$BTC Derivatives still dictating price, NOT Spot BitcoinCRYPTOCAP:BTC & CRYPTOCAP:ETH look almost identical the last few days, that is pretty interesting.
However...
Stretch the chart out a bit and it is a very different story. #BTC outperformed #ETH by a decent amount.
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Both CRYPTOCAP:BTC showed upcoming weakness. However, Futures #BTC Money Flow went below 0 & stayed there. Spot recovered fast but #bitcoin went lower in April!
Now, we see Futures Money Flow gaining momentum again. Spot has been hanging around here for a bit.
Looks like derivatives are STILL dictating #bitcoin price action.
IBIT
Futures or Spot BTC? Which is better at analyzing?Futures CRYPTOCAP:BTC has sold off and currently at 2 support levels. One of these is the blue moving average.
However......
If you prefer spot #BTC analysis, we can see that #bitcoin is already trading underneath all moving averages & showing extreme weakness.
Which one is correct?
$BTC Futures, Spot, and revisiting expectationsCRYPTOCAP:BTC Futures
Broke the small triangle pattern it was in & now it's in the larger one.
Don't think it'll be August by the time it breaks, wither up or down.
RSI is weak but the $ flow is better.
VS
#BTC Spot
It is in a channel pattern.
Bearish Moving Avg Crossover.
Trading under the blue Moving Avg.
Final charts show what could be if #bitcoin topped, like we believed not long ago.
$BTC top could very well be inOpinion:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is likely forming a short term top.
Top is March 14th.
We've posted that consolidation takes anywhere between 1-3 months on average.
1 month from top would be April 13th.
Coincidentally, it's where the end of the #BTC pattern would break.
Sell signs signs have been there, RSI & $ Flow have been cratering.
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Let's do another scenario.
Top = 3/14, 3 months from then puts it at 6/14. The #BTC pattern can last until 6/6/23 (ooo 666).
If #bitcoin is in a hard consolidation the pattern could last until July 15th, making it a 4 month consolidation.
$BTC bounced at first support level, strong Good Morning!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC made a nice stand at the first level of support. Spot & Futures #BTC are looking good at the moment.
Let's see how RSI moves.
If the RSI breaks the current downtrend, last chart shows what needs to happen, then it is confirmed we're back in #bitcoin bull mode.
#crypto
Looking to buy Bitcoin at 200 MA on 4hrLooking at the chart on 4hr time frame we see a good opportunity for a long entry at roughly $61,000.
Reasons
-Prior support at same levels (yellow line/arrow)
-Key moving average support level (200 MA)
-$60k potential wick area for bottom of the daily Bollinger Bands
Entry method
-Ladder entry
-Front run the 200 MA at $61,800
-Right at 200 MA
-Below catch wicks between $60k and $61k
Best case scenario all bids fill down to as low as $60k, with an average entry price around just below the 200 MA on the 4hr right about $61k.
I would step into the position to reduce risk.
Stop loss $58k
Take profit $68k
$BTC holding support & Moving AvgGood Morning
This is certainly an interesting situation for $BTC!
Perhaps #BTC may hold this area for 2 days, or more?
Still think bias is more towards the downside BUT this could be an area of consolidation, why not?
Spot #bitcoin charts are all over the place. This makes it harder to make calls on spot charts.
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CRYPTOCAP:ETH on the other hand is a bit of a mixed bag.
Moving averages are a better gauge on Futures so am not shocked that #ethereum bounced where it did.
RSI seems to be a more accurate gauge on Spot #ETH. It is close to being oversold, not shocked it bounced.
Light volume on Futures. However, heavier than normal selling on spot.
Weekly BTC still BULLISH longer term but pain 1st
CRYPTOCAP:BTC volume is NOT heavy, small amounts of buying, mostly selling.
Shorting is at the highest levels since October.
People are/got FLUSHED. This is VERY healthy as it gets rid of greed.
#BTC could take 1-6 months to resume up trend,
Weekly chart shows #bitcoin forming a DOJI last week. 50-60k possible bottom process, we warned.
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1 Thought we were wrong on CRYPTOCAP:BTC call but it's looking more like a reality.
#Michaelsaylor = horrible price picker & something's not right over there, selling lots of NASDAQ:MSTR , anyway.
2 Updated what we believe is better #BTC trajectory.
3 #Bitcoin RSI & $ Flow were at historical tops.
Not shocked at $BTC action, warned weakness setting inSo, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price action, not shocked!
Posted few times recently (See profile for more info) that we were selling (personal as well) small amounts of #crpyto as it went higher.
#BTC was showing signs of weakening.
WARNING signs to take SOME profits off.
If you didn't:
A) You're a long term hodler & rarely sell. In that case, shhh!
B) Trader? That's your mess up!
#bitcoin Futures vs Spot
$BTC seems tired, Weekly most overextended vs AveragesGOOD MORNING
The CRYPTOCAP:BTC RSI is weakening further as it hits 74k.
The closer it gets to 80-100k the more risk rises.
#BTC is due for another correction/consolidation, IMO.
#Bitcoin $ Flow is still decent so, IMO this is not the top.
A)Shows RSI peaked & Selling begins to come in.
EURONEXT:FLOW was NOT strong at all.
B) Volume is light before picking up.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has Heavy Buying coming in.
RSI hits the peak for this run.
$ Flow stable & goes higher.
C) #BTC buying subsides.
RSI is further weakening.
$ Flow still decent but keep in mind that this is LAGGING indicator.
Weekly
#Bitcoin is attracted to the Green Moving Avg.
This is the most overextended it has been during this run.
Needs rest imo
$BTC making moves, not stoppingPosted this elswhere(see profile here for more info) last night:
RSI is falling on For CRYPTOCAP:BTC Futures & Spot
#BTC Money Flow does look better on Futures vs Spot
The #Bitcoin weekly, last chart, looks VERY interesting. We have spoken on this possibility already. The Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern - Tends to be very bullish.
---
Today
This is why you DO NOT trade on indicators alone. MOMENTUM/TREND is KEY!
Unless we make it CLEAR, weakness is just pointed out.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC will eventually CRACK, BUT it could be 100, 120, 200k, who knows?!
But it'll show signs when it begins to wane. None atm!
Prefer #BTC Futures charts vs Spot charts as, to me, they give a better idea.
#Bitcoin let's GO!
Told you $BTC has been a different animal!!!1st CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart shows the arrows pointing to the highs of this morning.
2nd #BTC chart shows where it is at the moment.
This shows us that Spot #bitcoin is correcting itself and catching up to Future's price action.
Futures $ Flow broke the downtrend & is rising. Bullish.
Spot $ Flow is pretty even. But just like price action, this will likely correct itself and catch up.
Both show lower RSI but IMO doesn't matter, yet, because the trend is strong!
Told ya it's different this time! It has been different!
$BTC comparisons, expectation, & pattern forming
To the untrained eye, CRYPTOCAP:BTC does look like a double top, but in reality it would be closer to a Triple Top, if anything.
Peaks are higher & we're trading ABOVE resistance levels.
IMO there is NO #BTC double top!
Yesterday #Bitcoin formed an OUTSIDE DAY (this is a so so pattern)
$ Flow is not great but the RSI is still HEALTHY!
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Futures #BTC look a little better than Spot, shorts covered already!
Strength here is better than last peak by far!
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Inverse Head & Shoulder patterns are BULLISH but best at bottoms.
Spot CRYPTOCAP:BTC is forming one at the moment.
Drew the "expected" lines on the last chart.
#Bitcoin is trading very different and this has been true for some time now.
Many are making calls but are getting it wrong because of this, IMO 80-100k this year.
$BTC Futures showing different data vs SpotINTERESTING divergence happening at the moment with $BTC.
#BTC Spot has RSI falling & sells beginning to pour in.
#Bitcoin Futures has a strong RSI & some, light, selling.
Wont comment on $ Flow today but will say that both paint slightly different pictures there as well.
Weekly shows WHY this area will be tough. This area will not break easy.
HOWEVER, IMO, what have we said? The more something hits the weaker that resistance gets. It'll likely break through. But when?
Comparing previous $BTC tops & current state of BitcoinCurrent charts (not shown here, this is a weekly chart, se profile for more info)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC $ Flow is better captured on spot price.
#BTC RSI is better captured on futures price.
Weekly is interesting indeed!
Both show:
Cratering of $ flow as it goes higher, negative divergence.
RSI is still OKAY.
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Let's compare the other 2 #Bitcoin tops:
1st top shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC RSI cratering.
$ Flow took longer for futures to show a top but it was obvious on spot price.
2nd #BTC RSI is flat on both, it is healthy on its own accord, BUT is significantly lower than the previous top put in.
$ Flow is seen lessening on both futures and spot action.
Sell volume obvious on futures, no sign at all on spot.
Continuation....... (current chart shown)
#Bitcoin buy volume is exhausting.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC $ Flow is weakening. This is way more obvious on the Spot chart. However, it did is reach normal peak highs.
#BTC RSI is currently trading like the 2nd top, but it is stronger, reaching higher RSI number.
Futures are identical to 1st top, but Spot is a little bit lower in comparison to 1st top.
RSI is okay on both , healthy even.
Shorts have been wiped out and it stands at a low amount at the moment.
Warning signs but should retest highs at he least.
Bitcoin approaching $60,000. Getting closer to All-Time High!Bitcoin (BTC) Is getting closer to $60,000 and may eventually break the All-time High. There are a few ways to capitalize on BTC moves.
1. Direct purchase of crypto from crypto exchange like Coinbase
2. Invest in stocks associated with BTC. Examples include NASDAQ:MARA , AMEX:GBTC , NASDAQ:COIN , NASDAQ:RIOT , NASDAQ:MSTR
3. Invest in LEAPS options on the same stocks (powerful strategy)
4. Invest in ETFs associated with BTC. Examples include $ARKN, NASDAQ:IBIT , AMEX:HODL , AMEX:FBTC , AMEX:BITB
5. Invest in Bitcoin futures
Expect all of these to move up as BTC approaches $60,000
Trading setup at IBIT gaps on US market opening👀🚨❓The BitcoinETF IBIT will open the US market with a pre-market gap up today dear Crypto Nation👀🚨
Why can this be important❓
In 6 out of 6 times when that happened we saw BTC go up at least 1,000 USD before getting down 500 USD🚀
No financial advice to open a trade at US market opening with RR 2,0... but keep an eye on the behavior today - might be an interesting trading setup in general👀
Comments💭, Likes♥️ & Follow🔗appreciated🤗
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
$BTC extreme bullish sentiment & most orderly movementAs stated before, there's extreme bullishness on $BTC.
Every influencer's excited & media is plastering a bull take.
They can be right but more often than not they are wrong and can be used as a contrarian indicator.
Things to notice:
#BTC shorts are @ their LOWEST in a year!
Money Flow is lessening.
Decent sell volume at the moment.
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Let's look at weekly data, chart shown.
Weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC shows that indicators are weakening.
(Indicators aren't primary means of trading but are used for HELP)
Let's compare #BTC to other time periods, shall we?
Are we more like early or late 21?
This is most orderly run since the introduction of derivatives.
Looks almost like an Index, interesting, sarcasm.
#Bitcoin #bitcoinhalving #ETF
$BTC trying to find footingCRYPTOCAP:BTC will likely see 1 more dip before it resumes it's uptrend, WHY?
There is still a decent amount of bullishness out there.
HOWEVER, if #Bitcoin can do the following:
RSI hold above halfway point
$ Flow gets better, which coincides with...
Buy volume increasing
Then the drop will likely not be harsh & we could have seen the bottom,
IBIT VS GBTC - The Market Has Spoken. IBIT Raging
I did not personally expect this much Spot BTC being converted from GBTC to IBIT but the numbers are right there.
IBIT's low fee's and Blackrock's brand name have just drained the GBTC supply.
As of today
IBIT's holdings is $1,060,712,715.95
GBTC holdings is $23,707,965,989.80
This will become a close battle within months and the low fee battle will always exist.