IBM Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of IBM International Business Machines Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing
Puts with a 120usd strike price and an expiration date of 2024-1-19, for a premium of approximately $6.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
Ibmshort
Selling IBM trend of lower highs.IBM - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 134.98 (stop at 139.41)
The medium term bias is neutral.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
The trend of lower highs is located at 136.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Short term momentum is bullish.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 124.44 and 120.44
Resistance: 131.00 / 136.50 / 139.34
Support: 127.00 / 124.00 / 120.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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IBM in BMV about to start bearish trendI just checked in a long timestamp and found that bullish channel has been broken, also right now I saw wave B is ongoing which makes confluence with H-C-H pattern and bearish Edge pattern too. We can see squeeze momentum is also ready for this bearish trend and CRSI is pointing too.
IBM - Down it Goes. IBMA giant flat about to enter the final leg. We are considering multiple entry and exit points, since the absolute magnitude of the fractal temporally.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
IBM Chart Forcast -- Bull From current Chan chart of IBM, we can tell, there is possible uptrend spike towards $145 -- previous high. Do leave comment if you have any idea about it's earning or financial information update. I am just reading from chart structure at this time. Overall, IBM is in a bull trend (short-mid-long term ) . If this time, it stand above $145, expecting next (2nd) price level @ 175 and 3rd price target @ $200.
IBM AnalysisA bearish idea for IBM , showing a potential drop below the major trendline that has been established
it can be compared to a point in the past where price also went under the major trendline (in red) and took a steep drop
I'm not sure how far it could drop but under the major trendline we will consider it bearish for traders
IBM | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...IBM shares fell nearly 10 percent to a seven-month low on Oct. 21 after the tech behemoth released a weak Q3 report.
IBM's revenues rose just 0.3 percent from a year earlier to $17.6 billion, $190 million less than forecasts. But excluding divestitures and foreign exchange rates, the company's revenues were down 0.2%.
Excluding the impending Kyndryl spin-off, IBM's revenue was up 2.5% in the period. Excluding divested businesses and foreign exchange rates, "excluding Kyndryl" earnings were up 1.9%.
IBM's GAAP earnings, which include Kyndryl spin-off expenses, fell 34% to $1.25 per share. Non-GAAP earnings, which exclude those expenses, still fell 2% to $2.52 per share, but beat forecasts by one penny.
IBM's performance was unimpressive, but it was in line with the outlook the company presented at an investor briefing in early October. Did investors exaggerate IBM's disappointing third-quarter report and create a new buying opportunity?
As in previous quarters, IBM reported third-quarter earnings in five main segments: cloud and cognitive software, global business services, global technology services, systems, and global finance.
IBM's cloud and cognitive software revenues grew thanks to double-digit growth in its cloud-related business, which offset low growth in its applications business and lower revenues in its transaction processing business.
The global business services segment profited from strong demand for cloud services, consulting, application management, and global technology services.
However, the Global Technology Services division weakened again, as weak growth in cloud services could not offset the continued decline in the Managed Infrastructure Services segment, which will be taken out by the Kyndryl spin-off.
The company's systems division struggled because of cyclically declining sales of IBM Z and Power systems, and financing revenues declined amid lower demand for financing services and slow sales of used equipment.
Once again, IBM's strengths failed to offset vulnerabilities, and investors were left attempting to find positives in lackluster reporting segments. However, this may all change as the "old" IBM ceases to exist.
After IBM spins off from Kyndryl next week, it will present four new reporting segments: consulting (29% of continuing operations revenue in 2020), software (42%), infrastructure (25%), and finance (2%).
IBM thinks these four segments will make it easier for investors to track the expansion of its faster-growing businesses.
IBM expects the software segment, which includes Red Hat and other hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence services, to be a major growth driver.
It also probably anticipates a streamlined consulting segment to better stand up to faster IT services and consulting companies, such as Accenture and Globant.
IBM's infrastructure business, which includes the legacy systems business as well as other hardware products and services, is likely to remain underperforming. However, IBM's earnings outlook suggests that the company will focus on streamlining its business and cutting costs to improve margins.
IBM believes that after the Kyndryl spin-off, it will deliver "sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth" from 2022 to 2024.
The company believes this growth to be driven by the expansion of hybrid cloud and AI services that can be integrated with public cloud platforms such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure.
IBM probably realizes that it is too late to catch up with AWS and Azure in the public cloud market, but it can still use its large enterprise customer base and Red Hat's open-source software to develop services for the hybrid cloud, which sits between private clouds and public cloud services.
IBM investors will get Kyndryl stock next month. If they keep both shares, they will initially receive a combined dividend equivalent to IBM's current dividend, but then both companies may reduce their payouts.
It would seem that IBM investors should sell their Kyndryl stock immediately since the latter would likely have difficulty keeping up with companies like Accenture, but hold onto their shares of a "renewed" IBM to see if its plans to get out of the crisis work.
Nevertheless, today is not a good time to buy IBM stock. Right now, the stock may seem cheap at 12 times forward earnings, but the company still faces stiff competition from Amazon and Microsoft, which are expanding their public clouds in a hybrid market, and an unstable infrastructure business could derail growth in its software and consulting business.
Investors should wait for IBM to complete its spin-off and for results to improve for a few quarters before believing that the tipping point has arrived. Until then, they should buy other blue-chip stocks, not Big Blue.
IBM bearish scenario:We have a technical figure Descending Triangle in US company International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) at daily chart. IBM is an American multinational technology company. IBM produces and sells computer hardware, middleware, and software, and provides hosting and consulting services in areas ranging from mainframe computers to nanotechnology. The Descending Triangle has broken through the support line on 03/07/2021, if the price holds below this level we can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 136.99 USD. Our stop loss order should be placed at 147.50 USD if we decide to enter this position.