EURAUD 60 MIn Cloud BreakoutMonthly and Daily Direction is bearish.
I anticipate the market will reverse down into the cloud
bounce up off the Senkou B (bottom of the cloud)
then stall between the Senkou A (top of the cloud) and the
resistance level at 1.58600
For the cloud breakout we will need the following;
1. A cloud penetration;
2. A TK cross
3. The Chikou below price
4. A Kumo twist
** You can take the Cloud channel trade (long at the Senkou B)
and that is an advanced technique with low risk targeting the Snkou A
I will update this post as the market unfolds
Ichimoku_trader
NZDJPY 60 min Cloud BreakoutThe Monthly and Daily remain bullish
Have a text book cloud breakout
The only thing I don't like is the time
as it is 4 pm est and I prefer not to take trades
this late in the US Session, so I will wait for the Asian Session
which may provide for a pullback opportunity and/or a smaller stop
Entry = 77.95 above the Daily Tenken Sen (Red line)
Stop = 77.31
Risk = 64 pis
Profit Target = 80.23 (10 pips before the Daily D Ext.)
Reward = 228
RRR = 3.5 - 1
NZDJPY 60 Cloud Pullback "homerun" tradeAlthough the Monthly and Daily are up, there is, imho, a
high probability, low risk pullback trade setting up
NZD which has been on a Great Bullish run is showing signs of weakeniing,
specifically, on the Daily charts of NZDCHF and NZDUSD both finished yesterday with Doji's
GBPNZD and EURNZD were both Spinning tops.
NZDJPY had a bearish decision candle, although not an engulfing certainly the strongest
of all the pairs against NZD.
Their has already been a bearish cloud breakout but with a retracement back into the cloud
Trade setup:
Entry = 78.14 (the 60 Kejun Sen)
Stop = 78.78 (10 pips + 2 for spread above the Senkou A)
Risk = 37 pips
Profit Target = 76.23 (the Daily Kejun Sen)
Reward = 218 pips
RRR = 5.8 - 1
NZDCAD 60 TF Potential Cloud Bounce or Channel tradeMonthly and Daily Time frames are bullish
Have a pullback to the Senkou A (top of the cloud)
which is very strong support area. the prior 2 candles 1am and 2am est. were indecision candles
unable to push the market down.
2 Potential trades:
1. Cloud Bounce:
A. If we get a Bullish engulfing candle off of the cloud we can enter the trade.
Entry = approximately = 0.9130
Stop = .9077 (10 pips below the Senkou B - bottom of the cloud)
Risk = approximately 53-60 pips
Profit target: .9207 (10 pips before the Daily D ext. Blue line on chart)
Reward = 77 pips
RRR = approximately 1.5 - 1
2. Channel Trade:
If price penetrates the cloud, place buy limit orders at the Senkou B (bottom of the cloud)
This is a great support level and will provide at the very least a short term bounce back to the top of the cloud
or possibly a continuation upto the Daily D ext.
Entry = .9087
Stop = .9067
Risk = 20 pips
Profit targets: 1st= .9117 RRR = 1.5-1
2nd= .9207 (10 pips before the Daily D ext. blue line on chart) RRR = 6 -1 :)
** depending on the strength of the move up, you may want to move your stop to flat at the first pt.
and let it run to the 2nd pt.
EURUSD 60 TF Cloud pullback tradeMonthly and Daily Direction is Down
This is a pullback trade in a multiple time frame resistance level
The Daily Kejun Sen is 1.13580
The Daily Tenken Sen is 1.13510
Additionally the 60 cloud is very thick which provides substantial resistance
Entry = 1.1353 (the 60 min Kejun Sen)
Stop = 1.1390 (10 pips above the Senkou A)
Risk = 37 pips
PT = 1.1123 (10 pips above the Daily 1.27 ext)
Reward = 230 Pips
RRR = 6.2 - 1
USDJPY 60 MIN Cloud Channel tradeThis is an advanced technique trade
here we have an ascending cloud with medium thickness
When the market reaches the Senkou B (bottom of the cloud) which is the last support level
There is a high probability (87%) that it will bounce back up to the Senkou A (top of the cloud)
** It is important to note the negative USD news that came out today (Powell Press conference)
GBPAUD 60 Min Cloud BreakoutMonthly and Daily Direction is Bearish
Have all the requirements for a Cloud breakout:
1. Have A cloud breakout
2. Have a TK cross
3. The Chikou is below price
4. Have a Kumo twist
** increasing this trades probability is the thick cloud and flat Senkou B
** of concern is the up Trend Line
Entry = 1.7664 (8 pips below the breakout candle)
Stop = 1.7550 (10 pips +2, for spread,above the Senkou A)
Risk = 86 pips
PT = 1.7206 (10 pips above the 1.618 fib extension)
USDJPY LongUSDJPY trending below the ichimoku cloud .indicating strong uptrend towards 114.00 psychological area.
1D Time Frame Analysis forecast
Kijun Sen Trend Upwards
Senkou Span below the price ( Cloud Green )
Chikou Span Trend Upwards ( Above the price )
Tenkan Sen Trend Upwards
All Confluences are confirming a strong Uptrend.
Trade Entry : 113.19
SL : 112.53
TP : 113.90
AUDUSD Confirmed DowntrendAUDUSD trending below the ichimoku cloud.indicating strong downtrend towards 0.7150
4HR Time Frame Analysis forecast
Kijun Sen Trend Downwards
Senkou Span above the price ( Cloud Turning Red )
Chikou Span Trend Downwards ( Below the price )
Tenkan Sen Trend Downwards
All Confluences are confirming a strong downtrend.
Trade Entry : 0.7250
SL : 0.7275
TP : 0.7175
EURNZD 15 Min Potential Cloud breakoutMonthly and Daily Direction is Bearish
on the 60 this pair has formed a double top, shown by the Yellow line (unfortunately I can not show, on the 15, the 1st instance of resistance without losing detail)
This trade still needs 2 of the 4 requirements, so is at least 90 min away from setting up.
Cloud breakout requirements:
1. Cloud Breakout - Still need
2. Have a TK cross :)
3. Chikou is closing below price :)
4. Future Kumo twist - still need
** Additionally, need a close below the daily Tenken Sen (Red line)
Entry parameters will be provided once all the Criteria are met
EURCAD 60 Cloud BreakoutMonthly direction is down
Daily is in the Sell zone
All requirements are met for a cloud breakout;
1. Have a cloud breakout
2. Have a TK cross
3. The Chikou is below price
4. Future kumo is bearish
2 Potential entries:
First, the breakout entry is 6 pips below the breakout candle (however, since the next candle was a little lower I used that low of 1.4916);
Breakout Entry = 1.4910
Stop = 10 pips + 2 for spread above the Senkou B at 1.4965 = 1.4977
Risk = 67 pips
Second, Pullback trade:
Their is a very strong Resistance level at 1.4956 (blue line) which is a great place to place a limit order
Entry = 1.4956
Stop = 1.4977
Risk = 21 pips
EURJPY Potential Cloud BreakoutPotential cloud Breakout
The Monthly direction is down
Pair is in the Sell zone on the Daily
and is at major resistance levels
Since this trade is several hours away from a
set-up I can not provide specific order details
That said there is 2 ways to enter this trade:
First, on a 60 min close below the Daily Kejun Sen (blue line)
Second would be a cloud breakout satisfying all the criteria;
1) a Cloud breakout
2) A TK cross
3) The Chikou is below price
4. A future Kumo twist
** Also the close of the breakout candle must close below the Daily Kejun Sen
GBPJPY 15 Potential cloud BreakoutAlthough GBP remains Strong, it does appear to be slowing down. As GBPJPY approaches Daily Resistance at 149.26, it appears to be losing strength. what I would like to see, is a consolidation near the resistance and then a move down through the Cloud. As this trade is still several hours away from setting up, I cannot provide an entry, Stop loss or Take profit levels at this time
CHFJPY 60 Cloud BreakoutMonthly and Daily direction is down and have met a ll the requirements for a Cloud Breakout:
1. Have a break below the Cloud.
2. Have a TK cross
3. The Chikou is below price
4. The future Kumo is bearish
2 Potential entries for this trade:
First; The Breakout trade. Entry is 4 pips below the low of the Breakout candle (in this case we have to adjust for round number support)
Entry = 112.98
Stop = 113.45
Risk = 47 pips
PT = 3xR = 141 pips = 111.57
Second: a Pullback to the 60 Kejun Sen at 113.31 (turquise line on chart) This entry while providing better risk/reward decreases the probability of success.
Entry: 113.31
Stop 113.45
Risk = 14 pips
PT = 10xR = 140 = 111.91
** The Blue line on the chart is the Daily Kejun Sen and represents a major Support/Resistance level
EURCAD 60 Cloud BreakoutDaily and Monthly are in downtrends.
Cloud Breakout requirements:
1. Have a Cloud breakout.
2. Have a TK cross
3. Have a Kumo Twist.
4. The Chikou is below price
** At the Daily Kejun Sen 1.4948 (Blue line), need a close below it
Entry = Close f Candle below Daily Kejun Sen 1.4948 (Blue line)
Stop 10 pips (+2 for spread) above the Senkou A
PT = 1.4720
DXY Higher High with a possible fake breakout? DXY is inside an uptrending channel. Price is attempting a breakout at the 1hr level. With tenken sen pointing downwards and kijun sen facing upwards, I expect price to go back up and attempt a breakout to the upside and meet kijun sen at the 1hr level. If this were to happen, it represents a reflection point on the channel and DXY could attempt to make a higher high after a recent run of higher highs and higher lows. If price fails to break $96 then it could fall into a sideways channel.
Entry: 95.70
SL: 95.45
TP1: 95.95
TP2: 96.20
ETHUSD More Sellers on the WayETHUSD looks ready for nice push to the bottom, possibly being the last big dump before cryptos start recovering. On the daily timeframe, price seems to be stuck in this downtrending channel. Linear regression suggests that price is going to fall downwards to at least the previous low of the 12th of September. Down-Top analysis starting with the 1hr shows price ready for a bearish TK cross, if this happens then I fully expect for price to create a bearish TK cross on the daily level and target even lower prices.
Entry: 230.14
SL: 254.9
TP1: 161
TP2: 110
Silver Quick Buy Idea 8.8Quick scalp trade on XAGUSD. Possible reflection point on the daily timeframe with silver having a steady and slow climb. Hoping to get in on a kijun sen bounce on the daily which coincides with price being unable to break the 4h kumo cloud to the downside. If price is rejected with enough momentum then this trade could be a nice hold if price creates a kumo cloud twist on the daily timeframe.
Entry:14.444
SL: 14.285
TP1: 14.660
TP2: 14.913
TP3: 15.294
Bitcoin’s final destination close to $4920Today’s insights.
Although the left chart shows a significant support zone between 5555 and 5920, the OBV indicator still shows a downtrend of volume.
The bears rule the game.
We separate two time periods for more studies the recent downsides.
2018/01/05 to 2018/02/10: bitcoin price dropped 50% near one month
2018/03/05 to 2018/06/19: bitcoin price dropped 42% near three months
Obviously, we see that the recent fear was smaller than at the beginning of this year. Because most of us should know or technical analysed or even mentally prepared that bitcoin will fall to a bargaining level i.e. 4k to 5k.
If the support zone lost the name what it is called, then what will we do ? because there is no demand zone any more !
Ichimoku analysis may help you to locate where the support or resistance is.
This time we use chinkou span that many ichimoku traders selectively ignored.
The chinkou span cross bearish signal occurs when the chinkou span falls below the price.
The yellow oval A was telling us that chinkou span lies adjacent kumo, it was not safe to go SHORT.
However, the yellow oval B was telling us that chinkou span lies under kumo, it was safe to go SHORT. (i.e. since 7700)
Chinkou span fell sharply two days ago and what will you expect the market does (Falling or Rising)?
Now, we drew some dotted lines so that you will know how our logic thinking work.
Each dotted line tells you the chinkou span hooked either in a V-shape or inverted V-shape.
Chinkou span in V-shape means support, while chinkou span in inverted V-shape means resistance.
When you look carefully between the relationship of chinkou span and the price, you will see the below findings.
Chinkou span 1 @ 7807 : Support became Resistance
Chinkou span 2 @ 6874 : Support became Resistance
Well, you may discovered that chinkou span is the closing price shifted into the past, the cross that triggers this signal will be 26 days behind the price and, hence, the actual date that the signal occurs. The strength of the signal is determined by the relationship of the price on the date of the signal to the kumo.
How about Chinkou span 3 @ 5870 and Chinkou span 4 @ 4921 ? These are the exercises you are going to watch in the next couple of days.