bit of weakness here, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. The March monthly is still a bit long in duration for my tastes, so going with a weekly.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.52/share
Max Profit: 1.98
ROC at Max: 4.17%
50% Max: .99
ROC at 50% Max: 2.09%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit test, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on.
Opening (IRA): IBIT February 21st 47 Covered Call... for a 44.52 debit.
Comments: Adding to my position at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta strike against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 44.52/share
Max Profit: 2.48
ROC at Max: 5.57%
50% Max: 1.24
ROC at 50% Max: 2.79%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit point test.
Opening (IRA): IBIT February 21st 50 Covered Call... for a 47.07 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV (88.4/68.6) + weakness post-FOMC. Going out to February, as there are only 30 DTE left in January, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Looking at this as a "starter" position, so will look to add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.07/share
Max Profit: 2.93
ROC at Max: 6.22%
50% Max: 1.47
ROC at 50% Max: 3.11%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit point test.
Volatility Period: January 9-11
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can quickly rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
If not, it needs to fall, and it needs to check whether it is supported near the important support and resistance area of 93576.0-94742.35.
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator point of 92792.05, the point to watch is whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
-
This volatility period is expected to be around January 10th (January 9th-11th).
In order to continue the short-term uptrend, the price needs to rise above 97461.86 and maintain it.
-
First of all, the fund flow does not seem to be that bad.
This is because USDT stopped its gap downtrend and is moving sideways, and USDC seems to be maintaining its gap uptrend.
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
However, since it fell due to other issues affecting the coin market, unless a bigger issue occurs, the coin market is expected to defend its price.
(XAUUSD 1D chart)
(IBIT 1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
IBITUSDT Analysis: Red Box Breakout PotentialIn IBITUSDT, the red box signifies a critical resistance zone. If price breaks and retests this level, it may present a long entry opportunity . That said, my overall expectation is for the correction to deepen further before significant upward movement.
Key Points:
Red Box Resistance: Monitor for a breakout and retest to confirm a potential long setup.
Deeper Correction Likely: Current market conditions suggest the correction could continue before recovery.
Confirmation Indicators: I will utilize CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks in lower time frames to validate entries.
Learn With Me: If you want to understand how to leverage CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints for accurate market analysis, feel free to DM me.
Reminder: Always manage your risk and look for confirmation before taking any trades.
If this analysis helps you, please don’t forget to boost and comment. Your support inspires me to share more valuable insights!
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
IBIT | Be PatientThe market is declining rapidly, and Bitcoin remains highly volatile, making it dangerous to take risks in the current environment. I have marked the HTF (High Time Frame) demand zones as critical areas to monitor.
Trades should be based on the reactions observed in these demand zones on lower timeframes. This approach helps minimize risk while identifying potential entry points with stronger confirmation.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
Opening (IRA): IBIT Jan 17th 50 Covered Call... for a 47.76 debit.
Comments: High IV at 65.3%. Selling the -75 call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. This isn't the best entry (an understatement), but am looking at it as a starter position which I will add to, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on.
Previously, I was working BITO due to its monthly dividend, but it suffers from "rollover risk" and BITO IV is higher on the put side than on the call, making selling puts more productive in that instrument, kind of defeating the reason why you might want to be in that instrument -- the dividends, for which you have to be in stock.
IBIT IV is higher on the call side than BITO, making covered calls more productive from a max profit standpoint. (The max of the Jan 17th 50 short put, 24 delta, is 1.77 here versus 2.24 for the monied covered call). Alas, the trade-off is ... no dividends.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.76/share
Max Profit: 2.24
ROC at Max: 4.70%
50% Max: 1.12
ROC at 50% Max: 2.35%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll the short call out on break of my take profit (which is (50.00 - 47.76)/2 + 47.76 or 48.88.
Opening (IRA): IBIT January 17th 48 Covered Call... for a 46.16 debit.
Comments: Adding to my IBIT position at a strike/break even better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put to take advantage of call side IV skew and to have the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 46.16/share
Max Profit: 1.84
ROC at Max: 3.99%
50% Max: .92
ROC at 50% Max: 1.99%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll out short call on break even or take profit test.
Orange Breaks, We Fly. Blue Falls, We Dive. The chart highlights two critical regions, each playing a pivotal role in determining the next trend direction for IBIT Bitcoin shares:
Orange Box - Key Resistance Zone
The orange box represents a crucial resistance area. For the rally to sustain momentum and push higher, this region must be decisively broken and secured. A close above this level, coupled with strong volume, would indicate the bulls are in control, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Blue Box - Key Support Zone
The blue box acts as a significant support level. Should the price fall below this zone, it would suggest weakness in the market. A confirmed breakdown, followed by a retest of the orange box from below, provides an opportunity to take a short position, as this would signal the onset of a downtrend.
Conclusion:
These zones are pivotal for the current market structure. Traders should closely monitor price action around these levels to identify whether the market leans towards bullish continuation or bearish reversal.