IBM on the 1 hr popping the cloud meets all criteria easy $300We had a poppin of the cloud on IBM on the 1 hour with a 4hr Verifacation of Green candles. There was a link to the previous high and dip with Current indicator candle having significant retracement to one of these levels. We had the indicator candle. And we had a break of the last previous high. All things checked took the trade for an easy $300 same day. Option Call. Stay Tuned I believe there is more to come from this stock on a longer time frame. I will link it to this post.
by iCantw84it
11/25/22
IBM
IBM earnings todayIBM expected to report its Q4 earnings of $3.39 per share, a 60% YoY growth, from $2.07 per share seen in the same period a year ago.
Taking into consideration also the 14K Calls and less than 1K Puts from last Friday, i think that $136 should be the price target.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
IBM: Inverse Head and Shoulders Opportunity?IBM - Intraday - We look to Buy at 125.98 (stop at 122.20)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed. The formation has a measured move target of 134.63. Closed above the 50-day MA. The stock is currently outperforming in its sector. Further upside is expected and we look to set longs in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 134.53 and 138.15
Resistance: 130.00 / 138.00 / 145.00
Support: 125.00 / 120.00 / 115.00
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AVCT American Virtual Cloud Price Target !!!AVCtechnologies existing enterprise customers including IBM, AT&T, and Etisalat!
AVCtechnologies delivers a full suite of cloud-based Unified Communications as a Service (UCaaS) capabilities to its cloud customers through its carrier-grade Kandy Business Solutions including Cloud PBX, Smart Office UC Clients, Collaboration, Contact Center, and SIP Trunks.
Loop Capital Initiated Coverage on American Virtual Cloud Technologies, Inc. (AVCT) with a Buy rating and a price target of $17.00 !!!
52 Week Range 0.8400 - 9.6200
The price is now $1.46
Market Cap 99.221Mil
IBM Idea - Restoring TrendlineCurrently price is sitting just under a major trendline that can be drawn
Similarities can be drawn between a dip in the early movement of IBM and one that has occurred recently
Post this dip, the price rose and retook the trendline
I expect this to be the case again
Weekly Chart
IBM an opportunityfor long-term investors???IBM :125
Market cap: 112 B
P/E:23
Dividend Yield: 5.21%
Currently trading at the bottom of a bullish regression channel (-3,+3).
In the past, it touched this level and each time bounced back +50%..!
The fundamental fair value estimation is 142-172 USD/share which is very likely to happen in the next trading year.
However, in the past 5 years, IBM showed that it could easily slip to 90-100 USD/share and no matter how good this company is, The price pattern says there will be better opportunities to buy IBM in the next few months!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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IBM | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...IBM shares fell nearly 10 percent to a seven-month low on Oct. 21 after the tech behemoth released a weak Q3 report.
IBM's revenues rose just 0.3 percent from a year earlier to $17.6 billion, $190 million less than forecasts. But excluding divestitures and foreign exchange rates, the company's revenues were down 0.2%.
Excluding the impending Kyndryl spin-off, IBM's revenue was up 2.5% in the period. Excluding divested businesses and foreign exchange rates, "excluding Kyndryl" earnings were up 1.9%.
IBM's GAAP earnings, which include Kyndryl spin-off expenses, fell 34% to $1.25 per share. Non-GAAP earnings, which exclude those expenses, still fell 2% to $2.52 per share, but beat forecasts by one penny.
IBM's performance was unimpressive, but it was in line with the outlook the company presented at an investor briefing in early October. Did investors exaggerate IBM's disappointing third-quarter report and create a new buying opportunity?
As in previous quarters, IBM reported third-quarter earnings in five main segments: cloud and cognitive software, global business services, global technology services, systems, and global finance.
IBM's cloud and cognitive software revenues grew thanks to double-digit growth in its cloud-related business, which offset low growth in its applications business and lower revenues in its transaction processing business.
The global business services segment profited from strong demand for cloud services, consulting, application management, and global technology services.
However, the Global Technology Services division weakened again, as weak growth in cloud services could not offset the continued decline in the Managed Infrastructure Services segment, which will be taken out by the Kyndryl spin-off.
The company's systems division struggled because of cyclically declining sales of IBM Z and Power systems, and financing revenues declined amid lower demand for financing services and slow sales of used equipment.
Once again, IBM's strengths failed to offset vulnerabilities, and investors were left attempting to find positives in lackluster reporting segments. However, this may all change as the "old" IBM ceases to exist.
After IBM spins off from Kyndryl next week, it will present four new reporting segments: consulting (29% of continuing operations revenue in 2020), software (42%), infrastructure (25%), and finance (2%).
IBM thinks these four segments will make it easier for investors to track the expansion of its faster-growing businesses.
IBM expects the software segment, which includes Red Hat and other hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence services, to be a major growth driver.
It also probably anticipates a streamlined consulting segment to better stand up to faster IT services and consulting companies, such as Accenture and Globant.
IBM's infrastructure business, which includes the legacy systems business as well as other hardware products and services, is likely to remain underperforming. However, IBM's earnings outlook suggests that the company will focus on streamlining its business and cutting costs to improve margins.
IBM believes that after the Kyndryl spin-off, it will deliver "sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth" from 2022 to 2024.
The company believes this growth to be driven by the expansion of hybrid cloud and AI services that can be integrated with public cloud platforms such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure.
IBM probably realizes that it is too late to catch up with AWS and Azure in the public cloud market, but it can still use its large enterprise customer base and Red Hat's open-source software to develop services for the hybrid cloud, which sits between private clouds and public cloud services.
IBM investors will get Kyndryl stock next month. If they keep both shares, they will initially receive a combined dividend equivalent to IBM's current dividend, but then both companies may reduce their payouts.
It would seem that IBM investors should sell their Kyndryl stock immediately since the latter would likely have difficulty keeping up with companies like Accenture, but hold onto their shares of a "renewed" IBM to see if its plans to get out of the crisis work.
Nevertheless, today is not a good time to buy IBM stock. Right now, the stock may seem cheap at 12 times forward earnings, but the company still faces stiff competition from Amazon and Microsoft, which are expanding their public clouds in a hybrid market, and an unstable infrastructure business could derail growth in its software and consulting business.
Investors should wait for IBM to complete its spin-off and for results to improve for a few quarters before believing that the tipping point has arrived. Until then, they should buy other blue-chip stocks, not Big Blue.
Post 10/20 Q3 FY21' Earnings Analysis $TSLA, $VZ, $IBM, $NDAQ
$TSLA closed up ~+1.5% after reporting revenue that fell short of estimates - profit beat Q3 projections, despite a semiconductor shortage and supply-chain challenges that have troubled automakers
$VZ gained +2.4% yesterday following better-than-expected earnings numbers and a lower-than-expected customer churn rate, showing continuous growth
$IBM fell (5%+) in extended trading after missing revenue expectations and showing a decrease in gross margin vs. Q2 - also said that increased labor costs will be impacting their pricing in the future
$NDAQ posted beats on both EPS and Revenue for the 4th straight quarter - largely thanks to strong performances by both the Solutions and Market Services businesses
Tech Sector Returns - YTD Tech Sector Giants Returns - FY21' - YTD
FB +29.9%
MSFT +43.86%
AMZN +7.21%
GOOGL +86.58%
IMB +13.09%
AAPL +28.32%
With upcoming earnings season, Apple's latest announcement earlier this week, and the holiday season approaching, I continue to have a bullish outlook on the Tech sector overall as FY21' continues.
IBM:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|PRICE ACTION+NEXT TARGET|SHORT IDEA 🔔International Business Machines continues to transform itself into more of a cloud computing company. Since it acquired Red Hat a couple of years ago, it has increasingly distinguished itself as a hybrid cloud leader. In addition, the spin-off of the managed infrastructure services business may allow IBM to focus solely on that growth.
Nevertheless, while IBM offers investors many reasons to buy, one key issue may scare off some investors in the near term.
The first advantage is the impending spin-off of Kyndryl.
Despite IBM's breakthroughs in chip manufacturing and supercomputing innovation, the company's fastest-growing segment is the cloud. CEO Arvind Krishna has been committed to turning IBM into a cloud player since he took the helm in April 2020. He was instrumental in Red Hat's acquisition, and Red Hat's Kubernetes and OpenShift software can simplify the communication problems inherent in public and private clouds working with each other.
Moreover, Kyndryl's spin-off from IBM should facilitate this transition, and IBM shareholders will receive a portion of Kyndryl's stock at the time of this spin-off. While this may seem like a convenient way to offload an inefficient business, Kyndryl is taking a $60 billion backlog with it. This volume of work allows Kyndryl to arrange a turnaround under a management team focused solely on the managed infrastructure business.
Krishna believes that once Kyndryl becomes a separate division, IBM will be able to consistently deliver mid-single-digit revenue growth, a significant improvement for a company that has sometimes failed to deliver positive revenue growth in the recent past.
A second advantage is dividends and cash flow.
IBM continues to generate cash flow despite its difficulties with earnings growth. Over the past 12 months, the company has generated about $9.7 billion in free cash flow, enough to easily cover $5.8 billion in dividend expenses over that period.
These dividends have long pleased investors. The company now pays shareholders $6.56 per share a year, which at current prices is about 4.7%. This is considerably higher than the 1.3% that the S&P 500 Index currently yields on average.
In addition, IBM has the status of a dividend aristocrat, as the company has increased its payout for 26 consecutive years. Investors should note that both IBM and Kyndryl will retain aristocrat status after the separation. However, the decision to retain aristocrat status will be made separately by the boards of IBM and Kyndryl.
The third benefit is an improved balance sheet.
IBM's cash flow is crucial for another reason. IBM's current debt is $55.2 billion, a huge burden when the company's equity is just over $21.9 billion. Nevertheless, while this debt remains a big burden on the balance sheet, shareholders should remember that the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion in the past 12 months. It has also reduced those liabilities by $17.9 billion since the Red Hat acquisition in 2019.
That is significant because the Red Hat purchase cost IBM $34 billion. In the second quarter of 2019, the company increased its total debt by $23 billion in one quarter to cover the cost of the acquisition. So so far, the company has paid back all but $5 billion in debt from the Red Hat deal.
The only downside is the uncertainty about the Kyndryl division.
Unfortunately, questions remain about what each company's balance sheet will look like after the spin-off. For example, IBM has not said how it would distribute the remaining debt load between the two companies. That is important because an unfair split could jeopardize the balance sheet of at least one of the companies.
Among other things, the issues go far beyond the level of debt and the state of IBM's equity capital. Although the company has told shareholders that they will receive a portion of Kyndryl's stock, they have no clear idea of the number of shares they will receive. In addition, IBM has not disclosed how much of Kyndryl's revenue, net income, or free cash flow is generated and how this affects shareholders on a per-share basis. This uncertainty about the company's valuation comes at a time when IBM's P/E ratio has risen above 23, something not seen since 2018.
In addition, this uncertainty is particularly important to IBM's dividend-oriented investors. IBM has told shareholders that the two companies will split the payout. Thus, investors cannot accurately gauge each company's future earnings or their ability to keep the portion of the dividend they receive.
So should you consider IBM? Despite the unanswered questions, both companies should perform better as separate units. Since IBM is more of a cloud company, its massive growth in that niche should have a bigger impact on its stock. Moreover, Kyndryl probably has a better chance of turning a huge order book into growing revenue, since its only priority is managed infrastructure.
However, income-oriented investors face profound uncertainty because they don't know which part of the business will provide the most support for payouts. For this reason, investors in this class should consider staying on the sidelines until more information becomes available.
INTC going 200$+++Intel can only go up from here, with all the hype stocks like AMD and Nvidia for example just relentlessly going up and are way overpriced at this point, you are overpaying for growth.
All you need to do is look at INTC 1999/2000 hype run up and 20+ years later the stock never made a new all the time. While the stock never made a new all time high i strongly believe now is the time for Intel.
With the new intel GPUs that are coming out early next year they will take market share from both Nvidia and AMD, the growth potential is almost unlimited for them as they start from zero.
CPUs are still not as good as AMD ones but Intel is still on 14nm process node while AMD is using TSMC 7nm and that is main reason they are ahead but the cap is not that huge, Intel is still on very old 14nm process node and are able to compete still with AMD just fine.
*Massive cash flow
*Intel 10nm is coming online soon.(It will be equal or better then TSMC 7nm)
*Intel is investing between $60 billion and $120 billion on brand-new fab complex.
*Intel got a alliance/deal with IBM(yes that boring IBM the research company) to use the new revolutionary 2nm process, IBM’s 2nm process offers greater density (more transistors per square millimeter) and lower power than TSMC’s 3nm(This news is so massive yet none talks about it).
*All Intel competitors are fabless and are using TSMC to produce the chips...even Apple. With China being unpredictable right now, tension with Taiwan would have unknown consequences. Nvidia, AMD, Apple etc all those companies would have no way to make the chips anymore, yes crazy right?
www.tomshardware.com
www.forbes.com
IBM | Technical Breakouts, Waiting For a RetestHi,
IBM got a rejection from quite an important area and the rejection guided the price through some strong price levels - breakouts.
Do your own fundamental research and if this matches with my possible bullish scenario then wait for a retest around $117 - $134 and you are ready to go.
Happy Independence Restoration Day in Estonia!
Regards,
Vaido
NVDA [Update]So far on NVDA we are still up nicely on our original idea and as we predicted NVDA is now putting all of our fib levels to the litmus test as it finds itself right in the middle zone of the entire fib retracement.
I expected the .383 to be properly tested before liftoff and so far it is holding up.
If it can continue to hold, NVDA will find itself breaking out once more as a bullish falling wedge is now being painted on the 4 hour timeframe.
One could debate if this is valid or not due to the breakdown out of its lower trendline, and that is fine. Because what we are most interested in is the upper trendline of the falling wedge as it appears to be serving as resistance on the price.
This is not something to ignore as supply lines like this can often be a warning of an impending bearish downtrend if price continues to fail when touching it.
So for this reason I am moving my stop losses up to around $189.79. The reason for this is because of not only the bearish trendline over our head, but because a breaking to the downside of the .382 fib level with a confirming candle on the 4 hour could mean a retest of much deeper levels at or around the bottom of the falling wedge or our .236 fibonacci level. So closing my position in profit and buying right back in at a discount is what I will be looking for in the near future.
In the meantime, however, I am still in my long but I am monitoring closely. NVDA will need to get moving and break the red trendline but ultimately put in a higher high in price by breaking the .618 fibonacci level over our head but that discussion will be kept reserve for a future post or update.