IBM SELL FOR SHORT TERM , BUY FOR LONGER TERMFor short term, wait for the price to hit the upper trendline of the pattern and watch strong price action for sell.
As a longer term investment, wait for the price to hit the bottom of the pattern and watch strong price action for buy.
Don't take a trade if you don't see clearly when big guys are in.
IBM
AMD to hit $48 in 12 months### Company Summary
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is an American semiconductor company based in Santa Clara, California, that develops computer processors and related technologies for business and consumer markets. While initially it manufactured its own processors, the company later outsourced its manufacturing, a practice known as fabless, after GlobalFoundries was spun off in 2009. AMD's main products include microprocessors, motherboard chipsets, embedded processors and graphics processors for servers, workstations and personal computers, and embedded systems applications.
AMD is the second-largest supplier and only significant rival to Intel in the market for x86-based microprocessors. Since acquiring ATI in 2006, AMD and its competitor Nvidia have dominated the discrete Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) market.
Lisa Su (born 1969) is a Taiwanese-American business executive and electrical engineer, Ph.D. from MIT in 1994, and the CEO and president of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Early in her career, Su worked at Texas Instruments, IBM, and Freescale Semiconductor in engineering and management positions.She is known for her work developing silicon-on-insulator semiconductor manufacturing technologies and more efficient semiconductor chips during her time as vice president of IBM's Semiconductor Research and Development Center.
Su was appointed president and CEO of AMD in October 2014, after joining the company in 2012 and holding roles such as senior vice president of AMD's global business units and chief operating officer. She currently serves on the boards of Analog Devices, Global Semiconductor Alliance and the U.S. Semiconductor Industry Association, and is a fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). Recognized with a number of awards and accolades, she was named Executive of the Year by EE Times in 2014 and one of the World's Greatest Leaders in 2017 by Fortune.
According to Form 10-Q of AMD filed, AMD is a global semiconductor company with facilities around the world. Within the global semiconductor industry, primarily offering:
* x86 microprocessors, as standalone devices or as incorporated into an accelerated processing unit (APU), chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units (GPUs), and professional GPUs; and
* server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products and technology for game consoles. AMD also licenses portions of intellectual property (IP) portfolio.
AMD's financial results for the second quarter of 2018 demonstrate continued success in the execution of AMD's long-term strategy for sustained growth. Net revenue in the second quarter of 2018 was $1.76 billion, a 53% increase compared to the second quarter of 2017. The year-over-year increase was primarily due to a 64% increase in Computing and Graphics net revenue and a 37% increase in Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom net revenue. The increase in the Computing and Graphics segment net revenue was primarily due to higher sales of AMD's RadeonTM and RyzenTM products. The increase in the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment net revenue was primarily due to higher semi-custom revenue as well as higher EPYCTM server revenue. AMD's operating income for the second quarter of 2018 was $153 million compared to an operating loss of $1 million in the second quarter of 2017. AMD's net income for the second quarter of 2018 was $116 million compared to a net loss of $42 million in the second quarter of 2017.
AMD continued to introduce new products in the second quarter of 2018, including premium notebook AMD Ryzen PRO APUs designed specifically for the commercial market. AMD also announced the availability of four models of AMD's 2nd Generation Ryzen desktop CPUs optimized for gamers, creators and hardware enthusiasts.
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities as of the end of the second quarter of 2018 were $983 million, compared to $1.18 billion as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2017.
AMD intends the discussion of financial condition and results of operations that follows to provide information that will assist you in understanding AMD's financial statements, the changes in certain key items in those financial statements from year to year and quarter to quarter, the primary factors that resulted in those changes, and how certain accounting principles, policies and estimates affect AMD's financial statements.
### Statistics
Shares Outstanding: 0.97B
Avg Daily Vol: 100.7M
Market Cap: 31.5B
52-Week High: $32.22
52-Week Low: $9.04
Forward PE: 42.71
Annual Div/Dividend Yield: $0.00 / 0.00%
Annual Rev: 6.9B
Inst Own: 68.1%
1-Month Return: 15.5%
3-Month Return: 45.7%
Next Earnings Report Date: 10/23/2018
Earnings ESP: NA
Revenue Per Employee: $742,133
Money Flow Ratio: 1.04%
### Profitability
Revenue Growth: 40.4% (Sector Average 9.8%)
Gross Margin: 36.1% (Sector Average 38.8%)
Return on Equity: 47.1% (Sector Average 7.1%)
Net Margin: 5.4% (Sector Average 4.9%)
### Debt
Current Ratio: 1.8 (Sector Average 2.9)
Debt-to-Capital: 67.1% (Sector Average 25.9%)
Interest Funding: 18.5% (Sector Average 5.1%)
Interest Coverage: 4.5 (Sector Average 4.2)
### Dividend
Dividend Growth: NA (Sector Average 12.8%)
Dividend Payout: NA (Sector Average 35.8%)
Dividend Coverage: NA (Sector Average 3.8)
Dividend Yield: NA (Sector Average 0.0%)
### Top Peer Companies
Avid Technology, Inc (AVID)
Cabot Microelectronics Corporation (CCMP)
Cirrus Logic, Inc (CRUS)
DIALOG SEMICON (DLGNF)
Diodes Inc (DIOD)
EMC Corp (EMC)
F5 Networks Inc (FFIV)
Falconstor Software Inc (FALC)
Intel Corp (INTC)
International Business Machines Corp (IBM)
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC)
Mellanox Technologies, Ltd (MLNX)
Netapp, Inc (NTAP)
Nvidia Corp (NVDA)
Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
PMC Sierra Inc (PMCS)
Unisys Corp (UIS)
### 12 Month Price Target
Mean: $39.01
High: $48.77
Low: $25.13
### Revenue Growth
Approximated quarterly revenue growth compared to the same quarter of the year before are as follows:
Q1 2015: -26.3 %
Q2 2015: -34.7 %
Q3 2015: -25.7 %
Q4 2015: -22.7 %
Q1 2016: -19.2 %
Q2 2016: 9.0 %
Q3 2016: 23.2 %
Q4 2016: 15.5 %
Q1 2017: 33.8 %
Q2 2017: 25.7 %
Q3 2017: 19.0 %
Q4 2017: 18.3 %
Q1 2018: 67.4 %
Q2 2018: 43.7 %
### Earnings Surprise
Positive (+10.3%)
aicody.com
IBM - Breaking Out Big Blue has been one of laggards in the tech sectors. After years of innovation, performance has been lackluster. This has seen the share price under-perform as market participants seek higher growth counters. Technically we see the price attempting to break the downward trend line with the price also above the 20 and 50dma which is starting to turn up.
IBM KNOWSIBM is very active and is investing in crypto.
Crypto is know for his volatility and people are scared about it.
If you don't like to buy crypto you can look for stocks who believe in crypto and are ready to do something with it.
Crypto is game changing and as soon as people will understand the business applications in the real life of crypto you will really see an explosion of the whole market. I'm sure about that.
If you still don't believe it but you want not to miss out a big opportunity, IBM could deserve us some satisfactions.
On the short term:
IBM is actually correcting since ATH on 2013.
A longtime trendline is not so far from here. If you see in the next month the price falling to 130 then you have to know that we are closing the last leg of a bullish bat and entering on a demand zone.
enjoy the run
BIO
STELLAR - IBM, SHARIA LAW, E.W COUNT & • Climbing towards trend resistance.
•Currently undergoing Elliot Wave Wave 3
• MACD is looking positive and has room to grow.
• Higher support levels
• IBM Partnership
• Sharia Law Compliance Announcement
• Most recent price action climbs/dips coincide with FIB retracement levels
• Forecasted FIB Extension coincides with previous resistances/support
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only. it should not be considered financial advice***
THE WEEK AHEAD: NFLX, EBAY, IBM, XOP, EWZ, TLT/TBTWe're back into the thick of earnings season again ... .
NFLX (rank 64/implied 52) pops the top on Monday after market close, so you're going to want to slap anything you want to do on before session end to take maximum advantage of a volatility contraction play.
Pictured here is a 20 delta iron condor in the weekly with a buying power effect of 6.59 per contract, and a max of 3.41 (a smidge greater than one-third the width of the wings). Naturally, you'll have to adjust the strikes shortly before fill, since it's a mover. Look to take profit at 50% max ... .
EBAY hits the bricks on Wednesday after market close. I'd rather have background implied at >50% (it's currently at ~33%), but it may be worth watching to see if it ramps up in the Monday through Wednesday sessions.
IBM gets its party on on Wednesday after market close, too, but that background implied of 25% doesn't exactly get my motor running.
On the exchange-traded fund front, there isn't much premium to be had, and what there is to be taken is to be found in the places where it's been over the past several weeks: Brazil (EWZ -- 33.5% background), and petro (XOP/OIH -- 30%). Me personally, I'm hand sitting on those until I can see the whites of September's eyes (it's still 68 days out). That being said, if you're willing to go a little more long-dated here: the XOP Sept 21st 43 short straddle is paying 4.36 with break evens at 38.64/47.36, theta of 3.12, and -7.82 delta; the EWZ Sept 21st 34 short straddle: 4.06 credit, 29.94/38.06 break evens, 2.9 theta, -6.74 delta.
Other "Major Food Group" Directionals: TLT continues to bop annoyingly along horizontal support/resistance near 122.50 like a toddler kicking the back of your seat in economy class. My tendency has been to short on retrace in a tightening rate environment, with the preference being for more flexible, longer-dated setups like diagonals where I've got time to reduce cost basis, as opposed to using static one-off spreads where you could find yourself in the middle of a short-term risk off event that ruins your day.
Inversely, TBT is holding on by its fingernails to 35.25. I could see pulling the trigger on either here -- a long-dated TLT downward put diagonal or covered short combo/a TBT upward call diagonal/covered long combo. (See TBT Upward Call Diagonal Post, below).
This Shit is Next Level: Years from now, Because IBM has been building it's arsenal,
oh yea, Amazon, Google, ect... Blah,
IBM still has that aura about it,
+IBM just announced a debate ai, \
LOL Just what I need right, Turn it on during a dinner conversation and Peace!
Not exactly at the moment,
Their plan is to- Help with Search, !?!!%$#$#
yes, that consistent google search for item x, research opinions, think about alternatives Garbage
AI Google Buttler, AI assist me with goals, Hmmm should I go to soccer practice or should I get some much needed rest....maybe a stretch
Hmm were starting a nicknack buisness should we go with a office or outsource,
Oh great idea, and you priced up items for our team, WOW,
The early stages seem to be a web of connections driven to aid in decision making, but the future is Golden, As their Watson ; is Begining to lay dem golden eggs.
IBM has streamlined, and gone back to good old garage-nerd
And Shit will be quick in the year(s) ahead.
THE WEEK AHEAD: TWTR, X, IYR, XLU, ORCL, IBMAlthough there are quite a few earnings coming up next week, only two catch my eye from a premium selling standpoint: Twitter and U.S. Steel.
Twitter announces on Wednesday before market open; has a 30-day implied volatility of 75.19%; and the May 4th 20-delta, 74% probability of profit 27.5/38 short strangle is paying 1.28 at the mid with its defined risk counterpart, the 24/27.5/38/41 iron condor paying .87.
US Steel (which can be a mover; 30-day implied 59.6%) announces on Wednesday after market close; and the May 4th 20-delta, 72% probability of profit 33/41 is paying 1.07 with its defined risk counterpart, the 30/33/41/44, paying .69.
On the exchange-traded fund front, nothing looks particularly enticing at the moment. OIH and XOP round out the top of the pile volatility-wise, but their 30-days are sub-35, with other funds trailing off from there, so I'm looking at potentially putting on a couple of directional plays in single names where earnings are in the rear view mirror -- ORCL and IBM and/or in exchange-traded funds where concerns over rising interest rates and/or comparative yield have beaten them down, temporarily or otherwise -- IYR and XLU.
I'll set out those ideas in a separate post, since there are multiple ways in which you can go directional with an options setup in those without hanging up a lot of buying power in actual shares. Additionally, sometimes it can be worth comparing and contrasting various "options options" so that you can decide which strategy suits your preference as to how much you want to devote to the trade ... .
The Quiet Giant: Is A $192 Future Still In Play?IBM has a lot of understated, misunderstood, visionary initiatives under its belt starting last year. The name is no longer what it used to be, but IBM has pivoted before under Lou G. and it can definitely do so again if given time and proper execution. There is a small, but powerful minority that will always root for this stock and that will help propel it on any good momentum or guidance. If IBM continues to soak up and lean into the initiatives that it's begun to focus on with cloud, enterprise, AI, supercomputing and more relevant topics, then there is no doubt new management will be able to slowly, but surely transform this old behemoth into a powerful titan with new, relevant skin.
Short term, and perhaps for the year, a $175 price target is easily attainable with good, stable guidance and matched targets. With beats, positive market sentiment and sustained FY '18 guidance that has been reiterated already, hitting $180 is doable. Hitting that magical $192 level would be frosting and cherries on top of having already gotten back to 2015 levels. Expect IBM to be a serious contender at that point.
THE WEEK AHEAD: NFLX, UAL, IBM, RSX, XLFEarnings is upon us ... .
NFLX announces earnings on Monday after market close.
The April 27th 285/347.5 short strangle is paying 11.05 at the mid (yikes!), with a 70% probability of profit; the 68% probability of profit April 27th 272.5/277.5/355/360 is paying 3.36 (67% of the width of the spread).
UAL announces Tuesday after market close.
The April 27th, 71% probability of profit 62/71.5 short strangle is paying 1.34, with the 67%-er April 27th 58.5/61.5/71.5/74.5 paying .65, although bid/ask on the long aspects of that setup are wide, so you will want to recheck that during regular market hours to see if you do better, with a >75% of the width of the wings being the ideal.
IBM announces on Tuesday after market close. Its background implied volatility metrics aren't ideal at 29%, but that figure may ramp up slightly running into the announcement.
Currently, the April 27th 148/165 is paying 2.09 (74% probability of profit), with the April 27th 143/148/165/170 paying 1.23 (70% probability of profit).
On the exchange-traded-fund front, not much excites me here for new trades; I'm already basically in four out of five of the top background implied volatility symbols (OIH (34); XOP (34); EWZ (31), GDXJ (20), and FXI (25)), and those have all dropped below that 35% background metric I like for entering those trades, although XOP and OIH are probably "close enough."
I've also been watching RSX, the Russia exchange traded fund, to potentially take some kind of a directional shot at fading this dip, whether it be via short puts or one of my other "funky" setups (See Post Below). The other one I'm watching for a longer-dated directional bullish shot is XLF, with some single names that announced last week taking it a bit in the groin for various reasons. Given the price of the underlying, it's workable for smaller accounts, although it hasn't historically been a great straight-up premium selling play with its weak sauce implied volatility and doesn't pay much divvy (.43 annualized; 1.57% yield) if you routinely eye things from that perspective.
XLM + IBM COMBO CONFIRMED BY THE MERKLEXLM + IBM COMBO CONFIRMED BY THE MERKLE
Will it Moon?
According to The Merkle, IBM's VP confirmed that Stellar is a "big" part of the company's IBM blockchain platform strategy. Check out the news report.
We all saw how IOTA mooned with the news of the unconfirmed partnership with Microsoft back in December.
Lets take a look at the TA action for XLM at this moment. XLM has retraced to the .236 fib level along with many other ALTS on 3/18. Setting up a the first wave to complete and a healthy .5 fib retracement of the first wave.
Momentum is on on our favor if XLM bounces off the 20 on the STOCH RSI.
BUY-IN around 26xx stats. T1 @ 3700 stats. T2 @ 4254 - 4913 stats if the hype builds up. We could see XLM finishing it's run at T3 @ 5979 stats.
Right now would be a time to buy in with a comfortable stop loss to see how this plays out.
***What's BTC doing? BTC looks like it's found it's bottom (for now) at 7730 USD aT a 0.236 fib retracement form 9176 USD). BTC looking it will go on a run on it's own for the next few days as it will retest the 9k and 10k mark.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
The Unicorn of the Sea
- Narwhal
IBM, eyeing small pullback for long entryEMA 13/48 cross took place yesterday. Waiting for small pullback for a better long entry. Price is finally more coiled up after larger chaotic movement.
Price resisted at the confluence of the A) natural 1.27 extension of the Feb 27 to Mar 02 swing, B) Jan 17 to Feb 19 .618 retracement.
Looking for 157-158 entry, profit target 162-164.