GBPAUD SS Short +130 Pip PotentialPrice is below the 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and Great RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8643 (pullback)
Stop = 1.8663
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8511 ( The projected daily low)
Reward = 130 Pips
RRR = 6.5 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8604
Stop = 1.8634
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8511 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 93
RRR = 3.1 -1
Ichimoku_trader
GBPAUD Post News Short + 100 Pip PotentialPrice came down after the Bank of Australia kept the Rate unchanged at 1.50 (although Forex Factory shows it as increase). Price has formed a consolidation box with a high of 1.86602. This is a Post News Type trade with a High probability and Great RRR.
Entry = 1.8659
Stop = 1.8679
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8559
Reward = 100 Pips
RRR = 5-1
GBPAUD Long + 152 Pip PotentialPrice is above the Daily and 60 15 KS and in the cloud. This is a Type 2 trade with a High probability and a Great RRR. Moreover, the entry will be at the "close of the gap window"
Entry = 1.87265 (60 KS)
Stop = 1.86965
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.88816 (the prior high)
Reward = 155
RRR = 5-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 120 Pip PotentialPrice is currently only below the 15 KS. However, If the market closes below the 60 KS AFTER the 2:30 candle, price will then be below both the 60KS and the 15min Cloud creating a Type 1 trade. Type 1 trades have a High probability of success and good RRR.
Entry = Close below the 60 KS (blue line) 1.86079 AFTER the 2:30 am candle
Stop = ???
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8490
Reward = approx 120 pips
RRR = 4-1
GBPUSD SS Short + 75 PIp Potential*Price is below the 60 and 15 KS. This will be a Type 1 trade if the market closes below the Daily KS at 1.30111. It has a High probability of success and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = CLOSE below the Daliy KS at 1.30311
Stop = ???
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.2950
Reward = approx 75 Pips
RRR = ???
** remember Non-farm Payroll will be released at 8:30 am EST. which will directly effect this trade
you will want to be out of it by then.
GBPJPY SS Long + 60 Pip PotentialPrice is just below the Daily KS , but above 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
Entry = Close above cloud at 145.485
Stop = ??
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 146.20
Reward = ??
RRR = 3-1 or greater
NEED a close above the Daily KS at 145.485 for entry
GBPNZD SS Long + 80 Pip PotentialPrice is above the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Post News trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries
1st Entry = 1.9592
Stop = 1.9572
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.9672
Reward = 80 Pips
RRR = 4-1
2nd Entry = 1.9630
Stop = 1.9610
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.9710
Reward = 80 Pips
RRR = 4-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 81 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries: (understand it is one or the other, not both)
1st Entry = 1.8343
Stop = 1.8363
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8262 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 81
RRR = 4-1
2nd Entry = 1.8308
Stop 1.8338
Profit target = 1.8218
Reward = 90
RRR = 3-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 92 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries:
1st Entry = 1.8378 (top of box)
Stop = 1.8398
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8286 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 92 pips
RRR = 4.6 - 1
OR
2nd Entry = 1.8340
Stop = 1.8370
Risk = 30
Profit target = 1.8286 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 56 pips
RRR = 1.86 - 1
GBPAUD SS Short + 105 pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and great RRR.
2 Potential entries:
1st Entry = 1.8413 (2 pips below the Daily KS)
Stop = 1.8433
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8308( The projected daily low )
Reward = 105 pips
RRR = 5-1
2nd Entry = 1.8371 (8 pips below the Asian low)
Stop = 1.9401
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8308 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 63 pips
RRR = 2-1
OLD MUTUAL LIMITED (OMU) DAILY TIMEFRAME SHORTPrice is moving in a range on the daily timeframe, with the support level at 2 120 and a resistance level at 2 370. Though it is possible that price may move further up to close the massive gap on this stock, it is my belief that prices are going to continue further down due to a cluster of orders that are sitting at or above the resistance level. The daily timeframe already shows two bearish candles that have formed indicating the presence (but not the dominance) of sellers. One of the two is actually engulfing previous bullish candles.
Here is my entry for this trade:
Entry: 2 300
Stop Loss: 2 400
Take-profit: 2 120
Risk-Reward: 1:1,80
GBPAUD Long example of how I tradeWhen looking for trades, my purpose is simple:
I look for High probability trades with good RRR (risk reward ratio)
I consider a trade high probability if it has an 80%, or better, historical success rate.
A good RRR (risk reward ratio) is 3-1 or better. meaning that we are risking $1 to make at least $3
Understand that by maintain a 3-1 RRR, even if I lose over 50% of the time, I will still make money. Combine that with High probability trades and your golden.
That said, there are not a lot of trade opportunities that met this criteria everyday. So I am not the guy who is going to post alot of trades, most days I only take 1 trade. I risk 2% per trade,( because I have earned that right which is a different conversation), to make 6%. Generally, I will net 15-20% per week.
I start with a strength and weakness anylasis from the prior day's trading and rank the currencies
numerically. for example today "S GBP 5" means that GBP was ranked 5th while "W AUD 7" Aud was ranked 7th
obviously GBP was stronger than Aud. So we start the day with a Buy bias. this is confirmed before I start trading, which is generally at the European open (currently 2am est).
I then look at multi-frame analysis using Ichimoku Kinko Hyo concepts. Primarily the Kejun-Sen (KS). I look at the Daily the 60 and the 15 min Tf's.
Ideally, price will be above/below the KS on all 3 tf's, but the Daily as in this example is not necessary. Moreover, we need price above/below the Ichimoku Cloud.
Next is the Asian box, if the market has consolidated during the Asian session, as it often does, I will mark the high and low, creating a box. In the example above, we have the 60 KS (blue line), which is above the cloud at 1.82119. that is the bottom of the box as it is a place that found support during the Asian session. The Daily Senkou B, in this case provides the top of the box. Generally, the Daily Senkou's A and B, provide solid resistance or support.
Putting it all together, in the above example, since price is above the 60 Ks, the 15 Ks and the cloud in the conformity with our directional bias, we have a Type 1 trade, which has an 87% success rate. these trades are Great!!!
We have 2 potential buy entry points:
1st is a pullback to the bottom of the box at he 60 KS
the 2nd is a breakout trade. However because in this example we are using the Daily Senkou B as the top of the box we need a close above it, not just penetration.
As you can see the 2:45 candle closes above the Senkou B and we can enter a long trade. Using a 20 pip stop and a 60 pip profit target. This hits perfectly (what a great example) but seriously you can look back at my other trade idea's and see similar results .
I hope this provides a general idea of what I am trying to do tradewise. feel free to hit me with any questions
AGold 54
SHORT GBPUSDNow is near by these numbers as picture, and will watch wave with Z'-A-B-E-F
From E there is number33 also from D just one day before. Because it is always the first wave of DWON wave with number 33.
From B there is number 52.
The day is Apr 29.
And by S line, there will be number 65, so will SHORT it until this Friday.
GBPAUD SS Long + 62 Pip potentialPrice is above the 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type MA trade with a High probability and good RRR.
Entry = 1.8206
Stop = 1.8186
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8268* ( The projected daily high )
Reward = 62 Pips
RRR = 3-1
* the Daily Senkou B is at 1.8238 and that can be expected to provide
resistance. Depending on how the pair gets there I will either close a portion
of my position or at the very least move my stop to flat
GBPAUD SS Short + 115 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily KS but above the 60 and 15 KS. Price is in the cloud from above. This is a Type 2 trade with a High probability and good to great RRR.
2 potential Entries
1st Entry = 1.8194 (top of Asian Box)
Stop = 1.8214
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8079 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 115 Pips
RRR = 5.75 - 1
2nd Potential entry =close below 1.81499 (the 60KS)
Stop =
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8079 ( The projected daily low )
Reward =
RRR =
GBPAUD SS Short +95 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and great RRR. Moreover this pair has been boosted by negative GBP news then positive CNY news (positively effecting AUD)
Entry = 1.8170
Stop = 1.8190
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8075
Reward = + 95
RRR = 4.75 -1
GBPAUD Post News Long + 100 pip PotentialThis is a post news trade set-up. After negative AUD news (minutes of the Monetary Policy meeting, AUD weakened considerably. After driving up she entered a consolidation range between 1.83277 (high) and 1.8305 (low). A low risk entry can be made at 1.83008 (low + 1 + 2 pips for spread)
Entry = 1.8308
Stop = 1.8288
Risk = 20 pips
PT = 1.8408
Reward = 100 pips
RRR = 5-1
GBPAUD SS long + 95 pip potentialPrice is above the 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries
Entry = 1.8417 (bottom of box + 2 for spread) or
Entry 1.8441 (Breakout)
Stop = 30 pips
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8505 (daily projected high)
Reward = 95 pips
RRR = 3-1